Golden State Warriors

Golden State Warriors

Dec 3, 2024

Denver Nuggets

Denver Nuggets
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Golden State Warriors vs Denver Nuggets Prediction, Preview, & Odds – 12/3/2024

  • Date: December 3, 2024
  • Venue: Ball Arena


Betting Odds

Spread:Golden State Warriors 4.5 (-110), Denver Nuggets -4.5 (-110)
Over/Under:239
Moneyline:Golden State Warriors 155, Denver Nuggets -175


Golden State Warriors vs Denver Nuggets Win Probabilities

Implied Win %:Projected Win %:
Golden State Warriors - 38%Golden State Warriors - 42%
Denver Nuggets - 62%Denver Nuggets - 58%

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Golden State Warriors vs Denver Nuggets Betting Preview

Tuesday night promises an electrifying matchup as the Golden State Warriors (12-7) take on the Denver Nuggets (10-8) at Ball Arena, tipping off at 10:00 PM ET. The Warriors, despite their recent struggles, will be looking to snap a four-game losing streak, having last fallen to the Phoenix Suns 113-105. With three days of rest since their last outing, Golden State might find an edge in freshness, potentially aiding their bid to overturn their recent fortunes.

However, the Nuggets, who have been playing solid basketball lately with nine wins in their last 15 games, are favored to win at home. Denver is currently listed with a -5.0 spread, and their Moneyline sits at -185, translating to an implied win probability of 63%. Meanwhile, the Warriors, with a Moneyline of +160, carry an implied probability of 37% to claim victory.

A key storyline to watch involves Jamal Murray's scoring performance, which has emerged as a popular player prop bet. Observing the movement in betting lines, sharp bettors have shown interest in the Under, as Murray's points total has shifted from 19.5 to 18.5, with increased odds of -125 on the Under.

The Nuggets are positioned as the favorites, but with the Warriors eager to break their losing streak and the extra rest potentially factoring in, this game should offer plenty of intrigue. Bettors and fans alike will be keen to see if Golden State can leverage their rest advantage and defy the odds against a robust Denver squad.


Golden State Warriors vs Denver Nuggets Prediction

Final Score: Golden State Warriors 118.56 vs Denver Nuggets 121.35

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Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

+5.0/-108
42% GS
-5.0/-112
58% DEN

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+161
24% GS
-191
76% DEN

Total Pick Consensus

236.5/-102
36% UN
236.5/-118
64% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

GS
Team Stats Per Game
DEN
40
Games
40
40.9
FG
43.1
91.4
FGA
93.0
.448
FG%
.464
15.1
3Pt-FG
13.8
41.4
3Pt-FGA
39.1
.365
3Pt%
.353
25.8
2Pt-FG
29.3
50.0
2Pt-FGA
53.9
.516
2Pt%
.544
14.2
FT
16.0
19.9
FTA
20.9
.714
FT%
.769
12.8
ORB
11.6
33.7
DRB
31.5
46.4
TRB
43.0
28.4
AST
29.3
9.0
STL
9.1
5.3
BLK
5.6
14.5
TOV
14.1
19.3
PF
20.0
111.1
PTS
116.0

Defense/Offense

GS
Team Stats Per Game
DEN
40
Games
40
40.3
FG
44.9
88.4
FGA
89.9
.456
FG%
.500
13.3
3Pt-FG
11.9
37.6
3Pt-FGA
31.0
.353
3Pt%
.382
27.0
2Pt-FG
33.1
50.7
2Pt-FGA
58.9
.533
2Pt%
.562
16.8
FT
18.3
21.7
FTA
24.1
.776
FT%
.759
10.8
ORB
11.0
34.4
DRB
34.5
45.1
TRB
45.4
26.3
AST
30.9
7.7
STL
8.6
6.2
BLK
4.8
15.1
TOV
14.4
17.5
PF
18.2
110.8
PTS
120.0

Offense/Defense

GS
Four Factors
DEN
.530
eFG%
.538
12.6
TOV%
12.1
27.1
RB%
74.9
.156
FT/FGA
.172

Defense/Offense

GS
Four Factors
DEN
.532
eFG%
.566
13.3
TOV%
12.6
75.7
RB%
25.9
.190
FT/FGA
.204

Offense/Defense

GS
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
DEN
40
Games
40
41.2
FG
42.4
91.9
FGA
91.4
.448
FG%
.464
15.2
3Pt-FG
13.5
41.6
3Pt-FGA
38.4
.365
3Pt%
.353
26.0
2Pt-FG
28.8
50.3
2Pt-FGA
52.9
.516
2Pt%
.544
14.3
FT
15.7
20.0
FTA
20.5
.714
FT%
.769
12.8
ORB
11.4
33.9
DRB
30.9
46.7
TRB
42.3
28.6
AST
28.8
9.0
STL
8.9
5.4
BLK
5.5
14.5
TOV
13.9
19.4
PF
19.6
111.8
PTS
114.0

Defense/Offense

GS
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
DEN
40
Games
40
40.6
FG
44.2
88.9
FGA
88.3
.456
FG%
.500
13.4
3Pt-FG
11.6
37.9
3Pt-FGA
30.5
.353
3Pt%
.382
27.2
2Pt-FG
32.5
51.0
2Pt-FGA
57.8
.533
2Pt%
.562
16.9
FT
18.0
21.8
FTA
23.7
.776
FT%
.759
10.8
ORB
10.8
34.6
DRB
33.9
45.4
TRB
44.6
26.4
AST
30.4
7.7
STL
8.5
6.3
BLK
4.7
15.2
TOV
14.2
17.6
PF
17.8
111.4
PTS
117.9

GS
Analytics
DEN
20
Pythag Wins
25
20
Pythag Losses
15
0.38
Margin Of Victory
4.00
111.8
O Rtg
117.9
111.4
D Rtg
114.0
99.1
Pace
100.7
.218
FTr
.268
.453
3PAr
.345
.555
TS%
.597

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
GS DEN
GS DEN
Consensus
+2.5 (-107)
-2.5 (-110)
+5.0 (-107)
-5.0 (-111)
+2.5 (-108)
-2.5 (-110)
+5.0 (-108)
-5.0 (-112)
+4.0 (-108)
-4.0 (-112)
+5.0 (-108)
-5.0 (-112)
+5.5 (-113)
-5.5 (-112)
+4.5 (-113)
-4.5 (-108)
+3.5 (-105)
-3.5 (-110)
+5.0 (-105)
-5.0 (-115)
+4.5 (-110)
-4.5 (-115)
+5.5 (-110)
-5.5 (-110)
Open
Current
Book
GS DEN
GS DEN
Consensus
+120
-142
+161
-191
+120
-142
+164
-198
+152
-180
+166
-198
+195
-240
+150
-180
+130
-155
+175
-210
+170
-210
+165
-200
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
235.5 (-110)
235.5 (-110)
236.5 (-109)
236.5 (-109)
235.5 (-110)
235.5 (-110)
236.5 (-118)
236.5 (-102)
234.5 (-110)
234.5 (-110)
236.5 (-110)
236.5 (-110)
237.0 (-110)
237.0 (-110)
235.5 (-112)
235.5 (-109)
235.0 (-110)
235.0 (-110)
236.0 (-105)
236.0 (-115)
235.5 (-115)
235.5 (-105)
237.5 (-105)
237.5 (-115)