Miami Heat

Miami Heat

Nov 15, 2024

Indiana Pacers

Indiana Pacers
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Miami Heat vs Indiana Pacers Prediction, Odds & Picks – 11/15/2024

  • Date: November 15, 2024
  • Venue: Gainbridge Fieldhouse

Betting Odds

Spread: Miami Heat 4 (-110), Indiana Pacers -4 (-110)
Over/Under: 228.5
Moneyline: Miami Heat 150, Indiana Pacers -175

Miami Heat vs Indiana Pacers Win Probabilities

Implied Win %: Projected Win %:
Miami Heat - 39% Miami Heat - 45%
Indiana Pacers - 61% Indiana Pacers - 55%

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Miami Heat vs Indiana Pacers Betting Preview

On Friday night, the Miami Heat will face off against the Indiana Pacers at Gainbridge Fieldhouse, with tip-off set for 7:00 PM ET. The Pacers, holding a 5-6 record, are favored by 4 points. Given their recent home success and a three-game winning streak at Gainbridge, the Pacers are positioned to build on their momentum. The moneyline currently lists the Pacers at -175, translating to a 61% implied probability of winning.

Miami, on the other hand, enters the matchup with a 4-6 record, having lost four of their last five games, including a narrow 123-121 defeat to the Detroit Pistons. Despite this rough patch, the Heat benefit from having had three days off since their last game, allowing players extra rest which could be advantageous as they look to rebound.

One angle that bettors have been eyeing in this matchup is the player prop for Tyler Herro. His points total is set at 25.5, with the Over at -110, making it a popular market for those looking to back the young scorer. With Herro being a focal point for the Heat's offense, sharp money seems to be leaning towards the Over, suggesting potential value in that line.

Indiana, despite coming off a 94-90 loss to the Orlando Magic, maintains a strong home court presence and looks to capitalize on the Heat's recent struggles. Meanwhile, Miami will aim to leverage the additional rest in hopes of breaking their slump and securing a much-needed victory on the road.

This game promises to be a competitive clash, with each team eager to improve their early season standings. As always, bettors should weigh recent performances, rest periods, and home court advantages when making their wagers.

Miami Heat vs Indiana Pacers Prediction

Final Score: Miami Heat 115.56 vs Indiana Pacers 117.23

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Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

+4.5/-108
39% MIA
-4.5/-112
61% IND

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+152
15% MIA
-181
84% IND

Total Pick Consensus

228.5/-112
28% UN
228.5/-108
72% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

MIA
Team Stats Per Game
IND
24
Games
27
40.0
FG
42.5
88.4
FGA
88.5
.453
FG%
.480
14.8
3Pt-FG
13.4
39.0
3Pt-FGA
36.4
.379
3Pt%
.368
25.3
2Pt-FG
29.1
49.4
2Pt-FGA
52.1
.511
2Pt%
.559
17.9
FT
18.8
22.9
FTA
24.4
.782
FT%
.772
10.3
ORB
11.0
33.6
DRB
32.7
43.9
TRB
43.7
26.4
AST
25.9
9.1
STL
8.3
3.5
BLK
4.5
12.9
TOV
15.3
16.3
PF
18.9
112.8
PTS
117.3

Defense/Offense

MIA
Team Stats Per Game
IND
24
Games
27
40.6
FG
42.6
87.9
FGA
87.1
.462
FG%
.489
13.8
3Pt-FG
12.6
37.8
3Pt-FGA
33.6
.366
3Pt%
.375
26.8
2Pt-FG
30.0
50.1
2Pt-FGA
53.5
.535
2Pt%
.560
14.6
FT
16.7
18.2
FTA
21.2
.803
FT%
.790
11.0
ORB
8.4
34.5
DRB
31.5
45.5
TRB
39.9
27.0
AST
27.6
7.0
STL
8.5
5.2
BLK
5.3
15.4
TOV
15.0
19.2
PF
20.1
109.7
PTS
114.4

Offense/Defense

MIA
Four Factors
IND
.537
eFG%
.556
11.6
TOV%
13.3
23.0
RB%
74.1
.203
FT/FGA
.213

Defense/Offense

MIA
Four Factors
IND
.541
eFG%
.561
13.8
TOV%
13.4
75.3
RB%
20.4
.166
FT/FGA
.192

Offense/Defense

MIA
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
IND
24
Games
27
40.7
FG
42.2
89.9
FGA
87.8
.453
FG%
.480
15.0
3Pt-FG
13.3
39.7
3Pt-FGA
36.2
.379
3Pt%
.368
25.7
2Pt-FG
28.9
50.2
2Pt-FGA
51.7
.511
2Pt%
.559
18.2
FT
18.7
23.3
FTA
24.2
.782
FT%
.772
10.5
ORB
10.9
34.2
DRB
32.5
44.7
TRB
43.4
26.8
AST
25.7
9.2
STL
8.2
3.6
BLK
4.4
13.1
TOV
15.1
16.5
PF
18.8
114.7
PTS
116.3

Defense/Offense

MIA
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
IND
24
Games
27
41.3
FG
42.2
89.4
FGA
86.4
.462
FG%
.489
14.1
3Pt-FG
12.5
38.5
3Pt-FGA
33.3
.366
3Pt%
.375
27.2
2Pt-FG
29.7
50.9
2Pt-FGA
53.1
.535
2Pt%
.560
14.9
FT
16.6
18.5
FTA
21.0
.803
FT%
.790
11.2
ORB
8.3
35.1
DRB
31.2
46.3
TRB
39.6
27.5
AST
27.4
7.1
STL
8.4
5.3
BLK
5.2
15.6
TOV
14.8
19.5
PF
20.0
111.6
PTS
113.5

MIA
Analytics
IND
14
Pythag Wins
11
10
Pythag Losses
16
3.08
Margin Of Victory
-2.81
114.7
O Rtg
113.5
111.6
D Rtg
116.3
97.1
Pace
100.0
.259
FTr
.243
.442
3PAr
.386
.573
TS%
.593

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
MIA IND
MIA IND
Consensus
+3.5 (-111)
-3.5 (-110)
+4.5 (-111)
-4.5 (-109)
+3.5 (-108)
-3.5 (-110)
+4.5 (-108)
-4.5 (-112)
+3.0 (-112)
-3.0 (-112)
+4.5 (-112)
-4.5 (-108)
+3.5 (-112)
-3.5 (-113)
+4.5 (-112)
-4.5 (-109)
+3.0 (-110)
-3.0 (-110)
+5.0 (-110)
-5.0 (-110)
+2.5 (-110)
-2.5 (-115)
+4.5 (-110)
-4.5 (-110)
Open
Current
Book
MIA IND
MIA IND
Consensus
+135
-155
+152
-181
+140
-166
+154
-185
+134
-158
+158
-188
+135
-162
+150
-180
+122
-145
+158
-190
+125
-150
+155
-190
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
238.5 (-110)
238.5 (-110)
228.5 (-110)
228.5 (-110)
238.5 (-110)
238.5 (-110)
228.5 (-108)
228.5 (-112)
230.5 (-110)
230.5 (-110)
228.5 (-110)
228.5 (-110)
230.0 (-110)
230.0 (-110)
228.0 (-112)
228.0 (-109)
230.5 (-110)
230.5 (-110)
227.5 (-105)
227.5 (-115)
230.5 (-110)
230.5 (-110)
228.5 (-115)
228.5 (-105)