Miami Heat

Miami Heat

Oct 26, 2024

Charlotte Hornets

Charlotte Hornets
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Miami Heat at Charlotte Hornets Best Bet – 10/26/2024

  • Date: October 26, 2024
  • Venue: Spectrum Center

Betting Odds

Spread: Miami Heat -3.5 (-110), Charlotte Hornets 3.5 (-110)
Over/Under: 221
Moneyline: Miami Heat -165, Charlotte Hornets 145

Miami Heat vs Charlotte Hornets Win Probabilities

Implied Win %: Projected Win %:
Miami Heat - 60% Miami Heat - 60%
Charlotte Hornets - 40% Charlotte Hornets - 40%

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Miami Heat vs Charlotte Hornets Betting Preview

The Miami Heat, looking to rebound from a tough start, face off against the Charlotte Hornets at the Spectrum Center on Saturday night at 7:00 PM ET. Both teams are eager to gain momentum early in the season, and this divisional clash could be pivotal in setting the tone.

The Heat are slight favorites, entering the game with a -3.5 spread and a moneyline of -165, giving them a 60% implied win probability. Despite the odds being in their favor, Miami has been struggling, losing three consecutive games, including a 116-97 defeat to the Orlando Magic. The Heat's cold streak has bettors cautious, but they remain optimistic given the Hornets' recent performance.

Charlotte, on the other hand, holds a 1-1 record but has been lackluster over a longer stretch, dropping 37 of their last 50 games. They are coming off a narrow 125-120 loss to the Atlanta Hawks and face the additional challenge of playing back-to-back games, potentially impacting their energy levels against Miami.

One player to watch is Bam Adebayo, whose Points, Rebounds, and Assists (PRA) market has garnered significant attention from bettors. The current line is set at Under 29.5 PRA (-105), suggesting value for those eyeing an under bet. Observers have noted sharp money leaning towards the under, potentially seeing the line as mispriced.

With both teams eager to break their current trends, the matchup promises an intriguing contest. Miami's road trip and Charlotte's back-to-back schedule add layers to the narrative, making this game not only a test of skill but also of endurance and strategy. Bettors and fans alike will be watching to see who can capitalize on the other's vulnerabilities and secure a much-needed win.

Miami Heat vs Charlotte Hornets Prediction

Final Score: Miami Heat 107.89 vs Charlotte Hornets 102.22

Get daily NBA picks here.

Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

-6.0/-110
51% MIA
+6.0/-110
49% CHA

Moneyline Pick Consensus

-231
85% MIA
+193
15% CHA

Total Pick Consensus

223.5/-108
17% UN
223.5/-112
83% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

MIA
Team Stats Per Game
CHA
46
Games
44
39.8
FG
40.5
87.0
FGA
87.3
.457
FG%
.464
14.2
3Pt-FG
13.3
38.8
3Pt-FGA
38.5
.367
3Pt%
.346
25.5
2Pt-FG
27.2
48.2
2Pt-FGA
48.8
.530
2Pt%
.557
17.1
FT
17.7
21.6
FTA
22.7
.794
FT%
.779
9.4
ORB
10.6
34.3
DRB
33.4
43.7
TRB
44.0
26.4
AST
26.2
8.3
STL
8.3
3.8
BLK
5.6
13.7
TOV
14.4
15.9
PF
19.1
110.9
PTS
112.0

Defense/Offense

MIA
Team Stats Per Game
CHA
46
Games
44
41.4
FG
38.5
89.5
FGA
89.6
.463
FG%
.429
13.7
3Pt-FG
14.1
38.2
3Pt-FGA
41.0
.359
3Pt%
.345
27.7
2Pt-FG
24.3
51.3
2Pt-FGA
48.7
.540
2Pt%
.500
14.2
FT
15.9
18.1
FTA
20.5
.785
FT%
.773
11.2
ORB
13.0
34.5
DRB
32.9
45.7
TRB
45.9
27.2
AST
23.8
7.4
STL
8.2
5.1
BLK
4.9
14.0
TOV
15.9
17.8
PF
20.1
110.7
PTS
107.0

Offense/Defense

MIA
Four Factors
CHA
.539
eFG%
.540
12.4
TOV%
12.9
21.3
RB%
75.6
.197
FT/FGA
.203

Defense/Offense

MIA
Four Factors
CHA
.539
eFG%
.508
12.6
TOV%
13.8
75.5
RB%
28.1
.159
FT/FGA
.177

Offense/Defense

MIA
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
CHA
46
Games
44
40.4
FG
41.2
88.5
FGA
88.7
.457
FG%
.464
14.5
3Pt-FG
13.5
39.5
3Pt-FGA
39.1
.367
3Pt%
.346
26.0
2Pt-FG
27.7
49.0
2Pt-FGA
49.6
.530
2Pt%
.557
17.4
FT
18.0
22.0
FTA
23.1
.794
FT%
.779
9.5
ORB
10.8
34.9
DRB
33.9
44.4
TRB
44.7
26.9
AST
26.6
8.4
STL
8.5
3.8
BLK
5.7
13.9
TOV
14.6
16.1
PF
19.4
112.8
PTS
113.8

Defense/Offense

MIA
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
CHA
46
Games
44
42.1
FG
39.1
91.0
FGA
91.0
.463
FG%
.429
13.9
3Pt-FG
14.4
38.8
3Pt-FGA
41.6
.359
3Pt%
.345
28.2
2Pt-FG
24.7
52.2
2Pt-FGA
49.4
.540
2Pt%
.500
14.5
FT
16.1
18.4
FTA
20.9
.785
FT%
.773
11.3
ORB
13.3
35.1
DRB
33.4
46.5
TRB
46.7
27.6
AST
24.2
7.5
STL
8.4
5.2
BLK
5.0
14.3
TOV
16.1
18.1
PF
20.4
112.6
PTS
108.7

MIA
Analytics
CHA
23
Pythag Wins
15
23
Pythag Losses
29
0.15
Margin Of Victory
-5.07
112.8
O Rtg
108.7
112.6
D Rtg
113.8
96.8
Pace
97.8
.248
FTr
.229
.446
3PAr
.457
.575
TS%
.542

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
MIA CHA
MIA CHA
Consensus
+1.0 (-113)
-1.0 (-105)
-5.5 (-113)
+5.5 (-109)
-1.0 (-110)
+1.0 (-115)
-6.0 (-110)
+6.0 (-110)
-3.0 (-112)
+3.0 (-110)
-5.5 (-112)
+5.5 (-108)
-3.5 (-112)
+3.5 (-109)
-5.5 (-112)
+5.5 (-109)
-3.5 (-110)
+3.5 (-110)
-5.5 (-110)
+5.5 (-110)
-3.5 (-115)
+3.5 (-110)
-5.5 (-115)
+5.5 (-105)
Open
Current
Book
MIA CHA
MIA CHA
Consensus
-110
-110
-231
+193
-110
-110
-245
+200
-158
+134
-240
+198
-165
+138
-220
+180
-175
+148
-240
+196
-165
+140
-250
+195
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
221.5 (-110)
221.5 (-110)
223.5 (-109)
223.5 (-112)
221.5 (-110)
221.5 (-110)
223.5 (-112)
223.5 (-108)
220.5 (-110)
220.5 (-110)
224.5 (-110)
224.5 (-110)
220.5 (-108)
220.5 (-113)
223.5 (-108)
223.5 (-113)
220.5 (-110)
220.5 (-110)
224.5 (-110)
224.5 (-110)
221.5 (-105)
221.5 (-115)
223.5 (-105)
223.5 (-115)

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