Miami Heat

Miami Heat

Mar 5, 2025

Cleveland Cavaliers

Cleveland Cavaliers
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Miami Heat vs Cleveland Cavaliers Pick – 3/5/2025


On March 5, 2025, the Miami Heat will face off against the Cleveland Cavaliers at 7:00 PM ET in Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse. The Cavaliers enter this matchup with an impressive 51-10 record, riding a remarkable 11-game winning streak. However, this game marks a back-to-back scenario for Cleveland, having played just the night before. This quick turnaround could impact their performance, as fatigue may play a role against a Miami squad looking to capitalize on any weaknesses.

Currently, the Cavaliers are significant favorites, carrying a spread of -11.0 and a moneyline of -530, translating to an implied winning probability of 81%. Conversely, the Heat, who sit at 29-31, have struggled on the road recently, losing 18 of their last 30 away games. Their recent victory against the Washington Wizards, where they triumphed 106-90, may provide a much-needed boost of confidence heading into this tough contest.

Betting enthusiasts will note the Heat's moneyline sits at +420, indicating an implied win probability of just 19%. Despite the odds stacked against them, Miami could leverage the Cavaliers' fatigue to make this game competitive.

As the Cavaliers aim to extend their winning streak, the Heat will look to disrupt their momentum. With both teams heading into the game under different circumstances, fans can expect an intriguing matchup filled with potential surprises. Will the Cavaliers maintain their dominance, or can the Heat pull off an upset? Only time will tell as the clock ticks down to tip-off.


Miami Heat vs Cleveland Cavaliers Prediction

Predicted Final Score: Miami Heat 104.21 vs Cleveland Cavaliers 123.51


Miami Heat vs Cleveland Cavaliers Win Probabilities

TeamImplied Win %:Projected Win %:
Heat18%7%
Cavaliers82%93%

For more on today's game check out the comprehensive statistics, betting odds, and trends below. Be sure to check out all our free NBA picks here.

Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

+13.0/-110
28% MIA
-13.0/-110
72% CLE

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+585
6% MIA
-878
94% CLE

Total Pick Consensus

219.5/-112
6% UN
219.5/-108
94% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

MIA
Team Stats Per Game
CLE
82
Games
82
40.5
FG
41.2
87.0
FGA
90.9
.465
FG%
.454
13.7
3Pt-FG
13.5
37.3
3Pt-FGA
37.5
.367
3Pt%
.359
26.8
2Pt-FG
27.8
49.7
2Pt-FGA
53.4
.538
2Pt%
.520
16.0
FT
16.5
20.2
FTA
21.1
.791
FT%
.779
9.7
ORB
11.5
33.7
DRB
32.0
43.4
TRB
43.5
26.4
AST
25.6
8.1
STL
7.8
3.8
BLK
4.4
13.6
TOV
14.5
15.5
PF
18.9
110.6
PTS
112.4

Defense/Offense

MIA
Team Stats Per Game
CLE
82
Games
82
41.3
FG
44.5
88.6
FGA
90.8
.466
FG%
.491
13.6
3Pt-FG
15.9
37.9
3Pt-FGA
41.5
.360
3Pt%
.383
27.6
2Pt-FG
28.6
50.6
2Pt-FGA
49.3
.545
2Pt%
.581
13.9
FT
17.0
17.9
FTA
21.9
.776
FT%
.776
10.7
ORB
11.2
33.9
DRB
34.2
44.7
TRB
45.4
26.5
AST
28.1
7.5
STL
8.2
4.7
BLK
4.3
13.8
TOV
13.2
17.0
PF
18.1
110.0
PTS
121.9

Offense/Defense

MIA
Four Factors
CLE
.544
eFG%
.528
12.4
TOV%
12.6
22.3
RB%
74.8
.183
FT/FGA
.181

Defense/Offense

MIA
Four Factors
CLE
.543
eFG%
.578
12.5
TOV%
11.6
75.8
RB%
25.9
.157
FT/FGA
.187

Offense/Defense

MIA
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
CLE
82
Games
82
41.5
FG
41.2
89.3
FGA
90.7
.465
FG%
.454
14.1
3Pt-FG
13.4
38.3
3Pt-FGA
37.4
.367
3Pt%
.359
27.5
2Pt-FG
27.7
51.0
2Pt-FGA
53.3
.538
2Pt%
.520
16.4
FT
16.4
20.7
FTA
21.1
.791
FT%
.779
10.0
ORB
11.5
34.5
DRB
31.9
44.5
TRB
43.5
27.1
AST
25.6
8.4
STL
7.8
3.9
BLK
4.4
13.9
TOV
14.5
16.0
PF
18.9
113.5
PTS
112.2

Defense/Offense

MIA
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
CLE
82
Games
82
42.3
FG
44.5
90.9
FGA
90.6
.466
FG%
.491
14.0
3Pt-FG
15.9
38.9
3Pt-FGA
41.4
.360
3Pt%
.383
28.3
2Pt-FG
28.6
52.0
2Pt-FGA
49.2
.545
2Pt%
.581
14.3
FT
16.9
18.4
FTA
21.8
.776
FT%
.776
11.0
ORB
11.2
34.8
DRB
34.2
45.8
TRB
45.3
27.2
AST
28.0
7.7
STL
8.2
4.8
BLK
4.3
14.2
TOV
13.2
17.4
PF
18.1
112.9
PTS
121.7

MIA
Analytics
CLE
42
Pythag Wins
62
40
Pythag Losses
20
0.56
Margin Of Victory
9.54
113.5
O Rtg
121.7
112.9
D Rtg
112.2
96.2
Pace
99.8
.232
FTr
.241
.429
3PAr
.457
.576
TS%
.607

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
MIA CLE
MIA CLE
Consensus
+11.0 (-110)
-11.0 (-110)
+13.5 (-110)
-13.5 (-110)
+10.5 (-110)
-10.5 (-110)
+13.0 (-110)
-13.0 (-110)
+11.0 (-108)
-11.0 (-110)
+13.5 (-108)
-13.5 (-112)
+11.0 (-113)
-11.0 (-107)
+13.5 (-113)
-13.5 (-108)
+11.0 (-105)
-11.0 (-110)
+13.5 (-105)
-13.5 (-115)
+10.5 (-110)
-10.5 (-115)
+13.5 (-110)
-13.5 (-110)
Open
Current
Book
MIA CLE
MIA CLE
Consensus
+380
-500
+585
-878
+380
-500
+550
-800
+370
-480
+610
-900
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
225.5 (-110)
225.5 (-110)
219.5 (-113)
219.5 (-108)
226.5 (-110)
226.5 (-110)
220.0 (-108)
220.0 (-112)
225.5 (-110)
225.5 (-110)
220.0 (-106)
220.0 (-114)
226.5 (-113)
226.5 (-108)
219.5 (-113)
219.5 (-108)
227.0 (-110)
227.0 (-110)
220.0 (-105)
220.0 (-115)
227.5 (-105)
227.5 (-115)
219.5 (-115)
219.5 (-105)

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