Golden State Warriors vs Minnesota Timberwolves Game 5 Prediction – 5/14/2025

With the Minnesota Timberwolves holding a 3–1 series lead, Game 5 against the Golden State Warriors on Wednesday, May 14, 2025, could be the last game for these teams in the Western Conference Semifinals. The Timberwolves aim to secure their first playoff series win at home in over two decades, while the Warriors strive to extend the series and keep their postseason hopes alive.

Golden State Warriors vs Minnesota Timberwolves Game 5 Preview

The Timberwolves have demonstrated dominance throughout the series, particularly in the second halves of games. In Game 4, they outscored the Warriors 39–17 in the third quarter, leading to a 3–1 series advantage. Anthony Edwards has been instrumental, averaging 27.3 points and 7.8 rebounds per game over the course of this series, showcasing his ability to perform under pressure.

Julius Randle has provided consistent support, contributing 31 points in Game 4 and maintaining averages of 24.3 points, 6.3 rebounds, and 8.0 assists per game in this series. Rudy Gobert continues to anchor the defense, averaging 9.8 rebounds per game, 2.0 blocks per game, and playing a major role in limiting the Warriors' offensive opportunities at the rim.

On the other side, the Warriors are facing significant challenges. Star player Stephen Curry remains sidelined due to a hamstring strain suffered in Game 1, leaving a void in the team's offense. Jimmy Butler has stepped up, averaging 21 points per game in the series, while Jonathan Kuminga has provided a spark with back-to-back 20+ point performances. However, the team's overall offensive output has been inconsistent, surpassing 100 points in only one game this series.

Betting Insights

• Point Spread: Timberwolves -10.5
• Over/Under: 199.5 points
• Moneyline: Timberwolves -600, Warriors +400

Betting trends indicate strong public confidence in the Timberwolves, particularly in Anthony Edwards' scoring capabilities. Edwards has scored at least 20 points in five of his last six games, making the over on his point total a popular bet. Additionally, Rudy Gobert's propensity for double-doubles presents a favorable prop bet opportunity.

For the Warriors, the absence of Curry has shifted the offensive burden to other players. Jimmy Butler's scoring and Jonathan Kuminga's contributions are critical factors for bettors to consider. However, the team's recent offensive struggles suggest caution when betting on individual player props.

Golden State Warriors vs Minnesota Timberwolves Game 5 Prediction

The Timberwolves have consistently outperformed the Warriors in this series, using their defensive prowess and balanced scoring to control games. With the home-court advantage and momentum on their side, Minnesota should be able to close out the series in Game 5.

Given the Warriors' offensive inconsistencies and the continued absence of Stephen Curry, it's challenging to envision a scenario where they can overcome the Timberwolves' cohesive play. Expect Minnesota to capitalize on their strengths and secure a victory to advance to the Western Conference Finals for the second season in a row.

1. Pick: Timberwolves -10.5
2. Over/Under: Over 199.5

Predicted Final Score: Golden State Warriors 100.58, Minnesota Timberwolves 109.56

Golden State Warriors vs Minnesota Timberwolves Win Probabilities

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