Los Angeles Clippers

Los Angeles Clippers

Apr 29, 2025

Denver Nuggets

Denver Nuggets
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Los Angeles Clippers vs Denver Nuggets Game 5 Pick – 4/29/2025

On April 29, 2025, the LA Clippers will face off against the Denver Nuggets in a pivotal Game 5 in their first-round playoff series in the Western Conference. Scheduled for 10:00 PM ET at Ball Arena, this game promises to be a tightly contested battle, with the series tied 2-2 going into this matchup.

Both teams enter the game with three days of rest, which could play a significant role in their performance. The Clippers have been on a roll, winning 20 of their last 25 games, while the Nuggets have also shown resilience, securing victories in 31 of their last 50 contests. Despite being on the road, the Clippers are slight favorites, with a spread of Clippers -2.0 and a moneyline of -130, giving them an implied win probability of 54%. Conversely, the Nuggets, with a moneyline of +110, have an implied win probability of 46%.

Recent history favors the Nuggets, who edged out the Clippers 101-99 in their last encounter, an upset considering they were 6.5-point underdogs with only a 30% chance of winning that game. This recent victory could provide a psychological edge for Denver as they prepare to defend their home court.

For those looking at player prop markets, Kris Dunn's points and rebounds are drawing attention, with the Over 8.5 Points and Rebounds priced at -135, as sharp bettors seem to believe this line offers value.

LA Clippers vs Denver Nuggets Game 5 Prediction

Predicted Final Score: LA Clippers 109.06, Denver Nuggets 107.57

LA Clippers vs Denver Nuggets Game 5 Win Probabilities

TeamImplied Win %:Projected Win %:
Clippers54%54%
Nuggets46%46%

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Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

-1.5/-110
55% LAC
+1.5/-110
45% DEN

Moneyline Pick Consensus

-122
50% LAC
+102
50% DEN

Total Pick Consensus

208.5/-110
29% UN
208.5/-110
71% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

LAC
Team Stats Per Game
DEN
82
Games
82
41.6
FG
43.3
86.3
FGA
93.0
.482
FG%
.466
12.5
3Pt-FG
14.1
33.4
3Pt-FGA
38.7
.373
3Pt%
.365
29.1
2Pt-FG
29.2
52.9
2Pt-FGA
54.4
.550
2Pt%
.538
17.3
FT
16.1
21.7
FTA
20.7
.797
FT%
.777
10.3
ORB
11.7
33.5
DRB
30.7
43.8
TRB
42.5
25.2
AST
29.0
9.4
STL
8.7
4.5
BLK
5.1
14.9
TOV
13.0
18.3
PF
19.0
112.9
PTS
116.9

Defense/Offense

LAC
Team Stats Per Game
DEN
82
Games
82
39.5
FG
45.4
85.8
FGA
89.8
.461
FG%
.506
13.0
3Pt-FG
12.0
37.0
3Pt-FGA
31.9
.350
3Pt%
.376
26.5
2Pt-FG
33.4
48.7
2Pt-FGA
57.8
.545
2Pt%
.578
16.2
FT
17.9
21.0
FTA
23.3
.772
FT%
.770
9.7
ORB
11.2
31.8
DRB
34.5
41.5
TRB
45.7
25.7
AST
31.0
8.8
STL
8.0
4.3
BLK
4.9
15.0
TOV
14.3
17.8
PF
17.6
108.2
PTS
120.8

Offense/Defense

LAC
Four Factors
DEN
.554
eFG%
.542
13.4
TOV%
11.3
24.4
RB%
74.6
.200
FT/FGA
.173

Defense/Offense

LAC
Four Factors
DEN
.536
eFG%
.573
13.7
TOV%
12.5
77.5
RB%
26.7
.189
FT/FGA
.200

Offense/Defense

LAC
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
DEN
82
Games
82
42.4
FG
43.0
87.9
FGA
92.4
.482
FG%
.466
12.7
3Pt-FG
14.0
34.0
3Pt-FGA
38.4
.373
3Pt%
.365
29.7
2Pt-FG
29.0
53.9
2Pt-FGA
54.0
.550
2Pt%
.538
17.6
FT
16.0
22.1
FTA
20.6
.797
FT%
.777
10.5
ORB
11.7
34.2
DRB
30.5
44.6
TRB
42.2
25.7
AST
28.8
9.6
STL
8.7
4.6
BLK
5.1
15.2
TOV
12.9
18.7
PF
18.9
115.1
PTS
116.0

Defense/Offense

LAC
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
DEN
82
Games
82
40.3
FG
45.1
87.4
FGA
89.1
.461
FG%
.506
13.2
3Pt-FG
11.9
37.8
3Pt-FGA
31.7
.350
3Pt%
.376
27.0
2Pt-FG
33.2
49.6
2Pt-FGA
57.4
.545
2Pt%
.578
16.5
FT
17.8
21.4
FTA
23.1
.772
FT%
.770
9.9
ORB
11.1
32.4
DRB
34.3
42.3
TRB
45.4
26.2
AST
30.8
9.0
STL
7.9
4.4
BLK
4.9
15.3
TOV
14.2
18.1
PF
17.5
110.3
PTS
119.9

LAC
Analytics
DEN
53
Pythag Wins
50
29
Pythag Losses
32
4.66
Margin Of Victory
3.89
115.1
O Rtg
119.9
110.3
D Rtg
116.0
97.5
Pace
99.8
.251
FTr
.259
.387
3PAr
.356
.589
TS%
.604

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
LAC DEN
LAC DEN
Consensus
+1.5 (-108)
-1.5 (-110)
-2.0 (-108)
+2.0 (-111)
+1.5 (-110)
-1.5 (-110)
-1.5 (-110)
+1.5 (-110)
+1.5 (-108)
-1.5 (-110)
-2.0 (-108)
+2.0 (-112)
-1.0 (-108)
+1.0 (-109)
-2.0 (-108)
+2.0 (-113)
+1.5 (-110)
-1.5 (-110)
-2.0 (-110)
+2.0 (-110)
+1.5 (-110)
-1.5 (+100)
-1.5 (-110)
+1.5 (-110)
Open
Current
Book
LAC DEN
LAC DEN
Consensus
+103
-122
-128
+109
+102
-122
-122
+102
+104
-122
-130
+110
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
208.5 (-110)
208.5 (-110)
208.5 (-110)
208.5 (-110)
208.5 (-110)
208.5 (-110)
208.5 (-110)
208.5 (-110)
208.5 (-110)
208.5 (-110)
208.0 (-112)
208.0 (-108)
208.5 (-110)
208.5 (-110)
208.5 (-110)
208.5 (-110)
208.5 (-110)
208.5 (-110)
208.5 (-110)
208.5 (-110)
208.5 (-110)
208.5 (-110)
208.5 (-110)
208.5 (-110)

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