Golden State Warriors vs Houston Rockets Game 5 Pick – 4/30/2025

The Golden State Warriors will face off against the Houston Rockets in Game 5 of their first-round playoff series in the Western Conference on April 30, 2025, at 7:30 PM ET at the Toyota Center in Houston. This matchup pits the Warriors, who come in with a record of 52-35, against the Rockets, sitting at 53-33, with the Warriors holding a 3-1 series lead. Given the stakes, this game promises to be intense, particularly as the Warriors look to advance while the Rockets look to stay alive.

The Warriors are coming off a recent victory against the Rockets, having narrowly edged them 109-106 in their last encounter. However, the long cross-country trip could pose challenges for Golden State, as the fatigue from travel may impact their performance. The Rockets, on the other hand, have been strong at home, boasting a record of 29 wins in their last 40 games at Toyota Center, making them the favorites in this matchup.

Currently, the spread favors the Rockets by 4.5 points, with a moneyline of -185 for Houston compared to +160 for Golden State. This translates to an implied win probability of 63% for the Rockets and 37% for the Warriors, indicating that oddsmakers expect Houston to come out on top.

One player to watch is Alperen Sengun, whose points prop has gained attention among bettors. The line opened at Over 19.5 Points (-125) and quickly moved to 20.5 (-105), suggesting that sharp money is backing Sengun to have a significant scoring night.

With both teams in solid form, this matchup will be crucial for their playoff aspirations, and it will be interesting to see if the Warriors can overcome their travel disadvantage and secure another win against a tough Rockets squad.

Golden State Warriors vs Houston Rockets Game 5 Prediction

Predicted Final Score: Golden State Warriors 111.16, Houston Rockets 106.33

Golden State Warriors vs Houston Rockets Game 5 Win Probabilities

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