Miami Heat

Miami Heat

Nov 6, 2024

Phoenix Suns

Phoenix Suns
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Miami Heat vs Phoenix Suns Betting Pick & Preview – 11/6/2024

  • Date: November 6, 2024
  • Venue: Footprint Center

Betting Odds

Spread: Miami Heat 5.5 (-110), Phoenix Suns -5.5 (-110)
Over/Under: 223
Moneyline: Miami Heat 170, Phoenix Suns -200

Miami Heat vs Phoenix Suns Win Probabilities

Implied Win %: Projected Win %:
Miami Heat - 36% Miami Heat - 46%
Phoenix Suns - 64% Phoenix Suns - 54%

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Miami Heat vs Phoenix Suns Betting Preview

The Miami Heat (3-3) are set to square off against the Phoenix Suns (6-1) in a highly-anticipated Wednesday night matchup. Tip-off at the Footprint Center is scheduled for 9:00 PM ET. The Suns, riding the momentum of five consecutive victories, enter the game as home favorites, with the spread at -5.5. The moneyline odds further establish Phoenix's upper hand at -195, translating to an implied win probability of 64%. Conversely, the Heat's moneyline sits at +165, suggesting a 36% chance of victory.

The Heat face a daunting task as they travel cross-country, crossing two time zones to play in Phoenix. This lengthy road trip could pose a challenge for Miami, potentially impacting their performance on the court. The Heat, however, have shown resilience, winning three of their last five games. Their most recent outing was a nail-biting 111-110 loss to the Sacramento Kings, indicating their ability to compete in tight contests.

On the other hand, the Suns have been on a roll, exemplified by their recent 118-116 triumph over the Philadelphia 76ers. Phoenix has showcased their prowess at home, adding to their status as favorites in this encounter. Their current form positions them well to continue their winning streak.

The Heat will need to overcome the travel fatigue and find a way to disrupt the Suns' rhythm if they are to secure a victory. Look for Miami to lean on their recent positive performances while Phoenix will aim to maintain their hot streak and prove why they're favored on their home court. This matchup promises to be an exciting clash of strategy and endurance, with both teams eager to assert their standing early in the season.

Miami Heat vs Phoenix Suns Prediction

Final Score: Miami Heat 108.99 vs Phoenix Suns 110.24

For more on today's game check out the comprehensive statistics, betting odds, and trends below. Be sure to check out all our free NBA picks here.

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Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

+5.5/-110
36% MIA
-5.5/-110
64% PHO

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+170
11% MIA
-205
89% PHO

Total Pick Consensus

221.0/-108
8% UN
221.0/-112
92% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

MIA
Team Stats Per Game
PHO
6
Games
7
37.8
FG
40.0
87.3
FGA
92.1
.433
FG%
.434
14.5
3Pt-FG
13.6
38.0
3Pt-FGA
36.9
.382
3Pt%
.368
23.3
2Pt-FG
26.4
49.3
2Pt-FGA
55.3
.473
2Pt%
.478
18.5
FT
17.1
25.8
FTA
22.1
.716
FT%
.774
11.3
ORB
11.4
33.3
DRB
34.6
44.7
TRB
46.0
25.2
AST
25.4
8.0
STL
8.3
4.8
BLK
4.4
12.0
TOV
13.0
17.0
PF
22.3
108.7
PTS
110.7

Defense/Offense

MIA
Team Stats Per Game
PHO
6
Games
7
39.5
FG
39.3
89.2
FGA
83.4
.443
FG%
.471
13.3
3Pt-FG
14.7
38.3
3Pt-FGA
39.0
.348
3Pt%
.377
26.2
2Pt-FG
24.6
50.8
2Pt-FGA
44.4
.515
2Pt%
.553
15.2
FT
21.1
19.3
FTA
26.3
.784
FT%
.804
13.0
ORB
7.9
34.0
DRB
37.0
47.0
TRB
44.9
23.0
AST
27.0
7.5
STL
7.4
6.2
BLK
6.3
14.7
TOV
14.4
21.7
PF
19.1
107.5
PTS
114.4

Offense/Defense

MIA
Four Factors
PHO
.516
eFG%
.508
10.8
TOV%
11.3
25.0
RB%
76.4
.212
FT/FGA
.186

Defense/Offense

MIA
Four Factors
PHO
.518
eFG%
.559
13.1
TOV%
13.2
71.9
RB%
18.5
.170
FT/FGA
.253

Offense/Defense

MIA
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
PHO
6
Games
7
39.2
FG
39.9
90.5
FGA
91.9
.433
FG%
.434
15.0
3Pt-FG
13.5
39.4
3Pt-FGA
36.8
.382
3Pt%
.368
24.2
2Pt-FG
26.4
51.1
2Pt-FGA
55.2
.473
2Pt%
.478
19.2
FT
17.1
26.8
FTA
22.1
.716
FT%
.774
11.7
ORB
11.4
34.5
DRB
34.5
46.3
TRB
45.9
26.1
AST
25.4
8.3
STL
8.3
5.0
BLK
4.4
12.4
TOV
13.0
17.6
PF
22.2
112.6
PTS
110.5

Defense/Offense

MIA
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
PHO
6
Games
7
40.9
FG
39.2
92.4
FGA
83.2
.443
FG%
.471
13.8
3Pt-FG
14.7
39.7
3Pt-FGA
38.9
.348
3Pt%
.377
27.1
2Pt-FG
24.5
52.7
2Pt-FGA
44.3
.515
2Pt%
.553
15.7
FT
21.1
20.0
FTA
26.2
.784
FT%
.804
13.5
ORB
7.8
35.2
DRB
36.9
48.7
TRB
44.8
23.8
AST
26.9
7.8
STL
7.4
6.4
BLK
6.3
15.2
TOV
14.4
22.4
PF
19.1
111.4
PTS
114.2

MIA
Analytics
PHO
3
Pythag Wins
4
3
Pythag Losses
3
1.17
Margin Of Victory
3.71
112.6
O Rtg
114.2
111.4
D Rtg
110.5
96.5
Pace
98.8
.296
FTr
.315
.435
3PAr
.467
.550
TS%
.602

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
MIA PHO
MIA PHO
Consensus
+5.0 (-109)
-5.0 (-110)
+5.5 (-109)
-5.5 (-110)
+5.0 (-110)
-5.0 (-110)
+5.5 (-110)
-5.5 (-110)
+5.5 (-112)
-5.5 (-110)
+5.5 (-112)
-5.5 (-108)
+5.5 (-107)
-5.5 (-109)
+5.0 (-107)
-5.0 (-114)
+5.5 (-110)
-5.5 (-110)
+5.5 (-110)
-5.5 (-110)
+5.5 (-110)
-5.5 (-110)
+5.5 (-110)
-5.5 (-110)
Open
Current
Book
MIA PHO
MIA PHO
Consensus
+169
-202
+173
-207
+170
-205
+170
-205
+190
-230
+176
-210
+175
-210
+165
-200
+185
-225
+185
-225
+185
-225
+170
-210
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
221.5 (-110)
221.5 (-110)
221.5 (-111)
221.5 (-110)
221.5 (-110)
221.5 (-110)
221.0 (-112)
221.0 (-108)
222.5 (-108)
222.5 (-112)
221.0 (-110)
221.0 (-110)
222.5 (-112)
222.5 (-109)
221.5 (-113)
221.5 (-108)
222.0 (-110)
222.0 (-110)
222.0 (-110)
222.0 (-110)
221.5 (-115)
221.5 (-105)
221.5 (-105)
221.5 (-115)