Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics Prediction, Odds & Picks – 12/2/2024

• Date: December 2, 2024
• Venue: TD Garden

Betting Odds

Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics Win Probabilities

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics Betting Preview

The Miami Heat (9-9) are set to face off against the Boston Celtics (16-4) at TD Garden on Monday night, with tip-off scheduled for 7:30 PM ET. Both teams are coming into this matchup on the second night of a back-to-back, which could impact player performance due to fatigue. The Celtics, however, remain heavy favorites at home, carrying a spread of -10.0 and a moneyline of -490, reflecting an implied win probability of 80%.

Miami has shown resilience lately, winning 6 of their last 10 games. Despite their recent 119-116 loss to the Toronto Raptors, the Heat will look to capitalize on any slip-ups by Boston. On the other hand, the Celtics, who have won 16 of their last 20 games, are also looking to bounce back from their recent 115-111 defeat to the Cleveland Cavaliers.

From a betting perspective, the game presents intriguing options. The sharp money seems to be leaning towards the Over on Jimmy Butler's Points and Rebounds prop, currently set at Over 22.5 (-110). Bettors believe this line might be undervalued, offering potential value.

The Heat enter this game with a moneyline of +390, translating to a 20% implied win probability. While Boston's home-court advantage is significant, Miami's recent form could make them a sneaky underdog play for some.

As both teams navigate the challenges of back-to-back schedules, the game could hinge on which squad manages its fatigue better. With the Celtics boasting an impressive early-season record, they will aim to assert their dominance at home and keep pace as one of the league's top teams. Miami, meanwhile, will look to disrupt Boston's rhythm and secure a statement win on the road.

Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics Prediction

Final Score: Miami Heat 102.42 vs Boston Celtics 71.21

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