Miami Heat

Miami Heat

Nov 15, 2024

Indiana Pacers

Indiana Pacers
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Miami Heat vs Indiana Pacers Prediction, Odds & Picks – 11/15/2024

  • Date: November 15, 2024
  • Venue: Gainbridge Fieldhouse

Betting Odds

Spread: Miami Heat 4 (-110), Indiana Pacers -4 (-110)
Over/Under: 228.5
Moneyline: Miami Heat 150, Indiana Pacers -175

Miami Heat vs Indiana Pacers Win Probabilities

Implied Win %: Projected Win %:
Miami Heat - 39% Miami Heat - 45%
Indiana Pacers - 61% Indiana Pacers - 55%

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Miami Heat vs Indiana Pacers Betting Preview

On Friday night, the Miami Heat will face off against the Indiana Pacers at Gainbridge Fieldhouse, with tip-off set for 7:00 PM ET. The Pacers, holding a 5-6 record, are favored by 4 points. Given their recent home success and a three-game winning streak at Gainbridge, the Pacers are positioned to build on their momentum. The moneyline currently lists the Pacers at -175, translating to a 61% implied probability of winning.

Miami, on the other hand, enters the matchup with a 4-6 record, having lost four of their last five games, including a narrow 123-121 defeat to the Detroit Pistons. Despite this rough patch, the Heat benefit from having had three days off since their last game, allowing players extra rest which could be advantageous as they look to rebound.

One angle that bettors have been eyeing in this matchup is the player prop for Tyler Herro. His points total is set at 25.5, with the Over at -110, making it a popular market for those looking to back the young scorer. With Herro being a focal point for the Heat's offense, sharp money seems to be leaning towards the Over, suggesting potential value in that line.

Indiana, despite coming off a 94-90 loss to the Orlando Magic, maintains a strong home court presence and looks to capitalize on the Heat's recent struggles. Meanwhile, Miami will aim to leverage the additional rest in hopes of breaking their slump and securing a much-needed victory on the road.

This game promises to be a competitive clash, with each team eager to improve their early season standings. As always, bettors should weigh recent performances, rest periods, and home court advantages when making their wagers.

Miami Heat vs Indiana Pacers Prediction

Final Score: Miami Heat 115.56 vs Indiana Pacers 117.23

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Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

+4.5/-108
39% MIA
-4.5/-112
61% IND

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+152
15% MIA
-181
84% IND

Total Pick Consensus

228.5/-112
28% UN
228.5/-108
72% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

MIA
Team Stats Per Game
IND
39
Games
42
39.4
FG
41.8
86.5
FGA
88.7
.455
FG%
.472
14.3
3Pt-FG
13.1
38.8
3Pt-FGA
37.0
.369
3Pt%
.354
25.1
2Pt-FG
28.8
47.7
2Pt-FGA
51.7
.526
2Pt%
.556
17.6
FT
18.1
22.5
FTA
23.2
.784
FT%
.780
9.4
ORB
11.0
34.1
DRB
33.3
43.4
TRB
44.3
26.0
AST
25.9
8.8
STL
7.5
3.8
BLK
4.6
13.7
TOV
14.4
15.9
PF
18.6
110.7
PTS
114.9

Defense/Offense

MIA
Team Stats Per Game
IND
39
Games
42
40.9
FG
43.1
89.0
FGA
88.1
.460
FG%
.489
13.5
3Pt-FG
12.6
37.9
3Pt-FGA
33.7
.355
3Pt%
.374
27.4
2Pt-FG
30.5
51.1
2Pt-FGA
54.4
.537
2Pt%
.560
14.2
FT
16.4
17.9
FTA
21.2
.794
FT%
.773
11.2
ORB
8.8
34.6
DRB
32.9
45.8
TRB
41.6
26.8
AST
28.3
7.5
STL
8.3
5.3
BLK
5.2
14.7
TOV
13.8
18.3
PF
19.3
109.5
PTS
115.2

Offense/Defense

MIA
Four Factors
IND
.538
eFG%
.545
12.4
TOV%
12.7
21.3
RB%
74.9
.204
FT/FGA
.204

Defense/Offense

MIA
Four Factors
IND
.535
eFG%
.560
13.2
TOV%
12.4
75.2
RB%
20.9
.160
FT/FGA
.186

Offense/Defense

MIA
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
IND
39
Games
42
40.1
FG
41.8
88.1
FGA
88.7
.455
FG%
.472
14.6
3Pt-FG
13.1
39.5
3Pt-FGA
37.0
.369
3Pt%
.354
25.5
2Pt-FG
28.7
48.6
2Pt-FGA
51.7
.526
2Pt%
.556
17.9
FT
18.1
22.9
FTA
23.2
.784
FT%
.780
9.5
ORB
11.0
34.7
DRB
33.3
44.2
TRB
44.3
26.5
AST
25.9
8.9
STL
7.5
3.9
BLK
4.6
13.9
TOV
14.4
16.2
PF
18.6
112.7
PTS
114.8

Defense/Offense

MIA
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
IND
39
Games
42
41.6
FG
43.0
90.5
FGA
88.1
.460
FG%
.489
13.7
3Pt-FG
12.6
38.6
3Pt-FGA
33.7
.355
3Pt%
.374
27.9
2Pt-FG
30.4
52.0
2Pt-FGA
54.3
.537
2Pt%
.560
14.5
FT
16.4
18.2
FTA
21.2
.794
FT%
.773
11.4
ORB
8.8
35.2
DRB
32.8
46.6
TRB
41.6
27.3
AST
28.3
7.6
STL
8.3
5.3
BLK
5.2
14.9
TOV
13.8
18.6
PF
19.3
111.4
PTS
115.1

MIA
Analytics
IND
21
Pythag Wins
21
18
Pythag Losses
21
1.26
Margin Of Victory
0.31
112.7
O Rtg
115.1
111.4
D Rtg
114.8
97.0
Pace
99.6
.260
FTr
.241
.448
3PAr
.383
.574
TS%
.591

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
MIA IND
MIA IND
Consensus
+3.5 (-111)
-3.5 (-110)
+4.5 (-111)
-4.5 (-109)
+3.5 (-108)
-3.5 (-110)
+4.5 (-108)
-4.5 (-112)
+3.0 (-112)
-3.0 (-112)
+4.5 (-112)
-4.5 (-108)
+3.5 (-112)
-3.5 (-113)
+4.5 (-112)
-4.5 (-109)
+3.0 (-110)
-3.0 (-110)
+5.0 (-110)
-5.0 (-110)
+2.5 (-110)
-2.5 (-115)
+4.5 (-110)
-4.5 (-110)
Open
Current
Book
MIA IND
MIA IND
Consensus
+135
-155
+152
-181
+140
-166
+154
-185
+134
-158
+158
-188
+135
-162
+150
-180
+122
-145
+158
-190
+125
-150
+155
-190
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
238.5 (-110)
238.5 (-110)
228.5 (-110)
228.5 (-110)
238.5 (-110)
238.5 (-110)
228.5 (-108)
228.5 (-112)
230.5 (-110)
230.5 (-110)
228.5 (-110)
228.5 (-110)
230.0 (-110)
230.0 (-110)
228.0 (-112)
228.0 (-109)
230.5 (-110)
230.5 (-110)
227.5 (-105)
227.5 (-115)
230.5 (-110)
230.5 (-110)
228.5 (-115)
228.5 (-105)