Miami Heat

Miami Heat

Nov 10, 2024

Minnesota Timberwolves

Minnesota Timberwolves
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Miami Heat vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction, Odds & Picks – 11/10/2024

  • Date: November 10, 2024
  • Venue: Target Center


Betting Odds

Spread:Miami Heat 8 (-110), Minnesota Timberwolves -8 (-110)
Over/Under:218
Moneyline:Miami Heat 245, Minnesota Timberwolves -290


Miami Heat vs Minnesota Timberwolves Win Probabilities

Implied Win %:Projected Win %:
Miami Heat - 28%Miami Heat - 40%
Minnesota Timberwolves - 72%Minnesota Timberwolves - 60%

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Miami Heat vs Minnesota Timberwolves Betting Preview

The Miami Heat, currently at 3-5, will face off against the 6-3 Minnesota Timberwolves in a Sunday night showdown at the Target Center. Scheduled to tip off at 7:00 PM ET, this matchup sees the Heat traveling cross-country, a factor that could weigh heavily against them given the rigors of such a journey.

The Timberwolves enter this contest as clear favorites, bolstered by a three-game winning streak that includes a resounding 127-102 victory over the Portland Trail Blazers. Meanwhile, the Heat are on the opposite end of the spectrum, having lost their last three games, including a 135-122 defeat to the Denver Nuggets. This stark contrast in recent form is reflected in the betting lines, with Minnesota favored by 8 points and a moneyline of -290. Miami, on the other hand, carries a +245 moneyline, translating to an implied win probability of just 28%.

For those looking to explore player prop markets, Tyler Herro's performance in terms of points and assists has garnered significant attention. The current line for Herro's combined points and assists is set at 27.5, with many sharp bettors eyeing the Under as a potential value play at -110.

While the Timberwolves' home-court advantage and recent momentum make them the logical choice, the Heat's potential to upset should not be entirely dismissed. However, the odds and recent performances suggest that Miami will have an uphill battle to secure a win at the Target Center. As the Timberwolves aim to extend their winning streak, all eyes will be on whether the Heat can defy the odds and turn their fortunes around in this intriguing matchup.


Miami Heat vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction

Final Score: Miami Heat 107.4 vs Minnesota Timberwolves 110.93

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Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

+7.5/-112
30% MIA
-7.5/-108
70% MIN

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+229
9% MIA
-280
91% MIN

Total Pick Consensus

219.0/-108
7% UN
219.0/-112
93% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

MIA
Team Stats Per Game
MIN
32
Games
33
39.5
FG
40.1
86.3
FGA
87.2
.458
FG%
.459
14.3
3Pt-FG
12.6
37.9
3Pt-FGA
36.5
.376
3Pt%
.346
25.3
2Pt-FG
27.5
48.3
2Pt-FGA
50.8
.522
2Pt%
.541
18.2
FT
15.0
23.1
FTA
19.1
.787
FT%
.785
9.6
ORB
10.6
33.7
DRB
32.2
43.2
TRB
42.8
25.9
AST
24.4
8.8
STL
9.4
3.5
BLK
4.7
13.6
TOV
15.3
16.6
PF
18.5
111.4
PTS
107.7

Defense/Offense

MIA
Team Stats Per Game
MIN
32
Games
33
40.5
FG
39.3
87.6
FGA
85.6
.463
FG%
.460
13.4
3Pt-FG
15.1
37.3
3Pt-FGA
40.0
.360
3Pt%
.377
27.1
2Pt-FG
24.2
50.3
2Pt-FGA
45.6
.539
2Pt%
.532
14.8
FT
15.6
18.5
FTA
19.8
.801
FT%
.790
11.0
ORB
9.9
33.8
DRB
33.2
44.8
TRB
43.1
26.6
AST
25.0
7.1
STL
8.2
5.1
BLK
4.7
15.0
TOV
15.9
18.8
PF
18.0
109.3
PTS
109.4

Offense/Defense

MIA
Four Factors
MIN
.540
eFG%
.532
12.3
TOV%
13.8
22.0
RB%
75.7
.210
FT/FGA
.172

Defense/Offense

MIA
Four Factors
MIN
.539
eFG%
.548
13.5
TOV%
14.4
75.3
RB%
23.6
.169
FT/FGA
.182

Offense/Defense

MIA
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
MIN
32
Games
33
40.4
FG
41.0
88.2
FGA
89.2
.458
FG%
.459
14.6
3Pt-FG
12.9
38.8
3Pt-FGA
37.3
.376
3Pt%
.346
25.8
2Pt-FG
28.1
49.4
2Pt-FGA
51.9
.522
2Pt%
.541
18.6
FT
15.3
23.6
FTA
19.5
.787
FT%
.785
9.8
ORB
10.9
34.4
DRB
32.9
44.2
TRB
43.8
26.5
AST
24.9
9.0
STL
9.6
3.6
BLK
4.8
13.9
TOV
15.6
16.9
PF
18.9
113.9
PTS
110.1

Defense/Offense

MIA
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
MIN
32
Games
33
41.5
FG
40.2
89.6
FGA
87.5
.463
FG%
.460
13.7
3Pt-FG
15.4
38.1
3Pt-FGA
40.9
.360
3Pt%
.377
27.7
2Pt-FG
24.8
51.5
2Pt-FGA
46.6
.539
2Pt%
.532
15.1
FT
16.0
18.9
FTA
20.2
.801
FT%
.790
11.3
ORB
10.2
34.6
DRB
33.9
45.9
TRB
44.1
27.2
AST
25.5
7.3
STL
8.4
5.2
BLK
4.8
15.3
TOV
16.2
19.2
PF
18.4
111.8
PTS
111.8

MIA
Analytics
MIN
18
Pythag Wins
18
14
Pythag Losses
15
2.13
Margin Of Victory
1.67
113.9
O Rtg
111.8
111.8
D Rtg
110.1
96.8
Pace
97.2
.267
FTr
.231
.440
3PAr
.467
.578
TS%
.580

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
MIA MIN
MIA MIN
Consensus
+8.0 (-107)
-8.0 (-110)
+7.0 (-107)
-7.0 (-114)
+8.0 (-112)
-8.0 (-110)
+7.5 (-112)
-7.5 (-108)
+7.5 (-114)
-7.5 (-112)
+8.0 (-114)
-8.0 (-106)
+7.5 (-107)
-7.5 (-112)
+7.0 (-107)
-7.0 (-113)
+7.5 (-110)
-7.5 (-110)
+7.5 (-110)
-7.5 (-110)
+7.5 (-110)
-7.5 (-115)
+7.5 (-110)
-7.5 (-110)
Open
Current
Book
MIA MIN
MIA MIN
Consensus
+277
-360
+229
-280
+275
-345
+230
-285
+260
-320
+230
-280
+250
-315
+225
-278
+278
-355
+240
-305
+280
-350
+230
-300
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
216.5 (-110)
216.5 (-110)
219.0 (-110)
219.0 (-112)
216.5 (-110)
216.5 (-110)
218.5 (-112)
218.5 (-108)
218.0 (-110)
218.0 (-110)
219.0 (-108)
219.0 (-112)
217.0 (-108)
217.0 (-113)
219.0 (-109)
219.0 (-112)
217.5 (-110)
217.5 (-110)
219.0 (-110)
219.0 (-110)
217.5 (-110)
217.5 (-110)
218.5 (-115)
218.5 (-105)