Miami Heat

Miami Heat

Nov 8, 2024

Denver Nuggets

Denver Nuggets
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Miami Heat vs Denver Nuggets Prediction, Odds & Picks – 11/8/2024

  • Date: November 8, 2024
  • Venue: Ball Arena

Betting Odds

Spread: Miami Heat 3.5 (-110), Denver Nuggets -3.5 (-110)
Over/Under: 222.5
Moneyline: Miami Heat 135, Denver Nuggets -155

Miami Heat vs Denver Nuggets Win Probabilities

Implied Win %: Projected Win %:
Miami Heat - 41% Miami Heat - 41%
Denver Nuggets - 59% Denver Nuggets - 59%

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Miami Heat vs Denver Nuggets Betting Preview

The Miami Heat, currently sitting at 3-4, face off against the Denver Nuggets, who hold a 5-3 record, in a Friday night showdown at Denver's Ball Arena. The game tips off at 9:00 PM ET, with the Nuggets coming in as slight favorites. Denver is favored by 3.5 points, and their moneyline is set at -155, implying a 59% chance of victory. Conversely, Miami's moneyline is +135, suggesting a 41% chance of pulling off the upset.

The Nuggets have been on a roll, stringing together three consecutive wins, including an impressive 124-122 victory over the Oklahoma City Thunder. This was a surprising triumph, considering Denver was a 7.0-point underdog with only a 29% chance of winning. On the other hand, the Heat have struggled lately, dropping three of their last four games, including a narrow 115-112 loss to the Phoenix Suns.

Travel could be a significant factor in this matchup, as the Heat have journeyed cross-country, crossing two time zones to reach Denver. This extended travel might weigh on Miami, potentially impacting their performance. Meanwhile, the Nuggets, playing at home, have the advantage of familiar surroundings and the momentum of recent success.

For those interested in player prop bets, Christian Braun's point total has been a hot topic. Sharp bettors have been targeting the over, which initially opened at 12.5 points (-130) and has since moved to 13.5 (-110). Braun's performance could be a key factor in the outcome, and bettors are clearly optimistic about his scoring potential.

As both teams take the court, the Nuggets' recent form and home-court advantage make them the favorites, but the Heat will be eager to bounce back and prove their resilience in this intriguing matchup.

Miami Heat vs Denver Nuggets Prediction

Final Score: Miami Heat 113.31 vs Denver Nuggets 116.46

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Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

+3.0/-112
17% MIA
-3.0/-108
83% DEN

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+126
14% MIA
-149
86% DEN

Total Pick Consensus

221.5/-110
18% UN
221.5/-110
82% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

MIA
Team Stats Per Game
DEN
13
Games
13
39.3
FG
43.1
88.6
FGA
93.5
.444
FG%
.461
15.0
3Pt-FG
13.3
39.2
3Pt-FGA
39.0
.382
3Pt%
.341
24.3
2Pt-FG
29.8
49.4
2Pt-FGA
54.5
.492
2Pt%
.546
17.3
FT
15.6
22.2
FTA
20.3
.779
FT%
.769
10.5
ORB
12.1
32.4
DRB
32.8
42.8
TRB
44.9
25.2
AST
29.5
9.9
STL
8.2
3.8
BLK
6.8
12.8
TOV
15.1
16.7
PF
21.9
110.9
PTS
115.1

Defense/Offense

MIA
Team Stats Per Game
DEN
13
Games
13
40.8
FG
42.3
87.3
FGA
90.3
.467
FG%
.468
13.8
3Pt-FG
12.3
38.0
3Pt-FGA
32.4
.362
3Pt%
.380
27.0
2Pt-FG
30.0
49.3
2Pt-FGA
57.9
.548
2Pt%
.518
14.8
FT
19.6
18.2
FTA
25.4
.810
FT%
.773
11.2
ORB
12.1
34.7
DRB
34.1
45.8
TRB
46.2
26.2
AST
29.6
7.4
STL
9.2
5.4
BLK
4.8
15.9
TOV
14.2
18.8
PF
19.1
110.1
PTS
116.5

Offense/Defense

MIA
Four Factors
DEN
.528
eFG%
.532
11.5
TOV%
12.8
23.2
RB%
73.8
.195
FT/FGA
.167

Defense/Offense

MIA
Four Factors
DEN
.546
eFG%
.537
14.3
TOV%
12.3
74.4
RB%
26.9
.169
FT/FGA
.217

Offense/Defense

MIA
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
DEN
13
Games
13
40.1
FG
42.3
90.5
FGA
91.9
.444
FG%
.461
15.3
3Pt-FG
13.1
40.1
3Pt-FGA
38.3
.382
3Pt%
.341
24.8
2Pt-FG
29.3
50.4
2Pt-FGA
53.6
.492
2Pt%
.546
17.7
FT
15.3
22.7
FTA
20.0
.779
FT%
.769
10.7
ORB
11.9
33.1
DRB
32.3
43.7
TRB
44.2
25.8
AST
29.0
10.1
STL
8.1
3.8
BLK
6.7
13.1
TOV
14.8
17.0
PF
21.5
113.2
PTS
113.1

Defense/Offense

MIA
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
DEN
13
Games
13
41.6
FG
41.6
89.1
FGA
88.8
.467
FG%
.468
14.1
3Pt-FG
12.1
38.8
3Pt-FGA
31.8
.362
3Pt%
.380
27.6
2Pt-FG
29.5
50.3
2Pt-FGA
56.9
.548
2Pt%
.518
15.1
FT
19.3
18.6
FTA
24.9
.810
FT%
.773
11.4
ORB
11.9
35.4
DRB
33.5
46.8
TRB
45.4
26.8
AST
29.1
7.5
STL
9.1
5.5
BLK
4.7
16.3
TOV
14.0
19.2
PF
18.7
112.4
PTS
114.5

MIA
Analytics
DEN
7
Pythag Wins
7
6
Pythag Losses
6
0.85
Margin Of Victory
1.46
113.2
O Rtg
114.5
112.4
D Rtg
113.1
97.2
Pace
100.1
.251
FTr
.281
.443
3PAr
.359
.564
TS%
.574

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
MIA DEN
MIA DEN
Consensus
+5.0 (-111)
-5.0 (-110)
+3.0 (-111)
-3.0 (-110)
+5.0 (-112)
-5.0 (-110)
+3.0 (-112)
-3.0 (-108)
+4.0 (-110)
-4.0 (-112)
+3.0 (-110)
-3.0 (-110)
+4.5 (-108)
-4.5 (-109)
+3.0 (-108)
-3.0 (-113)
+4.0 (-115)
-4.0 (-110)
+3.5 (-115)
-3.5 (-105)
+4.5 (-105)
-4.5 (-105)
+2.5 (-105)
-2.5 (-115)
Open
Current
Book
MIA DEN
MIA DEN
Consensus
+175
-210
+126
-149
+180
-218
+124
-148
+160
-190
+128
-152
+150
-182
+125
-150
+158
-190
+140
-165
+150
-185
+125
-150
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
219.0 (-110)
219.0 (-110)
221.5 (-110)
221.5 (-110)
219.0 (-110)
219.0 (-110)
221.5 (-110)
221.5 (-110)
218.5 (-112)
218.5 (-108)
221.5 (-110)
221.5 (-110)
218.5 (-109)
218.5 (-112)
220.5 (-113)
220.5 (-108)
221.5 (-110)
221.5 (-110)
222.5 (-110)
222.5 (-110)
218.5 (-110)
218.5 (-110)
221.5 (-110)
221.5 (-110)