Denver Nuggets

Denver Nuggets

May 7, 2025

Oklahoma City Thunder

Oklahoma City Thunder
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Denver Nuggets vs Oklahoma City Thunder Game 2 Pick – 5/7/2025

On May 7, 2025, the Denver Nuggets will face off against the Oklahoma City Thunder in Game 2 of their Western Conference second-round playoff series at Paycom Center, set to tip off at 9:30 PM ET. This clash between divisional rivals carries significant weight, with both teams eager to assert their dominance, as Denver enters this game with a 1-0 series lead.

The Thunder enter the game as heavy favorites, boasting a remarkable 72-16 record and an implied win probability of 81%. With a spread favoring Oklahoma City by 11.0 points, bettors are clearly leaning towards the Thunder's strong home performance. Their recent form is impressive, having won 41 of their last 50 games, and they will be looking to bounce back after a narrow loss to the Nuggets in their last encounter, where they fell 121-119.

On the other hand, the Nuggets, with a record of 55-35, are riding a solid wave of momentum, having secured 31 wins in their last 50 games. Despite their underdog status with a moneyline of +420 and an implied win probability of 19%, Denver will draw confidence from their recent victory over Oklahoma City. This previous upset, where they were 10.5-point underdogs, sets the stage for an intriguing rematch.

For those considering player props, Michael Porter Jr.'s points are generating buzz as the most popular betting market. Meanwhile, sharp bettors are favoring the Under, believing the line is mispriced, particularly with the current price set at Under 9.5 Points.

Denver Nuggets vs Oklahoma City Thunder Game 2 Prediction

Predicted Final Score: Denver Nuggets 113.15, Oklahoma City Thunder 122.54

Denver Nuggets vs Oklahoma City Thunder Game 2 Win Probabilities

TeamImplied Win %:Projected Win %:
Nuggets19%23%
Thunder81%77%

Visit the NBA picks and predictions section for the rest of today's games.

Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

+11.0/-110
90% DEN
-11.0/-110
10% OKC

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+400
65% DEN
-535
35% OKC

Total Pick Consensus

229.5/-110
4% UN
229.5/-110
96% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

DEN
Team Stats Per Game
OKC
82
Games
82
45.4
FG
37.9
89.8
FGA
87.0
.506
FG%
.436
12.0
3Pt-FG
13.5
31.9
3Pt-FGA
39.3
.376
3Pt%
.342
33.4
2Pt-FG
24.5
57.8
2Pt-FGA
47.6
.578
2Pt%
.513
17.9
FT
18.3
23.3
FTA
23.7
.770
FT%
.774
11.2
ORB
11.6
34.5
DRB
33.3
45.7
TRB
44.9
31.0
AST
24.6
8.0
STL
6.7
4.9
BLK
4.8
14.3
TOV
17.0
17.6
PF
18.1
120.8
PTS
107.6

Defense/Offense

DEN
Team Stats Per Game
OKC
82
Games
82
43.3
FG
44.6
93.0
FGA
92.7
.466
FG%
.482
14.1
3Pt-FG
14.5
38.7
3Pt-FGA
38.8
.365
3Pt%
.374
29.2
2Pt-FG
30.1
54.4
2Pt-FGA
53.9
.538
2Pt%
.559
16.1
FT
16.7
20.7
FTA
20.4
.777
FT%
.819
11.7
ORB
10.6
30.7
DRB
34.2
42.5
TRB
44.8
29.0
AST
26.9
8.7
STL
10.3
5.1
BLK
5.7
13.0
TOV
11.7
19.0
PF
19.9
116.9
PTS
120.5

Offense/Defense

DEN
Four Factors
OKC
.573
eFG%
.513
12.5
TOV%
14.9
26.7
RB%
74.6
.200
FT/FGA
.211

Defense/Offense

DEN
Four Factors
OKC
.542
eFG%
.560
11.3
TOV%
10.3
74.6
RB%
24.2
.173
FT/FGA
.180

Offense/Defense

DEN
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
OKC
82
Games
82
45.1
FG
37.9
89.1
FGA
86.8
.506
FG%
.436
11.9
3Pt-FG
13.4
31.7
3Pt-FGA
39.3
.376
3Pt%
.342
33.2
2Pt-FG
24.4
57.4
2Pt-FGA
47.6
.578
2Pt%
.513
17.8
FT
18.3
23.1
FTA
23.7
.770
FT%
.774
11.1
ORB
11.6
34.3
DRB
33.2
45.4
TRB
44.8
30.8
AST
24.6
7.9
STL
6.7
4.9
BLK
4.8
14.2
TOV
17.0
17.5
PF
18.1
119.9
PTS
107.5

Defense/Offense

DEN
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
OKC
82
Games
82
43.0
FG
44.6
92.4
FGA
92.6
.466
FG%
.482
14.0
3Pt-FG
14.5
38.4
3Pt-FGA
38.8
.365
3Pt%
.374
29.0
2Pt-FG
30.1
54.0
2Pt-FGA
53.8
.538
2Pt%
.559
16.0
FT
16.7
20.6
FTA
20.4
.777
FT%
.819
11.7
ORB
10.6
30.5
DRB
34.1
42.2
TRB
44.7
28.8
AST
26.8
8.7
STL
10.3
5.1
BLK
5.7
12.9
TOV
11.7
18.9
PF
19.9
116.0
PTS
120.3

DEN
Analytics
OKC
50
Pythag Wins
68
32
Pythag Losses
14
3.89
Margin Of Victory
12.87
119.9
O Rtg
120.3
116.0
D Rtg
107.5
99.8
Pace
100.0
.259
FTr
.220
.356
3PAr
.419
.604
TS%
.593

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
DEN OKC
DEN OKC
Consensus
+10.5 (-112)
-10.5 (-110)
+11.0 (-112)
-11.0 (-110)
+10.5 (-110)
-10.5 (-110)
+11.0 (-110)
-11.0 (-110)
+10.5 (-110)
-10.5 (-112)
+11.0 (-110)
-11.0 (-110)
+10.5 (-112)
-10.5 (-113)
+11.0 (-112)
-11.0 (-109)
+9.0 (-110)
-9.0 (-110)
+11.0 (-110)
-11.0 (-110)
+10.5 (-115)
-10.5 (-115)
+11.5 (-115)
-11.5 (-105)
Open
Current
Book
DEN OKC
DEN OKC
Consensus
+380
-505
+411
-553
+380
-500
+400
-535
+390
-510
+420
-560
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
230.5 (-110)
230.5 (-108)
229.5 (-109)
229.5 (-109)
229.5 (-110)
229.5 (-110)
229.5 (-110)
229.5 (-110)
230.5 (-112)
230.5 (-108)
229.5 (-110)
229.5 (-110)
230.5 (-109)
230.5 (-112)
230.0 (-110)
230.0 (-110)
221.5 (-110)
221.5 (-110)
229.5 (-110)
229.5 (-110)
230.5 (-115)
230.5 (-105)
229.5 (-110)
229.5 (-110)

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Home NBA Picks Denver Nuggets vs Oklahoma City Thunder Game 2 Pick – 5/7/2025