Miami Heat

Miami Heat

May 1, 2024

Boston Celtics

Boston Celtics
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics Game 5 Prediction, Odds, Picks – 5/1/2024

Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics Betting Pick, Prediction & Preview

  • Date: May 1, 2024
  • Venue: TD Garden
  • Spread: Miami Heat 14 (-110), Boston Celtics -14 (-110)
  • Total (Over/Under): 200
  • Moneyline: Miami Heat 700, Boston Celtics -1000

Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics Win Probabilities

Implied Win %:

  • Miami Heat - 12%
  • Boston Celtics - 88%

Projected Win %:

  • Miami Heat - 9%
  • Boston Celtics - 91%

Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics Betting Preview

In an exciting Wednesday Night matchup, the Miami Heat (48-40) will take on the Boston Celtics (67-19) in Game 5 of their Eastern Conference playoff series at 7:30 PM ET. The game will be held at the TD Garden, the home arena of the Celtics.

The Celtics, who have a 3-1 series lead, enter the game as overwhelming favorites, with a point spread of -14.0. The Moneyline for the Celtics is currently -1000, indicating a high probability of victory. On the other hand, the Heat have a Moneyline of +700, suggesting a lower chance of winning.

Based on the odds, the Heat have an implied win probability of 12%, while the Celtics have an implied win probability of 88%. This reflects the Celtics' dominance throughout the season.

The Celtics have been playing exceptional basketball, winning an impressive 39 out of their last 50 games. They have established themselves as one of the top teams in the league and will look to continue their winning streak in front of their home crowd.

In their previous encounter, the Celtics emerged victorious, defeating the Heat by a score of 102-88. This result may provide additional motivation for the Heat to seek redemption in this rematch.

For those interested in player prop betting, Caleb Martin's Points and Assists have been a popular market. Many bettors believe that the Over offers value, with the current line set at 15.5 Points and Assists (-110).

Overall, this game promises to be an intriguing battle between two talented teams. While the Celtics are favorites, the Heat will look to put up a strong fight and potentially pull off an upset on the road. NBA fans and sports bettors alike will be eagerly watching this matchup unfold.

Pick and Prediction: Miami Heat 94.43 - Boston Celtics 110.37

Check out all our free picks on every NBA game daily in our NBA betting section.

Subscribe to our newsletter to get our best bets every week!

*By clicking the "Subscribe" button, you agree to receive promotional emails.

Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

+13.5/-110
45% MIA
-13.5/-110
55% BOS

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+653
13% MIA
-1000
87% BOS

Total Pick Consensus

201.5/-110
22% UN
201.5/-110
78% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

MIA
Team Stats Per Game
BOS
24
Games
26
40.0
FG
41.8
88.4
FGA
90.6
.453
FG%
.461
14.8
3Pt-FG
12.4
39.0
3Pt-FGA
35.4
.379
3Pt%
.350
25.3
2Pt-FG
29.4
49.4
2Pt-FGA
55.2
.511
2Pt%
.532
17.9
FT
13.8
22.9
FTA
18.0
.782
FT%
.771
10.3
ORB
10.2
33.6
DRB
34.0
43.9
TRB
44.2
26.4
AST
24.3
9.1
STL
7.0
3.5
BLK
4.0
12.9
TOV
13.5
16.3
PF
19.3
112.8
PTS
109.8

Defense/Offense

MIA
Team Stats Per Game
BOS
24
Games
26
40.6
FG
41.7
87.9
FGA
91.1
.462
FG%
.458
13.8
3Pt-FG
19.0
37.8
3Pt-FGA
51.1
.366
3Pt%
.372
26.8
2Pt-FG
22.7
50.1
2Pt-FGA
40.0
.535
2Pt%
.568
14.6
FT
17.5
18.2
FTA
21.9
.803
FT%
.796
11.0
ORB
10.6
34.5
DRB
34.2
45.5
TRB
44.8
27.0
AST
26.0
7.0
STL
7.5
5.2
BLK
5.5
15.4
TOV
12.1
19.2
PF
16.4
109.7
PTS
119.9

Offense/Defense

MIA
Four Factors
BOS
.537
eFG%
.529
11.6
TOV%
12.1
23.0
RB%
77.0
.203
FT/FGA
.153

Defense/Offense

MIA
Four Factors
BOS
.541
eFG%
.563
13.8
TOV%
10.7
75.3
RB%
23.7
.166
FT/FGA
.192

Offense/Defense

MIA
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
BOS
24
Games
26
40.7
FG
42.0
89.9
FGA
91.2
.453
FG%
.461
15.0
3Pt-FG
12.5
39.7
3Pt-FGA
35.6
.379
3Pt%
.350
25.7
2Pt-FG
29.6
50.2
2Pt-FGA
55.5
.511
2Pt%
.532
18.2
FT
13.9
23.3
FTA
18.1
.782
FT%
.771
10.5
ORB
10.3
34.2
DRB
34.2
44.7
TRB
44.5
26.8
AST
24.5
9.2
STL
7.1
3.6
BLK
4.1
13.1
TOV
13.6
16.5
PF
19.5
114.7
PTS
110.5

Defense/Offense

MIA
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
BOS
24
Games
26
41.3
FG
42.0
89.4
FGA
91.7
.462
FG%
.458
14.1
3Pt-FG
19.1
38.5
3Pt-FGA
51.4
.366
3Pt%
.372
27.2
2Pt-FG
22.9
50.9
2Pt-FGA
40.3
.535
2Pt%
.568
14.9
FT
17.6
18.5
FTA
22.1
.803
FT%
.796
11.2
ORB
10.6
35.1
DRB
34.4
46.3
TRB
45.1
27.5
AST
26.2
7.1
STL
7.5
5.3
BLK
5.6
15.6
TOV
12.2
19.5
PF
16.5
111.6
PTS
120.7

MIA
Analytics
BOS
14
Pythag Wins
20
10
Pythag Losses
6
3.08
Margin Of Victory
10.15
114.7
O Rtg
120.7
111.6
D Rtg
110.5
97.1
Pace
98.2
.259
FTr
.241
.442
3PAr
.561
.573
TS%
.595

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
MIA BOS
MIA BOS
Consensus
+15.5 (-109)
-15.5 (-110)
+13.5 (-109)
-13.5 (-112)
+15.5 (-110)
-15.5 (-110)
+13.5 (-110)
-13.5 (-110)
+13.5 (-108)
-13.5 (-112)
+13.5 (-108)
-13.5 (-112)
+13.5 (-108)
-13.5 (-113)
+13.5 (-108)
-13.5 (-113)
+14.0 (-115)
-14.0 (-110)
+13.5 (-115)
-13.5 (-105)
+15.5 (-110)
-15.5 (-110)
+13.5 (-110)
-13.5 (-110)
+15.5 (-115)
-15.5 (-110)
+14.5 (-115)
-14.5 (-105)
Open
Current
Book
MIA BOS
MIA BOS
Consensus
+750
-1225
+653
-1000
+850
-1450
+625
-950
+730
-1150
+660
-1000
+650
-1000
+650
-1000
+700
-1100
+650
-1000
+850
-1499
+650
-1000
+750
-1200
+675
-1100
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
203.5 (-110)
203.5 (-110)
201.5 (-112)
201.5 (-110)
203.5 (-110)
203.5 (-110)
201.5 (-110)
201.5 (-110)
200.5 (-110)
200.5 (-110)
201.5 (-112)
201.5 (-108)
201.0 (-108)
201.0 (-113)
201.5 (-112)
201.5 (-109)
200.0 (-105)
200.0 (-115)
201.5 (-110)
201.5 (-110)
203.5 (-110)
203.5 (-110)
201.5 (-110)
201.5 (-110)
203.5 (-110)
203.5 (-110)
201.5 (-115)
201.5 (-105)