Golden State Warriors

Golden State Warriors

Dec 3, 2024

Denver Nuggets

Denver Nuggets
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Golden State Warriors vs Denver Nuggets Prediction, Preview, & Odds – 12/3/2024

  • Date: December 3, 2024
  • Venue: Ball Arena


Betting Odds

Spread:Golden State Warriors 4.5 (-110), Denver Nuggets -4.5 (-110)
Over/Under:239
Moneyline:Golden State Warriors 155, Denver Nuggets -175


Golden State Warriors vs Denver Nuggets Win Probabilities

Implied Win %:Projected Win %:
Golden State Warriors - 38%Golden State Warriors - 42%
Denver Nuggets - 62%Denver Nuggets - 58%

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Golden State Warriors vs Denver Nuggets Betting Preview

Tuesday night promises an electrifying matchup as the Golden State Warriors (12-7) take on the Denver Nuggets (10-8) at Ball Arena, tipping off at 10:00 PM ET. The Warriors, despite their recent struggles, will be looking to snap a four-game losing streak, having last fallen to the Phoenix Suns 113-105. With three days of rest since their last outing, Golden State might find an edge in freshness, potentially aiding their bid to overturn their recent fortunes.

However, the Nuggets, who have been playing solid basketball lately with nine wins in their last 15 games, are favored to win at home. Denver is currently listed with a -5.0 spread, and their Moneyline sits at -185, translating to an implied win probability of 63%. Meanwhile, the Warriors, with a Moneyline of +160, carry an implied probability of 37% to claim victory.

A key storyline to watch involves Jamal Murray's scoring performance, which has emerged as a popular player prop bet. Observing the movement in betting lines, sharp bettors have shown interest in the Under, as Murray's points total has shifted from 19.5 to 18.5, with increased odds of -125 on the Under.

The Nuggets are positioned as the favorites, but with the Warriors eager to break their losing streak and the extra rest potentially factoring in, this game should offer plenty of intrigue. Bettors and fans alike will be keen to see if Golden State can leverage their rest advantage and defy the odds against a robust Denver squad.


Golden State Warriors vs Denver Nuggets Prediction

Final Score: Golden State Warriors 118.56 vs Denver Nuggets 121.35

Stay informed with the most recent NBA news and our analytics-driven NBA picks and predictions all season long.

Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

+5.0/-108
42% GS
Caesars
-5.0/-112
58% DEN

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+161
24% GS
Caesars
-191
76% DEN

Total Pick Consensus

236.5/-102
36% UN
FanDuel
236.5/-118
64% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

GS
Team Stats Per Game
DEN
66
Games
66
41.1
FG
43.2
91.3
FGA
93.0
.451
FG%
.465
15.4
3Pt-FG
14.0
42.3
3Pt-FGA
38.5
.364
3Pt%
.364
25.7
2Pt-FG
29.2
49.0
2Pt-FGA
54.5
.526
2Pt%
.536
16.2
FT
16.2
21.5
FTA
20.6
.754
FT%
.784
12.7
ORB
11.6
33.2
DRB
30.8
45.9
TRB
42.4
29.3
AST
29.1
9.0
STL
8.8
5.0
BLK
5.3
14.0
TOV
13.1
19.6
PF
18.8
113.8
PTS
116.6

Defense/Offense

GS
Team Stats Per Game
DEN
66
Games
66
40.5
FG
45.7
87.5
FGA
90.2
.463
FG%
.507
13.2
3Pt-FG
12.2
36.7
3Pt-FGA
31.8
.360
3Pt%
.382
27.3
2Pt-FG
33.5
50.8
2Pt-FGA
58.4
.537
2Pt%
.574
17.0
FT
17.5
22.0
FTA
22.6
.771
FT%
.774
10.6
ORB
11.2
33.7
DRB
34.6
44.2
TRB
45.8
25.9
AST
31.0
7.5
STL
8.1
5.6
BLK
4.7
15.3
TOV
14.1
18.2
PF
17.6
111.2
PTS
121.1

Offense/Defense

GS
Four Factors
DEN
.535
eFG%
.540
12.2
TOV%
11.4
27.4
RB%
74.9
.177
FT/FGA
.174

Defense/Offense

GS
Four Factors
DEN
.538
eFG%
.574
13.6
TOV%
12.3
75.8
RB%
26.7
.194
FT/FGA
.194

Offense/Defense

GS
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
DEN
66
Games
66
41.4
FG
42.9
91.9
FGA
92.3
.451
FG%
.465
15.5
3Pt-FG
13.9
42.6
3Pt-FGA
38.2
.364
3Pt%
.364
25.9
2Pt-FG
29.0
49.3
2Pt-FGA
54.1
.526
2Pt%
.536
16.3
FT
16.0
21.6
FTA
20.4
.754
FT%
.784
12.8
ORB
11.5
33.4
DRB
30.6
46.2
TRB
42.1
29.5
AST
28.9
9.1
STL
8.7
5.0
BLK
5.2
14.1
TOV
13.0
19.7
PF
18.7
114.6
PTS
115.7

Defense/Offense

GS
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
DEN
66
Games
66
40.8
FG
45.3
88.2
FGA
89.5
.463
FG%
.507
13.3
3Pt-FG
12.1
37.0
3Pt-FGA
31.6
.360
3Pt%
.382
27.5
2Pt-FG
33.3
51.2
2Pt-FGA
57.9
.537
2Pt%
.574
17.1
FT
17.4
22.1
FTA
22.5
.771
FT%
.774
10.6
ORB
11.2
33.9
DRB
34.3
44.5
TRB
45.4
26.0
AST
30.8
7.6
STL
8.0
5.6
BLK
4.7
15.4
TOV
14.0
18.3
PF
17.5
112.0
PTS
120.1

GS
Analytics
DEN
38
Pythag Wins
41
28
Pythag Losses
25
2.62
Margin Of Victory
4.45
114.6
O Rtg
120.1
112.0
D Rtg
115.7
99.1
Pace
100.0
.235
FTr
.251
.463
3PAr
.353
.565
TS%
.604

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
GS DEN
GS DEN
Consensus
+2.5 (-107)
-2.5 (-110)
+5.0 (-107)
-5.0 (-111)
DraftKings
DraftKings $150 Bonus
+2.5 (-108)
-2.5 (-110)
+5.0 (-108)
-5.0 (-112)
FanDuel
FanDuel $200 Bonus
+4.0 (-108)
-4.0 (-112)
+5.0 (-108)
-5.0 (-112)
BetRivers
BetRivers Up To $500 Bonus
+5.5 (-113)
-5.5 (-112)
+4.5 (-113)
-4.5 (-108)
Caesars
Caesars
Double Your Winnings
+3.5 (-105)
-3.5 (-110)
+5.0 (-105)
-5.0 (-115)
BetMGM
BetMGM Up To $1500 Bonus
+4.5 (-110)
-4.5 (-115)
+5.5 (-110)
-5.5 (-110)
Open
Current
Book
GS DEN
GS DEN
Consensus
+120
-142
+161
-191
DraftKings
DraftKings $150 Bonus
+120
-142
+164
-198
FanDuel
FanDuel $200 Bonus
+152
-180
+166
-198
BetRivers
BetRivers Up To $500 Bonus
+195
-240
+150
-180
Caesars
Caesars
Double Your Winnings
+130
-155
+175
-210
BetMGM
BetMGM Up To $1500 Bonus
+170
-210
+165
-200
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
235.5 (-110)
235.5 (-110)
236.5 (-109)
236.5 (-109)
DraftKings
DraftKings $150 Bonus
235.5 (-110)
235.5 (-110)
236.5 (-118)
236.5 (-102)
FanDuel
FanDuel $200 Bonus
234.5 (-110)
234.5 (-110)
236.5 (-110)
236.5 (-110)
BetRivers
BetRivers Up To $500 Bonus
237.0 (-110)
237.0 (-110)
235.5 (-112)
235.5 (-109)
Caesars
Caesars
Double Your Winnings
235.0 (-110)
235.0 (-110)
236.0 (-105)
236.0 (-115)
BetMGM
BetMGM Up To $1500 Bonus
235.5 (-115)
235.5 (-105)
237.5 (-105)
237.5 (-115)

Betting trends

  • Betting Trends
  • Head to Head
  • Teams Last 10
GS
Betting Trends
  • Last 3
  • Last 5
  • Last 10
DEN
0-3-0
Win/Loss/Tie
1-2-0
1-2-0
ATS W/L/P
1-2-0
108.67
Avg Score
120.67
115.33
Avg Opp Score
124.67
1-4-0
Win/Loss/Tie
2-3-0
1-4-0
ATS W/L/P
2-3-0
106.4
Avg Score
121.8
111.6
Avg Opp Score
119.8
5-5-0
Win/Loss/Tie
5-5-0
4-6-0
ATS W/L/P
4-5-1
112.1
Avg Score
117.2
110.8
Avg Opp Score
115.7
DATE
TM
LN
ML
1st
02/25/24
DEN
232.5
+107
30
GS
-2.0
-129
36
01/04/24
DEN
235.0
-170
34
GS
4.0
+142
33
12/25/23
GS
235.5
+237
26
DEN
-7.5
-297
29
11/08/23
GS
227.0
+155
21
DEN
-4.5
-188
26
04/02/23
GS
231.0
-167
36
DEN
4.0
+139
26
02/02/23
GS
236.0
+197
35
DEN
-6.0
-242
34
10/21/22
DEN
229.5
+177
40
GS
-5.5
-217
34
04/27/22
DEN
225.5
+319
25
GS
-8.5
-411
30
04/24/22
GS
224.0
-203
21
DEN
5.0
+165
26
04/21/22
GS
222.5
-141
34
DEN
2.5
+117
32

Golden State Warriors

03/13/25
SAC
167.4
+165
13
GS
-5.4
-200
22
03/10/25
POR
323.1
+660
37
GS
-16.4
-899
48
03/08/25
DET
219.5
+155
19
GS
-4.6
-185
20
03/06/25
GS
285.0
-690
19
BKN
13.9
+516
44
03/04/25
GS
301.7
-140
33
NY
-1.3
-152
35
03/03/25
GS
79.4
-252
3
CHA
1.5
+180
3
03/01/25
GS
94.6
-106
12
PHI
1.1
+88
12
02/27/25
GS
56.5
-51
2
ORL
0.3
+43
2
02/25/25
CHA
369.3
+1482
31
GS
-29.7
-2622
48
02/23/25
DAL
91.8
+121
3
GS
-3.6
-153
13

Denver Nuggets

03/12/25
MIN
333.9
+153
49
DEN
-2.1
-179
37
03/10/25
DEN
328.5
+414
46
OKC
-13.0
-522
44
03/09/25
DEN
398.7
+399
48
OKC
-12.3
-483
46
03/05/25
SAC
128.8
+148
23
DEN
-4.7
-184
16
03/02/25
DEN
267.2
+208
23
BOS
-6.2
-247
36
02/28/25
DEN
315.7
+144
51
DET
-2.6
-170
41
02/27/25
DEN
64.2
-41
2
MIL
0.2
+35
2
02/24/25
DEN
225.5
-142
33
IND
2.9
+121
26
02/22/25
LAL
272.9
+227
42
DEN
-7.3
-272
35
02/20/25
CHA
238.6
+1112
31
DEN
-18.9
-2188
40

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