Detroit Pistons

Detroit Pistons

Dec 28, 2024

Denver Nuggets

Denver Nuggets
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Detroit Pistons vs Denver Nuggets Prediction & Picks 12/28/2024

  • Date: December 28, 2024
  • Venue: Ball Arena


Betting Odds

Spread:Detroit Pistons 5.5 (-110), Denver Nuggets -5.5 (-110)
Over/Under:231.5
Moneyline:Detroit Pistons 185, Denver Nuggets -215


Detroit Pistons vs Denver Nuggets Win Probabilities

Implied Win %:Projected Win %:
Detroit Pistons - 34%Detroit Pistons - 41%
Denver Nuggets - 66%Denver Nuggets - 59%

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Detroit Pistons vs Denver Nuggets Betting Preview

The Detroit Pistons (14-17) face off against the Denver Nuggets (16-13) in a Saturday night showdown at Ball Arena, set to tip off at 9:00 PM ET. This matchup presents some intriguing betting angles, particularly given the Nuggets' recent back-to-back situation after losing to the Cleveland Cavaliers 149-135 in their last outing. The quick turnaround could pose a challenge for Denver, which may struggle with fatigue against a Pistons team that has won three consecutive games, including a stunning upset against the Sacramento Kings, whom they defeated 114-113 while entering as 5.0-point underdogs.

As the favorite at home, the Nuggets are currently favored by 5.5 points, with a moneyline of -215, implying a 66% chance of victory. In contrast, the Pistons, with a moneyline of +185, have an implied win probability of 34%. While Denver has performed well at home recently, winning 7 of their last 10 games at Ball Arena, the lack of rest could be a significant factor.

For those interested in player props, Nikola Jokic’s Points and Assists market stands out as the most popular betting option, though sharp bettors seem to favor the Under. The prop total opened at Under 38.5 Points and Assists (-110) but has since moved to 36.5 (-120), suggesting a shift in confidence regarding Jokic's production.


Detroit Pistons vs Denver Nuggets Prediction

Final Score: Detroit Pistons 117.17 vs Denver Nuggets 120.36

For more on today's game check out the comprehensive statistics, betting odds, and trends below. Be sure to check out all our free NBA picks here.

Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

+6.5/-112
32% DET
BetRivers
-6.5/-108
68% DEN

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+201
9% DET
FanDuel
-242
91% DEN

Total Pick Consensus

235.0/-118
17% UN
BetRivers
235.0/-102
83% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

DET
Team Stats Per Game
DEN
49
Games
49
41.9
FG
43.7
89.6
FGA
93.6
.468
FG%
.467
13.0
3Pt-FG
14.0
36.2
3Pt-FGA
38.8
.360
3Pt%
.360
28.9
2Pt-FG
29.7
53.4
2Pt-FGA
54.8
.541
2Pt%
.542
15.5
FT
15.2
20.0
FTA
19.7
.773
FT%
.772
11.2
ORB
11.6
33.7
DRB
30.9
44.9
TRB
42.5
25.6
AST
29.8
7.6
STL
9.0
5.1
BLK
5.3
15.6
TOV
13.6
20.1
PF
19.3
112.3
PTS
116.5

Defense/Offense

DET
Team Stats Per Game
DEN
49
Games
49
40.9
FG
45.3
87.9
FGA
89.6
.466
FG%
.505
13.9
3Pt-FG
11.7
37.2
3Pt-FGA
30.9
.372
3Pt%
.378
27.1
2Pt-FG
33.6
50.6
2Pt-FGA
58.7
.535
2Pt%
.572
17.6
FT
18.2
22.8
FTA
23.6
.773
FT%
.773
10.2
ORB
11.1
32.2
DRB
34.3
42.4
TRB
45.4
25.4
AST
31.1
9.4
STL
8.4
4.8
BLK
4.9
14.6
TOV
14.4
17.6
PF
17.4
113.3
PTS
120.5

Offense/Defense

DET
Four Factors
DEN
.541
eFG%
.541
13.7
TOV%
11.7
25.8
RB%
74.7
.173
FT/FGA
.162

Defense/Offense

DET
Four Factors
DEN
.545
eFG%
.570
13.0
TOV%
12.6
76.8
RB%
26.4
.200
FT/FGA
.203

Offense/Defense

DET
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
DEN
49
Games
49
41.9
FG
43.1
89.6
FGA
92.4
.468
FG%
.467
13.0
3Pt-FG
13.8
36.2
3Pt-FGA
38.3
.360
3Pt%
.360
28.9
2Pt-FG
29.3
53.4
2Pt-FGA
54.1
.541
2Pt%
.542
15.5
FT
15.0
20.0
FTA
19.4
.773
FT%
.772
11.2
ORB
11.5
33.7
DRB
30.5
44.9
TRB
42.0
25.6
AST
29.5
7.6
STL
8.9
5.1
BLK
5.2
15.6
TOV
13.4
20.1
PF
19.0
112.3
PTS
115.0

Defense/Offense

DET
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
DEN
49
Games
49
40.9
FG
44.7
87.9
FGA
88.5
.466
FG%
.505
13.9
3Pt-FG
11.5
37.2
3Pt-FGA
30.5
.372
3Pt%
.378
27.1
2Pt-FG
33.2
50.6
2Pt-FGA
58.0
.535
2Pt%
.572
17.6
FT
18.0
22.8
FTA
23.3
.773
FT%
.773
10.2
ORB
10.9
32.2
DRB
33.9
42.5
TRB
44.8
25.4
AST
30.7
9.4
STL
8.3
4.8
BLK
4.8
14.6
TOV
14.3
17.6
PF
17.2
113.4
PTS
119.0

DET
Analytics
DEN
23
Pythag Wins
30
26
Pythag Losses
19
-1.02
Margin Of Victory
4.00
112.3
O Rtg
119.0
113.4
D Rtg
115.0
99.1
Pace
100.4
.224
FTr
.263
.404
3PAr
.345
.571
TS%
.602

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
DET DEN
DET DEN
Consensus
+5.5 (-111)
-5.5 (-115)
+6.0 (-111)
-6.0 (-110)
DraftKings
DraftKings $200 Bonus
+5.5 (-112)
-5.5 (-112)
+6.5 (-112)
-6.5 (-108)
FanDuel
FanDuel $200 Bonus
+5.5 (-108)
-5.5 (-114)
+6.0 (-108)
-6.0 (-112)
BetRivers
BetRivers Up To $500 Bonus
+5.5 (-112)
-5.5 (-115)
+6.0 (-112)
-6.0 (-109)
Caesars
Caesars
Double Your Winnings
+5.5 (-115)
-5.5 (-110)
+6.0 (-115)
-6.0 (-105)
BetMGM
BetMGM Up To $1500 Bonus
+5.5 (-115)
-5.5 (-110)
+6.5 (-115)
-6.5 (-105)
Open
Current
Book
DET DEN
DET DEN
Consensus
+194
-240
+201
-242
DraftKings
DraftKings $200 Bonus
+190
-230
+215
-265
FanDuel
FanDuel $200 Bonus
+194
-235
+205
-250
BetRivers
BetRivers Up To $500 Bonus
+180
-220
+185
-225
Caesars
Caesars
Double Your Winnings
+185
-225
+210
-260
BetMGM
BetMGM Up To $1500 Bonus
+190
-250
+200
-250
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
228.5 (-111)
228.5 (-109)
235.0 (-108)
235.0 (-114)
DraftKings
DraftKings $200 Bonus
229.5 (-110)
229.5 (-110)
235.0 (-102)
235.0 (-118)
FanDuel
FanDuel $200 Bonus
228.5 (-112)
228.5 (-108)
234.5 (-112)
234.5 (-108)
BetRivers
BetRivers Up To $500 Bonus
228.0 (-112)
228.0 (-109)
235.0 (-108)
235.0 (-113)
Caesars
Caesars
Double Your Winnings
229.5 (-110)
229.5 (-110)
235.5 (-115)
235.5 (-105)
BetMGM
BetMGM Up To $1500 Bonus
229.5 (-110)
229.5 (-110)
234.5 (-110)
234.5 (-110)

Betting trends

  • Betting Trends
  • Head to Head
  • Teams Last 10
DET
Betting Trends
  • Last 3
  • Last 5
  • Last 10
DEN
3-0-0
Win/Loss/Tie
1-2-0
3-0-0
ATS W/L/P
1-2-0
121.33
Avg Score
117.33
117.33
Avg Opp Score
116.33
4-1-0
Win/Loss/Tie
2-3-0
4-1-0
ATS W/L/P
1-4-0
121.6
Avg Score
121.6
120.4
Avg Opp Score
120.8
5-5-0
Win/Loss/Tie
5-5-0
6-4-0
ATS W/L/P
4-6-0
115
Avg Score
122.6
120.5
Avg Opp Score
119
DATE
TM
LN
ML
1st
01/07/24
DET
236.0
+921
29
DEN
-16.0
-1641
31
11/20/23
DEN
225.0
-444
27
DET
9.5
+343
23
03/16/23
DEN
230.5
-1223
29
DET
15.0
+740
28
11/22/22
DET
226.5
+435
28
DEN
-11.5
-591
29
01/25/22
DEN
216.5
-286
34
DET
7.0
+230
32
01/23/22
DET
217.5
+566
30
DEN
-12.0
-829
29
05/14/21
DEN
217.0
-379
29
DET
8.5
+296
25
04/06/21
DET
214.0
+521
32
DEN
-11.5
-756
39
02/25/20
DET
213.5
+652
23
DEN
-13.5
-983
29
02/02/20
DEN
212.0
-137
44
DET
2.5
+114
30

Detroit Pistons

02/02/25
CHI
329.9
+259
49
DET
-8.5
-312
42
01/31/25
DAL
173.1
-88
24
DET
0.6
-77
21
01/29/25
DET
264.5
+212
38
IND
-6.8
-253
46
01/27/25
DET
188.9
+305
18
CLE
-8.4
-395
21
01/25/25
DET
153.5
+96
22
ORL
-2.6
-114
13
01/22/25
DET
386.4
+238
60
ATL
-5.8
-281
43
01/20/25
DET
355.5
+389
63
HOU
-11.9
-475
46
01/18/25
PHO
327.3
-163
43
DET
2.1
-152
42
01/16/25
IND
254.8
-140
32
DET
2.5
+119
29
01/13/25
DET
118.3
+141
19
NY
-4.2
-175
14

Denver Nuggets

02/01/25
DEN
142.1
-489
17
CHA
5.0
+344
13
01/31/25
DEN
177.7
-305
29
PHI
5.4
+240
27
01/29/25
DEN
275.3
+137
31
NY
-2.8
-161
35
01/27/25
DEN
199.0
-318
28
CHI
6.1
+252
26
01/25/25
DEN
168.5
-118
23
MIN
1.9
+100
29
01/23/25
SAC
227.5
+225
29
DEN
-7.0
-274
38
01/21/25
PHI
202.9
+398
24
DEN
-10.0
-542
30
01/19/25
DEN
161.3
-207
20
ORL
4.0
+172
21
01/17/25
DEN
89.6
-59
12
MIA
0.5
+51
4
01/15/25
HOU
73.0
-66
3
DEN
0.6
+56
2

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