Miami Heat

Miami Heat

Oct 26, 2024

Charlotte Hornets

Charlotte Hornets
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Miami Heat at Charlotte Hornets Best Bet – 10/26/2024

  • Date: October 26, 2024
  • Venue: Spectrum Center

Betting Odds

Spread: Miami Heat -3.5 (-110), Charlotte Hornets 3.5 (-110)
Over/Under: 221
Moneyline: Miami Heat -165, Charlotte Hornets 145

Miami Heat vs Charlotte Hornets Win Probabilities

Implied Win %: Projected Win %:
Miami Heat - 60% Miami Heat - 60%
Charlotte Hornets - 40% Charlotte Hornets - 40%

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Miami Heat vs Charlotte Hornets Betting Preview

The Miami Heat, looking to rebound from a tough start, face off against the Charlotte Hornets at the Spectrum Center on Saturday night at 7:00 PM ET. Both teams are eager to gain momentum early in the season, and this divisional clash could be pivotal in setting the tone.

The Heat are slight favorites, entering the game with a -3.5 spread and a moneyline of -165, giving them a 60% implied win probability. Despite the odds being in their favor, Miami has been struggling, losing three consecutive games, including a 116-97 defeat to the Orlando Magic. The Heat's cold streak has bettors cautious, but they remain optimistic given the Hornets' recent performance.

Charlotte, on the other hand, holds a 1-1 record but has been lackluster over a longer stretch, dropping 37 of their last 50 games. They are coming off a narrow 125-120 loss to the Atlanta Hawks and face the additional challenge of playing back-to-back games, potentially impacting their energy levels against Miami.

One player to watch is Bam Adebayo, whose Points, Rebounds, and Assists (PRA) market has garnered significant attention from bettors. The current line is set at Under 29.5 PRA (-105), suggesting value for those eyeing an under bet. Observers have noted sharp money leaning towards the under, potentially seeing the line as mispriced.

With both teams eager to break their current trends, the matchup promises an intriguing contest. Miami's road trip and Charlotte's back-to-back schedule add layers to the narrative, making this game not only a test of skill but also of endurance and strategy. Bettors and fans alike will be watching to see who can capitalize on the other's vulnerabilities and secure a much-needed win.

Miami Heat vs Charlotte Hornets Prediction

Final Score: Miami Heat 107.89 vs Charlotte Hornets 102.22

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Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

-6.0/-110
51% MIA
+6.0/-110
49% CHA

Moneyline Pick Consensus

-231
85% MIA
+193
15% CHA

Total Pick Consensus

223.5/-108
17% UN
223.5/-112
83% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

MIA
Team Stats Per Game
CHA
4
Games
4
36.8
FG
42.3
84.3
FGA
90.3
.436
FG%
.468
14.3
3Pt-FG
12.5
38.8
3Pt-FGA
35.8
.368
3Pt%
.350
22.5
2Pt-FG
29.8
45.5
2Pt-FGA
54.5
.495
2Pt%
.546
18.3
FT
22.3
25.3
FTA
29.0
.723
FT%
.767
9.8
ORB
12.3
32.0
DRB
29.3
41.8
TRB
41.5
27.0
AST
28.5
8.3
STL
9.0
5.0
BLK
6.0
11.8
TOV
12.5
17.3
PF
22.5
106.0
PTS
119.3

Defense/Offense

MIA
Team Stats Per Game
CHA
4
Games
4
38.8
FG
40.8
89.5
FGA
91.0
.433
FG%
.448
15.8
3Pt-FG
17.3
42.0
3Pt-FGA
44.0
.375
3Pt%
.392
23.0
2Pt-FG
23.5
47.5
2Pt-FGA
47.0
.484
2Pt%
.500
15.8
FT
19.8
20.0
FTA
25.3
.788
FT%
.782
14.8
ORB
16.5
35.0
DRB
31.8
49.8
TRB
48.3
23.0
AST
23.3
7.0
STL
7.0
5.8
BLK
6.8
15.5
TOV
17.8
20.0
PF
24.3
109.0
PTS
118.5

Offense/Defense

MIA
Four Factors
CHA
.521
eFG%
.537
11.0
TOV%
10.8
21.8
RB%
72.2
.217
FT/FGA
.247

Defense/Offense

MIA
Four Factors
CHA
.521
eFG%
.543
13.6
TOV%
14.8
68.4
RB%
36.1
.176
FT/FGA
.217

Offense/Defense

MIA
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
CHA
4
Games
4
38.5
FG
42.4
88.3
FGA
90.5
.436
FG%
.468
14.9
3Pt-FG
12.5
40.6
3Pt-FGA
35.8
.368
3Pt%
.350
23.6
2Pt-FG
29.8
47.7
2Pt-FGA
54.6
.495
2Pt%
.546
19.1
FT
22.3
26.5
FTA
29.1
.723
FT%
.767
10.2
ORB
12.3
33.5
DRB
29.3
43.7
TRB
41.6
28.3
AST
28.6
8.6
STL
9.0
5.2
BLK
6.0
12.3
TOV
12.5
18.1
PF
22.6
111.1
PTS
119.5

Defense/Offense

MIA
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
CHA
4
Games
4
40.6
FG
40.9
93.8
FGA
91.2
.433
FG%
.448
16.5
3Pt-FG
17.3
44.0
3Pt-FGA
44.1
.375
3Pt%
.392
24.1
2Pt-FG
23.6
49.8
2Pt-FGA
47.1
.484
2Pt%
.500
16.5
FT
19.8
21.0
FTA
25.3
.788
FT%
.782
15.5
ORB
16.5
36.7
DRB
31.8
52.1
TRB
48.4
24.1
AST
23.3
7.3
STL
7.0
6.0
BLK
6.8
16.2
TOV
17.8
21.0
PF
24.3
114.2
PTS
118.8

MIA
Analytics
CHA
2
Pythag Wins
2
2
Pythag Losses
2
-3.00
Margin Of Victory
-0.75
111.1
O Rtg
118.8
114.2
D Rtg
119.5
95.4
Pace
99.8
.300
FTr
.277
.460
3PAr
.484
.556
TS%
.580

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
MIA CHA
MIA CHA
Consensus
+1.0 (-113)
-1.0 (-105)
-5.5 (-113)
+5.5 (-109)
-1.0 (-110)
+1.0 (-115)
-6.0 (-110)
+6.0 (-110)
-3.0 (-112)
+3.0 (-110)
-5.5 (-112)
+5.5 (-108)
-3.5 (-112)
+3.5 (-109)
-5.5 (-112)
+5.5 (-109)
-3.5 (-110)
+3.5 (-110)
-5.5 (-110)
+5.5 (-110)
-3.5 (-115)
+3.5 (-110)
-5.5 (-115)
+5.5 (-105)
Open
Current
Book
MIA CHA
MIA CHA
Consensus
-110
-110
-231
+193
-110
-110
-245
+200
-158
+134
-240
+198
-165
+138
-220
+180
-175
+148
-240
+196
-165
+140
-250
+195
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
221.5 (-110)
221.5 (-110)
223.5 (-109)
223.5 (-112)
221.5 (-110)
221.5 (-110)
223.5 (-112)
223.5 (-108)
220.5 (-110)
220.5 (-110)
224.5 (-110)
224.5 (-110)
220.5 (-108)
220.5 (-113)
223.5 (-108)
223.5 (-113)
220.5 (-110)
220.5 (-110)
224.5 (-110)
224.5 (-110)
221.5 (-105)
221.5 (-115)
223.5 (-105)
223.5 (-115)