Miami Heat

Miami Heat

Oct 26, 2024

Charlotte Hornets

Charlotte Hornets
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Miami Heat at Charlotte Hornets Best Bet – 10/26/2024

  • Date: October 26, 2024
  • Venue: Spectrum Center

Betting Odds

Spread: Miami Heat -3.5 (-110), Charlotte Hornets 3.5 (-110)
Over/Under: 221
Moneyline: Miami Heat -165, Charlotte Hornets 145

Miami Heat vs Charlotte Hornets Win Probabilities

Implied Win %: Projected Win %:
Miami Heat - 60% Miami Heat - 60%
Charlotte Hornets - 40% Charlotte Hornets - 40%

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Miami Heat vs Charlotte Hornets Betting Preview

The Miami Heat, looking to rebound from a tough start, face off against the Charlotte Hornets at the Spectrum Center on Saturday night at 7:00 PM ET. Both teams are eager to gain momentum early in the season, and this divisional clash could be pivotal in setting the tone.

The Heat are slight favorites, entering the game with a -3.5 spread and a moneyline of -165, giving them a 60% implied win probability. Despite the odds being in their favor, Miami has been struggling, losing three consecutive games, including a 116-97 defeat to the Orlando Magic. The Heat's cold streak has bettors cautious, but they remain optimistic given the Hornets' recent performance.

Charlotte, on the other hand, holds a 1-1 record but has been lackluster over a longer stretch, dropping 37 of their last 50 games. They are coming off a narrow 125-120 loss to the Atlanta Hawks and face the additional challenge of playing back-to-back games, potentially impacting their energy levels against Miami.

One player to watch is Bam Adebayo, whose Points, Rebounds, and Assists (PRA) market has garnered significant attention from bettors. The current line is set at Under 29.5 PRA (-105), suggesting value for those eyeing an under bet. Observers have noted sharp money leaning towards the under, potentially seeing the line as mispriced.

With both teams eager to break their current trends, the matchup promises an intriguing contest. Miami's road trip and Charlotte's back-to-back schedule add layers to the narrative, making this game not only a test of skill but also of endurance and strategy. Bettors and fans alike will be watching to see who can capitalize on the other's vulnerabilities and secure a much-needed win.

Miami Heat vs Charlotte Hornets Prediction

Final Score: Miami Heat 107.89 vs Charlotte Hornets 102.22

Get daily NBA picks here.

Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

-6.0/-110
51% MIA
+6.0/-110
49% CHA

Moneyline Pick Consensus

-231
85% MIA
+193
15% CHA

Total Pick Consensus

223.5/-108
17% UN
223.5/-112
83% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

MIA
Team Stats Per Game
CHA
60
Games
60
39.8
FG
41.1
86.7
FGA
88.3
.458
FG%
.465
13.9
3Pt-FG
13.7
38.5
3Pt-FGA
39.4
.361
3Pt%
.347
25.8
2Pt-FG
27.4
48.2
2Pt-FGA
48.9
.536
2Pt%
.561
16.8
FT
17.0
21.2
FTA
21.6
.794
FT%
.786
9.6
ORB
11.1
34.2
DRB
34.2
43.8
TRB
45.3
26.4
AST
27.0
7.9
STL
8.5
3.8
BLK
5.5
13.8
TOV
14.1
15.8
PF
18.6
110.3
PTS
112.9

Defense/Offense

MIA
Team Stats Per Game
CHA
60
Games
60
41.4
FG
38.1
89.4
FGA
89.8
.463
FG%
.424
13.8
3Pt-FG
13.3
38.4
3Pt-FGA
39.3
.358
3Pt%
.338
27.6
2Pt-FG
24.8
51.0
2Pt-FGA
50.5
.541
2Pt%
.491
14.1
FT
15.6
18.0
FTA
20.1
.782
FT%
.777
11.0
ORB
12.7
34.2
DRB
32.9
45.2
TRB
45.6
26.9
AST
23.7
7.5
STL
8.0
4.8
BLK
4.7
13.6
TOV
15.5
17.6
PF
19.1
110.5
PTS
105.1

Offense/Defense

MIA
Four Factors
CHA
.539
eFG%
.543
12.5
TOV%
12.6
21.9
RB%
74.7
.194
FT/FGA
.193

Defense/Offense

MIA
Four Factors
CHA
.540
eFG%
.498
12.2
TOV%
13.6
75.7
RB%
27.1
.158
FT/FGA
.174

Offense/Defense

MIA
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
CHA
60
Games
60
40.6
FG
41.8
88.7
FGA
89.8
.458
FG%
.465
14.2
3Pt-FG
13.9
39.4
3Pt-FGA
40.1
.361
3Pt%
.347
26.4
2Pt-FG
27.9
49.3
2Pt-FGA
49.7
.536
2Pt%
.561
17.2
FT
17.3
21.7
FTA
22.0
.794
FT%
.786
9.8
ORB
11.3
34.9
DRB
34.8
44.8
TRB
46.1
27.0
AST
27.5
8.0
STL
8.7
3.9
BLK
5.6
14.1
TOV
14.3
16.1
PF
18.9
112.7
PTS
114.8

Defense/Offense

MIA
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
CHA
60
Games
60
42.3
FG
38.7
91.4
FGA
91.3
.463
FG%
.424
14.1
3Pt-FG
13.5
39.3
3Pt-FGA
40.0
.358
3Pt%
.338
28.2
2Pt-FG
25.2
52.1
2Pt-FGA
51.4
.541
2Pt%
.491
14.4
FT
15.9
18.4
FTA
20.4
.782
FT%
.777
11.2
ORB
12.9
35.0
DRB
33.5
46.2
TRB
46.4
27.5
AST
24.1
7.6
STL
8.1
4.9
BLK
4.7
13.9
TOV
15.8
17.9
PF
19.5
113.0
PTS
106.9

MIA
Analytics
CHA
29
Pythag Wins
16
31
Pythag Losses
44
-0.28
Margin Of Victory
-7.78
112.7
O Rtg
106.9
113.0
D Rtg
114.8
96.3
Pace
97.8
.245
FTr
.224
.444
3PAr
.438
.574
TS%
.533

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
MIA CHA
MIA CHA
Consensus
+1.0 (-113)
-1.0 (-105)
-5.5 (-113)
+5.5 (-109)
-1.0 (-110)
+1.0 (-115)
-6.0 (-110)
+6.0 (-110)
-3.0 (-112)
+3.0 (-110)
-5.5 (-112)
+5.5 (-108)
-3.5 (-112)
+3.5 (-109)
-5.5 (-112)
+5.5 (-109)
-3.5 (-110)
+3.5 (-110)
-5.5 (-110)
+5.5 (-110)
-3.5 (-115)
+3.5 (-110)
-5.5 (-115)
+5.5 (-105)
Open
Current
Book
MIA CHA
MIA CHA
Consensus
-110
-110
-231
+193
-110
-110
-245
+200
-158
+134
-240
+198
-165
+138
-220
+180
-175
+148
-240
+196
-165
+140
-250
+195
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
221.5 (-110)
221.5 (-110)
223.5 (-109)
223.5 (-112)
221.5 (-110)
221.5 (-110)
223.5 (-112)
223.5 (-108)
220.5 (-110)
220.5 (-110)
224.5 (-110)
224.5 (-110)
220.5 (-108)
220.5 (-113)
223.5 (-108)
223.5 (-113)
220.5 (-110)
220.5 (-110)
224.5 (-110)
224.5 (-110)
221.5 (-105)
221.5 (-115)
223.5 (-105)
223.5 (-115)

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