Miami Heat

Miami Heat

Dec 28, 2024

Atlanta Hawks

Atlanta Hawks
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Miami Heat vs Atlanta Hawks Prediction, Odds & Picks – 12/28/2024

  • Date: December 28, 2024
  • Venue: State Farm Arena


Betting Odds

Spread:Miami Heat 2.5 (-110), Atlanta Hawks -2.5 (-110)
Over/Under:225
Moneyline:Miami Heat 115, Atlanta Hawks -140


Miami Heat vs Atlanta Hawks Win Probabilities

Implied Win %:Projected Win %:
Miami Heat - 44%Miami Heat - 58%
Atlanta Hawks - 56%Atlanta Hawks - 42%

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Miami Heat vs Atlanta Hawks Betting Preview

The Miami Heat (15-13) are set to clash with the Atlanta Hawks (16-15) in a Saturday matinee that promises to have playoff-like intensity. Both teams are divisional rivals, adding an extra layer of significance to this matchup. The game is scheduled to tip off at 3:00 PM ET at State Farm Arena, where the Hawks will look to leverage their status as slight favorites.

Currently, the spread favors the Hawks by 1.5 points, with a moneyline of -125, giving them an implied win probability of 53%. Meanwhile, the Heat's moneyline sits at +105, reflecting an implied win probability of 47%. Both teams have shown resilience lately, each winning 12 of their last 20 games.

In their most recent outings, the Heat edged past the Orlando Magic in a nail-biting 89-88 finish, while the Hawks engaged in a high-scoring affair, defeating the Chicago Bulls 141-133. This game offers a compelling narrative for bettors, particularly around player prop markets. Bam Adebayo's point total is drawing attention, with the over/under set at 18.5 points, and sharp money is pushing towards the over, indicating some confidence in Adebayo's scoring ability.

With both teams notching similar recent performances and the stakes heightened by their rivalry, this matchup offers a tantalizing opportunity for fans and bettors alike. Whether it’s the point spread or player props, the Heat and Hawks are ready to deliver an exciting afternoon of basketball.


Miami Heat vs Atlanta Hawks Prediction

Final Score: Miami Heat 115.64 vs Atlanta Hawks 112.85

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Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

+2.0/-112
38% MIA
-2.0/-108
62% ATL

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+105
23% MIA
-125
77% ATL

Total Pick Consensus

225.0/-108
6% UN
225.0/-112
94% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

MIA
Team Stats Per Game
ATL
28
Games
31
39.3
FG
43.4
86.8
FGA
92.0
.453
FG%
.472
14.6
3Pt-FG
16.1
38.6
3Pt-FGA
41.6
.378
3Pt%
.386
24.7
2Pt-FG
27.4
48.2
2Pt-FGA
50.4
.513
2Pt%
.543
18.2
FT
16.6
23.2
FTA
21.5
.783
FT%
.771
9.8
ORB
10.8
33.5
DRB
33.2
43.3
TRB
44.0
25.6
AST
28.4
9.1
STL
9.8
3.5
BLK
5.8
13.6
TOV
16.6
16.7
PF
20.3
111.3
PTS
119.5

Defense/Offense

MIA
Team Stats Per Game
ATL
28
Games
31
40.1
FG
42.7
87.3
FGA
91.8
.460
FG%
.465
13.4
3Pt-FG
12.6
37.2
3Pt-FGA
36.0
.360
3Pt%
.351
26.8
2Pt-FG
30.0
50.1
2Pt-FGA
55.8
.534
2Pt%
.538
14.9
FT
19.2
18.5
FTA
24.4
.805
FT%
.787
11.0
ORB
12.3
34.3
DRB
33.7
45.2
TRB
46.0
26.2
AST
29.7
7.2
STL
10.1
5.3
BLK
5.4
15.5
TOV
16.6
19.0
PF
18.6
108.6
PTS
117.2

Offense/Defense

MIA
Four Factors
ATL
.537
eFG%
.559
12.3
TOV%
14.1
22.2
RB%
75.7
.210
FT/FGA
.180

Defense/Offense

MIA
Four Factors
ATL
.537
eFG%
.534
14.0
TOV%
13.9
75.4
RB%
27.0
.171
FT/FGA
.209

Offense/Defense

MIA
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
ATL
28
Games
31
40.1
FG
41.6
88.4
FGA
88.2
.453
FG%
.472
14.9
3Pt-FG
15.4
39.3
3Pt-FGA
39.9
.378
3Pt%
.386
25.2
2Pt-FG
26.2
49.1
2Pt-FGA
48.3
.513
2Pt%
.543
18.5
FT
15.9
23.7
FTA
20.6
.783
FT%
.771
9.9
ORB
10.4
34.2
DRB
31.8
44.1
TRB
42.2
26.1
AST
27.2
9.2
STL
9.4
3.6
BLK
5.5
13.9
TOV
16.0
17.0
PF
19.5
113.5
PTS
114.6

Defense/Offense

MIA
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
ATL
28
Games
31
40.9
FG
40.9
89.0
FGA
88.0
.460
FG%
.465
13.7
3Pt-FG
12.1
37.9
3Pt-FGA
34.5
.360
3Pt%
.351
27.3
2Pt-FG
28.8
51.1
2Pt-FGA
53.5
.534
2Pt%
.538
15.2
FT
18.4
18.9
FTA
23.4
.805
FT%
.787
11.2
ORB
11.8
34.9
DRB
32.4
46.1
TRB
44.1
26.7
AST
28.5
7.4
STL
9.7
5.4
BLK
5.2
15.8
TOV
15.9
19.4
PF
17.8
110.7
PTS
112.4

MIA
Analytics
ATL
16
Pythag Wins
13
12
Pythag Losses
18
2.71
Margin Of Victory
-2.29
113.5
O Rtg
112.4
110.7
D Rtg
114.6
97.0
Pace
103.6
.268
FTr
.266
.445
3PAr
.392
.574
TS%
.572

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
MIA ATL
MIA ATL
Consensus
+3.5 (-107)
-3.5 (-103)
+2.5 (-107)
-2.5 (-110)
+2.5 (-112)
-2.5 (-110)
+2.0 (-112)
-2.0 (-108)
+3.0 (-108)
-3.0 (-110)
+2.0 (-108)
-2.0 (-112)
+2.5 (-107)
-2.5 (-109)
+2.0 (-107)
-2.0 (-114)
+2.5 (-110)
-2.5 (-110)
+2.5 (-110)
-2.5 (-110)
+2.5 (-110)
-2.5 (-110)
+2.5 (-110)
-2.5 (-110)
Open
Current
Book
MIA ATL
MIA ATL
Consensus
+125
-154
+115
-136
+114
-135
+105
-125
+132
-156
+120
-142
+112
-134
+110
-132
+115
-135
+115
-135
+115
-140
+115
-140
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
226.0 (-110)
226.0 (-110)
225.5 (-110)
225.5 (-110)
226.5 (-110)
226.5 (-110)
225.0 (-112)
225.0 (-108)
226.0 (-110)
226.0 (-110)
225.5 (-110)
225.5 (-110)
226.5 (-109)
226.5 (-112)
225.5 (-112)
225.5 (-109)
226.5 (-110)
226.5 (-110)
225.0 (-110)
225.0 (-110)
226.5 (-110)
226.5 (-110)
225.5 (-105)
225.5 (-115)