Miami Heat

Miami Heat

Oct 26, 2024

Charlotte Hornets

Charlotte Hornets
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Miami Heat at Charlotte Hornets Best Bet – 10/26/2024

  • Date: October 26, 2024
  • Venue: Spectrum Center

Betting Odds

Spread:Miami Heat -3.5 (-110), Charlotte Hornets 3.5 (-110)
Over/Under:221
Moneyline:Miami Heat -165, Charlotte Hornets 145

Miami Heat vs Charlotte Hornets Win Probabilities

Implied Win %:Projected Win %:
Miami Heat - 60%Miami Heat - 60%
Charlotte Hornets - 40%Charlotte Hornets - 40%

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Miami Heat vs Charlotte Hornets Betting Preview

The Miami Heat, looking to rebound from a tough start, face off against the Charlotte Hornets at the Spectrum Center on Saturday night at 7:00 PM ET. Both teams are eager to gain momentum early in the season, and this divisional clash could be pivotal in setting the tone.

The Heat are slight favorites, entering the game with a -3.5 spread and a moneyline of -165, giving them a 60% implied win probability. Despite the odds being in their favor, Miami has been struggling, losing three consecutive games, including a 116-97 defeat to the Orlando Magic. The Heat's cold streak has bettors cautious, but they remain optimistic given the Hornets' recent performance.

Charlotte, on the other hand, holds a 1-1 record but has been lackluster over a longer stretch, dropping 37 of their last 50 games. They are coming off a narrow 125-120 loss to the Atlanta Hawks and face the additional challenge of playing back-to-back games, potentially impacting their energy levels against Miami.

One player to watch is Bam Adebayo, whose Points, Rebounds, and Assists (PRA) market has garnered significant attention from bettors. The current line is set at Under 29.5 PRA (-105), suggesting value for those eyeing an under bet. Observers have noted sharp money leaning towards the under, potentially seeing the line as mispriced.

With both teams eager to break their current trends, the matchup promises an intriguing contest. Miami's road trip and Charlotte's back-to-back schedule add layers to the narrative, making this game not only a test of skill but also of endurance and strategy. Bettors and fans alike will be watching to see who can capitalize on the other's vulnerabilities and secure a much-needed win.

Miami Heat vs Charlotte Hornets Prediction

Final Score: Miami Heat 107.89 vs Charlotte Hornets 102.22

Get daily NBA picks here.

Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

-6.0/-110
51% MIA
+6.0/-110
49% CHA

Moneyline Pick Consensus

-231
85% MIA
+193
15% CHA

Total Pick Consensus

223.5/-108
17% UN
223.5/-112
83% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

MIA
Team Stats Per Game
CHA
74
Games
74
39.9
FG
41.3
86.2
FGA
88.4
.462
FG%
.467
13.7
3Pt-FG
13.9
37.5
3Pt-FGA
39.3
.366
3Pt%
.353
26.2
2Pt-FG
27.5
48.8
2Pt-FGA
49.1
.536
2Pt%
.559
16.1
FT
17.2
20.3
FTA
21.8
.792
FT%
.789
9.4
ORB
11.2
33.4
DRB
33.9
42.9
TRB
45.1
26.3
AST
26.7
8.0
STL
8.7
3.8
BLK
5.5
13.9
TOV
13.6
15.6
PF
18.2
109.5
PTS
113.7

Defense/Offense

MIA
Team Stats Per Game
CHA
74
Games
74
41.3
FG
38.4
88.6
FGA
89.7
.466
FG%
.428
13.7
3Pt-FG
13.2
38.0
3Pt-FGA
38.7
.360
3Pt%
.341
27.6
2Pt-FG
25.2
50.6
2Pt-FGA
51.0
.546
2Pt%
.494
13.8
FT
15.5
17.7
FTA
19.6
.778
FT%
.788
10.8
ORB
12.5
33.9
DRB
32.8
44.7
TRB
45.3
26.5
AST
24.4
7.6
STL
7.7
4.7
BLK
4.6
13.8
TOV
15.4
17.0
PF
19.0
110.1
PTS
105.5

Offense/Defense

MIA
Four Factors
CHA
.542
eFG%
.546
12.7
TOV%
12.2
21.8
RB%
74.6
.186
FT/FGA
.194

Defense/Offense

MIA
Four Factors
CHA
.544
eFG%
.502
12.5
TOV%
13.5
75.6
RB%
26.9
.156
FT/FGA
.173

Offense/Defense

MIA
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
CHA
74
Games
74
41.0
FG
42.1
88.7
FGA
90.2
.462
FG%
.467
14.1
3Pt-FG
14.1
38.5
3Pt-FGA
40.0
.366
3Pt%
.353
26.9
2Pt-FG
28.0
50.1
2Pt-FGA
50.1
.536
2Pt%
.559
16.5
FT
17.5
20.9
FTA
22.2
.792
FT%
.789
9.7
ORB
11.4
34.3
DRB
34.6
44.1
TRB
46.0
27.0
AST
27.2
8.3
STL
8.8
3.9
BLK
5.6
14.3
TOV
13.9
16.0
PF
18.6
112.6
PTS
115.9

Defense/Offense

MIA
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
CHA
74
Games
74
42.5
FG
39.2
91.1
FGA
91.5
.466
FG%
.428
14.1
3Pt-FG
13.4
39.1
3Pt-FGA
39.5
.360
3Pt%
.341
28.4
2Pt-FG
25.7
52.0
2Pt-FGA
52.0
.546
2Pt%
.494
14.2
FT
15.8
18.2
FTA
20.0
.778
FT%
.788
11.1
ORB
12.7
34.9
DRB
33.5
46.0
TRB
46.2
27.3
AST
24.9
7.8
STL
7.8
4.8
BLK
4.7
14.2
TOV
15.7
17.5
PF
19.3
113.2
PTS
107.6

MIA
Analytics
CHA
36
Pythag Wins
19
38
Pythag Losses
55
-0.61
Margin Of Victory
-8.15
112.6
O Rtg
107.6
113.2
D Rtg
115.9
96.0
Pace
97.7
.235
FTr
.219
.435
3PAr
.431
.575
TS%
.536

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
MIA CHA
MIA CHA
Consensus
+1.0 (-113)
-1.0 (-105)
-5.5 (-113)
+5.5 (-109)
-1.0 (-110)
+1.0 (-115)
-6.0 (-110)
+6.0 (-110)
-3.0 (-112)
+3.0 (-110)
-5.5 (-112)
+5.5 (-108)
-3.5 (-112)
+3.5 (-109)
-5.5 (-112)
+5.5 (-109)
-3.5 (-110)
+3.5 (-110)
-5.5 (-110)
+5.5 (-110)
-3.5 (-115)
+3.5 (-110)
-5.5 (-115)
+5.5 (-105)
Open
Current
Book
MIA CHA
MIA CHA
Consensus
-110
-110
-231
+193
-110
-110
-245
+200
-158
+134
-240
+198
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
221.5 (-110)
221.5 (-110)
223.5 (-109)
223.5 (-112)
221.5 (-110)
221.5 (-110)
223.5 (-112)
223.5 (-108)
220.5 (-110)
220.5 (-110)
224.5 (-110)
224.5 (-110)
220.5 (-108)
220.5 (-113)
223.5 (-108)
223.5 (-113)
220.5 (-110)
220.5 (-110)
224.5 (-110)
224.5 (-110)
221.5 (-105)
221.5 (-115)
223.5 (-105)
223.5 (-115)

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