Indiana Pacers

Indiana Pacers

Apr 27, 2025

Milwaukee Bucks

Milwaukee Bucks
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Indiana Pacers vs Milwaukee Bucks Game 4 Prediction – 4/27/2025

The Indiana Pacers (52-33) are set to face off against the Milwaukee Bucks (50-36) in Game 4 of their first round playoff series in the Eastern Conference. Slated for April 27, 2025, at 9:30 PM ET, this Sunday night game will take place at Fiserv Forum, where the Bucks have established a strong home-court advantage. Indiana holds a 2-1 lead going into this game, with Milwaukee looking to even this series at 2-2.

This clash comes with added significance, as both teams are divisional rivals and will be motivated to secure a win. Currently, the Bucks are favored by 4.5 points, with a Moneyline of -185, indicating their 63% implied win probability. Conversely, the Pacers, offering a Moneyline of +160, have an implied win probability of 37%.

The Pacers have been performing well lately, winning 35 of their last 50 games, which shows their potential to challenge the Bucks. However, the Bucks have also been strong at home, with 28 victories in their last 40 games played at Fiserv Forum. In their most recent encounter, the Pacers fell to the Bucks, losing 117-101, which may weigh on their minds as they seek redemption.

For those interested in player prop markets, Kevin Porter Jr.'s Points, Rebounds, and Assists have garnered attention. The prop total has shifted from an opening line of Under 17.5 to Under 15.5, reflecting sharp betting action on the Under.

As these two teams prepare for battle, fans and bettors alike will be watching closely to see if the Pacers can turn the tide against the Bucks or if Milwaukee will continue its winning streak.

Indiana Pacers vs Milwaukee Bucks Game 4 Prediction

Predicted Final Score: Indiana Pacers 113.2, Milwaukee Bucks 120.27

Indiana Pacers vs Milwaukee Bucks Game 4 Win Probabilities

TeamImplied Win %:Projected Win %:
Pacers37%30%
Bucks63%70%

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Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

+4.5/-110
42% IND
-4.5/-110
58% MIL

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+160
31% IND
-192
69% MIL

Total Pick Consensus

225.5/-110
21% UN
225.5/-110
79% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

IND
Team Stats Per Game
MIL
82
Games
82
43.6
FG
41.6
89.3
FGA
91.1
.488
FG%
.457
13.2
3Pt-FG
13.9
35.8
3Pt-FGA
39.4
.368
3Pt%
.353
30.4
2Pt-FG
27.7
53.6
2Pt-FGA
51.7
.568
2Pt%
.536
17.0
FT
15.9
21.6
FTA
20.3
.789
FT%
.783
9.2
ORB
11.0
32.7
DRB
34.3
41.8
TRB
45.3
29.2
AST
26.4
8.5
STL
7.3
5.5
BLK
3.8
13.2
TOV
12.9
18.7
PF
18.9
117.4
PTS
113.0

Defense/Offense

IND
Team Stats Per Game
MIL
82
Games
82
42.6
FG
42.0
89.9
FGA
86.4
.474
FG%
.486
12.9
3Pt-FG
14.2
36.3
3Pt-FGA
36.6
.355
3Pt%
.387
29.7
2Pt-FG
27.9
53.6
2Pt-FGA
49.7
.554
2Pt%
.560
17.0
FT
17.3
22.0
FTA
23.1
.773
FT%
.750
11.2
ORB
8.2
33.8
DRB
35.1
45.0
TRB
43.4
26.0
AST
25.5
7.2
STL
7.3
4.5
BLK
4.7
15.0
TOV
13.4
18.8
PF
17.9
115.1
PTS
115.5

Offense/Defense

IND
Four Factors
MIL
.562
eFG%
.533
11.8
TOV%
11.4
21.3
RB%
76.2
.190
FT/FGA
.174

Defense/Offense

IND
Four Factors
MIL
.546
eFG%
.568
13.1
TOV%
12.2
74.5
RB%
19.3
.190
FT/FGA
.201

Offense/Defense

IND
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
MIL
82
Games
82
43.3
FG
41.8
88.7
FGA
91.4
.488
FG%
.457
13.1
3Pt-FG
14.0
35.5
3Pt-FGA
39.6
.368
3Pt%
.353
30.2
2Pt-FG
27.8
53.2
2Pt-FGA
51.9
.568
2Pt%
.536
16.9
FT
15.9
21.4
FTA
20.3
.789
FT%
.783
9.1
ORB
11.0
32.4
DRB
34.4
41.5
TRB
45.4
29.0
AST
26.5
8.4
STL
7.4
5.4
BLK
3.9
13.1
TOV
12.9
18.6
PF
19.0
116.5
PTS
113.4

Defense/Offense

IND
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
MIL
82
Games
82
42.3
FG
42.2
89.2
FGA
86.7
.474
FG%
.486
12.8
3Pt-FG
14.2
36.0
3Pt-FGA
36.7
.355
3Pt%
.387
29.5
2Pt-FG
28.0
53.2
2Pt-FGA
49.9
.554
2Pt%
.560
16.9
FT
17.4
21.9
FTA
23.2
.773
FT%
.750
11.1
ORB
8.2
33.6
DRB
35.3
44.7
TRB
43.5
25.8
AST
25.6
7.1
STL
7.4
4.4
BLK
4.7
14.9
TOV
13.4
18.7
PF
18.0
114.3
PTS
115.9

IND
Analytics
MIL
46
Pythag Wins
47
36
Pythag Losses
35
2.23
Margin Of Victory
2.48
116.5
O Rtg
115.9
114.3
D Rtg
113.4
99.9
Pace
99.3
.241
FTr
.268
.400
3PAr
.424
.594
TS%
.598

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
IND MIL
IND MIL
Consensus
+5.0 (-109)
-5.0 (-110)
+4.5 (-109)
-4.5 (-111)
+5.0 (-110)
-5.0 (-110)
+4.5 (-110)
-4.5 (-110)
+5.5 (-110)
-5.5 (-112)
+4.5 (-110)
-4.5 (-110)
+5.5 (-108)
-5.5 (-107)
+4.5 (-108)
-4.5 (-113)
+5.0 (-110)
-5.0 (-110)
+4.5 (-110)
-4.5 (-110)
+5.5 (-110)
-5.5 (-102)
+4.5 (-110)
-4.5 (-110)
Open
Current
Book
IND MIL
IND MIL
Consensus
+178
-219
+159
-190
+170
-205
+160
-192
+194
-235
+162
-194
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
227.0 (-110)
227.0 (-110)
226.0 (-110)
226.0 (-112)
227.0 (-110)
227.0 (-110)
225.5 (-110)
225.5 (-110)
226.5 (-110)
226.5 (-110)
226.0 (-108)
226.0 (-112)
226.5 (-110)
226.5 (-110)
226.0 (-109)
226.0 (-112)
227.0 (-110)
227.0 (-110)
226.0 (-110)
226.0 (-110)
226.5 (-110)
226.5 (-110)
226.5 (-105)
226.5 (-115)

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