Miami Heat

Miami Heat

Nov 10, 2024

Minnesota Timberwolves

Minnesota Timberwolves
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Miami Heat vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction, Odds & Picks – 11/10/2024

  • Date: November 10, 2024
  • Venue: Target Center


Betting Odds

Spread:Miami Heat 8 (-110), Minnesota Timberwolves -8 (-110)
Over/Under:218
Moneyline:Miami Heat 245, Minnesota Timberwolves -290


Miami Heat vs Minnesota Timberwolves Win Probabilities

Implied Win %:Projected Win %:
Miami Heat - 28%Miami Heat - 40%
Minnesota Timberwolves - 72%Minnesota Timberwolves - 60%

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Miami Heat vs Minnesota Timberwolves Betting Preview

The Miami Heat, currently at 3-5, will face off against the 6-3 Minnesota Timberwolves in a Sunday night showdown at the Target Center. Scheduled to tip off at 7:00 PM ET, this matchup sees the Heat traveling cross-country, a factor that could weigh heavily against them given the rigors of such a journey.

The Timberwolves enter this contest as clear favorites, bolstered by a three-game winning streak that includes a resounding 127-102 victory over the Portland Trail Blazers. Meanwhile, the Heat are on the opposite end of the spectrum, having lost their last three games, including a 135-122 defeat to the Denver Nuggets. This stark contrast in recent form is reflected in the betting lines, with Minnesota favored by 8 points and a moneyline of -290. Miami, on the other hand, carries a +245 moneyline, translating to an implied win probability of just 28%.

For those looking to explore player prop markets, Tyler Herro's performance in terms of points and assists has garnered significant attention. The current line for Herro's combined points and assists is set at 27.5, with many sharp bettors eyeing the Under as a potential value play at -110.

While the Timberwolves' home-court advantage and recent momentum make them the logical choice, the Heat's potential to upset should not be entirely dismissed. However, the odds and recent performances suggest that Miami will have an uphill battle to secure a win at the Target Center. As the Timberwolves aim to extend their winning streak, all eyes will be on whether the Heat can defy the odds and turn their fortunes around in this intriguing matchup.


Miami Heat vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction

Final Score: Miami Heat 107.4 vs Minnesota Timberwolves 110.93

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Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

+7.5/-112
30% MIA
-7.5/-108
70% MIN

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+229
9% MIA
-280
91% MIN

Total Pick Consensus

219.0/-108
7% UN
219.0/-112
93% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

MIA
Team Stats Per Game
MIN
66
Games
68
39.6
FG
40.3
86.6
FGA
88.0
.458
FG%
.458
13.8
3Pt-FG
12.5
38.3
3Pt-FGA
35.9
.361
3Pt%
.348
25.8
2Pt-FG
27.8
48.3
2Pt-FGA
52.0
.535
2Pt%
.534
16.5
FT
15.9
20.9
FTA
20.5
.790
FT%
.774
9.5
ORB
11.2
33.9
DRB
32.2
43.4
TRB
43.4
26.3
AST
24.5
7.9
STL
8.7
3.7
BLK
4.7
13.7
TOV
14.6
15.8
PF
19.0
109.6
PTS
109.0

Defense/Offense

MIA
Team Stats Per Game
MIN
66
Games
68
41.2
FG
40.4
88.8
FGA
87.2
.464
FG%
.463
13.8
3Pt-FG
15.2
38.7
3Pt-FGA
39.9
.357
3Pt%
.380
27.4
2Pt-FG
25.2
50.2
2Pt-FGA
47.3
.546
2Pt%
.533
14.3
FT
17.0
18.2
FTA
21.5
.784
FT%
.793
10.7
ORB
10.9
34.3
DRB
33.1
45.0
TRB
44.0
26.7
AST
25.8
7.5
STL
8.1
4.7
BLK
4.9
13.6
TOV
14.6
17.3
PF
18.1
110.5
PTS
112.9

Offense/Defense

MIA
Four Factors
MIN
.538
eFG%
.529
12.5
TOV%
13.1
21.7
RB%
74.7
.190
FT/FGA
.181

Defense/Offense

MIA
Four Factors
MIN
.541
eFG%
.550
12.3
TOV%
13.1
76.0
RB%
25.3
.161
FT/FGA
.195

Offense/Defense

MIA
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
MIN
66
Games
68
40.6
FG
41.2
88.7
FGA
90.0
.458
FG%
.458
14.2
3Pt-FG
12.8
39.2
3Pt-FGA
36.7
.361
3Pt%
.348
26.5
2Pt-FG
28.4
49.5
2Pt-FGA
53.2
.535
2Pt%
.534
16.9
FT
16.2
21.4
FTA
21.0
.790
FT%
.774
9.7
ORB
11.4
34.8
DRB
32.9
44.5
TRB
44.4
26.9
AST
25.0
8.1
STL
8.9
3.8
BLK
4.8
14.0
TOV
15.0
16.2
PF
19.4
112.3
PTS
111.5

Defense/Offense

MIA
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
MIN
66
Games
68
42.2
FG
41.3
91.1
FGA
89.1
.464
FG%
.463
14.1
3Pt-FG
15.5
39.6
3Pt-FGA
40.8
.357
3Pt%
.380
28.1
2Pt-FG
25.8
51.4
2Pt-FGA
48.4
.546
2Pt%
.533
14.6
FT
17.4
18.7
FTA
22.0
.784
FT%
.793
11.0
ORB
11.1
35.2
DRB
33.8
46.2
TRB
44.9
27.4
AST
26.4
7.6
STL
8.2
4.8
BLK
5.0
13.9
TOV
14.9
17.7
PF
18.5
113.2
PTS
115.5

MIA
Analytics
MIN
31
Pythag Wins
42
35
Pythag Losses
26
-0.89
Margin Of Victory
3.88
112.3
O Rtg
115.5
113.2
D Rtg
111.5
96.2
Pace
97.4
.241
FTr
.246
.442
3PAr
.457
.572
TS%
.584

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
MIA MIN
MIA MIN
Consensus
+8.0 (-107)
-8.0 (-110)
+7.0 (-107)
-7.0 (-114)
+8.0 (-112)
-8.0 (-110)
+7.5 (-112)
-7.5 (-108)
+7.5 (-114)
-7.5 (-112)
+8.0 (-114)
-8.0 (-106)
+7.5 (-107)
-7.5 (-112)
+7.0 (-107)
-7.0 (-113)
+7.5 (-110)
-7.5 (-110)
+7.5 (-110)
-7.5 (-110)
+7.5 (-110)
-7.5 (-115)
+7.5 (-110)
-7.5 (-110)
Open
Current
Book
MIA MIN
MIA MIN
Consensus
+277
-360
+229
-280
+275
-345
+230
-285
+260
-320
+230
-280
+250
-315
+225
-278
+278
-355
+240
-305
+280
-350
+230
-300
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
216.5 (-110)
216.5 (-110)
219.0 (-110)
219.0 (-112)
216.5 (-110)
216.5 (-110)
218.5 (-112)
218.5 (-108)
218.0 (-110)
218.0 (-110)
219.0 (-108)
219.0 (-112)
217.0 (-108)
217.0 (-113)
219.0 (-109)
219.0 (-112)
217.5 (-110)
217.5 (-110)
219.0 (-110)
219.0 (-110)
217.5 (-110)
217.5 (-110)
218.5 (-115)
218.5 (-105)

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