Memphis Grizzlies

Memphis Grizzlies

Apr 11, 2025

Denver Nuggets

Denver Nuggets
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Memphis Grizzlies vs Denver Nuggets Prediction – 4/11/2025


The Memphis Grizzlies (47-33) are set to face off against the Denver Nuggets (48-32) on April 11, 2025, at 9:00 PM ET at Ball Arena. This matchup marks a back-to-back game for the Grizzlies, who played just yesterday, which could significantly impact their performance due to reduced rest time.

The Nuggets are entering this game as substantial favorites, with the spread currently sitting at Nuggets -7.5. The moneyline reflects this disparity, as the Nuggets are priced at -290 while the Grizzlies hold a moneyline of +245. This translates to an implied win probability of 72% for the Nuggets, compared to a mere 28% for the Grizzlies.

Despite their overall standing, Memphis has been hot on the road, boasting three consecutive wins away from home. However, their recent loss to the Minnesota Timberwolves, where they fell 141-125, adds a layer of concern regarding their stamina and readiness for this contest. On the other side, the Nuggets are riding a wave of momentum after defeating the Sacramento Kings 124-116 and have won 31 of their last 50 games, showcasing their strong play.

For those looking at player prop bets, Ja Morant's points are generating interest, and many bettors are favoring the Under on his points total, currently set at 26.5, suggesting a potential mispricing in this market. With sharp bettors leaning towards the Under, this game could present opportunities for those keen on betting strategies. As tip-off approaches, the dynamics of fatigue and recent performance will be critical factors to monitor.


Memphis Grizzlies vs Denver Nuggets Prediction

Predicted Final Score: Memphis Grizzlies 128.87 vs Denver Nuggets 121.84


Memphis Grizzlies vs Denver Nuggets Win Probabilities

TeamImplied Win %:Projected Win %:
Grizzlies28%70%
Nuggets72%30%

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Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

+7.0/-108
51% MEM
-7.0/-112
49% DEN

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+238
13% MEM
-289
87% DEN

Total Pick Consensus

244.5/-110
25% UN
244.5/-110
75% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

MEM
Team Stats Per Game
DEN
82
Games
82
44.8
FG
43.3
93.3
FGA
93.0
.479
FG%
.466
13.9
3Pt-FG
14.1
37.9
3Pt-FGA
38.7
.367
3Pt%
.365
30.8
2Pt-FG
29.2
55.5
2Pt-FGA
54.4
.556
2Pt%
.538
18.3
FT
16.1
23.3
FTA
20.7
.786
FT%
.777
12.9
ORB
11.7
34.4
DRB
30.7
47.3
TRB
42.5
28.4
AST
29.0
8.9
STL
8.7
5.6
BLK
5.1
15.7
TOV
13.0
20.9
PF
19.0
121.7
PTS
116.9

Defense/Offense

MEM
Team Stats Per Game
DEN
82
Games
82
41.9
FG
45.4
91.8
FGA
89.8
.456
FG%
.506
14.2
3Pt-FG
12.0
39.4
3Pt-FGA
31.9
.360
3Pt%
.376
27.7
2Pt-FG
33.4
52.4
2Pt-FGA
57.8
.529
2Pt%
.578
18.9
FT
17.9
24.5
FTA
23.3
.770
FT%
.770
11.5
ORB
11.2
32.0
DRB
34.5
43.5
TRB
45.7
27.0
AST
31.0
8.7
STL
8.0
5.5
BLK
4.9
15.1
TOV
14.3
20.2
PF
17.6
116.9
PTS
120.8

Offense/Defense

MEM
Four Factors
DEN
.554
eFG%
.542
13.1
TOV%
11.3
28.7
RB%
74.6
.196
FT/FGA
.173

Defense/Offense

MEM
Four Factors
DEN
.533
eFG%
.573
12.9
TOV%
12.5
74.9
RB%
26.7
.206
FT/FGA
.200

Offense/Defense

MEM
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
DEN
82
Games
82
43.3
FG
43.0
90.3
FGA
92.4
.479
FG%
.466
13.5
3Pt-FG
14.0
36.6
3Pt-FGA
38.4
.367
3Pt%
.365
29.8
2Pt-FG
29.0
53.6
2Pt-FGA
54.0
.556
2Pt%
.538
17.7
FT
16.0
22.5
FTA
20.6
.786
FT%
.777
12.5
ORB
11.7
33.3
DRB
30.5
45.7
TRB
42.2
27.5
AST
28.8
8.6
STL
8.7
5.4
BLK
5.1
15.2
TOV
12.9
20.2
PF
18.9
117.7
PTS
116.0

Defense/Offense

MEM
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
DEN
82
Games
82
40.5
FG
45.1
88.8
FGA
89.1
.456
FG%
.506
13.7
3Pt-FG
11.9
38.1
3Pt-FGA
31.7
.360
3Pt%
.376
26.8
2Pt-FG
33.2
50.7
2Pt-FGA
57.4
.529
2Pt%
.578
18.3
FT
17.8
23.7
FTA
23.1
.770
FT%
.770
11.1
ORB
11.1
31.0
DRB
34.3
42.1
TRB
45.4
26.2
AST
30.8
8.4
STL
7.9
5.3
BLK
4.9
14.6
TOV
14.2
19.5
PF
17.5
113.0
PTS
119.9

MEM
Analytics
DEN
52
Pythag Wins
50
30
Pythag Losses
32
4.85
Margin Of Victory
3.89
117.7
O Rtg
119.9
113.0
D Rtg
116.0
103.3
Pace
99.8
.249
FTr
.259
.406
3PAr
.356
.588
TS%
.604

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
MEM DEN
MEM DEN
Consensus
+7.0 (-113)
-7.0 (-108)
+7.5 (-113)
-7.5 (-109)
+7.0 (-108)
-7.0 (-110)
+7.0 (-108)
-7.0 (-112)
+7.0 (-110)
-7.0 (-110)
+7.0 (-110)
-7.0 (-110)
+7.0 (-113)
-7.0 (-110)
+7.5 (-113)
-7.5 (-108)
+7.0 (-105)
-7.0 (-105)
+7.0 (-105)
-7.0 (-115)
+6.5 (-115)
-6.5 (-118)
+7.5 (-115)
-7.5 (-105)
Open
Current
Book
MEM DEN
MEM DEN
Consensus
+235
-290
+238
-289
+235
-290
+245
-305
+245
-300
+235
-290
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
237.0 (-115)
237.0 (-105)
244.5 (-113)
244.5 (-109)
239.5 (-110)
239.5 (-110)
246.0 (-110)
246.0 (-110)
239.0 (-110)
239.0 (-110)
245.0 (-112)
245.0 (-108)
239.0 (-112)
239.0 (-109)
244.5 (-112)
244.5 (-109)
237.0 (-115)
237.0 (-105)
245.5 (-110)
245.5 (-110)
238.5 (-115)
238.5 (-105)
245.5 (-110)
245.5 (-110)

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