Miami Heat

Miami Heat

Dec 2, 2024

Boston Celtics

Boston Celtics
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics Prediction, Odds & Picks – 12/2/2024

  • Date: December 2, 2024
  • Venue: TD Garden

Betting Odds

Spread: Miami Heat 10 (-110), Boston Celtics -10 (-110)
Over/Under: 220.5
Moneyline: Miami Heat 390, Boston Celtics -480

Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics Win Probabilities

Implied Win %: Projected Win %:
Miami Heat - 20% Miami Heat - 97%
Boston Celtics - 80% Boston Celtics - 3%

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics Betting Preview

The Miami Heat (9-9) are set to face off against the Boston Celtics (16-4) at TD Garden on Monday night, with tip-off scheduled for 7:30 PM ET. Both teams are coming into this matchup on the second night of a back-to-back, which could impact player performance due to fatigue. The Celtics, however, remain heavy favorites at home, carrying a spread of -10.0 and a moneyline of -490, reflecting an implied win probability of 80%.

Miami has shown resilience lately, winning 6 of their last 10 games. Despite their recent 119-116 loss to the Toronto Raptors, the Heat will look to capitalize on any slip-ups by Boston. On the other hand, the Celtics, who have won 16 of their last 20 games, are also looking to bounce back from their recent 115-111 defeat to the Cleveland Cavaliers.

From a betting perspective, the game presents intriguing options. The sharp money seems to be leaning towards the Over on Jimmy Butler's Points and Rebounds prop, currently set at Over 22.5 (-110). Bettors believe this line might be undervalued, offering potential value.

The Heat enter this game with a moneyline of +390, translating to a 20% implied win probability. While Boston's home-court advantage is significant, Miami's recent form could make them a sneaky underdog play for some.

As both teams navigate the challenges of back-to-back schedules, the game could hinge on which squad manages its fatigue better. With the Celtics boasting an impressive early-season record, they will aim to assert their dominance at home and keep pace as one of the league's top teams. Miami, meanwhile, will look to disrupt Boston's rhythm and secure a statement win on the road.

Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics Prediction

Final Score: Miami Heat 102.42 vs Boston Celtics 71.21

Get daily NBA picks here.

Subscribe to our newsletter to get our best bets every week!

*By clicking the "Subscribe" button, you agree to receive promotional emails.

Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

+8.5/-112
63% MIA
-8.5/-108
37% BOS

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+295
6% MIA
-375
94% BOS

Total Pick Consensus

217.5/-110
7% UN
217.5/-110
93% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

MIA
Team Stats Per Game
BOS
18
Games
20
39.3
FG
42.2
88.4
FGA
90.0
.444
FG%
.468
14.9
3Pt-FG
12.4
39.5
3Pt-FGA
35.4
.378
3Pt%
.350
24.3
2Pt-FG
29.8
48.9
2Pt-FGA
54.6
.498
2Pt%
.545
17.8
FT
14.1
22.9
FTA
18.4
.775
FT%
.766
10.1
ORB
9.9
32.9
DRB
33.9
43.0
TRB
43.8
25.5
AST
24.6
9.3
STL
6.6
3.7
BLK
4.0
12.8
TOV
13.9
16.6
PF
19.7
111.3
PTS
110.8

Defense/Offense

MIA
Team Stats Per Game
BOS
18
Games
20
40.9
FG
41.7
87.9
FGA
90.5
.466
FG%
.460
13.7
3Pt-FG
19.1
38.1
3Pt-FGA
50.7
.361
3Pt%
.376
27.2
2Pt-FG
22.6
49.9
2Pt-FGA
39.9
.546
2Pt%
.567
14.3
FT
18.3
18.0
FTA
22.6
.796
FT%
.812
11.4
ORB
10.1
34.8
DRB
33.4
46.2
TRB
43.4
26.6
AST
25.5
6.9
STL
7.5
5.5
BLK
5.3
15.7
TOV
11.6
19.2
PF
16.7
109.9
PTS
120.7

Offense/Defense

MIA
Four Factors
BOS
.529
eFG%
.537
11.5
TOV%
12.4
22.5
RB%
77.1
.201
FT/FGA
.157

Defense/Offense

MIA
Four Factors
BOS
.544
eFG%
.565
14.0
TOV%
10.3
74.3
RB%
22.9
.163
FT/FGA
.202

Offense/Defense

MIA
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
BOS
18
Games
20
40.0
FG
42.4
90.0
FGA
90.6
.444
FG%
.468
15.2
3Pt-FG
12.5
40.2
3Pt-FGA
35.7
.378
3Pt%
.350
24.8
2Pt-FG
30.0
49.8
2Pt-FGA
55.0
.498
2Pt%
.545
18.1
FT
14.2
23.4
FTA
18.5
.775
FT%
.766
10.3
ORB
10.0
33.5
DRB
34.1
43.8
TRB
44.1
26.0
AST
24.7
9.5
STL
6.6
3.7
BLK
4.0
13.0
TOV
13.9
16.9
PF
19.8
113.3
PTS
111.6

Defense/Offense

MIA
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
BOS
18
Games
20
41.7
FG
41.9
89.6
FGA
91.1
.466
FG%
.460
14.0
3Pt-FG
19.2
38.8
3Pt-FGA
51.0
.361
3Pt%
.376
27.7
2Pt-FG
22.8
50.8
2Pt-FGA
40.1
.546
2Pt%
.567
14.6
FT
18.4
18.3
FTA
22.7
.796
FT%
.812
11.6
ORB
10.1
35.5
DRB
33.6
47.1
TRB
43.7
27.1
AST
25.6
7.1
STL
7.6
5.6
BLK
5.3
16.0
TOV
11.6
19.6
PF
16.8
112.0
PTS
121.5

MIA
Analytics
BOS
10
Pythag Wins
15
8
Pythag Losses
5
1.33
Margin Of Victory
9.85
113.3
O Rtg
121.5
112.0
D Rtg
111.6
97.1
Pace
97.8
.260
FTr
.249
.447
3PAr
.560
.565
TS%
.601

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
MIA BOS
MIA BOS
Consensus
+7.5 (-111)
-7.5 (-110)
+8.5 (-111)
-8.5 (-109)
+7.5 (-112)
-7.5 (-110)
+8.5 (-112)
-8.5 (-108)
+7.5 (-112)
-7.5 (-110)
+8.5 (-112)
-8.5 (-108)
+10.0 (-110)
-10.0 (-112)
+8.5 (-110)
-8.5 (-110)
+8.5 (-110)
-8.5 (-115)
+8.5 (-110)
-8.5 (-110)
+8.5 (-115)
-8.5 (-110)
+8.5 (-115)
-8.5 (-105)
Open
Current
Book
MIA BOS
MIA BOS
Consensus
+250
-325
+291
-365
+260
-325
+295
-375
+245
-300
+295
-370
+360
-480
+285
-360
+278
-355
+285
-365
+300
-375
+300
-375
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
224.5 (-110)
224.5 (-110)
217.5 (-111)
217.5 (-109)
224.5 (-110)
224.5 (-110)
217.5 (-110)
217.5 (-110)
225.5 (-110)
225.5 (-110)
217.5 (-110)
217.5 (-110)
222.5 (-113)
222.5 (-108)
217.5 (-112)
217.5 (-109)
224.5 (-110)
224.5 (-110)
217.5 (-110)
217.5 (-110)
224.5 (-105)
224.5 (-115)
217.5 (-110)
217.5 (-110)