Detroit Pistons

Detroit Pistons

Mar 19, 2025

Miami Heat

Miami Heat
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Detroit Pistons vs Miami Heat Pick – 3/19/2025


On March 19, 2025, the Detroit Pistons (38-31) will face off against the Miami Heat (29-39) at the Kaseya Center in Miami. Scheduled for a 7:30 PM ET tip-off, this matchup features a Pistons squad that has been performing well lately, having secured 26 wins in their last 40 games. In contrast, the Heat are struggling, currently on an 8-game losing streak following a 116-95 defeat to the New York Knicks.

Despite being on the road, the Pistons are favored by 5.5 points, with a moneyline of -205, suggesting an implied win probability of 65%. The Heat, sitting at +180 on the moneyline, have a 35% implied probability of pulling off the upset.

Recent performances highlight the disparity between these two teams. Detroit's last outing saw them dismantle the New Orleans Pelicans with a resounding 127-81 victory, showcasing their offensive prowess. Conversely, Miami's recent struggles have raised questions about their ability to compete effectively.

For those considering player prop bets, Cade Cunningham's Points market has garnered significant attention. Bettors may want to keep an eye on Cunningham, as he has been a focal point in the Pistons' offensive strategy. Additionally, sharp money appears to be leaning towards the Under in this game, with the total set at Under 24.5 Points (-105), indicating a belief that this figure could be mispriced.


Detroit Pistons vs Miami Heat Prediction

Predicted Final Score: Detroit Pistons 113.21 vs Miami Heat 105.46


Detroit Pistons vs Miami Heat Win Probabilities

TeamImplied Win %:Projected Win %:
Pistons65%72%
Heat35%28%

Visit the NBA picks and predictions section for the rest of today's games.

Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

-4.5/-110
72% DET
+4.5/-110
28% MIA

Moneyline Pick Consensus

-188
81% DET
+158
19% MIA

Total Pick Consensus

216.0/-110
27% UN
216.0/-110
73% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

DET
Team Stats Per Game
MIA
82
Games
82
42.7
FG
41.3
89.8
FGA
88.6
.476
FG%
.466
12.8
3Pt-FG
13.6
35.4
3Pt-FGA
37.9
.362
3Pt%
.360
29.9
2Pt-FG
27.6
54.4
2Pt-FGA
50.6
.550
2Pt%
.545
17.2
FT
13.9
22.3
FTA
17.9
.774
FT%
.776
11.4
ORB
10.7
33.4
DRB
33.9
44.8
TRB
44.7
26.4
AST
26.5
8.0
STL
7.5
5.3
BLK
4.7
14.9
TOV
13.8
20.7
PF
17.0
115.5
PTS
110.0

Defense/Offense

DET
Team Stats Per Game
MIA
82
Games
82
40.6
FG
40.5
87.9
FGA
87.0
.461
FG%
.465
13.6
3Pt-FG
13.7
37.2
3Pt-FGA
37.3
.366
3Pt%
.367
26.9
2Pt-FG
26.8
50.7
2Pt-FGA
49.7
.531
2Pt%
.538
18.8
FT
16.0
24.3
FTA
20.2
.776
FT%
.791
10.5
ORB
9.7
31.9
DRB
33.7
42.5
TRB
43.4
24.8
AST
26.4
8.9
STL
8.1
5.0
BLK
3.8
15.1
TOV
13.6
18.9
PF
15.5
113.6
PTS
110.6

Offense/Defense

DET
Four Factors
MIA
.547
eFG%
.543
13.0
TOV%
12.5
26.2
RB%
75.8
.192
FT/FGA
.157

Defense/Offense

DET
Four Factors
MIA
.539
eFG%
.544
13.3
TOV%
12.4
76.0
RB%
22.3
.214
FT/FGA
.183

Offense/Defense

DET
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
MIA
82
Games
82
42.5
FG
42.3
89.4
FGA
90.9
.476
FG%
.466
12.8
3Pt-FG
14.0
35.2
3Pt-FGA
38.9
.362
3Pt%
.360
29.8
2Pt-FG
28.3
54.2
2Pt-FGA
52.0
.550
2Pt%
.545
17.2
FT
14.3
22.2
FTA
18.4
.774
FT%
.776
11.3
ORB
11.0
33.3
DRB
34.8
44.6
TRB
45.8
26.3
AST
27.2
7.9
STL
7.7
5.2
BLK
4.8
14.8
TOV
14.2
20.6
PF
17.4
115.0
PTS
112.9

Defense/Offense

DET
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
MIA
82
Games
82
40.4
FG
41.5
87.5
FGA
89.3
.461
FG%
.465
13.6
3Pt-FG
14.1
37.1
3Pt-FGA
38.3
.366
3Pt%
.367
26.8
2Pt-FG
27.5
50.5
2Pt-FGA
51.0
.531
2Pt%
.538
18.7
FT
16.4
24.1
FTA
20.7
.776
FT%
.791
10.5
ORB
10.0
31.8
DRB
34.5
42.3
TRB
44.5
24.7
AST
27.1
8.8
STL
8.4
5.0
BLK
3.9
15.0
TOV
13.9
18.8
PF
16.0
113.1
PTS
113.5

DET
Analytics
MIA
46
Pythag Wins
42
36
Pythag Losses
40
1.90
Margin Of Victory
0.56
115.0
O Rtg
113.5
113.1
D Rtg
112.9
99.8
Pace
96.2
.248
FTr
.232
.394
3PAr
.429
.580
TS%
.576

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
DET MIA
DET MIA
Consensus
-5.5 (-112)
+5.5 (-110)
-4.5 (-112)
+4.5 (-108)
-5.0 (-110)
+5.0 (-110)
-4.5 (-110)
+4.5 (-110)
-5.5 (-110)
+5.5 (-110)
-4.5 (-110)
+4.5 (-110)
-5.5 (-112)
+5.5 (-108)
-5.0 (-112)
+5.0 (-109)
-5.5 (-115)
+5.5 (-110)
-4.5 (-115)
+4.5 (-105)
-5.5 (-110)
+5.5 (-110)
-4.5 (-110)
+4.5 (-110)
Open
Current
Book
DET MIA
DET MIA
Consensus
-210
+175
-188
+158
-205
+170
-185
+154
-215
+180
-180
+152
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
217.5 (-110)
217.5 (-110)
216.0 (-110)
216.0 (-111)
216.5 (-110)
216.5 (-110)
216.0 (-110)
216.0 (-110)
217.0 (-110)
217.0 (-110)
216.0 (-108)
216.0 (-112)
217.5 (-109)
217.5 (-112)
217.0 (-110)
217.0 (-110)
217.5 (-110)
217.5 (-110)
216.0 (+100)
216.0 (-120)
217.5 (-110)
217.5 (-110)
216.5 (-105)
216.5 (-115)

Related Articles