Herbert Jones Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-105/-125).
Pros
- Herbert Jones has averaged 34.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.0 higher than he’s averaged in all games this season.
- Offensive rebounds maintain possession and result in bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Pelicans grade out 8th-best in in the league as the home team with 11.1 offensive boards per game over the last 25 games.
- Compared to last season’s 73.1% clip, Herbert Jones’s foul-shot proficiency has increased this season to 86.8%.
- Herbert Jones ought to see a rise in productivity for all stats due to owning the home court advantage in this game.
Cons
- Herbert Jones has failed to make 2.8 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 more than he’s failed to convert from 3-point range over the course of the year.
- Herbert Jones has tallied 4.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while at home, 0.9 more than he’s tallied over the course of the year at home.
- In terms of shots from the field, the 3rd-least aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Pelicans.
- The matchup vs. Boston is a difficult one for shots from the field; when the Celtics are on the road, the opposition’s starting SGs have compiled the 4th-lowest field goal percentage in the NBA this year (38.1%).
- The Pelicans will likely experience a decrease in plays in this game from squaring off against the least up-tempo pace away offense in the league over the last 15 games (the Boston Celtics).
Prop Bet & Prediction: Herbert Jones is projected for 11.4 Points
