Los Angeles Lakers

Los Angeles Lakers

Dec 4, 2024

Miami Heat

Miami Heat
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Los Angeles Lakers vs Miami Heat Prediction & Picks 12/4/2024

  • Date: December 4, 2024
  • Venue: Kaseya Center


Betting Odds

Spread:Los Angeles Lakers 2 (-110), Miami Heat -2 (-110)
Over/Under:216.5
Moneyline:Los Angeles Lakers 105, Miami Heat -125


Los Angeles Lakers vs Miami Heat Win Probabilities

Implied Win %:Projected Win %:
Los Angeles Lakers - 47%Los Angeles Lakers - 37%
Miami Heat - 53%Miami Heat - 63%

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Los Angeles Lakers vs Miami Heat Betting Preview

The Los Angeles Lakers, sporting a 12-9 record, are set to face off against the Miami Heat, who are currently 9-10, in a Wednesday night showdown at the Kaseya Center. Tip-off is scheduled for 7:30 PM ET, with the Heat holding a slight edge in the betting markets as 2-point favorites.

Travel fatigue might be a factor for the Lakers, who have journeyed cross-country, crossing two time zones to reach Miami. Despite this, Los Angeles has shown resilience, winning 11 of their last 20 games. However, they are coming off a tough 109-80 loss to the Minnesota Timberwolves, which could influence their performance.

The Heat, on the other hand, have been solid at home recently, claiming victory in 3 of their last 4 games at the Kaseya Center. They too are looking to bounce back from a recent defeat, a 108-89 loss to the Boston Celtics.

From a betting perspective, the Heat's moneyline is set at -125, implying a 53% chance of winning, while the Lakers are at +105, translating to a 47% implied probability. For those eyeing player prop bets, Anthony Davis's Points and Rebounds market is drawing significant attention. The Over is set at 38.5 (-115), with sharp bettors seeing potential value in this line.

With both teams eager to rebound from their recent losses, this matchup promises to be a compelling contest. The Heat's slight home-court advantage and the Lakers' travel challenges add layers of intrigue to this midweek clash. Bettors and fans alike will be keen to see if the Lakers can overcome the odds or if the Heat will hold serve at home.


Los Angeles Lakers vs Miami Heat Prediction

Final Score: Los Angeles Lakers 111.29 vs Miami Heat 115.91

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Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

+2.0/-108
46% LAL
-2.0/-112
54% MIA

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+105
33% LAL
-125
67% MIA

Total Pick Consensus

216.5/-108
21% UN
216.5/-112
79% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

LAL
Team Stats Per Game
MIA
21
Games
19
40.7
FG
40.8
85.6
FGA
88.0
.476
FG%
.464
11.8
3Pt-FG
14.0
33.7
3Pt-FGA
38.9
.349
3Pt%
.359
29.0
2Pt-FG
26.8
51.9
2Pt-FGA
49.1
.558
2Pt%
.547
19.1
FT
14.2
24.5
FTA
17.7
.782
FT%
.798
9.0
ORB
11.5
31.4
DRB
35.1
40.5
TRB
46.6
26.4
AST
26.5
7.4
STL
6.8
4.4
BLK
5.7
13.0
TOV
15.7
16.2
PF
19.3
112.3
PTS
109.8

Defense/Offense

LAL
Team Stats Per Game
MIA
21
Games
19
43.0
FG
38.8
89.2
FGA
88.3
.482
FG%
.440
13.7
3Pt-FG
14.6
37.2
3Pt-FGA
39.3
.367
3Pt%
.371
29.3
2Pt-FG
24.3
52.0
2Pt-FGA
49.1
.565
2Pt%
.495
15.2
FT
17.8
19.2
FTA
22.9
.790
FT%
.778
11.0
ORB
10.2
32.6
DRB
32.9
43.6
TRB
43.1
28.4
AST
25.4
7.6
STL
9.2
4.0
BLK
3.5
14.1
TOV
12.6
20.8
PF
16.3
114.9
PTS
110.1

Offense/Defense

LAL
Four Factors
MIA
.544
eFG%
.544
11.8
TOV%
14.1
21.7
RB%
74.1
.224
FT/FGA
.161

Defense/Offense

LAL
Four Factors
MIA
.559
eFG%
.522
12.6
TOV%
11.4
74.2
RB%
22.4
.170
FT/FGA
.202

Offense/Defense

LAL
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
MIA
21
Games
19
41.5
FG
41.7
87.3
FGA
89.8
.476
FG%
.464
12.0
3Pt-FG
14.3
34.4
3Pt-FGA
39.7
.349
3Pt%
.359
29.5
2Pt-FG
27.4
52.9
2Pt-FGA
50.1
.558
2Pt%
.547
19.5
FT
14.4
25.0
FTA
18.1
.782
FT%
.798
9.2
ORB
11.8
32.0
DRB
35.8
41.3
TRB
47.6
26.9
AST
27.1
7.5
STL
7.0
4.5
BLK
5.8
13.2
TOV
16.1
16.5
PF
19.7
114.5
PTS
112.1

Defense/Offense

LAL
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
MIA
21
Games
19
43.8
FG
39.6
90.9
FGA
90.1
.482
FG%
.440
13.9
3Pt-FG
14.9
38.0
3Pt-FGA
40.1
.367
3Pt%
.371
29.9
2Pt-FG
24.8
53.0
2Pt-FGA
50.1
.565
2Pt%
.495
15.5
FT
18.2
19.6
FTA
23.4
.790
FT%
.778
11.2
ORB
10.4
33.3
DRB
33.6
44.4
TRB
43.9
28.9
AST
25.9
7.7
STL
9.3
4.1
BLK
3.6
14.4
TOV
12.9
21.2
PF
16.6
117.1
PTS
112.4

LAL
Analytics
MIA
9
Pythag Wins
10
12
Pythag Losses
9
-2.52
Margin Of Victory
0.26
114.5
O Rtg
112.4
117.1
D Rtg
112.1
98.1
Pace
96.9
.286
FTr
.260
.394
3PAr
.445
.583
TS%
.559

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
LAL MIA
LAL MIA
Consensus
+1.5 (-109)
-1.5 (-105)
+2.0 (-109)
-2.0 (-110)
+1.0 (-108)
-1.0 (-105)
+2.0 (-108)
-2.0 (-112)
+1.0 (-108)
-1.0 (-110)
+1.5 (-108)
-1.5 (-112)
+2.0 (-110)
-2.0 (-110)
+2.0 (-110)
-2.0 (-110)
+1.5 (-105)
-1.5 (-110)
+1.5 (-105)
-1.5 (-115)
+1.5 (-115)
-1.5 (+100)
+2.5 (-115)
-2.5 (-105)
Open
Current
Book
LAL MIA
LAL MIA
Consensus
+100
-120
+108
-128
-110
-110
+105
-125
+100
-118
+108
-126
+108
-129
+108
-127
+100
-120
+105
-125
-105
-115
+105
-130
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
219.5 (-105)
219.5 (-115)
216.5 (-109)
216.5 (-111)
219.5 (-110)
219.5 (-110)
216.5 (-112)
216.5 (-108)
219.0 (-110)
219.0 (-110)
216.5 (-110)
216.5 (-110)
220.0 (-112)
220.0 (-109)
217.0 (-108)
217.0 (-113)
220.0 (-110)
220.0 (-110)
216.5 (-110)
216.5 (-110)
219.5 (-110)
219.5 (-110)
216.5 (-110)
216.5 (-110)