Miami Heat

Miami Heat

Nov 10, 2024

Minnesota Timberwolves

Minnesota Timberwolves
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Miami Heat vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction, Odds & Picks – 11/10/2024

  • Date: November 10, 2024
  • Venue: Target Center


Betting Odds

Spread:Miami Heat 8 (-110), Minnesota Timberwolves -8 (-110)
Over/Under:218
Moneyline:Miami Heat 245, Minnesota Timberwolves -290


Miami Heat vs Minnesota Timberwolves Win Probabilities

Implied Win %:Projected Win %:
Miami Heat - 28%Miami Heat - 40%
Minnesota Timberwolves - 72%Minnesota Timberwolves - 60%

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Miami Heat vs Minnesota Timberwolves Betting Preview

The Miami Heat, currently at 3-5, will face off against the 6-3 Minnesota Timberwolves in a Sunday night showdown at the Target Center. Scheduled to tip off at 7:00 PM ET, this matchup sees the Heat traveling cross-country, a factor that could weigh heavily against them given the rigors of such a journey.

The Timberwolves enter this contest as clear favorites, bolstered by a three-game winning streak that includes a resounding 127-102 victory over the Portland Trail Blazers. Meanwhile, the Heat are on the opposite end of the spectrum, having lost their last three games, including a 135-122 defeat to the Denver Nuggets. This stark contrast in recent form is reflected in the betting lines, with Minnesota favored by 8 points and a moneyline of -290. Miami, on the other hand, carries a +245 moneyline, translating to an implied win probability of just 28%.

For those looking to explore player prop markets, Tyler Herro's performance in terms of points and assists has garnered significant attention. The current line for Herro's combined points and assists is set at 27.5, with many sharp bettors eyeing the Under as a potential value play at -110.

While the Timberwolves' home-court advantage and recent momentum make them the logical choice, the Heat's potential to upset should not be entirely dismissed. However, the odds and recent performances suggest that Miami will have an uphill battle to secure a win at the Target Center. As the Timberwolves aim to extend their winning streak, all eyes will be on whether the Heat can defy the odds and turn their fortunes around in this intriguing matchup.


Miami Heat vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction

Final Score: Miami Heat 107.4 vs Minnesota Timberwolves 110.93

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Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

+7.5/-112
30% MIA
-7.5/-108
70% MIN

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+229
9% MIA
-280
91% MIN

Total Pick Consensus

219.0/-108
7% UN
219.0/-112
93% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

MIA
Team Stats Per Game
MIN
9
Games
10
38.6
FG
40.5
87.4
FGA
87.9
.441
FG%
.461
14.6
3Pt-FG
10.8
37.3
3Pt-FGA
33.5
.390
3Pt%
.322
24.0
2Pt-FG
29.7
50.1
2Pt-FGA
54.4
.479
2Pt%
.546
17.3
FT
16.6
23.3
FTA
21.4
.743
FT%
.776
10.7
ORB
10.4
32.3
DRB
30.6
43.0
TRB
41.0
25.4
AST
23.9
9.4
STL
9.6
4.7
BLK
4.4
13.2
TOV
14.1
17.4
PF
19.6
109.0
PTS
108.4

Defense/Offense

MIA
Team Stats Per Game
MIN
9
Games
10
40.4
FG
40.8
87.6
FGA
85.3
.462
FG%
.478
14.3
3Pt-FG
16.4
39.2
3Pt-FGA
41.7
.365
3Pt%
.393
26.1
2Pt-FG
24.4
48.3
2Pt-FGA
43.6
.540
2Pt%
.560
14.7
FT
15.8
18.4
FTA
20.4
.795
FT%
.775
12.2
ORB
9.7
33.8
DRB
32.6
46.0
TRB
42.3
25.1
AST
26.4
7.6
STL
7.2
5.9
BLK
4.8
15.8
TOV
16.5
19.7
PF
19.7
109.9
PTS
113.8

Offense/Defense

MIA
Four Factors
MIN
.524
eFG%
.522
11.9
TOV%
12.7
24.0
RB%
75.8
.198
FT/FGA
.189

Defense/Offense

MIA
Four Factors
MIN
.544
eFG%
.574
14.2
TOV%
14.9
72.6
RB%
24.1
.168
FT/FGA
.185

Offense/Defense

MIA
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
MIN
9
Games
10
39.7
FG
41.2
90.0
FGA
89.3
.441
FG%
.461
15.0
3Pt-FG
11.0
38.4
3Pt-FGA
34.0
.390
3Pt%
.322
24.7
2Pt-FG
30.2
51.6
2Pt-FGA
55.3
.479
2Pt%
.546
17.8
FT
16.9
24.0
FTA
21.7
.743
FT%
.776
11.0
ORB
10.6
33.3
DRB
31.1
44.3
TRB
41.7
26.2
AST
24.3
9.7
STL
9.8
4.8
BLK
4.5
13.6
TOV
14.3
18.0
PF
19.9
112.2
PTS
110.2

Defense/Offense

MIA
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
MIN
9
Games
10
41.6
FG
41.5
90.1
FGA
86.7
.462
FG%
.478
14.8
3Pt-FG
16.7
40.4
3Pt-FGA
42.4
.365
3Pt%
.393
26.9
2Pt-FG
24.8
49.7
2Pt-FGA
44.3
.540
2Pt%
.560
15.1
FT
16.1
19.0
FTA
20.7
.795
FT%
.775
12.6
ORB
9.9
34.8
DRB
33.1
47.3
TRB
43.0
25.8
AST
26.8
7.8
STL
7.3
6.1
BLK
4.9
16.2
TOV
16.8
20.2
PF
20.0
113.1
PTS
115.7

MIA
Analytics
MIN
4
Pythag Wins
7
5
Pythag Losses
3
-0.89
Margin Of Victory
5.40
112.2
O Rtg
115.7
113.1
D Rtg
110.2
97.2
Pace
98.4
.267
FTr
.239
.427
3PAr
.489
.558
TS%
.604

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
MIA MIN
MIA MIN
Consensus
+8.0 (-107)
-8.0 (-110)
+7.0 (-107)
-7.0 (-114)
+8.0 (-112)
-8.0 (-110)
+7.5 (-112)
-7.5 (-108)
+7.5 (-114)
-7.5 (-112)
+8.0 (-114)
-8.0 (-106)
+7.5 (-107)
-7.5 (-112)
+7.0 (-107)
-7.0 (-113)
+7.5 (-110)
-7.5 (-110)
+7.5 (-110)
-7.5 (-110)
+7.5 (-110)
-7.5 (-115)
+7.5 (-110)
-7.5 (-110)
Open
Current
Book
MIA MIN
MIA MIN
Consensus
+277
-360
+229
-280
+275
-345
+230
-285
+260
-320
+230
-280
+250
-315
+225
-278
+278
-355
+240
-305
+280
-350
+230
-300
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
216.5 (-110)
216.5 (-110)
219.0 (-110)
219.0 (-112)
216.5 (-110)
216.5 (-110)
218.5 (-112)
218.5 (-108)
218.0 (-110)
218.0 (-110)
219.0 (-108)
219.0 (-112)
217.0 (-108)
217.0 (-113)
219.0 (-109)
219.0 (-112)
217.5 (-110)
217.5 (-110)
219.0 (-110)
219.0 (-110)
217.5 (-110)
217.5 (-110)
218.5 (-115)
218.5 (-105)