Indiana Pacers vs Cleveland Cavaliers Game 5 Prediction – 5/13/2025

With the Indiana Pacers holding a 3–1 lead over the Cleveland Cavaliers, Game 5 of the Eastern Conference Semifinals on Tuesday, May 13, 2025, at Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse in Cleveland is a must-win for the top-seeded Cavs. The Pacers have dominated the series, including a historic 41-point halftime lead in Game 4. The Cavaliers' hopes hinge on the availability of Donovan Mitchell, who is questionable due to an ankle injury sustained in Game 4.

Indiana Pacers vs. Cleveland Cavaliers Game 5 Preview

The Pacers have showcased their depth and balanced offense throughout the series. In Game 1, all five starters scored in double figures, with Andrew Nembhard leading with 23 points. Tyrese Haliburton contributed 22 points and 13 assists. Game 2 saw a dramatic comeback, capped by Haliburton's game-winning three-pointer, giving him 19 points. The Pacers' resilience was evident as they overcame a 20-point deficit in Game 2 and a 7-point deficit in the final minute.

Game 3 marked a resurgence for the Cavaliers, with Donovan Mitchell scoring 43 points, supported by Evan Mobley and Darius Garland, who returned from injuries. However, Game 4 was a setback, as the Pacers led 80–39 at halftime. Pascal Siakam scored 21 points on 9-of-10 shooting, and Myles Turner added 20 points and 7 rebounds. Mitchell's absence in the second half due to an ankle injury was a significant blow to the Cavs.

Mitchell's status for Game 5 remains uncertain. He is listed as questionable, and his availability will be a game-time decision. The Cavaliers will need contributions from Garland, Mobley, and Jarrett Allen to extend the series.

Betting Insights

• Spread: Cavaliers -7.5
• Total Points: 228.5
• Moneyline: Cavaliers -300, Pacers +250

The Cavaliers are favored at home, but the Pacers have won three of four regular-season meetings and lead the playoff series 3–1. The total points line reflects the high-scoring nature of previous games, but Mitchell's potential absence could impact the Cavaliers' offensive output.

Indiana Pacers vs Cleveland Cavaliers Game 5 Prediction

The Pacers have demonstrated their ability to perform under pressure, with Haliburton leading the offense and Siakam and Turner providing consistent scoring. The Cavaliers' success heavily depends on Mitchell's performance. If he plays and is effective, the Cavaliers have a chance to win Game 5. However, if he is limited or unavailable, the Pacers are likely to close out the series.

Predicted Final Score: Indiana Pacers 115.12, Cleveland Cavaliers 118.81

Indiana Pacers vs Cleveland Cavaliers Win Probabilities

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