Los Angeles Lakers

Los Angeles Lakers

Apr 27, 2025

Minnesota Timberwolves

Minnesota Timberwolves
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Los Angeles Lakers vs Minnesota Timberwolves Game 4 Pick – 4/27/2025

On April 27, 2025, the Los Angeles Lakers will face off against the Minnesota Timberwolves in Game 4 of their first round playoff series at 3:30 PM ET at Target Center. Both teams enter this matchup with identical records of 51-34, but the Timberwolves are slight favorites, holding a -2.5 spread and a moneyline of -140, while the Lakers sit at +120. Minnesota leads the series 2-1 heading into this game.

Traveling cross-country for this road game, the Lakers might feel the effects of a longer than normal trip, which could impact their performance. Despite this challenge, Los Angeles has been competitive lately, winning 31 of their last 50 games. However, they will be looking to bounce back after their previous encounter, where they lost to the Timberwolves 116-104.

Minnesota has also shown solid form, winning 33 of their last 50 games. With an implied win probability of 56%, the Timberwolves are expected to capitalize on their home-court advantage. On the other hand, the Lakers, with an implied win probability of 44%, will need to overcome the odds to secure a victory.

For those interested in player prop bets, Rudy Gobert's Points and Rebounds market has garnered significant attention. Following a shift in the betting line, the total opened at Under 16.5 Points and Rebounds (-120) but has since moved to Under 14.5 (-120), indicating that sharp bettors are leaning towards the under.

Los Angeles Lakers vs Minnesota Timberwolves Game 4 Prediction

Predicted Final Score: Los Angeles Lakers 105.38, Minnesota Timberwolves 108.66

Los Angeles Lakers vs Minnesota Timberwolves Game 4 Win Probabilities

TeamImplied Win %:Projected Win %:
Lakers44%41%
Timberwolves56%59%

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Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

+2.5/-108
60% LAL
-2.5/-112
40% MIN

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+120
60% LAL
-142
40% MIN

Total Pick Consensus

209.0/-110
11% UN
209.0/-110
89% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

LAL
Team Stats Per Game
MIN
82
Games
82
40.9
FG
40.5
85.5
FGA
88.0
.479
FG%
.460
13.3
3Pt-FG
12.7
36.4
3Pt-FGA
36.0
.366
3Pt%
.353
27.6
2Pt-FG
27.8
49.1
2Pt-FGA
52.0
.562
2Pt%
.534
18.2
FT
15.7
23.2
FTA
20.4
.785
FT%
.767
9.7
ORB
11.0
32.8
DRB
31.8
42.4
TRB
42.9
26.0
AST
24.8
7.7
STL
8.4
4.5
BLK
4.5
14.0
TOV
14.7
17.3
PF
19.2
113.4
PTS
109.3

Defense/Offense

LAL
Team Stats Per Game
MIN
82
Games
82
41.4
FG
41.0
89.3
FGA
87.6
.463
FG%
.468
13.6
3Pt-FG
15.0
38.1
3Pt-FGA
39.9
.356
3Pt%
.377
27.8
2Pt-FG
26.0
51.2
2Pt-FGA
47.7
.544
2Pt%
.545
15.9
FT
17.2
20.5
FTA
21.8
.775
FT%
.789
11.2
ORB
11.1
31.8
DRB
33.2
43.0
TRB
44.3
27.3
AST
26.1
8.2
STL
8.0
4.2
BLK
5.0
13.7
TOV
14.5
19.2
PF
18.3
112.2
PTS
114.3

Offense/Defense

LAL
Four Factors
MIN
.557
eFG%
.532
12.7
TOV%
13.2
23.3
RB%
75.1
.213
FT/FGA
.178

Defense/Offense

LAL
Four Factors
MIN
.539
eFG%
.554
12.2
TOV%
13.0
74.5
RB%
25.8
.178
FT/FGA
.196

Offense/Defense

LAL
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
MIN
82
Games
82
41.8
FG
41.3
87.3
FGA
89.7
.479
FG%
.460
13.6
3Pt-FG
12.9
37.2
3Pt-FGA
36.7
.366
3Pt%
.353
28.2
2Pt-FG
28.3
50.2
2Pt-FGA
53.0
.562
2Pt%
.534
18.6
FT
16.0
23.7
FTA
20.8
.785
FT%
.767
9.9
ORB
11.3
33.5
DRB
32.5
43.4
TRB
43.7
26.6
AST
25.3
7.9
STL
8.5
4.6
BLK
4.6
14.3
TOV
15.0
17.6
PF
19.5
115.9
PTS
111.5

Defense/Offense

LAL
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
MIN
82
Games
82
42.3
FG
41.8
91.2
FGA
89.3
.463
FG%
.468
13.9
3Pt-FG
15.3
38.9
3Pt-FGA
40.7
.356
3Pt%
.377
28.4
2Pt-FG
26.5
52.3
2Pt-FGA
48.7
.544
2Pt%
.545
16.2
FT
17.6
20.9
FTA
22.3
.775
FT%
.789
11.5
ORB
11.3
32.5
DRB
33.9
44.0
TRB
45.2
27.9
AST
26.6
8.4
STL
8.1
4.3
BLK
5.1
14.0
TOV
14.8
19.6
PF
18.6
114.7
PTS
116.6

LAL
Analytics
MIN
44
Pythag Wins
53
38
Pythag Losses
29
1.22
Margin Of Victory
5.00
115.9
O Rtg
116.6
114.7
D Rtg
111.5
97.6
Pace
97.3
.271
FTr
.249
.425
3PAr
.455
.593
TS%
.588

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
LAL MIN
LAL MIN
Consensus
+3.5 (-109)
-3.5 (-110)
+2.5 (-109)
-2.5 (-110)
+4.0 (-108)
-4.0 (-110)
+2.5 (-108)
-2.5 (-112)
+3.5 (-112)
-3.5 (-110)
+3.0 (-112)
-3.0 (-108)
+3.5 (-112)
-3.5 (-112)
+3.0 (-112)
-3.0 (-109)
+4.0 (-110)
-4.0 (-110)
+2.5 (-110)
-2.5 (-110)
+3.5 (-110)
-3.5 (-105)
+2.5 (-110)
-2.5 (-110)
Open
Current
Book
LAL MIN
LAL MIN
Consensus
+143
-172
+123
-145
+145
-175
+120
-142
+138
-164
+124
-146
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
209.5 (-110)
209.5 (-110)
208.5 (-111)
208.5 (-110)
209.5 (-110)
209.5 (-110)
209.0 (-110)
209.0 (-110)
210.0 (-110)
210.0 (-110)
208.5 (-110)
208.5 (-110)
209.5 (-113)
209.5 (-108)
208.5 (-112)
208.5 (-109)
209.5 (-110)
209.5 (-110)
209.0 (-110)
209.0 (-110)
209.5 (-110)
209.5 (-110)
208.5 (-110)
208.5 (-110)

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Home NBA Picks Los Angeles Lakers vs Minnesota Timberwolves Game 4 Pick – 4/27/2025