Milwaukee Bucks

Milwaukee Bucks

Mar 18, 2025

Golden State Warriors

Golden State Warriors
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Milwaukee Bucks vs Golden State Warriors Prediction – 3/18/2025


On March 18, 2025, the Milwaukee Bucks will face off against the Golden State Warriors at Chase Center in San Francisco. Both teams are currently tied with a record of 39-29, making this matchup crucial as they vie for playoff positioning. The game is set to tip off at 10:00 PM ET.

This contest comes as a back-to-back for the Warriors, who last played on March 17, where they fell to the Denver Nuggets 114-105. The fatigue from playing consecutive games could hinder Golden State's performance, especially against a Bucks team that, despite being on the road, enters this matchup as a slight favorite with a spread of Bucks -3.5. The Bucks are implied to have a 60% chance of winning, with moneyline odds set at -165.

Milwaukee's recent form has been solid, with the team winning 30 of their last 50 games. However, they did suffer a setback in their last outing, losing to the Oklahoma City Thunder 121-105. Additionally, the Bucks face the challenge of traveling cross-country, which could affect their energy levels.

For bettors, one of the more intriguing player props involves Damian Lillard's Points and Rebounds, currently drawing significant attention. Lillard's performance will be pivotal, especially given that the betting community seems to favor the Under on his total of 27.5 Points and Rebounds at -115.

With both teams looking to bounce back and solidify their playoff hopes, this game promises to be a competitive affair. The combination of the teams' recent performances and the context of travel and fatigue adds layers to the betting landscape as fans prepare for this Tuesday night showdown.


Milwaukee Bucks vs Golden State Warriors Prediction

Predicted Final Score: Milwaukee Bucks 125.06 vs Golden State Warriors 122.51


Milwaukee Bucks vs Golden State Warriors Win Probabilities

TeamImplied Win %:Projected Win %:
Bucks60%57%
Warriors40%43%

For more on today's game check out the comprehensive statistics, betting odds, and trends below. Be sure to check out all our free NBA picks here.

Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

-1.5/-112
28% MIL
+1.5/-108
72% GS

Moneyline Pick Consensus

-125
42% MIL
+106
58% GS

Total Pick Consensus

225.0/-112
12% UN
225.0/-108
88% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

MIL
Team Stats Per Game
GS
82
Games
82
42.0
FG
40.4
86.4
FGA
86.9
.486
FG%
.465
14.2
3Pt-FG
13.2
36.6
3Pt-FGA
36.3
.387
3Pt%
.363
27.9
2Pt-FG
27.3
49.7
2Pt-FGA
50.6
.560
2Pt%
.539
17.3
FT
16.4
23.1
FTA
21.4
.750
FT%
.769
8.2
ORB
10.6
35.1
DRB
33.5
43.4
TRB
44.1
25.5
AST
25.9
7.3
STL
7.6
4.7
BLK
5.4
13.4
TOV
15.7
17.9
PF
18.6
115.5
PTS
110.5

Defense/Offense

MIL
Team Stats Per Game
GS
82
Games
82
41.6
FG
40.8
91.1
FGA
90.4
.457
FG%
.451
13.9
3Pt-FG
15.4
39.4
3Pt-FGA
42.4
.353
3Pt%
.364
27.7
2Pt-FG
25.3
51.7
2Pt-FGA
48.0
.536
2Pt%
.528
15.9
FT
16.9
20.3
FTA
22.1
.783
FT%
.764
11.0
ORB
12.5
34.3
DRB
32.8
45.3
TRB
45.4
26.4
AST
29.1
7.3
STL
9.4
3.8
BLK
4.8
12.9
TOV
14.0
18.9
PF
19.2
113.0
PTS
113.8

Offense/Defense

MIL
Four Factors
GS
.568
eFG%
.541
12.2
TOV%
14.1
19.3
RB%
75.6
.201
FT/FGA
.189

Defense/Offense

MIL
Four Factors
GS
.533
eFG%
.536
11.4
TOV%
12.3
76.2
RB%
27.3
.174
FT/FGA
.187

Offense/Defense

MIL
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
GS
82
Games
82
42.2
FG
40.9
86.7
FGA
87.8
.486
FG%
.465
14.2
3Pt-FG
13.3
36.7
3Pt-FGA
36.7
.387
3Pt%
.363
28.0
2Pt-FG
27.6
49.9
2Pt-FGA
51.2
.560
2Pt%
.539
17.4
FT
16.6
23.2
FTA
21.6
.750
FT%
.769
8.2
ORB
10.7
35.3
DRB
33.8
43.5
TRB
44.5
25.6
AST
26.1
7.4
STL
7.7
4.7
BLK
5.4
13.4
TOV
15.9
18.0
PF
18.8
115.9
PTS
111.7

Defense/Offense

MIL
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
GS
82
Games
82
41.8
FG
41.2
91.4
FGA
91.4
.457
FG%
.451
14.0
3Pt-FG
15.6
39.6
3Pt-FGA
42.8
.353
3Pt%
.364
27.8
2Pt-FG
25.6
51.9
2Pt-FGA
48.5
.536
2Pt%
.528
15.9
FT
17.0
20.3
FTA
22.3
.783
FT%
.764
11.0
ORB
12.7
34.4
DRB
33.2
45.4
TRB
45.9
26.5
AST
29.4
7.4
STL
9.5
3.9
BLK
4.8
12.9
TOV
14.2
19.0
PF
19.4
113.4
PTS
115.0

MIL
Analytics
GS
47
Pythag Wins
49
35
Pythag Losses
33
2.48
Margin Of Victory
3.30
115.9
O Rtg
115.0
113.4
D Rtg
111.7
99.3
Pace
98.7
.268
FTr
.244
.424
3PAr
.469
.598
TS%
.568

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
MIL GS
MIL GS
Consensus
+2.5 (-113)
-2.5 (-110)
-1.5 (-113)
+1.5 (-108)
+2.5 (-112)
-2.5 (-110)
-1.5 (-112)
+1.5 (-108)
+3.0 (-108)
-3.0 (-112)
-2.0 (-108)
+2.0 (-112)
+3.5 (-110)
-3.5 (-108)
-1.5 (-110)
+1.5 (-110)
+2.5 (-115)
-2.5 (-110)
-2.0 (-115)
+2.0 (-105)
+2.5 (-115)
-2.5 (-118)
-1.5 (-115)
+1.5 (-105)
Open
Current
Book
MIL GS
MIL GS
Consensus
+120
-145
-125
+106
+114
-135
-125
+105
+132
-156
-132
+112
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
235.5 (-110)
235.5 (-110)
225.0 (-110)
225.0 (-110)
235.5 (-110)
235.5 (-110)
225.0 (-108)
225.0 (-112)
233.5 (-110)
233.5 (-110)
225.0 (-110)
225.0 (-110)
233.5 (-109)
233.5 (-112)
225.0 (-110)
225.0 (-110)
233.0 (-110)
233.0 (-110)
225.0 (-105)
225.0 (-115)
233.5 (-110)
233.5 (-110)
225.5 (-105)
225.5 (-115)

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