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Denver Nuggets vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction & Picks 1/12/2025
- Date: January 12, 2025
- Venue: American Airlines Center
Betting Odds
| Spread: | Denver Nuggets -5.5 (-110), Dallas Mavericks 5.5 (-110) |
| Over/Under: | 228 |
| Moneyline: | Denver Nuggets -210, Dallas Mavericks 180 |
Denver Nuggets vs Dallas Mavericks Win Probabilities
| Implied Win %: | Projected Win %: |
| Denver Nuggets - 65% | Denver Nuggets - 76% |
| Dallas Mavericks - 35% | Dallas Mavericks - 24% |
Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.
Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.
Denver Nuggets vs Dallas Mavericks Betting Preview
The Denver Nuggets face off against the Dallas Mavericks in a Sunday afternoon matchup at 3:00 PM ET, taking place at the American Airlines Center. Both teams enter this contest with solid records, as the Nuggets sit at 22-15 while the Mavericks hold a slight edge at 22-16.
Despite being on the road, the Nuggets are favored with a spread of Nuggets -5.0 and a moneyline of -200, indicating an implied win probability of 64%. Meanwhile, the Mavericks stand at +170 on the moneyline with an implied win probability of 36%. The Nuggets are riding high after their recent 124-105 victory over the Brooklyn Nets, and they have won 18 of their last 30 games. Conversely, the Mavericks are also playing well, having secured victories in 16 of their last 25 games, including a recent win against the Portland Trail Blazers, 117-111.
Extra days off could benefit the Mavericks, who last played three days ago. This rest may allow their players to recharge and be more competitive against a strong Nuggets squad. Betting interest has focused on Michael Porter Jr.'s points and rebounds prop, which has emerged as a popular market for this game. The over/under for his combined points and rebounds is currently set at 24.5 (-110), with sharp bettors leaning towards the over, suggesting they believe this line might be mispriced.
Denver Nuggets vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction
Final Score: Denver Nuggets 119.89 vs Dallas Mavericks 110.89
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Denver Nuggets
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