Denver Nuggets

Denver Nuggets

Jan 12, 2025

Dallas Mavericks

Dallas Mavericks
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Denver Nuggets vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction & Picks 1/12/2025

  • Date: January 12, 2025
  • Venue: American Airlines Center


Betting Odds

Spread:Denver Nuggets -5.5 (-110), Dallas Mavericks 5.5 (-110)
Over/Under:228
Moneyline:Denver Nuggets -210, Dallas Mavericks 180


Denver Nuggets vs Dallas Mavericks Win Probabilities

Implied Win %:Projected Win %:
Denver Nuggets - 65%Denver Nuggets - 76%
Dallas Mavericks - 35%Dallas Mavericks - 24%

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Denver Nuggets vs Dallas Mavericks Betting Preview

The Denver Nuggets face off against the Dallas Mavericks in a Sunday afternoon matchup at 3:00 PM ET, taking place at the American Airlines Center. Both teams enter this contest with solid records, as the Nuggets sit at 22-15 while the Mavericks hold a slight edge at 22-16.

Despite being on the road, the Nuggets are favored with a spread of Nuggets -5.0 and a moneyline of -200, indicating an implied win probability of 64%. Meanwhile, the Mavericks stand at +170 on the moneyline with an implied win probability of 36%. The Nuggets are riding high after their recent 124-105 victory over the Brooklyn Nets, and they have won 18 of their last 30 games. Conversely, the Mavericks are also playing well, having secured victories in 16 of their last 25 games, including a recent win against the Portland Trail Blazers, 117-111.

Extra days off could benefit the Mavericks, who last played three days ago. This rest may allow their players to recharge and be more competitive against a strong Nuggets squad. Betting interest has focused on Michael Porter Jr.'s points and rebounds prop, which has emerged as a popular market for this game. The over/under for his combined points and rebounds is currently set at 24.5 (-110), with sharp bettors leaning towards the over, suggesting they believe this line might be mispriced.


Denver Nuggets vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction

Final Score: Denver Nuggets 119.89 vs Dallas Mavericks 110.89

Be sure to check out all our free NBA picks here.

Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

-5.5/-112
69% DEN
+5.5/-108
31% DAL

Moneyline Pick Consensus

-217
80% DEN
+183
20% DAL

Total Pick Consensus

232.5/-112
11% UN
232.5/-108
89% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

DEN
Team Stats Per Game
DAL
82
Games
82
45.4
FG
43.1
89.8
FGA
91.7
.506
FG%
.469
12.0
3Pt-FG
12.9
31.9
3Pt-FGA
35.4
.376
3Pt%
.363
33.4
2Pt-FG
30.2
57.8
2Pt-FGA
56.3
.578
2Pt%
.537
17.9
FT
16.4
23.3
FTA
21.1
.770
FT%
.779
11.2
ORB
12.1
34.5
DRB
33.2
45.7
TRB
45.3
31.0
AST
27.1
8.0
STL
8.1
4.9
BLK
4.6
14.3
TOV
13.2
17.6
PF
18.7
120.8
PTS
115.4

Defense/Offense

DEN
Team Stats Per Game
DAL
82
Games
82
43.3
FG
42.0
93.0
FGA
87.7
.466
FG%
.479
14.1
3Pt-FG
12.4
38.7
3Pt-FGA
34.2
.365
3Pt%
.364
29.2
2Pt-FG
29.5
54.4
2Pt-FGA
53.6
.538
2Pt%
.552
16.1
FT
17.8
20.7
FTA
23.1
.777
FT%
.770
11.7
ORB
10.1
30.7
DRB
33.0
42.5
TRB
43.0
29.0
AST
25.2
8.7
STL
7.8
5.1
BLK
5.4
13.0
TOV
14.0
19.0
PF
17.8
116.9
PTS
114.2

Offense/Defense

DEN
Four Factors
DAL
.573
eFG%
.540
12.5
TOV%
11.6
26.7
RB%
73.1
.200
FT/FGA
.179

Defense/Offense

DEN
Four Factors
DAL
.542
eFG%
.549
11.3
TOV%
12.5
74.6
RB%
23.3
.173
FT/FGA
.203

Offense/Defense

DEN
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
DAL
82
Games
82
45.1
FG
43.3
89.1
FGA
92.2
.506
FG%
.469
11.9
3Pt-FG
12.9
31.7
3Pt-FGA
35.6
.376
3Pt%
.363
33.2
2Pt-FG
30.4
57.4
2Pt-FGA
56.6
.578
2Pt%
.537
17.8
FT
16.5
23.1
FTA
21.2
.770
FT%
.779
11.1
ORB
12.2
34.3
DRB
33.3
45.4
TRB
45.5
30.8
AST
27.2
7.9
STL
8.1
4.9
BLK
4.6
14.2
TOV
13.3
17.5
PF
18.8
119.9
PTS
116.0

Defense/Offense

DEN
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
DAL
82
Games
82
43.0
FG
42.2
92.4
FGA
88.2
.466
FG%
.479
14.0
3Pt-FG
12.5
38.4
3Pt-FGA
34.3
.365
3Pt%
.364
29.0
2Pt-FG
29.7
54.0
2Pt-FGA
53.9
.538
2Pt%
.552
16.0
FT
17.9
20.6
FTA
23.2
.777
FT%
.770
11.7
ORB
10.2
30.5
DRB
33.1
42.2
TRB
43.3
28.8
AST
25.4
8.7
STL
7.8
5.1
BLK
5.5
12.9
TOV
14.1
18.9
PF
17.9
116.0
PTS
114.8

DEN
Analytics
DAL
50
Pythag Wins
38
32
Pythag Losses
44
3.89
Margin Of Victory
-1.20
119.9
O Rtg
114.8
116.0
D Rtg
116.0
99.8
Pace
99.2
.259
FTr
.263
.356
3PAr
.389
.604
TS%
.583

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
DEN DAL
DEN DAL
Consensus
-3.0 (-110)
+3.0 (-110)
-5.5 (-110)
+5.5 (-110)
-3.0 (-112)
+3.0 (-110)
-5.5 (-112)
+5.5 (-108)
-2.0 (-108)
+2.0 (-108)
-5.5 (-108)
+5.5 (-112)
-3.0 (-108)
+3.0 (-114)
-5.5 (-108)
+5.5 (-113)
-3.0 (-120)
+3.0 (-110)
-5.5 (-120)
+5.5 (+100)
-3.5 (-110)
+3.5 (-105)
-5.5 (-110)
+5.5 (-110)
Open
Current
Book
DEN DAL
DEN DAL
Consensus
-148
+124
-217
+183
-148
+124
-230
+190
-138
+118
-225
+188
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
228.5 (-110)
228.5 (-110)
232.5 (-110)
232.5 (-112)
228.5 (-110)
228.5 (-110)
232.5 (-108)
232.5 (-112)
227.5 (-110)
227.5 (-110)
232.0 (-110)
232.0 (-110)
228.0 (-113)
228.0 (-108)
232.5 (-109)
232.5 (-112)
228.5 (-110)
228.5 (-110)
232.5 (-120)
232.5 (+100)
228.5 (-110)
228.5 (-110)
232.5 (-110)
232.5 (-110)

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