Miami Heat

Miami Heat

May 1, 2024

Boston Celtics

Boston Celtics
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics Game 5 Prediction, Odds, Picks – 5/1/2024

Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics Betting Pick, Prediction & Preview

  • Date: May 1, 2024
  • Venue: TD Garden
  • Spread: Miami Heat 14 (-110), Boston Celtics -14 (-110)
  • Total (Over/Under): 200
  • Moneyline: Miami Heat 700, Boston Celtics -1000

Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics Win Probabilities

Implied Win %:

  • Miami Heat - 12%
  • Boston Celtics - 88%

Projected Win %:

  • Miami Heat - 9%
  • Boston Celtics - 91%

Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics Betting Preview

In an exciting Wednesday Night matchup, the Miami Heat (48-40) will take on the Boston Celtics (67-19) in Game 5 of their Eastern Conference playoff series at 7:30 PM ET. The game will be held at the TD Garden, the home arena of the Celtics.

The Celtics, who have a 3-1 series lead, enter the game as overwhelming favorites, with a point spread of -14.0. The Moneyline for the Celtics is currently -1000, indicating a high probability of victory. On the other hand, the Heat have a Moneyline of +700, suggesting a lower chance of winning.

Based on the odds, the Heat have an implied win probability of 12%, while the Celtics have an implied win probability of 88%. This reflects the Celtics' dominance throughout the season.

The Celtics have been playing exceptional basketball, winning an impressive 39 out of their last 50 games. They have established themselves as one of the top teams in the league and will look to continue their winning streak in front of their home crowd.

In their previous encounter, the Celtics emerged victorious, defeating the Heat by a score of 102-88. This result may provide additional motivation for the Heat to seek redemption in this rematch.

For those interested in player prop betting, Caleb Martin's Points and Assists have been a popular market. Many bettors believe that the Over offers value, with the current line set at 15.5 Points and Assists (-110).

Overall, this game promises to be an intriguing battle between two talented teams. While the Celtics are favorites, the Heat will look to put up a strong fight and potentially pull off an upset on the road. NBA fans and sports bettors alike will be eagerly watching this matchup unfold.

Pick and Prediction: Miami Heat 94.43 - Boston Celtics 110.37

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Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

+13.5/-110
45% MIA
-13.5/-110
55% BOS

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+653
13% MIA
-1000
87% BOS

Total Pick Consensus

201.5/-110
22% UN
201.5/-110
78% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

MIA
Team Stats Per Game
BOS
74
Games
74
39.9
FG
40.4
86.2
FGA
89.3
.462
FG%
.452
13.7
3Pt-FG
12.9
37.5
3Pt-FGA
36.8
.366
3Pt%
.350
26.2
2Pt-FG
27.5
48.8
2Pt-FGA
52.5
.536
2Pt%
.524
16.1
FT
14.1
20.3
FTA
18.0
.792
FT%
.781
9.4
ORB
10.6
33.4
DRB
33.1
42.9
TRB
43.7
26.3
AST
24.0
8.0
STL
6.9
3.8
BLK
3.6
13.9
TOV
13.0
15.6
PF
17.9
109.5
PTS
107.8

Defense/Offense

MIA
Team Stats Per Game
BOS
74
Games
74
41.3
FG
41.7
88.6
FGA
90.0
.466
FG%
.463
13.7
3Pt-FG
17.9
38.0
3Pt-FGA
48.3
.360
3Pt%
.370
27.6
2Pt-FG
23.8
50.6
2Pt-FGA
41.7
.546
2Pt%
.571
13.8
FT
15.6
17.7
FTA
19.5
.778
FT%
.798
10.8
ORB
11.1
33.9
DRB
33.8
44.7
TRB
44.9
26.5
AST
26.0
7.6
STL
7.3
4.7
BLK
5.6
13.8
TOV
11.8
17.0
PF
16.2
110.1
PTS
116.9

Offense/Defense

MIA
Four Factors
BOS
.542
eFG%
.525
12.7
TOV%
11.8
21.8
RB%
76.2
.186
FT/FGA
.158

Defense/Offense

MIA
Four Factors
BOS
.544
eFG%
.563
12.5
TOV%
10.7
75.6
RB%
25.2
.156
FT/FGA
.173

Offense/Defense

MIA
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
BOS
74
Games
74
41.0
FG
41.7
88.7
FGA
92.2
.462
FG%
.452
14.1
3Pt-FG
13.3
38.5
3Pt-FGA
38.0
.366
3Pt%
.350
26.9
2Pt-FG
28.4
50.1
2Pt-FGA
54.2
.536
2Pt%
.524
16.5
FT
14.6
20.9
FTA
18.6
.792
FT%
.781
9.7
ORB
10.9
34.3
DRB
34.2
44.1
TRB
45.1
27.0
AST
24.8
8.3
STL
7.1
3.9
BLK
3.7
14.3
TOV
13.4
16.0
PF
18.5
112.6
PTS
111.3

Defense/Offense

MIA
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
BOS
74
Games
74
42.5
FG
43.1
91.1
FGA
93.0
.466
FG%
.463
14.1
3Pt-FG
18.5
39.1
3Pt-FGA
49.9
.360
3Pt%
.370
28.4
2Pt-FG
24.6
52.0
2Pt-FGA
43.1
.546
2Pt%
.571
14.2
FT
16.1
18.2
FTA
20.2
.778
FT%
.798
11.1
ORB
11.5
34.9
DRB
34.9
46.0
TRB
46.4
27.3
AST
26.9
7.8
STL
7.6
4.8
BLK
5.7
14.2
TOV
12.2
17.5
PF
16.8
113.2
PTS
120.7

MIA
Analytics
BOS
36
Pythag Wins
56
38
Pythag Losses
18
-0.61
Margin Of Victory
9.12
112.6
O Rtg
120.7
113.2
D Rtg
111.3
96.0
Pace
96.1
.235
FTr
.217
.435
3PAr
.537
.575
TS%
.593

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
MIA BOS
MIA BOS
Consensus
+15.5 (-109)
-15.5 (-110)
+13.5 (-109)
-13.5 (-112)
+15.5 (-110)
-15.5 (-110)
+13.5 (-110)
-13.5 (-110)
+13.5 (-108)
-13.5 (-112)
+13.5 (-108)
-13.5 (-112)
+13.5 (-108)
-13.5 (-113)
+13.5 (-108)
-13.5 (-113)
+14.0 (-115)
-14.0 (-110)
+13.5 (-115)
-13.5 (-105)
+15.5 (-110)
-15.5 (-110)
+13.5 (-110)
-13.5 (-110)
+15.5 (-115)
-15.5 (-110)
+14.5 (-115)
-14.5 (-105)
Open
Current
Book
MIA BOS
MIA BOS
Consensus
+750
-1225
+653
-1000
+850
-1450
+625
-950
+730
-1150
+660
-1000
+750
-1200
+675
-1100
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
203.5 (-110)
203.5 (-110)
201.5 (-112)
201.5 (-110)
203.5 (-110)
203.5 (-110)
201.5 (-110)
201.5 (-110)
200.5 (-110)
200.5 (-110)
201.5 (-112)
201.5 (-108)
201.0 (-108)
201.0 (-113)
201.5 (-112)
201.5 (-109)
200.0 (-105)
200.0 (-115)
201.5 (-110)
201.5 (-110)
203.5 (-110)
203.5 (-110)
201.5 (-110)
201.5 (-110)
203.5 (-110)
203.5 (-110)
201.5 (-115)
201.5 (-105)

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