Detroit Pistons

Detroit Pistons

Dec 28, 2024

Denver Nuggets

Denver Nuggets
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Detroit Pistons vs Denver Nuggets Prediction & Picks 12/28/2024

  • Date: December 28, 2024
  • Venue: Ball Arena


Betting Odds

Spread:Detroit Pistons 5.5 (-110), Denver Nuggets -5.5 (-110)
Over/Under:231.5
Moneyline:Detroit Pistons 185, Denver Nuggets -215


Detroit Pistons vs Denver Nuggets Win Probabilities

Implied Win %:Projected Win %:
Detroit Pistons - 34%Detroit Pistons - 41%
Denver Nuggets - 66%Denver Nuggets - 59%

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Detroit Pistons vs Denver Nuggets Betting Preview

The Detroit Pistons (14-17) face off against the Denver Nuggets (16-13) in a Saturday night showdown at Ball Arena, set to tip off at 9:00 PM ET. This matchup presents some intriguing betting angles, particularly given the Nuggets' recent back-to-back situation after losing to the Cleveland Cavaliers 149-135 in their last outing. The quick turnaround could pose a challenge for Denver, which may struggle with fatigue against a Pistons team that has won three consecutive games, including a stunning upset against the Sacramento Kings, whom they defeated 114-113 while entering as 5.0-point underdogs.

As the favorite at home, the Nuggets are currently favored by 5.5 points, with a moneyline of -215, implying a 66% chance of victory. In contrast, the Pistons, with a moneyline of +185, have an implied win probability of 34%. While Denver has performed well at home recently, winning 7 of their last 10 games at Ball Arena, the lack of rest could be a significant factor.

For those interested in player props, Nikola Jokic’s Points and Assists market stands out as the most popular betting option, though sharp bettors seem to favor the Under. The prop total opened at Under 38.5 Points and Assists (-110) but has since moved to 36.5 (-120), suggesting a shift in confidence regarding Jokic's production.


Detroit Pistons vs Denver Nuggets Prediction

Final Score: Detroit Pistons 117.17 vs Denver Nuggets 120.36

For more on today's game check out the comprehensive statistics, betting odds, and trends below. Be sure to check out all our free NBA picks here.

Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

+6.5/-112
32% DET
-6.5/-108
68% DEN

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+201
9% DET
-242
91% DEN

Total Pick Consensus

235.0/-118
17% UN
235.0/-102
83% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

DET
Team Stats Per Game
DEN
82
Games
82
42.7
FG
43.3
89.8
FGA
93.0
.476
FG%
.466
12.8
3Pt-FG
14.1
35.4
3Pt-FGA
38.7
.362
3Pt%
.365
29.9
2Pt-FG
29.2
54.4
2Pt-FGA
54.4
.550
2Pt%
.538
17.2
FT
16.1
22.3
FTA
20.7
.774
FT%
.777
11.4
ORB
11.7
33.4
DRB
30.7
44.8
TRB
42.5
26.4
AST
29.0
8.0
STL
8.7
5.3
BLK
5.1
14.9
TOV
13.0
20.7
PF
19.0
115.5
PTS
116.9

Defense/Offense

DET
Team Stats Per Game
DEN
82
Games
82
40.6
FG
45.4
87.9
FGA
89.8
.461
FG%
.506
13.6
3Pt-FG
12.0
37.2
3Pt-FGA
31.9
.366
3Pt%
.376
26.9
2Pt-FG
33.4
50.7
2Pt-FGA
57.8
.531
2Pt%
.578
18.8
FT
17.9
24.3
FTA
23.3
.776
FT%
.770
10.5
ORB
11.2
31.9
DRB
34.5
42.5
TRB
45.7
24.8
AST
31.0
8.9
STL
8.0
5.0
BLK
4.9
15.1
TOV
14.3
18.9
PF
17.6
113.6
PTS
120.8

Offense/Defense

DET
Four Factors
DEN
.547
eFG%
.542
13.0
TOV%
11.3
26.2
RB%
74.6
.192
FT/FGA
.173

Defense/Offense

DET
Four Factors
DEN
.539
eFG%
.573
13.3
TOV%
12.5
76.0
RB%
26.7
.214
FT/FGA
.200

Offense/Defense

DET
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
DEN
82
Games
82
42.5
FG
43.0
89.4
FGA
92.4
.476
FG%
.466
12.8
3Pt-FG
14.0
35.2
3Pt-FGA
38.4
.362
3Pt%
.365
29.8
2Pt-FG
29.0
54.2
2Pt-FGA
54.0
.550
2Pt%
.538
17.2
FT
16.0
22.2
FTA
20.6
.774
FT%
.777
11.3
ORB
11.7
33.3
DRB
30.5
44.6
TRB
42.2
26.3
AST
28.8
7.9
STL
8.7
5.2
BLK
5.1
14.8
TOV
12.9
20.6
PF
18.9
115.0
PTS
116.0

Defense/Offense

DET
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
DEN
82
Games
82
40.4
FG
45.1
87.5
FGA
89.1
.461
FG%
.506
13.6
3Pt-FG
11.9
37.1
3Pt-FGA
31.7
.366
3Pt%
.376
26.8
2Pt-FG
33.2
50.5
2Pt-FGA
57.4
.531
2Pt%
.578
18.7
FT
17.8
24.1
FTA
23.1
.776
FT%
.770
10.5
ORB
11.1
31.8
DRB
34.3
42.3
TRB
45.4
24.7
AST
30.8
8.8
STL
7.9
5.0
BLK
4.9
15.0
TOV
14.2
18.8
PF
17.5
113.1
PTS
119.9

DET
Analytics
DEN
46
Pythag Wins
50
36
Pythag Losses
32
1.90
Margin Of Victory
3.89
115.0
O Rtg
119.9
113.1
D Rtg
116.0
99.8
Pace
99.8
.248
FTr
.259
.394
3PAr
.356
.580
TS%
.604

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
DET DEN
DET DEN
Consensus
+5.5 (-111)
-5.5 (-115)
+6.0 (-111)
-6.0 (-110)
+5.5 (-112)
-5.5 (-112)
+6.5 (-112)
-6.5 (-108)
+5.5 (-108)
-5.5 (-114)
+6.0 (-108)
-6.0 (-112)
+5.5 (-112)
-5.5 (-115)
+6.0 (-112)
-6.0 (-109)
+5.5 (-115)
-5.5 (-110)
+6.0 (-115)
-6.0 (-105)
+5.5 (-115)
-5.5 (-110)
+6.5 (-115)
-6.5 (-105)
Open
Current
Book
DET DEN
DET DEN
Consensus
+194
-240
+201
-242
+190
-230
+215
-265
+194
-235
+205
-250
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
228.5 (-111)
228.5 (-109)
235.0 (-108)
235.0 (-114)
229.5 (-110)
229.5 (-110)
235.0 (-102)
235.0 (-118)
228.5 (-112)
228.5 (-108)
234.5 (-112)
234.5 (-108)
228.0 (-112)
228.0 (-109)
235.0 (-108)
235.0 (-113)
229.5 (-110)
229.5 (-110)
235.5 (-115)
235.5 (-105)
229.5 (-110)
229.5 (-110)
234.5 (-110)
234.5 (-110)

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