Detroit Pistons

Detroit Pistons

Dec 28, 2024

Denver Nuggets

Denver Nuggets
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Detroit Pistons vs Denver Nuggets Prediction & Picks 12/28/2024

  • Date: December 28, 2024
  • Venue: Ball Arena


Betting Odds

Spread:Detroit Pistons 5.5 (-110), Denver Nuggets -5.5 (-110)
Over/Under:231.5
Moneyline:Detroit Pistons 185, Denver Nuggets -215


Detroit Pistons vs Denver Nuggets Win Probabilities

Implied Win %:Projected Win %:
Detroit Pistons - 34%Detroit Pistons - 41%
Denver Nuggets - 66%Denver Nuggets - 59%

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Detroit Pistons vs Denver Nuggets Betting Preview

The Detroit Pistons (14-17) face off against the Denver Nuggets (16-13) in a Saturday night showdown at Ball Arena, set to tip off at 9:00 PM ET. This matchup presents some intriguing betting angles, particularly given the Nuggets' recent back-to-back situation after losing to the Cleveland Cavaliers 149-135 in their last outing. The quick turnaround could pose a challenge for Denver, which may struggle with fatigue against a Pistons team that has won three consecutive games, including a stunning upset against the Sacramento Kings, whom they defeated 114-113 while entering as 5.0-point underdogs.

As the favorite at home, the Nuggets are currently favored by 5.5 points, with a moneyline of -215, implying a 66% chance of victory. In contrast, the Pistons, with a moneyline of +185, have an implied win probability of 34%. While Denver has performed well at home recently, winning 7 of their last 10 games at Ball Arena, the lack of rest could be a significant factor.

For those interested in player props, Nikola Jokic’s Points and Assists market stands out as the most popular betting option, though sharp bettors seem to favor the Under. The prop total opened at Under 38.5 Points and Assists (-110) but has since moved to 36.5 (-120), suggesting a shift in confidence regarding Jokic's production.


Detroit Pistons vs Denver Nuggets Prediction

Final Score: Detroit Pistons 117.17 vs Denver Nuggets 120.36

For more on today's game check out the comprehensive statistics, betting odds, and trends below. Be sure to check out all our free NBA picks here.

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Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

+5.5/-105
27% DET
-5.5/-115
73% DEN

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+190
7% DET
-230
93% DEN

Total Pick Consensus

231.0/-110
22% UN
231.0/-110
78% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

DET
Team Stats Per Game
DEN
31
Games
29
41.3
FG
43.7
88.8
FGA
93.3
.465
FG%
.468
13.5
3Pt-FG
14.1
37.2
3Pt-FGA
39.1
.364
3Pt%
.361
27.8
2Pt-FG
29.6
51.6
2Pt-FGA
54.2
.538
2Pt%
.546
15.7
FT
15.7
20.4
FTA
20.5
.771
FT%
.766
11.0
ORB
11.8
33.6
DRB
31.6
44.6
TRB
43.4
25.7
AST
30.0
6.9
STL
9.3
5.2
BLK
5.9
15.9
TOV
14.4
20.1
PF
20.6
111.9
PTS
117.2

Defense/Offense

DET
Team Stats Per Game
DEN
31
Games
29
41.6
FG
44.6
88.1
FGA
89.4
.472
FG%
.498
14.4
3Pt-FG
11.8
37.6
3Pt-FGA
30.9
.382
3Pt%
.380
27.3
2Pt-FG
32.8
50.5
2Pt-FGA
58.5
.539
2Pt%
.561
17.0
FT
18.7
21.6
FTA
24.9
.785
FT%
.752
10.1
ORB
11.0
32.5
DRB
34.0
42.6
TRB
45.0
25.5
AST
31.1
9.5
STL
8.7
4.9
BLK
4.6
14.6
TOV
14.9
17.7
PF
18.3
114.5
PTS
119.6

Offense/Defense

DET
Four Factors
DEN
.541
eFG%
.544
14.0
TOV%
12.4
25.3
RB%
74.3
.177
FT/FGA
.168

Defense/Offense

DET
Four Factors
DEN
.554
eFG%
.564
13.0
TOV%
12.9
76.9
RB%
25.8
.193
FT/FGA
.209

Offense/Defense

DET
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
DEN
31
Games
29
41.3
FG
42.8
88.9
FGA
91.4
.465
FG%
.468
13.6
3Pt-FG
13.8
37.2
3Pt-FGA
38.3
.364
3Pt%
.361
27.8
2Pt-FG
29.0
51.6
2Pt-FGA
53.1
.538
2Pt%
.546
15.7
FT
15.4
20.4
FTA
20.1
.771
FT%
.766
11.0
ORB
11.5
33.7
DRB
31.0
44.7
TRB
42.5
25.8
AST
29.3
6.9
STL
9.1
5.2
BLK
5.8
15.9
TOV
14.2
20.1
PF
20.2
112.0
PTS
114.8

Defense/Offense

DET
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
DEN
31
Games
29
41.6
FG
43.7
88.2
FGA
87.6
.472
FG%
.498
14.4
3Pt-FG
11.5
37.6
3Pt-FGA
30.3
.382
3Pt%
.380
27.3
2Pt-FG
32.2
50.6
2Pt-FGA
57.3
.539
2Pt%
.561
17.0
FT
18.3
21.6
FTA
24.4
.785
FT%
.752
10.1
ORB
10.8
32.6
DRB
33.3
42.7
TRB
44.0
25.5
AST
30.5
9.6
STL
8.5
4.9
BLK
4.5
14.6
TOV
14.6
17.8
PF
17.9
114.6
PTS
117.2

DET
Analytics
DEN
13
Pythag Wins
17
18
Pythag Losses
12
-2.61
Margin Of Victory
2.38
112.0
O Rtg
117.2
114.6
D Rtg
114.8
98.6
Pace
101.0
.230
FTr
.278
.419
3PAr
.346
.572
TS%
.596

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
DET DEN
DET DEN
Consensus
+5.5 (-108)
-5.5 (-115)
+5.5 (-108)
-5.5 (-112)
+5.5 (-105)
-5.5 (-112)
+5.5 (-105)
-5.5 (-115)
+5.5 (-106)
-5.5 (-114)
+5.5 (-106)
-5.5 (-114)
+5.5 (-107)
-5.5 (-115)
+5.5 (-107)
-5.5 (-114)
+5.5 (-110)
-5.5 (-110)
+5.5 (-110)
-5.5 (-110)
+5.5 (-110)
-5.5 (-110)
+5.5 (-110)
-5.5 (-110)
Open
Current
Book
DET DEN
DET DEN
Consensus
+194
-240
+184
-221
+190
-230
+190
-230
+194
-235
+194
-235
+180
-220
+180
-220
+185
-225
+185
-225
+190
-250
+190
-250
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
228.5 (-111)
228.5 (-109)
232.5 (-108)
232.5 (-113)
229.5 (-110)
229.5 (-110)
231.0 (-110)
231.0 (-110)
228.5 (-112)
228.5 (-108)
231.0 (-110)
231.0 (-110)
228.0 (-112)
228.0 (-109)
232.5 (-108)
232.5 (-113)
229.5 (-110)
229.5 (-110)
231.5 (-110)
231.5 (-110)
229.5 (-110)
229.5 (-110)
232.5 (-105)
232.5 (-115)