Los Angeles Lakers

Los Angeles Lakers

Dec 4, 2024

Miami Heat

Miami Heat
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Los Angeles Lakers vs Miami Heat Prediction & Picks 12/4/2024

  • Date: December 4, 2024
  • Venue: Kaseya Center


Betting Odds

Spread:Los Angeles Lakers 2 (-110), Miami Heat -2 (-110)
Over/Under:216.5
Moneyline:Los Angeles Lakers 105, Miami Heat -125


Los Angeles Lakers vs Miami Heat Win Probabilities

Implied Win %:Projected Win %:
Los Angeles Lakers - 47%Los Angeles Lakers - 37%
Miami Heat - 53%Miami Heat - 63%

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Los Angeles Lakers vs Miami Heat Betting Preview

The Los Angeles Lakers, sporting a 12-9 record, are set to face off against the Miami Heat, who are currently 9-10, in a Wednesday night showdown at the Kaseya Center. Tip-off is scheduled for 7:30 PM ET, with the Heat holding a slight edge in the betting markets as 2-point favorites.

Travel fatigue might be a factor for the Lakers, who have journeyed cross-country, crossing two time zones to reach Miami. Despite this, Los Angeles has shown resilience, winning 11 of their last 20 games. However, they are coming off a tough 109-80 loss to the Minnesota Timberwolves, which could influence their performance.

The Heat, on the other hand, have been solid at home recently, claiming victory in 3 of their last 4 games at the Kaseya Center. They too are looking to bounce back from a recent defeat, a 108-89 loss to the Boston Celtics.

From a betting perspective, the Heat's moneyline is set at -125, implying a 53% chance of winning, while the Lakers are at +105, translating to a 47% implied probability. For those eyeing player prop bets, Anthony Davis's Points and Rebounds market is drawing significant attention. The Over is set at 38.5 (-115), with sharp bettors seeing potential value in this line.

With both teams eager to rebound from their recent losses, this matchup promises to be a compelling contest. The Heat's slight home-court advantage and the Lakers' travel challenges add layers of intrigue to this midweek clash. Bettors and fans alike will be keen to see if the Lakers can overcome the odds or if the Heat will hold serve at home.


Los Angeles Lakers vs Miami Heat Prediction

Final Score: Los Angeles Lakers 111.29 vs Miami Heat 115.91

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Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

+3.5/-108
43% LAL
-3.5/-112
57% MIA

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+141
26% LAL
-166
74% MIA

Total Pick Consensus

217.5/-108
26% UN
217.5/-112
74% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

LAL
Team Stats Per Game
MIA
35
Games
34
40.7
FG
41.0
86.0
FGA
88.6
.473
FG%
.463
11.9
3Pt-FG
13.6
33.7
3Pt-FGA
37.6
.355
3Pt%
.361
28.7
2Pt-FG
27.4
52.3
2Pt-FGA
51.0
.549
2Pt%
.538
18.9
FT
14.9
24.0
FTA
18.6
.790
FT%
.800
9.6
ORB
11.4
32.1
DRB
34.3
41.6
TRB
45.6
26.5
AST
26.8
7.6
STL
7.2
4.8
BLK
5.2
13.5
TOV
14.9
16.5
PF
18.9
112.3
PTS
110.5

Defense/Offense

LAL
Team Stats Per Game
MIA
35
Games
34
42.9
FG
39.5
90.1
FGA
86.6
.476
FG%
.456
13.2
3Pt-FG
14.0
36.9
3Pt-FGA
38.0
.358
3Pt%
.369
29.6
2Pt-FG
25.5
53.2
2Pt-FGA
48.6
.557
2Pt%
.524
14.9
FT
18.3
19.0
FTA
23.4
.785
FT%
.784
11.2
ORB
9.5
33.0
DRB
33.7
44.3
TRB
43.2
27.9
AST
25.9
7.7
STL
8.9
4.2
BLK
3.7
14.0
TOV
13.6
20.5
PF
16.6
113.9
PTS
111.3

Offense/Defense

LAL
Four Factors
MIA
.543
eFG%
.540
12.3
TOV%
13.4
22.5
RB%
74.7
.220
FT/FGA
.168

Defense/Offense

LAL
Four Factors
MIA
.549
eFG%
.537
12.4
TOV%
12.3
74.1
RB%
21.7
.166
FT/FGA
.212

Offense/Defense

LAL
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
MIA
35
Games
34
41.3
FG
41.7
87.4
FGA
90.0
.473
FG%
.463
12.1
3Pt-FG
13.8
34.2
3Pt-FGA
38.2
.355
3Pt%
.361
29.2
2Pt-FG
27.9
53.2
2Pt-FGA
51.9
.549
2Pt%
.538
19.2
FT
15.2
24.4
FTA
19.0
.790
FT%
.800
9.7
ORB
11.6
32.6
DRB
34.8
42.3
TRB
46.4
26.9
AST
27.3
7.7
STL
7.3
4.9
BLK
5.3
13.8
TOV
15.2
16.8
PF
19.2
114.1
PTS
112.3

Defense/Offense

LAL
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
MIA
35
Games
34
43.5
FG
40.1
91.6
FGA
88.0
.476
FG%
.456
13.4
3Pt-FG
14.2
37.5
3Pt-FGA
38.6
.358
3Pt%
.369
30.1
2Pt-FG
25.9
54.1
2Pt-FGA
49.4
.557
2Pt%
.524
15.2
FT
18.6
19.3
FTA
23.8
.785
FT%
.784
11.4
ORB
9.7
33.6
DRB
34.2
45.0
TRB
43.9
28.3
AST
26.3
7.8
STL
9.1
4.2
BLK
3.8
14.2
TOV
13.8
20.9
PF
16.8
115.7
PTS
113.1

LAL
Analytics
MIA
16
Pythag Wins
18
19
Pythag Losses
16
-1.60
Margin Of Victory
0.79
114.1
O Rtg
113.1
115.7
D Rtg
112.3
98.1
Pace
96.9
.279
FTr
.270
.391
3PAr
.439
.581
TS%
.574

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
LAL MIA
LAL MIA
Consensus
+1.5 (-109)
-1.5 (-105)
+3.5 (-109)
-3.5 (-111)
+1.0 (-108)
-1.0 (-105)
+3.5 (-108)
-3.5 (-112)
+1.0 (-108)
-1.0 (-110)
+3.5 (-108)
-3.5 (-112)
+2.0 (-107)
-2.0 (-110)
+3.5 (-107)
-3.5 (-114)
+1.5 (-115)
-1.5 (-110)
+3.5 (-115)
-3.5 (-105)
+1.5 (-110)
-1.5 (+100)
+3.5 (-110)
-3.5 (-110)
Open
Current
Book
LAL MIA
LAL MIA
Consensus
+100
-120
+141
-166
-110
-110
+145
-175
+100
-118
+140
-166
+108
-129
+140
-167
+100
-120
+140
-165
-105
-115
+135
-165
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
219.5 (-105)
219.5 (-115)
217.5 (-109)
217.5 (-111)
219.5 (-110)
219.5 (-110)
218.0 (-112)
218.0 (-108)
219.0 (-110)
219.0 (-110)
217.5 (-110)
217.5 (-110)
220.0 (-112)
220.0 (-109)
216.5 (-113)
216.5 (-108)
220.0 (-110)
220.0 (-110)
217.5 (-110)
217.5 (-110)
219.5 (-110)
219.5 (-110)
217.5 (-110)
217.5 (-110)