Miami Heat

Miami Heat

Nov 6, 2024

Phoenix Suns

Phoenix Suns
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Miami Heat vs Phoenix Suns Betting Pick & Preview – 11/6/2024

  • Date: November 6, 2024
  • Venue: Footprint Center

Betting Odds

Spread: Miami Heat 5.5 (-110), Phoenix Suns -5.5 (-110)
Over/Under: 223
Moneyline: Miami Heat 170, Phoenix Suns -200

Miami Heat vs Phoenix Suns Win Probabilities

Implied Win %: Projected Win %:
Miami Heat - 36% Miami Heat - 46%
Phoenix Suns - 64% Phoenix Suns - 54%

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Miami Heat vs Phoenix Suns Betting Preview

The Miami Heat (3-3) are set to square off against the Phoenix Suns (6-1) in a highly-anticipated Wednesday night matchup. Tip-off at the Footprint Center is scheduled for 9:00 PM ET. The Suns, riding the momentum of five consecutive victories, enter the game as home favorites, with the spread at -5.5. The moneyline odds further establish Phoenix's upper hand at -195, translating to an implied win probability of 64%. Conversely, the Heat's moneyline sits at +165, suggesting a 36% chance of victory.

The Heat face a daunting task as they travel cross-country, crossing two time zones to play in Phoenix. This lengthy road trip could pose a challenge for Miami, potentially impacting their performance on the court. The Heat, however, have shown resilience, winning three of their last five games. Their most recent outing was a nail-biting 111-110 loss to the Sacramento Kings, indicating their ability to compete in tight contests.

On the other hand, the Suns have been on a roll, exemplified by their recent 118-116 triumph over the Philadelphia 76ers. Phoenix has showcased their prowess at home, adding to their status as favorites in this encounter. Their current form positions them well to continue their winning streak.

The Heat will need to overcome the travel fatigue and find a way to disrupt the Suns' rhythm if they are to secure a victory. Look for Miami to lean on their recent positive performances while Phoenix will aim to maintain their hot streak and prove why they're favored on their home court. This matchup promises to be an exciting clash of strategy and endurance, with both teams eager to assert their standing early in the season.

Miami Heat vs Phoenix Suns Prediction

Final Score: Miami Heat 108.99 vs Phoenix Suns 110.24

For more on today's game check out the comprehensive statistics, betting odds, and trends below. Be sure to check out all our free NBA picks here.

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Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

+5.0/-102
33% MIA
-5.0/-118
67% PHO

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+168
10% MIA
-201
90% PHO

Total Pick Consensus

222.5/-108
8% UN
222.5/-112
92% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

MIA
Team Stats Per Game
PHO
13
Games
16
39.3
FG
42.1
88.6
FGA
88.9
.444
FG%
.473
15.0
3Pt-FG
13.6
39.2
3Pt-FGA
35.9
.382
3Pt%
.377
24.3
2Pt-FG
28.5
49.4
2Pt-FGA
52.9
.492
2Pt%
.538
17.3
FT
16.8
22.2
FTA
20.8
.779
FT%
.810
10.5
ORB
10.4
32.4
DRB
33.9
42.8
TRB
44.3
25.2
AST
26.4
9.9
STL
7.8
3.8
BLK
4.6
12.8
TOV
13.0
16.7
PF
20.3
110.9
PTS
114.5

Defense/Offense

MIA
Team Stats Per Game
PHO
13
Games
16
40.8
FG
39.4
87.3
FGA
86.1
.467
FG%
.458
13.8
3Pt-FG
14.9
38.0
3Pt-FGA
40.8
.362
3Pt%
.366
27.0
2Pt-FG
24.5
49.3
2Pt-FGA
45.3
.548
2Pt%
.541
14.8
FT
18.3
18.2
FTA
23.8
.810
FT%
.768
11.2
ORB
10.2
34.7
DRB
33.4
45.8
TRB
43.6
26.2
AST
26.2
7.4
STL
7.6
5.4
BLK
4.9
15.9
TOV
13.9
18.8
PF
18.2
110.1
PTS
112.1

Offense/Defense

MIA
Four Factors
PHO
.528
eFG%
.550
11.5
TOV%
11.7
23.2
RB%
76.2
.195
FT/FGA
.189

Defense/Offense

MIA
Four Factors
PHO
.546
eFG%
.545
14.3
TOV%
12.6
74.4
RB%
23.1
.169
FT/FGA
.212

Offense/Defense

MIA
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
PHO
13
Games
16
40.1
FG
42.9
90.5
FGA
90.6
.444
FG%
.473
15.3
3Pt-FG
13.8
40.1
3Pt-FGA
36.6
.382
3Pt%
.377
24.8
2Pt-FG
29.1
50.4
2Pt-FGA
54.0
.492
2Pt%
.538
17.7
FT
17.1
22.7
FTA
21.2
.779
FT%
.810
10.7
ORB
10.6
33.1
DRB
34.5
43.7
TRB
45.2
25.8
AST
26.9
10.1
STL
8.0
3.8
BLK
4.7
13.1
TOV
13.3
17.0
PF
20.6
113.2
PTS
116.7

Defense/Offense

MIA
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
PHO
13
Games
16
41.6
FG
40.2
89.1
FGA
87.7
.467
FG%
.458
14.1
3Pt-FG
15.2
38.8
3Pt-FGA
41.6
.362
3Pt%
.366
27.6
2Pt-FG
25.0
50.3
2Pt-FGA
46.1
.548
2Pt%
.541
15.1
FT
18.6
18.6
FTA
24.2
.810
FT%
.768
11.4
ORB
10.4
35.4
DRB
34.0
46.8
TRB
44.4
26.8
AST
26.7
7.5
STL
7.7
5.5
BLK
5.0
16.3
TOV
14.2
19.2
PF
18.5
112.4
PTS
114.2

MIA
Analytics
PHO
7
Pythag Wins
7
6
Pythag Losses
9
0.85
Margin Of Victory
-2.44
113.2
O Rtg
114.2
112.4
D Rtg
116.7
97.2
Pace
96.8
.251
FTr
.276
.443
3PAr
.474
.564
TS%
.581

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
MIA PHO
MIA PHO
Consensus
+5.0 (-113)
-5.0 (-110)
+5.5 (-113)
-5.5 (-109)
+5.0 (-102)
-5.0 (-110)
+5.0 (-102)
-5.0 (-118)
+5.5 (-112)
-5.5 (-110)
+5.5 (-112)
-5.5 (-108)
+5.5 (-112)
-5.5 (-109)
+5.5 (-112)
-5.5 (-109)
+5.5 (-110)
-5.5 (-110)
+5.5 (-110)
-5.5 (-110)
+5.5 (-115)
-5.5 (-110)
+5.5 (-115)
-5.5 (-105)
Open
Current
Book
MIA PHO
MIA PHO
Consensus
+169
-202
+168
-201
+170
-205
+164
-205
+190
-230
+168
-200
+175
-210
+170
-205
+185
-225
+185
-225
+185
-225
+165
-200
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
221.5 (-110)
221.5 (-110)
222.5 (-110)
222.5 (-110)
221.5 (-110)
221.5 (-110)
222.5 (-112)
222.5 (-108)
222.5 (-108)
222.5 (-112)
222.5 (-108)
222.5 (-112)
222.5 (-112)
222.5 (-109)
222.5 (-110)
222.5 (-110)
222.0 (-110)
222.0 (-110)
222.0 (-110)
222.0 (-110)
221.5 (-115)
221.5 (-105)
222.5 (-110)
222.5 (-110)