Miami Heat

Miami Heat

Mar 5, 2025

Cleveland Cavaliers

Cleveland Cavaliers
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Miami Heat vs Cleveland Cavaliers Pick – 3/5/2025


On March 5, 2025, the Miami Heat will face off against the Cleveland Cavaliers at 7:00 PM ET in Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse. The Cavaliers enter this matchup with an impressive 51-10 record, riding a remarkable 11-game winning streak. However, this game marks a back-to-back scenario for Cleveland, having played just the night before. This quick turnaround could impact their performance, as fatigue may play a role against a Miami squad looking to capitalize on any weaknesses.

Currently, the Cavaliers are significant favorites, carrying a spread of -11.0 and a moneyline of -530, translating to an implied winning probability of 81%. Conversely, the Heat, who sit at 29-31, have struggled on the road recently, losing 18 of their last 30 away games. Their recent victory against the Washington Wizards, where they triumphed 106-90, may provide a much-needed boost of confidence heading into this tough contest.

Betting enthusiasts will note the Heat's moneyline sits at +420, indicating an implied win probability of just 19%. Despite the odds stacked against them, Miami could leverage the Cavaliers' fatigue to make this game competitive.

As the Cavaliers aim to extend their winning streak, the Heat will look to disrupt their momentum. With both teams heading into the game under different circumstances, fans can expect an intriguing matchup filled with potential surprises. Will the Cavaliers maintain their dominance, or can the Heat pull off an upset? Only time will tell as the clock ticks down to tip-off.


Miami Heat vs Cleveland Cavaliers Prediction

Predicted Final Score: Miami Heat 104.21 vs Cleveland Cavaliers 123.51


Miami Heat vs Cleveland Cavaliers Win Probabilities

TeamImplied Win %:Projected Win %:
Heat18%7%
Cavaliers82%93%

For more on today's game check out the comprehensive statistics, betting odds, and trends below. Be sure to check out all our free NBA picks here.

Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

+11.5/-110
27% MIA
-11.5/-110
73% CLE

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+440
8% MIA
-600
92% CLE

Total Pick Consensus

222.0/-112
7% UN
222.0/-108
93% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

MIA
Team Stats Per Game
CLE
60
Games
61
39.8
FG
41.1
86.7
FGA
90.6
.458
FG%
.453
13.9
3Pt-FG
13.2
38.5
3Pt-FGA
36.8
.361
3Pt%
.358
25.8
2Pt-FG
27.9
48.2
2Pt-FGA
53.8
.536
2Pt%
.518
16.8
FT
16.4
21.2
FTA
21.1
.794
FT%
.774
9.6
ORB
11.3
34.2
DRB
31.8
43.8
TRB
43.1
26.4
AST
25.4
7.9
STL
7.6
3.8
BLK
4.6
13.8
TOV
14.6
15.8
PF
18.6
110.3
PTS
111.7

Defense/Offense

MIA
Team Stats Per Game
CLE
60
Games
61
41.4
FG
45.0
89.4
FGA
90.7
.463
FG%
.497
13.8
3Pt-FG
16.2
38.4
3Pt-FGA
41.2
.358
3Pt%
.394
27.6
2Pt-FG
28.8
51.0
2Pt-FGA
49.5
.541
2Pt%
.582
14.1
FT
17.0
18.0
FTA
21.5
.782
FT%
.789
11.0
ORB
10.9
34.2
DRB
34.5
45.2
TRB
45.4
26.9
AST
28.8
7.5
STL
8.2
4.8
BLK
4.4
13.6
TOV
13.0
17.6
PF
18.5
110.5
PTS
123.3

Offense/Defense

MIA
Four Factors
CLE
.539
eFG%
.526
12.5
TOV%
12.7
21.9
RB%
75.4
.194
FT/FGA
.181

Defense/Offense

MIA
Four Factors
CLE
.540
eFG%
.586
12.2
TOV%
11.5
75.7
RB%
25.5
.158
FT/FGA
.187

Offense/Defense

MIA
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
CLE
60
Games
61
40.6
FG
41.0
88.7
FGA
90.4
.458
FG%
.453
14.2
3Pt-FG
13.1
39.4
3Pt-FGA
36.7
.361
3Pt%
.358
26.4
2Pt-FG
27.8
49.3
2Pt-FGA
53.7
.536
2Pt%
.518
17.2
FT
16.3
21.7
FTA
21.1
.794
FT%
.774
9.8
ORB
11.2
34.9
DRB
31.7
44.8
TRB
43.0
27.0
AST
25.4
8.0
STL
7.6
3.9
BLK
4.6
14.1
TOV
14.6
16.1
PF
18.6
112.7
PTS
111.4

Defense/Offense

MIA
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
CLE
60
Games
61
42.3
FG
44.9
91.4
FGA
90.5
.463
FG%
.497
14.1
3Pt-FG
16.2
39.3
3Pt-FGA
41.1
.358
3Pt%
.394
28.2
2Pt-FG
28.7
52.1
2Pt-FGA
49.3
.541
2Pt%
.582
14.4
FT
16.9
18.4
FTA
21.5
.782
FT%
.789
11.2
ORB
10.9
35.0
DRB
34.4
46.2
TRB
45.3
27.5
AST
28.7
7.6
STL
8.2
4.9
BLK
4.4
13.9
TOV
13.0
17.9
PF
18.4
113.0
PTS
123.0

MIA
Analytics
CLE
29
Pythag Wins
49
31
Pythag Losses
12
-0.28
Margin Of Victory
11.64
112.7
O Rtg
123.0
113.0
D Rtg
111.4
96.3
Pace
100.1
.245
FTr
.237
.444
3PAr
.455
.574
TS%
.616

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
MIA CLE
MIA CLE
Consensus
+11.0 (-109)
-11.0 (-110)
+11.5 (-109)
-11.5 (-111)
+10.5 (-105)
-10.5 (-110)
+11.5 (-105)
-11.5 (-115)
+11.0 (-112)
-11.0 (-110)
+12.0 (-112)
-12.0 (-108)
+11.0 (-109)
-11.0 (-107)
+11.5 (-109)
-11.5 (-112)
+11.0 (-105)
-11.0 (-110)
+11.5 (-105)
-11.5 (-115)
+10.5 (-105)
-10.5 (-115)
+11.5 (-105)
-11.5 (-115)
Open
Current
Book
MIA CLE
MIA CLE
Consensus
+380
-500
+447
-611
+380
-500
+455
-625
+370
-480
+440
-590
+400
-530
+460
-625
+360
-480
+430
-600
+400
-550
+450
-625
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
225.5 (-110)
225.5 (-110)
222.0 (-109)
222.0 (-112)
226.5 (-110)
226.5 (-110)
222.0 (-108)
222.0 (-112)
225.5 (-110)
225.5 (-110)
222.0 (-110)
222.0 (-110)
226.5 (-113)
226.5 (-108)
222.0 (-108)
222.0 (-113)
227.0 (-110)
227.0 (-110)
222.0 (-105)
222.0 (-115)
227.5 (-105)
227.5 (-115)
222.5 (-105)
222.5 (-115)

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