Denver Nuggets

Denver Nuggets

Jan 12, 2025

Dallas Mavericks

Dallas Mavericks
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Denver Nuggets vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction & Picks 1/12/2025

  • Date: January 12, 2025
  • Venue: American Airlines Center


Betting Odds

Spread:Denver Nuggets -5.5 (-110), Dallas Mavericks 5.5 (-110)
Over/Under:228
Moneyline:Denver Nuggets -210, Dallas Mavericks 180


Denver Nuggets vs Dallas Mavericks Win Probabilities

Implied Win %:Projected Win %:
Denver Nuggets - 65%Denver Nuggets - 76%
Dallas Mavericks - 35%Dallas Mavericks - 24%

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Denver Nuggets vs Dallas Mavericks Betting Preview

The Denver Nuggets face off against the Dallas Mavericks in a Sunday afternoon matchup at 3:00 PM ET, taking place at the American Airlines Center. Both teams enter this contest with solid records, as the Nuggets sit at 22-15 while the Mavericks hold a slight edge at 22-16.

Despite being on the road, the Nuggets are favored with a spread of Nuggets -5.0 and a moneyline of -200, indicating an implied win probability of 64%. Meanwhile, the Mavericks stand at +170 on the moneyline with an implied win probability of 36%. The Nuggets are riding high after their recent 124-105 victory over the Brooklyn Nets, and they have won 18 of their last 30 games. Conversely, the Mavericks are also playing well, having secured victories in 16 of their last 25 games, including a recent win against the Portland Trail Blazers, 117-111.

Extra days off could benefit the Mavericks, who last played three days ago. This rest may allow their players to recharge and be more competitive against a strong Nuggets squad. Betting interest has focused on Michael Porter Jr.'s points and rebounds prop, which has emerged as a popular market for this game. The over/under for his combined points and rebounds is currently set at 24.5 (-110), with sharp bettors leaning towards the over, suggesting they believe this line might be mispriced.


Denver Nuggets vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction

Final Score: Denver Nuggets 119.89 vs Dallas Mavericks 110.89

Be sure to check out all our free NBA picks here.

Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

-5.5/-112
69% DEN
BetMGM
+5.5/-108
31% DAL

Moneyline Pick Consensus

-217
80% DEN
DraftKings
+183
20% DAL

Total Pick Consensus

232.5/-112
11% UN
DraftKings
232.5/-108
89% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

DEN
Team Stats Per Game
DAL
66
Games
67
45.7
FG
42.6
90.2
FGA
91.6
.507
FG%
.465
12.2
3Pt-FG
12.8
31.8
3Pt-FGA
35.6
.382
3Pt%
.360
33.5
2Pt-FG
29.8
58.4
2Pt-FGA
56.0
.574
2Pt%
.531
17.5
FT
16.6
22.6
FTA
21.3
.774
FT%
.780
11.2
ORB
12.3
34.6
DRB
33.2
45.8
TRB
45.5
31.0
AST
27.1
8.1
STL
7.9
4.7
BLK
4.7
14.1
TOV
13.4
17.6
PF
18.6
121.1
PTS
114.6

Defense/Offense

DEN
Team Stats Per Game
DAL
66
Games
67
43.2
FG
42.0
93.0
FGA
88.5
.465
FG%
.475
14.0
3Pt-FG
13.1
38.5
3Pt-FGA
35.6
.364
3Pt%
.368
29.2
2Pt-FG
28.9
54.5
2Pt-FGA
52.9
.536
2Pt%
.547
16.2
FT
17.7
20.6
FTA
22.7
.784
FT%
.778
11.6
ORB
10.5
30.8
DRB
32.9
42.4
TRB
43.4
29.1
AST
25.4
8.8
STL
7.9
5.3
BLK
5.6
13.1
TOV
13.9
18.8
PF
18.1
116.6
PTS
114.8

Offense/Defense

DEN
Four Factors
DAL
.574
eFG%
.535
12.3
TOV%
11.7
26.7
RB%
72.8
.194
FT/FGA
.181

Defense/Offense

DEN
Four Factors
DAL
.540
eFG%
.549
11.4
TOV%
12.4
74.9
RB%
24.0
.174
FT/FGA
.200

Offense/Defense

DEN
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
DAL
66
Games
67
45.3
FG
42.9
89.5
FGA
92.2
.507
FG%
.465
12.1
3Pt-FG
12.9
31.6
3Pt-FGA
35.8
.382
3Pt%
.360
33.3
2Pt-FG
30.0
57.9
2Pt-FGA
56.4
.574
2Pt%
.531
17.4
FT
16.7
22.5
FTA
21.4
.774
FT%
.780
11.2
ORB
12.4
34.3
DRB
33.4
45.4
TRB
45.8
30.8
AST
27.2
8.0
STL
8.0
4.7
BLK
4.8
14.0
TOV
13.4
17.5
PF
18.7
120.1
PTS
115.4

Defense/Offense

DEN
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
DAL
66
Games
67
42.9
FG
42.3
92.3
FGA
89.0
.465
FG%
.475
13.9
3Pt-FG
13.2
38.2
3Pt-FGA
35.8
.364
3Pt%
.368
29.0
2Pt-FG
29.1
54.1
2Pt-FGA
53.2
.536
2Pt%
.547
16.0
FT
17.8
20.4
FTA
22.9
.784
FT%
.778
11.5
ORB
10.6
30.6
DRB
33.1
42.1
TRB
43.7
28.9
AST
25.6
8.7
STL
8.0
5.2
BLK
5.7
13.0
TOV
14.0
18.7
PF
18.2
115.7
PTS
115.5

DEN
Analytics
DAL
41
Pythag Wins
34
25
Pythag Losses
33
4.45
Margin Of Victory
0.18
120.1
O Rtg
115.5
115.7
D Rtg
115.4
100.0
Pace
99.1
.251
FTr
.257
.353
3PAr
.402
.604
TS%
.583

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
DEN DAL
DEN DAL
Consensus
-3.0 (-110)
+3.0 (-110)
-5.5 (-110)
+5.5 (-110)
DraftKings
DraftKings $150 Bonus
-3.0 (-112)
+3.0 (-110)
-5.5 (-112)
+5.5 (-108)
FanDuel
FanDuel $200 Bonus
-2.0 (-108)
+2.0 (-108)
-5.5 (-108)
+5.5 (-112)
BetRivers
BetRivers Up To $500 Bonus
-3.0 (-108)
+3.0 (-114)
-5.5 (-108)
+5.5 (-113)
Caesars
Caesars
Double Your Winnings
-3.0 (-120)
+3.0 (-110)
-5.5 (-120)
+5.5 (+100)
BetMGM
BetMGM Up To $1500 Bonus
-3.5 (-110)
+3.5 (-105)
-5.5 (-110)
+5.5 (-110)
Open
Current
Book
DEN DAL
DEN DAL
Consensus
-148
+124
-217
+183
DraftKings
DraftKings $150 Bonus
-148
+124
-230
+190
FanDuel
FanDuel $200 Bonus
-138
+118
-225
+188
BetRivers
BetRivers Up To $500 Bonus
-141
+118
-210
+175
Caesars
Caesars
Double Your Winnings
-165
+140
-240
+196
BetMGM
BetMGM Up To $1500 Bonus
-165
+140
-225
+180
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
228.5 (-110)
228.5 (-110)
232.5 (-110)
232.5 (-112)
DraftKings
DraftKings $150 Bonus
228.5 (-110)
228.5 (-110)
232.5 (-108)
232.5 (-112)
FanDuel
FanDuel $200 Bonus
227.5 (-110)
227.5 (-110)
232.0 (-110)
232.0 (-110)
BetRivers
BetRivers Up To $500 Bonus
228.0 (-113)
228.0 (-108)
232.5 (-109)
232.5 (-112)
Caesars
Caesars
Double Your Winnings
228.5 (-110)
228.5 (-110)
232.5 (-120)
232.5 (+100)
BetMGM
BetMGM Up To $1500 Bonus
228.5 (-110)
228.5 (-110)
232.5 (-110)
232.5 (-110)

Betting trends

  • Betting Trends
  • Head to Head
  • Teams Last 10
DEN
Betting Trends
  • Last 3
  • Last 5
  • Last 10
DAL
2-1-0
Win/Loss/Tie
2-1-0
2-1-0
ATS W/L/P
1-2-0
118.67
Avg Score
113
108.67
Avg Opp Score
109
3-2-0
Win/Loss/Tie
2-3-0
3-2-0
ATS W/L/P
1-4-0
117.6
Avg Score
112
110
Avg Opp Score
114.2
6-4-0
Win/Loss/Tie
4-6-0
6-4-0
ATS W/L/P
3-7-0
122.8
Avg Score
111.1
117.1
Avg Opp Score
110.9
DATE
TM
LN
ML
1st
11/22/24
DAL
229.0
+165
33
DEN
-5.0
-198
31
11/10/24
DAL
233.0
+113
29
DEN
-2.0
-133
35
03/17/24
DEN
231.5
-120
34
DAL
1.5
-101
30
12/18/23
DAL
239.5
+279
20
DEN
-8.5
-353
28
11/03/23
DAL
230.0
+191
24
DEN
-6.0
-234
40
02/15/23
DAL
229.0
+188
25
DEN
-6.0
-232
26
12/06/22
DAL
223.5
+159
36
DEN
-4.5
-192
29
11/20/22
DEN
217.5
+399
25
DAL
-10.5
-529
25
11/18/22
DEN
215.5
+345
27
DAL
-9.5
-444
29
01/03/22
DEN
213.0
+119
20
DAL
-2.5
-143
24

Denver Nuggets

03/12/25
MIN
333.9
+153
49
DEN
-2.1
-179
37
03/10/25
DEN
328.5
+414
46
OKC
-13.0
-522
44
03/09/25
DEN
398.7
+399
48
OKC
-12.3
-483
46
03/05/25
SAC
128.8
+148
23
DEN
-4.7
-184
16
03/02/25
DEN
267.2
+208
23
BOS
-6.2
-247
36
02/28/25
DEN
315.7
+144
51
DET
-2.6
-170
41
02/27/25
DEN
64.2
-41
2
MIL
0.2
+35
2
02/24/25
DEN
225.5
-142
33
IND
2.9
+121
26
02/22/25
LAL
272.9
+227
42
DEN
-7.3
-272
35
02/20/25
CHA
238.6
+1112
31
DEN
-18.9
-2188
40

Dallas Mavericks

03/12/25
DAL
340.3
+284
40
SA
-8.6
-337
29
03/10/25
DAL
320.3
+285
38
SA
-8.9
-343
46
03/09/25
PHO
377.3
-429
53
DAL
10.7
+355
39
03/07/25
MEM
114.7
-222
11
DAL
2.3
+172
15
03/05/25
DAL
123.6
+259
16
MIL
-6.3
-356
24
03/03/25
SAC
80.1
-45
3
DAL
0.2
+38
3
03/01/25
MIL
94.8
-61
13
DAL
0.5
+52
15
02/27/25
CHA
58.3
+113
2
DAL
-2.8
-148
2
02/25/25
DAL
392.2
+504
34
LAL
-15.3
-633
48
02/23/25
DAL
91.8
+121
3
GS
-3.6
-153
13

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