Miami Heat vs Cleveland Cavaliers Game 1 Prediction – 4/20/2025

On April 20, 2025, the Miami Heat will square off against the Cleveland Cavaliers in Game 1 of their Eastern Conference first round playoff series at 7:00 PM ET. This matchup sees the Heat, with a record of 39-45, face the heavily favored Cavaliers, who boast an impressive 64-18 season mark.

Cleveland's players will benefit from the extra rest, having last played a week ago, which could be a crucial factor as they look to bounce back from a recent loss to the Indiana Pacers, where they fell 126-118. Despite this setback, the Cavaliers have dominated at home, winning 33 of their last 40 games in front of their fans. The current spread reflects their standing as favorites, sitting at Cavaliers -12.5, with a moneyline of -750. Miami, on the other hand, enters the contest with momentum, having secured three straight road victories, including an impressive 123-114 win against the Atlanta Hawks in their last outing.

Joseph's Heat are given an implied win probability of just 15%, while the Cavaliers enjoy a strong 85% chance based on the odds. Bettors might want to keep an eye on Kel'el Ware's Points, Rebounds, and Assists prop, which has quickly become the most popular betting market for this game. The line is set at Over 16.5 Points, Rebounds, and Assists at -130, with sharp money leaning toward the Over, suggesting it may be mispriced.

Overall, this game promises to be a compelling clash, with Miami looking to continue their road success against a Cleveland squad eager to recover and maintain their dominance at home.

Miami Heat vs Cleveland Cavaliers Game 1 Prediction

Predicted Final Score: Miami Heat 111.37, Cleveland Cavaliers 119.88

Miami Heat vs Cleveland Cavaliers Game 1 Win Probabilities

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