Miami Heat

Miami Heat

Nov 8, 2024

Denver Nuggets

Denver Nuggets
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Miami Heat vs Denver Nuggets Prediction, Odds & Picks – 11/8/2024

  • Date: November 8, 2024
  • Venue: Ball Arena

Betting Odds

Spread: Miami Heat 3.5 (-110), Denver Nuggets -3.5 (-110)
Over/Under: 222.5
Moneyline: Miami Heat 135, Denver Nuggets -155

Miami Heat vs Denver Nuggets Win Probabilities

Implied Win %: Projected Win %:
Miami Heat - 41% Miami Heat - 41%
Denver Nuggets - 59% Denver Nuggets - 59%

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Miami Heat vs Denver Nuggets Betting Preview

The Miami Heat, currently sitting at 3-4, face off against the Denver Nuggets, who hold a 5-3 record, in a Friday night showdown at Denver's Ball Arena. The game tips off at 9:00 PM ET, with the Nuggets coming in as slight favorites. Denver is favored by 3.5 points, and their moneyline is set at -155, implying a 59% chance of victory. Conversely, Miami's moneyline is +135, suggesting a 41% chance of pulling off the upset.

The Nuggets have been on a roll, stringing together three consecutive wins, including an impressive 124-122 victory over the Oklahoma City Thunder. This was a surprising triumph, considering Denver was a 7.0-point underdog with only a 29% chance of winning. On the other hand, the Heat have struggled lately, dropping three of their last four games, including a narrow 115-112 loss to the Phoenix Suns.

Travel could be a significant factor in this matchup, as the Heat have journeyed cross-country, crossing two time zones to reach Denver. This extended travel might weigh on Miami, potentially impacting their performance. Meanwhile, the Nuggets, playing at home, have the advantage of familiar surroundings and the momentum of recent success.

For those interested in player prop bets, Christian Braun's point total has been a hot topic. Sharp bettors have been targeting the over, which initially opened at 12.5 points (-130) and has since moved to 13.5 (-110). Braun's performance could be a key factor in the outcome, and bettors are clearly optimistic about his scoring potential.

As both teams take the court, the Nuggets' recent form and home-court advantage make them the favorites, but the Heat will be eager to bounce back and prove their resilience in this intriguing matchup.

Miami Heat vs Denver Nuggets Prediction

Final Score: Miami Heat 113.31 vs Denver Nuggets 116.46

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Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

+3.0/-105
24% MIA
-3.0/-115
76% DEN

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+130
8% MIA
-155
92% DEN

Total Pick Consensus

223.0/-108
7% UN
223.0/-112
93% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

MIA
Team Stats Per Game
DEN
7
Games
8
38.1
FG
43.4
88.0
FGA
93.9
.433
FG%
.462
14.3
3Pt-FG
13.8
37.4
3Pt-FGA
39.9
.382
3Pt%
.345
23.9
2Pt-FG
29.6
50.6
2Pt-FGA
54.0
.472
2Pt%
.549
18.6
FT
16.8
25.0
FTA
21.4
.743
FT%
.784
11.6
ORB
11.5
32.9
DRB
32.6
44.4
TRB
44.1
25.4
AST
30.6
8.6
STL
8.3
4.6
BLK
7.1
11.7
TOV
15.3
16.9
PF
24.6
109.1
PTS
117.3

Defense/Offense

MIA
Team Stats Per Game
DEN
7
Games
8
39.9
FG
41.9
88.4
FGA
91.6
.451
FG%
.457
14.0
3Pt-FG
12.0
39.0
3Pt-FGA
31.6
.359
3Pt%
.379
25.9
2Pt-FG
29.9
49.4
2Pt-FGA
60.0
.523
2Pt%
.498
14.9
FT
23.3
19.1
FTA
29.8
.776
FT%
.782
12.6
ORB
14.3
34.3
DRB
34.0
46.9
TRB
48.3
23.9
AST
29.4
7.1
STL
9.4
6.1
BLK
5.0
14.9
TOV
14.4
20.6
PF
20.3
108.6
PTS
119.0

Offense/Defense

MIA
Four Factors
DEN
.515
eFG%
.535
10.6
TOV%
12.9
25.2
RB%
74.7
.211
FT/FGA
.178

Defense/Offense

MIA
Four Factors
DEN
.530
eFG%
.523
13.3
TOV%
12.1
72.3
RB%
30.4
.168
FT/FGA
.254

Offense/Defense

MIA
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
DEN
7
Games
8
39.6
FG
42.2
91.3
FGA
91.3
.433
FG%
.462
14.8
3Pt-FG
13.4
38.8
3Pt-FGA
38.8
.382
3Pt%
.345
24.7
2Pt-FG
28.8
52.5
2Pt-FGA
52.5
.472
2Pt%
.549
19.3
FT
16.3
25.9
FTA
20.8
.743
FT%
.784
12.0
ORB
11.2
34.1
DRB
31.7
46.1
TRB
42.9
26.4
AST
29.8
8.9
STL
8.0
4.7
BLK
6.9
12.2
TOV
14.8
17.5
PF
23.9
113.2
PTS
114.0

Defense/Offense

MIA
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
DEN
7
Games
8
41.3
FG
40.7
91.7
FGA
89.1
.451
FG%
.457
14.5
3Pt-FG
11.7
40.5
3Pt-FGA
30.7
.359
3Pt%
.379
26.8
2Pt-FG
29.0
51.3
2Pt-FGA
58.3
.523
2Pt%
.498
15.4
FT
22.6
19.9
FTA
28.9
.776
FT%
.782
13.0
ORB
13.9
35.6
DRB
33.1
48.6
TRB
46.9
24.7
AST
28.6
7.4
STL
9.1
6.4
BLK
4.9
15.4
TOV
14.0
21.3
PF
19.7
112.6
PTS
115.7

MIA
Analytics
DEN
4
Pythag Wins
4
3
Pythag Losses
4
0.57
Margin Of Victory
1.75
113.2
O Rtg
115.7
112.6
D Rtg
114.0
96.4
Pace
100.3
.284
FTr
.325
.425
3PAr
.345
.551
TS%
.568

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
MIA DEN
MIA DEN
Consensus
+5.0 (-113)
-5.0 (-110)
+3.5 (-113)
-3.5 (-107)
+5.0 (-105)
-5.0 (-110)
+3.0 (-105)
-3.0 (-115)
+4.0 (-112)
-4.0 (-112)
+3.5 (-112)
-3.5 (-108)
+4.5 (-113)
-4.5 (-109)
+3.5 (-113)
-3.5 (-108)
+4.0 (-115)
-4.0 (-110)
+3.5 (-115)
-3.5 (-105)
+4.5 (-115)
-4.5 (-105)
+3.5 (-115)
-3.5 (-105)
Open
Current
Book
MIA DEN
MIA DEN
Consensus
+175
-210
+132
-155
+180
-218
+130
-155
+160
-190
+136
-162
+150
-182
+128
-152
+158
-190
+140
-165
+150
-185
+125
-155
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
219.0 (-110)
219.0 (-110)
223.5 (-109)
223.5 (-111)
219.0 (-110)
219.0 (-110)
223.0 (-112)
223.0 (-108)
218.5 (-112)
218.5 (-108)
223.5 (-110)
223.5 (-110)
218.5 (-109)
218.5 (-112)
222.0 (-113)
222.0 (-108)
221.5 (-110)
221.5 (-110)
222.5 (-110)
222.5 (-110)
218.5 (-110)
218.5 (-110)
223.5 (-110)
223.5 (-110)