Denver Nuggets

Denver Nuggets

Mar 10, 2025

Oklahoma City Thunder

Oklahoma City Thunder
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Denver Nuggets vs Oklahoma City Thunder Pick – 3/10/2025


The Denver Nuggets (41-23) face off against the Oklahoma City Thunder (53-12) in a highly anticipated matchup on March 10, 2025, at 8:00 PM ET at Paycom Center. Both teams find themselves in a divisional rivalry that adds an extra layer of motivation for this contest, considering their histories and competitive edge.

This game marks a back-to-back situation for both the Nuggets and Thunder, each playing just a day prior. While fatigued rosters often create challenges, both squads have demonstrated resilience, with the Nuggets winning 33 of their last 50 games and the Thunder boasting an impressive 42 victories in the same stretch. However, the Nuggets are coming off a significant loss to the Thunder, falling 127-103 in their last matchup, which may linger in their minds as they look to avenge that defeat.

Oddsmakers have installed the Thunder as 9-point favorites, with a moneyline of -350. This translates to an implied win probability of 75% for Oklahoma City, while Denver's odds sit at +290, giving them a 25% chance. The Thunder's strong home-court advantage is evident, further complicating the Nuggets' task.

For bettors looking to delve deeper into prop markets, Isaiah Hartenstein's Points and Rebounds has emerged as a popular betting option. The total opened at Over 21.5 Points and Rebounds (-115) and has since steamed to 22.5 (-110), indicating sharp action on the over.


Denver Nuggets vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction

Predicted Final Score: Denver Nuggets 119.69 vs Oklahoma City Thunder 121.78


Denver Nuggets vs Oklahoma City Thunder Win Probabilities

TeamImplied Win %:Projected Win %:
Nuggets25%44%
Thunder75%56%

Be sure to check out all our free NBA picks here.

Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

+9.0/-112
45% DEN
DraftKings
-9.0/-108
55% OKC

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+295
18% DEN
BetRivers
-375
82% OKC

Total Pick Consensus

238.0/-112
33% UN
FanDuel
238.0/-108
67% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

DEN
Team Stats Per Game
OKC
64
Games
64
45.8
FG
37.5
90.3
FGA
86.6
.507
FG%
.433
12.1
3Pt-FG
12.9
31.8
3Pt-FGA
38.6
.381
3Pt%
.333
33.6
2Pt-FG
24.7
58.5
2Pt-FGA
48.0
.575
2Pt%
.514
17.5
FT
18.7
22.7
FTA
24.3
.773
FT%
.769
11.3
ORB
12.1
34.6
DRB
33.6
45.9
TRB
45.7
31.2
AST
24.3
8.1
STL
6.6
4.7
BLK
4.7
14.2
TOV
17.6
17.6
PF
18.2
121.2
PTS
106.6

Defense/Offense

DEN
Team Stats Per Game
OKC
64
Games
64
43.2
FG
44.4
92.9
FGA
92.8
.465
FG%
.479
13.9
3Pt-FG
14.3
38.3
3Pt-FGA
38.9
.362
3Pt%
.366
29.3
2Pt-FG
30.1
54.6
2Pt-FGA
53.8
.536
2Pt%
.560
16.3
FT
16.5
20.8
FTA
20.0
.783
FT%
.827
11.6
ORB
10.8
30.8
DRB
34.0
42.4
TRB
44.8
29.1
AST
26.8
8.8
STL
10.7
5.3
BLK
5.8
13.1
TOV
11.8
18.9
PF
20.3
116.5
PTS
119.6

Offense/Defense

DEN
Four Factors
OKC
.574
eFG%
.508
12.4
TOV%
15.3
26.8
RB%
73.8
.194
FT/FGA
.216

Defense/Offense

DEN
Four Factors
OKC
.539
eFG%
.555
11.4
TOV%
10.4
74.9
RB%
24.4
.175
FT/FGA
.178

Offense/Defense

DEN
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
OKC
64
Games
64
45.3
FG
37.5
89.5
FGA
86.6
.507
FG%
.433
12.0
3Pt-FG
12.9
31.6
3Pt-FGA
38.6
.381
3Pt%
.333
33.3
2Pt-FG
24.6
57.9
2Pt-FGA
47.9
.575
2Pt%
.514
17.4
FT
18.7
22.5
FTA
24.3
.773
FT%
.769
11.2
ORB
12.1
34.3
DRB
33.6
45.5
TRB
45.7
30.9
AST
24.3
8.0
STL
6.6
4.7
BLK
4.7
14.1
TOV
17.6
17.5
PF
18.2
120.1
PTS
106.6

Defense/Offense

DEN
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
OKC
64
Games
64
42.8
FG
44.4
92.1
FGA
92.7
.465
FG%
.479
13.8
3Pt-FG
14.3
38.0
3Pt-FGA
38.9
.362
3Pt%
.366
29.0
2Pt-FG
30.1
54.1
2Pt-FGA
53.8
.536
2Pt%
.560
16.1
FT
16.5
20.6
FTA
20.0
.783
FT%
.827
11.5
ORB
10.8
30.6
DRB
33.9
42.0
TRB
44.8
28.8
AST
26.8
8.7
STL
10.7
5.2
BLK
5.8
13.0
TOV
11.8
18.7
PF
20.3
115.4
PTS
119.5

DEN
Analytics
OKC
41
Pythag Wins
53
23
Pythag Losses
11
4.70
Margin Of Victory
12.98
120.1
O Rtg
119.5
115.4
D Rtg
106.6
100.1
Pace
99.9
.251
FTr
.215
.353
3PAr
.420
.604
TS%
.589

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
DEN OKC
DEN OKC
Consensus
+8.5 (-111)
-8.5 (-110)
+9.0 (-111)
-9.0 (-109)
DraftKings
DraftKings $150 Bonus
+8.5 (-112)
-8.5 (-110)
+9.0 (-112)
-9.0 (-108)
FanDuel
FanDuel $200 Bonus
+9.5 (-110)
-9.5 (-110)
+9.0 (-110)
-9.0 (-110)
BetRivers
BetRivers Up To $500 Bonus
+9.0 (-113)
-9.0 (-109)
+9.0 (-113)
-9.0 (-108)
Caesars
Caesars
Double Your Winnings
+8.5 (-110)
-8.5 (-110)
+9.0 (-110)
-9.0 (-110)
BetMGM
BetMGM Up To $1500 Bonus
+8.5 (-105)
-8.5 (-110)
+8.5 (-105)
-8.5 (-115)
Open
Current
Book
DEN OKC
DEN OKC
Consensus
+285
-360
+291
-364
DraftKings
DraftKings $150 Bonus
+285
-360
+295
-375
FanDuel
FanDuel $200 Bonus
+330
-420
+290
-360
BetRivers
BetRivers Up To $500 Bonus
+275
-345
+275
-345
Caesars
Caesars
Double Your Winnings
+285
-365
+310
-400
BetMGM
BetMGM Up To $1500 Bonus
+280
-350
+290
-375
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
241.0 (-110)
241.0 (-110)
238.0 (-109)
238.0 (-110)
DraftKings
DraftKings $150 Bonus
241.0 (-110)
241.0 (-110)
238.0 (-108)
238.0 (-112)
FanDuel
FanDuel $200 Bonus
239.5 (-110)
239.5 (-110)
238.5 (-110)
238.5 (-110)
BetRivers
BetRivers Up To $500 Bonus
240.0 (-108)
240.0 (-113)
238.5 (-112)
238.5 (-109)
Caesars
Caesars
Double Your Winnings
240.5 (-110)
240.5 (-110)
238.0 (-110)
238.0 (-110)
BetMGM
BetMGM Up To $1500 Bonus
239.5 (-110)
239.5 (-110)
238.5 (-105)
238.5 (-115)

Betting trends

  • Betting Trends
  • Head to Head
  • Teams Last 10
DEN
Betting Trends
  • Last 3
  • Last 5
  • Last 10
OKC
2-1-0
Win/Loss/Tie
3-0-0
0-3-0
ATS W/L/P
3-0-0
122.67
Avg Score
118
126
Avg Opp Score
98.33
3-2-0
Win/Loss/Tie
5-0-0
1-4-0
ATS W/L/P
4-1-0
121
Avg Score
127.4
121.4
Avg Opp Score
111
6-4-0
Win/Loss/Tie
9-1-0
3-7-0
ATS W/L/P
6-4-0
120.3
Avg Score
128.9
120.3
Avg Opp Score
115.6
DATE
TM
LN
ML
1st
03/09/25
DEN
242.5
+243
29
OKC
-7.5
-294
28
11/06/24
OKC
224.5
-266
32
DEN
7.0
+220
30
10/24/24
OKC
228.5
+112
31
DEN
-2.0
-133
24
01/31/24
DEN
223.5
+171
28
OKC
-6.0
-211
19
12/29/23
OKC
236.5
+104
33
DEN
-1.5
-124
27
12/16/23
OKC
237.0
+163
27
DEN
-4.5
-195
31
10/29/23
DEN
229.5
-162
34
OKC
3.5
+134
23
01/22/23
OKC
232.5
+128
27
DEN
-3.0
-152
18
11/23/22
DEN
229.5
-114
38
OKC
1.0
-107
21
11/03/22
DEN
229.0
-252
42
OKC
6.5
+203
29

Denver Nuggets

03/09/25
DEN
398.7
+399
48
OKC
-12.3
-483
46
03/05/25
SAC
128.8
+148
23
DEN
-4.7
-184
16
03/02/25
DEN
267.2
+208
23
BOS
-6.2
-247
36
02/28/25
DEN
315.7
+144
51
DET
-2.6
-170
41
02/27/25
DEN
64.2
-41
2
MIL
0.2
+35
2
02/24/25
DEN
225.5
-142
33
IND
2.9
+121
26
02/22/25
LAL
272.9
+227
42
DEN
-7.3
-272
35
02/20/25
CHA
238.6
+1112
31
DEN
-18.9
-2188
40
02/12/25
POR
353.7
+484
41
DEN
-13.8
-608
61
02/10/25
POR
335.3
+469
39
DEN
-13.1
-602
56

Oklahoma City Thunder

03/09/25
DEN
398.7
+399
48
OKC
-12.3
-483
46
03/07/25
POR
109.7
+50
12
OKC
-0.7
-59
14
03/05/25
OKC
138.6
-145
16
MEM
2.1
+120
15
03/03/25
HOU
79.1
+222
11
OKC
-4.8
-335
10
03/02/25
OKC
269.5
-901
46
SA
14.7
+624
43
02/28/25
OKC
324.9
-695
53
ATL
14.5
+523
30
02/26/25
OKC
212.6
-1428
28
BKN
16.2
+836
39
02/23/25
OKC
91.0
-146
14
MIN
1.4
+116
4
02/21/25
OKC
77.6
-410
3
UTA
1.7
+249
2
02/13/25
OKC
185.5
-353
19
MIN
6.3
+278
30

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