Denver Nuggets

Denver Nuggets

Mar 10, 2025

Oklahoma City Thunder

Oklahoma City Thunder
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Denver Nuggets vs Oklahoma City Thunder Pick – 3/10/2025


The Denver Nuggets (41-23) face off against the Oklahoma City Thunder (53-12) in a highly anticipated matchup on March 10, 2025, at 8:00 PM ET at Paycom Center. Both teams find themselves in a divisional rivalry that adds an extra layer of motivation for this contest, considering their histories and competitive edge.

This game marks a back-to-back situation for both the Nuggets and Thunder, each playing just a day prior. While fatigued rosters often create challenges, both squads have demonstrated resilience, with the Nuggets winning 33 of their last 50 games and the Thunder boasting an impressive 42 victories in the same stretch. However, the Nuggets are coming off a significant loss to the Thunder, falling 127-103 in their last matchup, which may linger in their minds as they look to avenge that defeat.

Oddsmakers have installed the Thunder as 9-point favorites, with a moneyline of -350. This translates to an implied win probability of 75% for Oklahoma City, while Denver's odds sit at +290, giving them a 25% chance. The Thunder's strong home-court advantage is evident, further complicating the Nuggets' task.

For bettors looking to delve deeper into prop markets, Isaiah Hartenstein's Points and Rebounds has emerged as a popular betting option. The total opened at Over 21.5 Points and Rebounds (-115) and has since steamed to 22.5 (-110), indicating sharp action on the over.


Denver Nuggets vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction

Predicted Final Score: Denver Nuggets 119.69 vs Oklahoma City Thunder 121.78


Denver Nuggets vs Oklahoma City Thunder Win Probabilities

TeamImplied Win %:Projected Win %:
Nuggets25%44%
Thunder75%56%

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Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

+9.5/-115
51% DEN
-9.5/-105
49% OKC

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+303
16% DEN
-382
84% OKC

Total Pick Consensus

240.5/-112
25% UN
240.5/-108
75% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

DEN
Team Stats Per Game
OKC
82
Games
82
45.4
FG
37.9
89.8
FGA
87.0
.506
FG%
.436
12.0
3Pt-FG
13.5
31.9
3Pt-FGA
39.3
.376
3Pt%
.342
33.4
2Pt-FG
24.5
57.8
2Pt-FGA
47.6
.578
2Pt%
.513
17.9
FT
18.3
23.3
FTA
23.7
.770
FT%
.774
11.2
ORB
11.6
34.5
DRB
33.3
45.7
TRB
44.9
31.0
AST
24.6
8.0
STL
6.7
4.9
BLK
4.8
14.3
TOV
17.0
17.6
PF
18.1
120.8
PTS
107.6

Defense/Offense

DEN
Team Stats Per Game
OKC
82
Games
82
43.3
FG
44.6
93.0
FGA
92.7
.466
FG%
.482
14.1
3Pt-FG
14.5
38.7
3Pt-FGA
38.8
.365
3Pt%
.374
29.2
2Pt-FG
30.1
54.4
2Pt-FGA
53.9
.538
2Pt%
.559
16.1
FT
16.7
20.7
FTA
20.4
.777
FT%
.819
11.7
ORB
10.6
30.7
DRB
34.2
42.5
TRB
44.8
29.0
AST
26.9
8.7
STL
10.3
5.1
BLK
5.7
13.0
TOV
11.7
19.0
PF
19.9
116.9
PTS
120.5

Offense/Defense

DEN
Four Factors
OKC
.573
eFG%
.513
12.5
TOV%
14.9
26.7
RB%
74.6
.200
FT/FGA
.211

Defense/Offense

DEN
Four Factors
OKC
.542
eFG%
.560
11.3
TOV%
10.3
74.6
RB%
24.2
.173
FT/FGA
.180

Offense/Defense

DEN
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
OKC
82
Games
82
45.1
FG
37.9
89.1
FGA
86.8
.506
FG%
.436
11.9
3Pt-FG
13.4
31.7
3Pt-FGA
39.3
.376
3Pt%
.342
33.2
2Pt-FG
24.4
57.4
2Pt-FGA
47.6
.578
2Pt%
.513
17.8
FT
18.3
23.1
FTA
23.7
.770
FT%
.774
11.1
ORB
11.6
34.3
DRB
33.2
45.4
TRB
44.8
30.8
AST
24.6
7.9
STL
6.7
4.9
BLK
4.8
14.2
TOV
17.0
17.5
PF
18.1
119.9
PTS
107.5

Defense/Offense

DEN
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
OKC
82
Games
82
43.0
FG
44.6
92.4
FGA
92.6
.466
FG%
.482
14.0
3Pt-FG
14.5
38.4
3Pt-FGA
38.8
.365
3Pt%
.374
29.0
2Pt-FG
30.1
54.0
2Pt-FGA
53.8
.538
2Pt%
.559
16.0
FT
16.7
20.6
FTA
20.4
.777
FT%
.819
11.7
ORB
10.6
30.5
DRB
34.1
42.2
TRB
44.7
28.8
AST
26.8
8.7
STL
10.3
5.1
BLK
5.7
12.9
TOV
11.7
18.9
PF
19.9
116.0
PTS
120.3

DEN
Analytics
OKC
50
Pythag Wins
68
32
Pythag Losses
14
3.89
Margin Of Victory
12.87
119.9
O Rtg
120.3
116.0
D Rtg
107.5
99.8
Pace
100.0
.259
FTr
.220
.356
3PAr
.419
.604
TS%
.593

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
DEN OKC
DEN OKC
Consensus
+8.5 (-112)
-8.5 (-110)
+9.5 (-112)
-9.5 (-107)
+8.5 (-115)
-8.5 (-110)
+9.5 (-115)
-9.5 (-105)
+9.5 (-112)
-9.5 (-110)
+9.5 (-112)
-9.5 (-108)
+9.0 (-114)
-9.0 (-109)
+9.5 (-114)
-9.5 (-107)
+8.5 (-110)
-8.5 (-110)
+9.5 (-110)
-9.5 (-110)
+8.5 (-110)
-8.5 (-110)
+9.5 (-110)
-9.5 (-110)
Open
Current
Book
DEN OKC
DEN OKC
Consensus
+285
-360
+303
-382
+285
-360
+310
-395
+330
-420
+315
-400
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
241.0 (-110)
241.0 (-110)
240.5 (-110)
240.5 (-110)
241.0 (-110)
241.0 (-110)
240.5 (-108)
240.5 (-112)
239.5 (-110)
239.5 (-110)
240.5 (-110)
240.5 (-110)
240.0 (-108)
240.0 (-113)
239.5 (-112)
239.5 (-109)
240.5 (-110)
240.5 (-110)
240.5 (-115)
240.5 (-105)
239.5 (-110)
239.5 (-110)
240.5 (-105)
240.5 (-115)

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