Golden State Warriors

Golden State Warriors

Dec 3, 2024

Denver Nuggets

Denver Nuggets
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Golden State Warriors vs Denver Nuggets Prediction, Preview, & Odds – 12/3/2024

  • Date: December 3, 2024
  • Venue: Ball Arena


Betting Odds

Spread:Golden State Warriors 4.5 (-110), Denver Nuggets -4.5 (-110)
Over/Under:239
Moneyline:Golden State Warriors 155, Denver Nuggets -175


Golden State Warriors vs Denver Nuggets Win Probabilities

Implied Win %:Projected Win %:
Golden State Warriors - 38%Golden State Warriors - 42%
Denver Nuggets - 62%Denver Nuggets - 58%

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Golden State Warriors vs Denver Nuggets Betting Preview

Tuesday night promises an electrifying matchup as the Golden State Warriors (12-7) take on the Denver Nuggets (10-8) at Ball Arena, tipping off at 10:00 PM ET. The Warriors, despite their recent struggles, will be looking to snap a four-game losing streak, having last fallen to the Phoenix Suns 113-105. With three days of rest since their last outing, Golden State might find an edge in freshness, potentially aiding their bid to overturn their recent fortunes.

However, the Nuggets, who have been playing solid basketball lately with nine wins in their last 15 games, are favored to win at home. Denver is currently listed with a -5.0 spread, and their Moneyline sits at -185, translating to an implied win probability of 63%. Meanwhile, the Warriors, with a Moneyline of +160, carry an implied probability of 37% to claim victory.

A key storyline to watch involves Jamal Murray's scoring performance, which has emerged as a popular player prop bet. Observing the movement in betting lines, sharp bettors have shown interest in the Under, as Murray's points total has shifted from 19.5 to 18.5, with increased odds of -125 on the Under.

The Nuggets are positioned as the favorites, but with the Warriors eager to break their losing streak and the extra rest potentially factoring in, this game should offer plenty of intrigue. Bettors and fans alike will be keen to see if Golden State can leverage their rest advantage and defy the odds against a robust Denver squad.


Golden State Warriors vs Denver Nuggets Prediction

Final Score: Golden State Warriors 118.56 vs Denver Nuggets 121.35

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Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

+4.5/-105
43% GS
-4.5/-115
57% DEN

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+145
28% GS
-175
72% DEN

Total Pick Consensus

239.0/-110
38% UN
239.0/-110
62% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

GS
Team Stats Per Game
DEN
19
Games
18
42.5
FG
43.4
92.9
FGA
92.6
.457
FG%
.469
15.8
3Pt-FG
13.8
42.2
3Pt-FGA
38.2
.376
3Pt%
.362
26.6
2Pt-FG
29.6
50.8
2Pt-FGA
54.4
.524
2Pt%
.544
15.4
FT
15.7
21.9
FTA
20.3
.702
FT%
.770
13.4
ORB
12.1
35.6
DRB
31.9
49.0
TRB
44.0
29.9
AST
29.6
9.1
STL
8.3
5.5
BLK
6.1
14.3
TOV
14.9
21.2
PF
21.1
116.2
PTS
116.4

Defense/Offense

GS
Team Stats Per Game
DEN
19
Games
18
39.2
FG
43.4
89.9
FGA
89.4
.436
FG%
.485
12.7
3Pt-FG
12.4
39.0
3Pt-FGA
31.8
.327
3Pt%
.390
26.5
2Pt-FG
31.0
50.9
2Pt-FGA
57.7
.520
2Pt%
.538
18.6
FT
18.8
24.3
FTA
24.8
.768
FT%
.758
11.8
ORB
11.6
34.7
DRB
32.9
46.5
TRB
44.5
25.8
AST
30.3
7.3
STL
8.5
6.1
BLK
4.7
15.3
TOV
14.1
18.6
PF
18.6
109.8
PTS
118.0

Offense/Defense

GS
Four Factors
DEN
.542
eFG%
.544
12.2
TOV%
12.8
27.9
RB%
73.2
.165
FT/FGA
.169

Defense/Offense

GS
Four Factors
DEN
.507
eFG%
.554
13.2
TOV%
12.3
75.0
RB%
26.6
.207
FT/FGA
.211

Offense/Defense

GS
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
DEN
19
Games
18
42.0
FG
43.0
91.9
FGA
91.7
.457
FG%
.469
15.7
3Pt-FG
13.7
41.7
3Pt-FGA
37.9
.376
3Pt%
.362
26.3
2Pt-FG
29.3
50.2
2Pt-FGA
53.9
.524
2Pt%
.544
15.2
FT
15.5
21.7
FTA
20.1
.702
FT%
.770
13.3
ORB
11.9
35.2
DRB
31.6
48.5
TRB
43.6
29.6
AST
29.3
9.0
STL
8.2
5.4
BLK
6.0
14.1
TOV
14.7
21.0
PF
20.9
114.9
PTS
115.3

Defense/Offense

GS
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
DEN
19
Games
18
38.8
FG
43.0
88.9
FGA
88.6
.436
FG%
.485
12.6
3Pt-FG
12.3
38.6
3Pt-FGA
31.5
.327
3Pt%
.390
26.2
2Pt-FG
30.7
50.3
2Pt-FGA
57.1
.520
2Pt%
.538
18.4
FT
18.7
24.0
FTA
24.6
.768
FT%
.758
11.7
ORB
11.4
34.3
DRB
32.6
46.0
TRB
44.1
25.5
AST
30.0
7.2
STL
8.4
6.0
BLK
4.7
15.1
TOV
14.0
18.4
PF
18.4
108.6
PTS
116.9

GS
Analytics
DEN
13
Pythag Wins
10
6
Pythag Losses
8
6.37
Margin Of Victory
1.61
114.9
O Rtg
116.9
108.6
D Rtg
115.3
100.6
Pace
99.8
.236
FTr
.278
.454
3PAr
.355
.566
TS%
.588

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
GS DEN
GS DEN
Consensus
+2.5 (-107)
-2.5 (-110)
+4.5 (-107)
-4.5 (-112)
+2.5 (-105)
-2.5 (-110)
+4.5 (-105)
-4.5 (-115)
+4.0 (-110)
-4.0 (-112)
+4.5 (-110)
-4.5 (-110)
+5.5 (-110)
-5.5 (-112)
+4.0 (-110)
-4.0 (-110)
+3.5 (-105)
-3.5 (-110)
+4.5 (-105)
-4.5 (-115)
+4.5 (-105)
-4.5 (-115)
+4.5 (-105)
-4.5 (-115)
Open
Current
Book
GS DEN
GS DEN
Consensus
+120
-142
+149
-178
+120
-142
+145
-175
+152
-180
+144
-172
+195
-240
+145
-175
+130
-155
+158
-190
+170
-210
+155
-190
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
235.5 (-110)
235.5 (-110)
239.0 (-110)
239.0 (-110)
235.5 (-110)
235.5 (-110)
239.0 (-110)
239.0 (-110)
234.5 (-110)
234.5 (-110)
238.5 (-108)
238.5 (-112)
237.0 (-110)
237.0 (-110)
238.0 (-108)
238.0 (-113)
235.0 (-110)
235.0 (-110)
239.0 (-110)
239.0 (-110)
235.5 (-115)
235.5 (-105)
239.5 (-110)
239.5 (-110)