Golden State Warriors

Golden State Warriors

Mar 28, 2025

New Orleans Pelicans

New Orleans Pelicans
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Golden State Warriors vs New Orleans Pelicans Pick – 3/28/2025


On March 28, 2025, the Golden State Warriors will take on the New Orleans Pelicans at Smoothie King Center in New Orleans. Scheduled for a 8:00 PM ET tip-off, this Friday night matchup features two teams heading in different directions this season.

The Warriors enter the game with a 41-31 record, positioned as significant favorites with a -13.0 spread and a moneyline of -750, reflecting an implied win probability of 85%. Despite suffering a loss to the Miami Heat just three days prior, the Warriors have performed well overall, winning 25 of their last 40 games. The extra day of rest could provide a strategic advantage, allowing players to recuperate before facing the Pelicans.

Conversely, the Pelicans find themselves struggling at 20-53, sporting a moneyline of +560 and just a 15% chance of winning according to the odds. While the Pelicans did secure a victory against the Philadelphia 76ers in their last outing, it has been a tough season, as they have lost 35 of their last 50 games.

Travel fatigue could play a role in the Warriors' performance, as they make a cross-country trip for this contest. However, their overall better performance this season makes them a clear favorite, even on the road.

Both teams have had a few days off, which can often help players mentally and physically, but the Warriors’ recent form and the sheer difference in their records suggest strong confidence in their ability to cover the spread. Bettors will be watching closely to see if Golden State can shake off their last defeat and capitalize on their chances against New Orleans.


Golden State Warriors vs New Orleans Pelicans Prediction

Predicted Final Score: Golden State Warriors 118.45 vs New Orleans Pelicans 94.65


Golden State Warriors vs New Orleans Pelicans Win Probabilities

TeamImplied Win %:Projected Win %:
Warriors86%96%
Pelicans14%4%

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Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

-16.0/-112
42% GS
+16.0/-108
58% NO

Moneyline Pick Consensus

-1326
89% GS
+788
11% NO

Total Pick Consensus

226.5/-110
14% UN
226.5/-110
86% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

GS
Team Stats Per Game
NO
73
Games
74
40.7
FG
43.8
90.6
FGA
90.6
.449
FG%
.483
15.2
3Pt-FG
14.7
42.3
3Pt-FGA
40.2
.360
3Pt%
.366
25.5
2Pt-FG
29.1
48.3
2Pt-FGA
50.4
.526
2Pt%
.577
16.4
FT
16.8
21.8
FTA
21.5
.754
FT%
.784
12.6
ORB
12.1
33.0
DRB
33.7
45.6
TRB
45.8
29.0
AST
28.9
9.1
STL
8.8
4.9
BLK
5.3
14.0
TOV
14.2
19.4
PF
18.1
113.0
PTS
119.1

Defense/Offense

GS
Team Stats Per Game
NO
73
Games
74
40.5
FG
40.7
87.1
FGA
89.9
.465
FG%
.453
13.1
3Pt-FG
12.1
36.1
3Pt-FGA
34.6
.363
3Pt%
.351
27.4
2Pt-FG
28.6
51.0
2Pt-FGA
55.2
.537
2Pt%
.518
16.7
FT
16.7
21.7
FTA
22.1
.769
FT%
.757
10.6
ORB
12.2
33.7
DRB
31.2
44.3
TRB
43.4
26.0
AST
25.7
7.5
STL
8.6
5.5
BLK
5.4
15.5
TOV
14.6
18.4
PF
18.3
110.7
PTS
110.4

Offense/Defense

GS
Four Factors
NO
.532
eFG%
.564
12.3
TOV%
12.4
27.2
RB%
72.1
.181
FT/FGA
.186

Defense/Offense

GS
Four Factors
NO
.540
eFG%
.521
13.8
TOV%
12.8
75.7
RB%
26.5
.192
FT/FGA
.186

Offense/Defense

GS
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
NO
73
Games
74
41.1
FG
44.1
91.6
FGA
91.2
.449
FG%
.483
15.4
3Pt-FG
14.8
42.7
3Pt-FGA
40.4
.360
3Pt%
.366
25.7
2Pt-FG
29.3
48.8
2Pt-FGA
50.7
.526
2Pt%
.577
16.6
FT
16.9
22.0
FTA
21.6
.754
FT%
.784
12.7
ORB
12.1
33.3
DRB
33.9
46.1
TRB
46.0
29.3
AST
29.1
9.2
STL
8.9
5.0
BLK
5.4
14.2
TOV
14.3
19.6
PF
18.2
114.1
PTS
119.8

Defense/Offense

GS
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
NO
73
Games
74
40.9
FG
41.0
88.0
FGA
90.4
.465
FG%
.453
13.2
3Pt-FG
12.2
36.4
3Pt-FGA
34.9
.363
3Pt%
.351
27.7
2Pt-FG
28.8
51.5
2Pt-FGA
55.6
.537
2Pt%
.518
16.9
FT
16.8
21.9
FTA
22.2
.769
FT%
.757
10.7
ORB
12.3
34.0
DRB
31.4
44.7
TRB
43.6
26.3
AST
25.9
7.6
STL
8.7
5.5
BLK
5.4
15.6
TOV
14.6
18.6
PF
18.4
111.9
PTS
111.0

GS
Analytics
NO
42
Pythag Wins
19
31
Pythag Losses
55
2.22
Margin Of Victory
-8.74
114.1
O Rtg
111.0
111.9
D Rtg
119.8
98.8
Pace
99.0
.240
FTr
.246
.467
3PAr
.386
.564
TS%
.554

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
GS NO
GS NO
Consensus
-11.5 (-113)
+11.5 (-110)
-16.0 (-113)
+16.0 (-109)
-11.5 (-112)
+11.5 (-110)
-16.0 (-112)
+16.0 (-108)
-13.0 (-108)
+13.0 (-110)
-16.0 (-108)
+16.0 (-112)
-13.0 (-113)
+13.0 (-113)
-16.0 (-113)
+16.0 (-108)
-12.5 (-115)
+12.5 (-110)
-16.0 (-115)
+16.0 (-105)
-12.5 (-105)
+12.5 (-110)
-16.5 (-105)
+16.5 (-115)
Open
Current
Book
GS NO
GS NO
Consensus
-600
+425
-1326
+788
-600
+440
-1350
+800
-900
+610
-1400
+830
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
226.5 (-110)
226.5 (-110)
226.5 (-110)
226.5 (-110)
226.5 (-110)
226.5 (-110)
226.5 (-110)
226.5 (-110)
222.5 (-110)
222.5 (-110)
226.5 (-110)
226.5 (-110)
222.5 (-109)
222.5 (-112)
227.0 (-113)
227.0 (-108)
222.5 (-110)
222.5 (-110)
227.0 (-115)
227.0 (-105)
222.5 (-110)
222.5 (-110)
226.5 (-110)
226.5 (-110)

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