Milwaukee Bucks

Milwaukee Bucks

Apr 19, 2025

Indiana Pacers

Indiana Pacers
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Milwaukee Bucks vs Indiana Pacers Game 1 Pick – 4/19/2025

The Milwaukee Bucks (49-34) face off against the Indiana Pacers (50-32) in Game 1 of their Eastern Conference first round playoff series, one that promises to deliver excitement and intensity. Scheduled for April 19, 2025, at 1:00 PM ET, this Saturday day game will take place at Gainbridge Fieldhouse, where the Pacers will look to leverage their home-court advantage.

Both teams enter this contest with significant motivation. The Bucks come into the game riding a hot streak, having won 8 consecutive games, including a thrilling 140-133 victory over the Detroit Pistons in their last outing. This win was particularly noteworthy as Milwaukee was a 9.5-point underdog, highlighting their recent form and resilience.

On the other side, the Pacers have also been performing well, winning 35 of their last 50 games. They secured a solid 126-118 victory against the Cleveland Cavaliers in their previous matchup. As the favorites at home, Indiana holds a spread of -5.5 and a moneyline of -215, giving them an implied win probability of 66%. In contrast, the Bucks' moneyline stands at +185, reflecting a 34% implied probability of winning.

With both teams having had 6 days off since their last games, the extra rest could play a pivotal role in this clash. Bettors might want to keep an eye on Brook Lopez's Points, Rebounds, and Assists, as it has emerged as the most popular betting market for this game. Additionally, sharp bettors are leaning towards the Under, with many believing the line of Under 18.5 Points, Rebounds, and Assists (-120) offers value. As this rivalry unfolds, fans and bettors alike should expect a fiercely contested battle.

Milwaukee Bucks vs Indiana Pacers Game 1 Prediction

Predicted Final Score: Milwaukee Bucks 111.72, Indiana Pacers 120.04

Milwaukee Bucks vs Indiana Pacers Game 1 Win Probabilities

TeamImplied Win %:Projected Win %:
Bucks32%26%
Pacers68%74%

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Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

+5.5/-108
65% MIL
-5.5/-112
35% IND

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+185
33% MIL
-225
67% IND

Total Pick Consensus

224.0/-110
8% UN
224.0/-110
92% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

MIL
Team Stats Per Game
IND
82
Games
82
42.0
FG
42.6
86.4
FGA
89.9
.486
FG%
.474
14.2
3Pt-FG
12.9
36.6
3Pt-FGA
36.3
.387
3Pt%
.355
27.9
2Pt-FG
29.7
49.7
2Pt-FGA
53.6
.560
2Pt%
.554
17.3
FT
17.0
23.1
FTA
22.0
.750
FT%
.773
8.2
ORB
11.2
35.1
DRB
33.8
43.4
TRB
45.0
25.5
AST
26.0
7.3
STL
7.2
4.7
BLK
4.5
13.4
TOV
15.0
17.9
PF
18.8
115.5
PTS
115.1

Defense/Offense

MIL
Team Stats Per Game
IND
82
Games
82
41.6
FG
43.6
91.1
FGA
89.3
.457
FG%
.488
13.9
3Pt-FG
13.2
39.4
3Pt-FGA
35.8
.353
3Pt%
.368
27.7
2Pt-FG
30.4
51.7
2Pt-FGA
53.6
.536
2Pt%
.568
15.9
FT
17.0
20.3
FTA
21.6
.783
FT%
.789
11.0
ORB
9.2
34.3
DRB
32.7
45.3
TRB
41.8
26.4
AST
29.2
7.3
STL
8.5
3.8
BLK
5.5
12.9
TOV
13.2
18.9
PF
18.7
113.0
PTS
117.4

Offense/Defense

MIL
Four Factors
IND
.568
eFG%
.546
12.2
TOV%
13.1
19.3
RB%
74.5
.201
FT/FGA
.190

Defense/Offense

MIL
Four Factors
IND
.533
eFG%
.562
11.4
TOV%
11.8
76.2
RB%
21.3
.174
FT/FGA
.190

Offense/Defense

MIL
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
IND
82
Games
82
42.2
FG
42.3
86.7
FGA
89.2
.486
FG%
.474
14.2
3Pt-FG
12.8
36.7
3Pt-FGA
36.0
.387
3Pt%
.355
28.0
2Pt-FG
29.5
49.9
2Pt-FGA
53.2
.560
2Pt%
.554
17.4
FT
16.9
23.2
FTA
21.9
.750
FT%
.773
8.2
ORB
11.1
35.3
DRB
33.6
43.5
TRB
44.7
25.6
AST
25.8
7.4
STL
7.1
4.7
BLK
4.4
13.4
TOV
14.9
18.0
PF
18.7
115.9
PTS
114.3

Defense/Offense

MIL
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
IND
82
Games
82
41.8
FG
43.3
91.4
FGA
88.7
.457
FG%
.488
14.0
3Pt-FG
13.1
39.6
3Pt-FGA
35.5
.353
3Pt%
.368
27.8
2Pt-FG
30.2
51.9
2Pt-FGA
53.2
.536
2Pt%
.568
15.9
FT
16.9
20.3
FTA
21.4
.783
FT%
.789
11.0
ORB
9.1
34.4
DRB
32.4
45.4
TRB
41.5
26.5
AST
29.0
7.4
STL
8.4
3.9
BLK
5.4
12.9
TOV
13.1
19.0
PF
18.6
113.4
PTS
116.5

MIL
Analytics
IND
47
Pythag Wins
46
35
Pythag Losses
36
2.48
Margin Of Victory
2.23
115.9
O Rtg
116.5
113.4
D Rtg
114.3
99.3
Pace
99.9
.268
FTr
.241
.424
3PAr
.400
.598
TS%
.594

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
MIL IND
MIL IND
Consensus
+4.5 (-111)
-4.5 (-113)
+6.0 (-111)
-6.0 (-108)
+4.5 (-108)
-4.5 (-110)
+5.5 (-108)
-5.5 (-112)
+4.5 (-112)
-4.5 (-115)
+6.0 (-112)
-6.0 (-108)
+4.5 (-114)
-4.5 (-112)
+6.0 (-114)
-6.0 (-107)
+4.5 (-110)
-4.5 (-110)
+6.0 (-110)
-6.0 (-110)
+4.5 (-105)
-4.5 (-110)
+5.5 (-105)
-5.5 (-115)
Open
Current
Book
MIL IND
MIL IND
Consensus
+160
-191
+194
-232
+160
-192
+185
-225
+168
-200
+190
-230
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
225.5 (-110)
225.5 (-110)
224.5 (-109)
224.5 (-112)
226.0 (-110)
226.0 (-110)
224.0 (-110)
224.0 (-110)
225.5 (-110)
225.5 (-110)
224.5 (-108)
224.5 (-112)
225.5 (-110)
225.5 (-110)
224.5 (-109)
224.5 (-112)
225.5 (-110)
225.5 (-110)
224.0 (-115)
224.0 (-105)
226.5 (-110)
226.5 (-110)
224.5 (-110)
224.5 (-110)

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