Denver Nuggets

Denver Nuggets

Jan 12, 2025

Dallas Mavericks

Dallas Mavericks
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Denver Nuggets vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction & Picks 1/12/2025

  • Date: January 12, 2025
  • Venue: American Airlines Center


Betting Odds

Spread:Denver Nuggets -5.5 (-110), Dallas Mavericks 5.5 (-110)
Over/Under:228
Moneyline:Denver Nuggets -210, Dallas Mavericks 180


Denver Nuggets vs Dallas Mavericks Win Probabilities

Implied Win %:Projected Win %:
Denver Nuggets - 65%Denver Nuggets - 76%
Dallas Mavericks - 35%Dallas Mavericks - 24%

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Denver Nuggets vs Dallas Mavericks Betting Preview

The Denver Nuggets face off against the Dallas Mavericks in a Sunday afternoon matchup at 3:00 PM ET, taking place at the American Airlines Center. Both teams enter this contest with solid records, as the Nuggets sit at 22-15 while the Mavericks hold a slight edge at 22-16.

Despite being on the road, the Nuggets are favored with a spread of Nuggets -5.0 and a moneyline of -200, indicating an implied win probability of 64%. Meanwhile, the Mavericks stand at +170 on the moneyline with an implied win probability of 36%. The Nuggets are riding high after their recent 124-105 victory over the Brooklyn Nets, and they have won 18 of their last 30 games. Conversely, the Mavericks are also playing well, having secured victories in 16 of their last 25 games, including a recent win against the Portland Trail Blazers, 117-111.

Extra days off could benefit the Mavericks, who last played three days ago. This rest may allow their players to recharge and be more competitive against a strong Nuggets squad. Betting interest has focused on Michael Porter Jr.'s points and rebounds prop, which has emerged as a popular market for this game. The over/under for his combined points and rebounds is currently set at 24.5 (-110), with sharp bettors leaning towards the over, suggesting they believe this line might be mispriced.


Denver Nuggets vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction

Final Score: Denver Nuggets 119.89 vs Dallas Mavericks 110.89

Be sure to check out all our free NBA picks here.

Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

-5.5/-112
69% DEN
+5.5/-108
31% DAL

Moneyline Pick Consensus

-217
80% DEN
+183
20% DAL

Total Pick Consensus

232.5/-112
11% UN
232.5/-108
89% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

DEN
Team Stats Per Game
DAL
66
Games
67
45.7
FG
42.6
90.2
FGA
91.6
.507
FG%
.465
12.2
3Pt-FG
12.8
31.8
3Pt-FGA
35.6
.382
3Pt%
.360
33.5
2Pt-FG
29.8
58.4
2Pt-FGA
56.0
.574
2Pt%
.531
17.5
FT
16.6
22.6
FTA
21.3
.774
FT%
.780
11.2
ORB
12.3
34.6
DRB
33.2
45.8
TRB
45.5
31.0
AST
27.1
8.1
STL
7.9
4.7
BLK
4.7
14.1
TOV
13.4
17.6
PF
18.6
121.1
PTS
114.6

Defense/Offense

DEN
Team Stats Per Game
DAL
66
Games
67
43.2
FG
42.0
93.0
FGA
88.5
.465
FG%
.475
14.0
3Pt-FG
13.1
38.5
3Pt-FGA
35.6
.364
3Pt%
.368
29.2
2Pt-FG
28.9
54.5
2Pt-FGA
52.9
.536
2Pt%
.547
16.2
FT
17.7
20.6
FTA
22.7
.784
FT%
.778
11.6
ORB
10.5
30.8
DRB
32.9
42.4
TRB
43.4
29.1
AST
25.4
8.8
STL
7.9
5.3
BLK
5.6
13.1
TOV
13.9
18.8
PF
18.1
116.6
PTS
114.8

Offense/Defense

DEN
Four Factors
DAL
.574
eFG%
.535
12.3
TOV%
11.7
26.7
RB%
72.8
.194
FT/FGA
.181

Defense/Offense

DEN
Four Factors
DAL
.540
eFG%
.549
11.4
TOV%
12.4
74.9
RB%
24.0
.174
FT/FGA
.200

Offense/Defense

DEN
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
DAL
66
Games
67
45.3
FG
42.9
89.5
FGA
92.2
.507
FG%
.465
12.1
3Pt-FG
12.9
31.6
3Pt-FGA
35.8
.382
3Pt%
.360
33.3
2Pt-FG
30.0
57.9
2Pt-FGA
56.4
.574
2Pt%
.531
17.4
FT
16.7
22.5
FTA
21.4
.774
FT%
.780
11.2
ORB
12.4
34.3
DRB
33.4
45.4
TRB
45.8
30.8
AST
27.2
8.0
STL
8.0
4.7
BLK
4.8
14.0
TOV
13.4
17.5
PF
18.7
120.1
PTS
115.4

Defense/Offense

DEN
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
DAL
66
Games
67
42.9
FG
42.3
92.3
FGA
89.0
.465
FG%
.475
13.9
3Pt-FG
13.2
38.2
3Pt-FGA
35.8
.364
3Pt%
.368
29.0
2Pt-FG
29.1
54.1
2Pt-FGA
53.2
.536
2Pt%
.547
16.0
FT
17.8
20.4
FTA
22.9
.784
FT%
.778
11.5
ORB
10.6
30.6
DRB
33.1
42.1
TRB
43.7
28.9
AST
25.6
8.7
STL
8.0
5.2
BLK
5.7
13.0
TOV
14.0
18.7
PF
18.2
115.7
PTS
115.5

DEN
Analytics
DAL
41
Pythag Wins
34
25
Pythag Losses
33
4.45
Margin Of Victory
0.18
120.1
O Rtg
115.5
115.7
D Rtg
115.4
100.0
Pace
99.1
.251
FTr
.257
.353
3PAr
.402
.604
TS%
.583

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
DEN DAL
DEN DAL
Consensus
-3.0 (-110)
+3.0 (-110)
-5.5 (-110)
+5.5 (-110)
-3.0 (-112)
+3.0 (-110)
-5.5 (-112)
+5.5 (-108)
-2.0 (-108)
+2.0 (-108)
-5.5 (-108)
+5.5 (-112)
-3.0 (-108)
+3.0 (-114)
-5.5 (-108)
+5.5 (-113)
-3.0 (-120)
+3.0 (-110)
-5.5 (-120)
+5.5 (+100)
-3.5 (-110)
+3.5 (-105)
-5.5 (-110)
+5.5 (-110)
Open
Current
Book
DEN DAL
DEN DAL
Consensus
-148
+124
-217
+183
-148
+124
-230
+190
-138
+118
-225
+188
-141
+118
-210
+175
-165
+140
-240
+196
-165
+140
-225
+180
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
228.5 (-110)
228.5 (-110)
232.5 (-110)
232.5 (-112)
228.5 (-110)
228.5 (-110)
232.5 (-108)
232.5 (-112)
227.5 (-110)
227.5 (-110)
232.0 (-110)
232.0 (-110)
228.0 (-113)
228.0 (-108)
232.5 (-109)
232.5 (-112)
228.5 (-110)
228.5 (-110)
232.5 (-120)
232.5 (+100)
228.5 (-110)
228.5 (-110)
232.5 (-110)
232.5 (-110)

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