Miami Heat

Miami Heat

May 1, 2024

Boston Celtics

Boston Celtics
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics Game 5 Prediction, Odds, Picks – 5/1/2024

Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics Betting Pick, Prediction & Preview

  • Date: May 1, 2024
  • Venue: TD Garden
  • Spread: Miami Heat 14 (-110), Boston Celtics -14 (-110)
  • Total (Over/Under): 200
  • Moneyline: Miami Heat 700, Boston Celtics -1000

Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics Win Probabilities

Implied Win %:

  • Miami Heat - 12%
  • Boston Celtics - 88%

Projected Win %:

  • Miami Heat - 9%
  • Boston Celtics - 91%

Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics Betting Preview

In an exciting Wednesday Night matchup, the Miami Heat (48-40) will take on the Boston Celtics (67-19) in Game 5 of their Eastern Conference playoff series at 7:30 PM ET. The game will be held at the TD Garden, the home arena of the Celtics.

The Celtics, who have a 3-1 series lead, enter the game as overwhelming favorites, with a point spread of -14.0. The Moneyline for the Celtics is currently -1000, indicating a high probability of victory. On the other hand, the Heat have a Moneyline of +700, suggesting a lower chance of winning.

Based on the odds, the Heat have an implied win probability of 12%, while the Celtics have an implied win probability of 88%. This reflects the Celtics' dominance throughout the season.

The Celtics have been playing exceptional basketball, winning an impressive 39 out of their last 50 games. They have established themselves as one of the top teams in the league and will look to continue their winning streak in front of their home crowd.

In their previous encounter, the Celtics emerged victorious, defeating the Heat by a score of 102-88. This result may provide additional motivation for the Heat to seek redemption in this rematch.

For those interested in player prop betting, Caleb Martin's Points and Assists have been a popular market. Many bettors believe that the Over offers value, with the current line set at 15.5 Points and Assists (-110).

Overall, this game promises to be an intriguing battle between two talented teams. While the Celtics are favorites, the Heat will look to put up a strong fight and potentially pull off an upset on the road. NBA fans and sports bettors alike will be eagerly watching this matchup unfold.

Pick and Prediction: Miami Heat 94.43 - Boston Celtics 110.37

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Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

+13.5/-110
45% MIA
-13.5/-110
55% BOS

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+653
13% MIA
-1000
87% BOS

Total Pick Consensus

201.5/-110
22% UN
201.5/-110
78% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

MIA
Team Stats Per Game
BOS
11
Games
14
39.9
FG
42.5
88.6
FGA
90.4
.450
FG%
.470
14.8
3Pt-FG
12.3
38.5
3Pt-FGA
35.5
.385
3Pt%
.346
25.1
2Pt-FG
30.2
50.2
2Pt-FGA
54.9
.500
2Pt%
.550
16.8
FT
14.1
22.4
FTA
18.6
.752
FT%
.762
10.2
ORB
10.3
32.2
DRB
33.0
42.4
TRB
43.3
25.5
AST
25.4
10.5
STL
7.1
4.2
BLK
4.2
12.8
TOV
14.4
17.4
PF
20.1
111.5
PTS
111.4

Defense/Offense

MIA
Team Stats Per Game
BOS
11
Games
14
41.0
FG
41.7
87.8
FGA
90.8
.467
FG%
.459
14.2
3Pt-FG
18.9
38.5
3Pt-FGA
51.1
.368
3Pt%
.370
26.8
2Pt-FG
22.8
49.3
2Pt-FGA
39.6
.544
2Pt%
.575
15.0
FT
19.3
18.6
FTA
23.4
.805
FT%
.823
12.1
ORB
10.4
34.2
DRB
32.4
46.3
TRB
42.8
26.0
AST
25.4
7.3
STL
7.4
5.5
BLK
4.9
16.5
TOV
12.0
19.2
PF
16.4
111.2
PTS
121.6

Offense/Defense

MIA
Four Factors
BOS
.534
eFG%
.538
11.5
TOV%
12.8
23.0
RB%
75.9
.190
FT/FGA
.156

Defense/Offense

MIA
Four Factors
BOS
.548
eFG%
.564
14.6
TOV%
10.6
72.7
RB%
23.9
.171
FT/FGA
.212

Offense/Defense

MIA
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
BOS
11
Games
14
40.6
FG
42.6
90.2
FGA
90.6
.450
FG%
.470
15.1
3Pt-FG
12.3
39.1
3Pt-FGA
35.6
.385
3Pt%
.346
25.5
2Pt-FG
30.3
51.1
2Pt-FGA
55.1
.500
2Pt%
.550
17.1
FT
14.2
22.8
FTA
18.6
.752
FT%
.762
10.4
ORB
10.3
32.8
DRB
33.1
43.1
TRB
43.4
26.0
AST
25.4
10.6
STL
7.2
4.3
BLK
4.2
13.0
TOV
14.5
17.7
PF
20.2
113.5
PTS
111.7

Defense/Offense

MIA
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
BOS
11
Games
14
41.7
FG
41.8
89.4
FGA
91.0
.467
FG%
.459
14.4
3Pt-FG
19.0
39.2
3Pt-FGA
51.3
.368
3Pt%
.370
27.3
2Pt-FG
22.8
50.2
2Pt-FGA
39.7
.544
2Pt%
.575
15.3
FT
19.3
19.0
FTA
23.5
.805
FT%
.823
12.3
ORB
10.4
34.8
DRB
32.5
47.1
TRB
42.9
26.5
AST
25.5
7.4
STL
7.4
5.6
BLK
4.9
16.7
TOV
12.0
19.5
PF
16.4
113.2
PTS
121.9

MIA
Analytics
BOS
6
Pythag Wins
11
5
Pythag Losses
3
0.27
Margin Of Victory
10.21
113.5
O Rtg
121.9
113.2
D Rtg
111.7
97.3
Pace
97.6
.252
FTr
.258
.434
3PAr
.563
.566
TS%
.602

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
MIA BOS
MIA BOS
Consensus
+15.5 (-109)
-15.5 (-110)
+13.5 (-109)
-13.5 (-112)
+15.5 (-110)
-15.5 (-110)
+13.5 (-110)
-13.5 (-110)
+13.5 (-108)
-13.5 (-112)
+13.5 (-108)
-13.5 (-112)
+13.5 (-108)
-13.5 (-113)
+13.5 (-108)
-13.5 (-113)
+14.0 (-115)
-14.0 (-110)
+13.5 (-115)
-13.5 (-105)
+15.5 (-110)
-15.5 (-110)
+13.5 (-110)
-13.5 (-110)
+15.5 (-115)
-15.5 (-110)
+14.5 (-115)
-14.5 (-105)
Open
Current
Book
MIA BOS
MIA BOS
Consensus
+750
-1225
+653
-1000
+850
-1450
+625
-950
+730
-1150
+660
-1000
+650
-1000
+650
-1000
+700
-1100
+650
-1000
+850
-1499
+650
-1000
+750
-1200
+675
-1100
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
203.5 (-110)
203.5 (-110)
201.5 (-112)
201.5 (-110)
203.5 (-110)
203.5 (-110)
201.5 (-110)
201.5 (-110)
200.5 (-110)
200.5 (-110)
201.5 (-112)
201.5 (-108)
201.0 (-108)
201.0 (-113)
201.5 (-112)
201.5 (-109)
200.0 (-105)
200.0 (-115)
201.5 (-110)
201.5 (-110)
203.5 (-110)
203.5 (-110)
201.5 (-110)
201.5 (-110)
203.5 (-110)
203.5 (-110)
201.5 (-115)
201.5 (-105)