Milwaukee Bucks

Milwaukee Bucks

Mar 18, 2025

Golden State Warriors

Golden State Warriors
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Milwaukee Bucks vs Golden State Warriors Prediction – 3/18/2025


On March 18, 2025, the Milwaukee Bucks will face off against the Golden State Warriors at Chase Center in San Francisco. Both teams are currently tied with a record of 39-29, making this matchup crucial as they vie for playoff positioning. The game is set to tip off at 10:00 PM ET.

This contest comes as a back-to-back for the Warriors, who last played on March 17, where they fell to the Denver Nuggets 114-105. The fatigue from playing consecutive games could hinder Golden State's performance, especially against a Bucks team that, despite being on the road, enters this matchup as a slight favorite with a spread of Bucks -3.5. The Bucks are implied to have a 60% chance of winning, with moneyline odds set at -165.

Milwaukee's recent form has been solid, with the team winning 30 of their last 50 games. However, they did suffer a setback in their last outing, losing to the Oklahoma City Thunder 121-105. Additionally, the Bucks face the challenge of traveling cross-country, which could affect their energy levels.

For bettors, one of the more intriguing player props involves Damian Lillard's Points and Rebounds, currently drawing significant attention. Lillard's performance will be pivotal, especially given that the betting community seems to favor the Under on his total of 27.5 Points and Rebounds at -115.

With both teams looking to bounce back and solidify their playoff hopes, this game promises to be a competitive affair. The combination of the teams' recent performances and the context of travel and fatigue adds layers to the betting landscape as fans prepare for this Tuesday night showdown.


Milwaukee Bucks vs Golden State Warriors Prediction

Predicted Final Score: Milwaukee Bucks 125.06 vs Golden State Warriors 122.51


Milwaukee Bucks vs Golden State Warriors Win Probabilities

TeamImplied Win %:Projected Win %:
Bucks60%57%
Warriors40%43%

For more on today's game check out the comprehensive statistics, betting odds, and trends below. Be sure to check out all our free NBA picks here.

Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

-3.0/-112
29% MIL
+3.0/-108
71% GS

Moneyline Pick Consensus

-155
34% MIL
+130
66% GS

Total Pick Consensus

227.5/-112
13% UN
227.5/-108
87% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

MIL
Team Stats Per Game
GS
67
Games
68
41.8
FG
40.5
86.8
FGA
87.6
.481
FG%
.462
14.2
3Pt-FG
13.1
36.9
3Pt-FGA
36.5
.384
3Pt%
.360
27.6
2Pt-FG
27.4
49.9
2Pt-FGA
51.0
.554
2Pt%
.536
17.0
FT
16.8
22.6
FTA
21.8
.754
FT%
.772
8.5
ORB
10.7
35.7
DRB
33.7
44.2
TRB
44.4
25.2
AST
25.9
7.3
STL
7.5
4.8
BLK
5.6
13.7
TOV
15.4
18.2
PF
18.3
114.8
PTS
111.0

Defense/Offense

MIL
Team Stats Per Game
GS
67
Games
68
41.4
FG
41.0
91.1
FGA
91.0
.454
FG%
.450
13.7
3Pt-FG
15.2
39.0
3Pt-FGA
42.1
.351
3Pt%
.362
27.7
2Pt-FG
25.8
52.0
2Pt-FGA
48.9
.532
2Pt%
.527
16.2
FT
16.2
20.5
FTA
21.6
.789
FT%
.751
10.7
ORB
12.7
34.4
DRB
33.1
45.2
TRB
45.8
26.0
AST
29.2
7.6
STL
9.1
4.0
BLK
5.1
12.8
TOV
14.0
18.8
PF
19.5
112.7
PTS
113.4

Offense/Defense

MIL
Four Factors
GS
.563
eFG%
.537
12.4
TOV%
13.7
19.7
RB%
75.5
.196
FT/FGA
.192

Defense/Offense

MIL
Four Factors
GS
.530
eFG%
.534
11.3
TOV%
12.2
76.9
RB%
27.3
.178
FT/FGA
.178

Offense/Defense

MIL
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
GS
67
Games
68
41.8
FG
40.8
86.9
FGA
88.3
.481
FG%
.462
14.2
3Pt-FG
13.3
37.0
3Pt-FGA
36.8
.384
3Pt%
.360
27.6
2Pt-FG
27.6
49.9
2Pt-FGA
51.5
.554
2Pt%
.536
17.0
FT
17.0
22.6
FTA
22.0
.754
FT%
.772
8.5
ORB
10.8
35.7
DRB
34.0
44.2
TRB
44.8
25.2
AST
26.1
7.3
STL
7.6
4.8
BLK
5.6
13.8
TOV
15.5
18.2
PF
18.4
114.9
PTS
111.9

Defense/Offense

MIL
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
GS
67
Games
68
41.4
FG
41.3
91.1
FGA
91.8
.454
FG%
.450
13.7
3Pt-FG
15.4
39.1
3Pt-FGA
42.5
.351
3Pt%
.362
27.7
2Pt-FG
26.0
52.0
2Pt-FGA
49.3
.532
2Pt%
.527
16.2
FT
16.3
20.5
FTA
21.7
.789
FT%
.751
10.7
ORB
12.8
34.5
DRB
33.4
45.2
TRB
46.1
26.0
AST
29.4
7.6
STL
9.2
4.0
BLK
5.1
12.8
TOV
14.1
18.8
PF
19.6
112.7
PTS
114.3

MIL
Analytics
GS
38
Pythag Wins
39
29
Pythag Losses
29
2.13
Margin Of Victory
2.46
114.9
O Rtg
114.3
112.7
D Rtg
111.9
99.8
Pace
99.1
.260
FTr
.237
.425
3PAr
.463
.593
TS%
.564

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
MIL GS
MIL GS
Consensus
+2.5 (-111)
-2.5 (-110)
-3.0 (-111)
+3.0 (-110)
+2.5 (-112)
-2.5 (-110)
-3.0 (-112)
+3.0 (-108)
+3.0 (-108)
-3.0 (-112)
-2.5 (-108)
+2.5 (-112)
+3.5 (-112)
-3.5 (-108)
-3.0 (-112)
+3.0 (-109)
+2.5 (-110)
-2.5 (-110)
-2.5 (-110)
+2.5 (-110)
+2.5 (-115)
-2.5 (-118)
-2.5 (-115)
+2.5 (-105)
Open
Current
Book
MIL GS
MIL GS
Consensus
+120
-145
-146
+124
+114
-135
-155
+130
+132
-156
-134
+114
+123
-148
-150
+125
+122
-145
-150
+126
+125
-150
-150
+125
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
235.5 (-110)
235.5 (-110)
227.5 (-110)
227.5 (-110)
235.5 (-110)
235.5 (-110)
227.5 (-108)
227.5 (-112)
233.5 (-110)
233.5 (-110)
228.0 (-110)
228.0 (-110)
233.5 (-109)
233.5 (-112)
227.5 (-110)
227.5 (-110)
233.0 (-110)
233.0 (-110)
227.5 (-110)
227.5 (-110)
233.5 (-110)
233.5 (-110)
227.5 (-110)
227.5 (-110)

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