Denver Nuggets

Denver Nuggets

Jan 4, 2025

San Antonio Spurs

San Antonio Spurs
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Denver Nuggets at San Antonio Spurs Pick For 1/4/2025

  • Date: January 4, 2025
  • Venue: Frost Bank Center


Betting Odds

Spread:Denver Nuggets -3 (-110), San Antonio Spurs 3 (-110)
Over/Under:236.5
Moneyline:Denver Nuggets -140, San Antonio Spurs 120


Denver Nuggets vs San Antonio Spurs Win Probabilities

Implied Win %:Projected Win %:
Denver Nuggets - 56%Denver Nuggets - 9%
San Antonio Spurs - 44%San Antonio Spurs - 91%

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Denver Nuggets vs San Antonio Spurs Betting Preview

The Denver Nuggets (19-14) face off against the San Antonio Spurs (18-16) on Saturday night at 8:00 PM ET at Frost Bank Center. This matchup marks a back-to-back game for both teams, which could pose challenges given the lack of rest. The Nuggets played yesterday and are coming off a tough loss to the Spurs, falling 113-110 in a game where they were favored by 6.0 points. This recent defeat highlights the potential for an upset, especially considering the Spurs' current momentum at home, having won their last three games on their own floor.

Despite the Nuggets' solid performance overall, winning 18 of their last 30 games, they enter this game as slight favorites with a spread of Nuggets -2.5. The Nuggets have an implied win probability of 56%, while the Spurs sit at 44%. The betting landscape suggests that sharp bettors are leaning towards the Under, believing it to be mispriced, particularly in the player prop market surrounding Russell Westbrook's Points and Assists, currently set at Under 19.5 (-125).

Both teams will need to manage fatigue effectively as they look to capitalize on their strengths. While the Nuggets have shown resilience, the Spurs' recent home success could play a crucial role in this matchup. As the game approaches, all eyes will be on how these factors influence the outcome, especially given the backdrop of their previous encounter.


Denver Nuggets vs San Antonio Spurs Prediction

Final Score: Denver Nuggets 117.07 vs San Antonio Spurs 132.61

Stay informed with the most recent NBA news and our analytics-driven NBA picks and predictions all season long.

Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

-3.0/-108
65% DEN
BetRivers
+3.0/-112
35% SA

Moneyline Pick Consensus

-145
76% DEN
Caesars
+123
24% SA

Total Pick Consensus

236.0/-108
30% UN
BetRivers
236.0/-112
70% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

DEN
Team Stats Per Game
SA
64
Games
62
45.8
FG
43.8
90.3
FGA
93.3
.507
FG%
.469
12.1
3Pt-FG
13.9
31.8
3Pt-FGA
38.6
.381
3Pt%
.359
33.6
2Pt-FG
29.9
58.5
2Pt-FGA
54.7
.575
2Pt%
.547
17.5
FT
14.5
22.7
FTA
18.3
.773
FT%
.789
11.3
ORB
12.5
34.6
DRB
34.1
45.9
TRB
46.6
31.2
AST
27.1
8.1
STL
8.2
4.7
BLK
4.5
14.2
TOV
13.4
17.6
PF
17.8
121.2
PTS
115.8

Defense/Offense

DEN
Team Stats Per Game
SA
64
Games
62
43.2
FG
41.6
92.9
FGA
89.8
.465
FG%
.464
13.9
3Pt-FG
13.8
38.3
3Pt-FGA
39.5
.362
3Pt%
.349
29.3
2Pt-FG
27.8
54.6
2Pt-FGA
50.3
.536
2Pt%
.553
16.3
FT
16.4
20.8
FTA
21.1
.783
FT%
.775
11.6
ORB
10.9
30.8
DRB
33.3
42.4
TRB
44.2
29.1
AST
29.1
8.8
STL
8.1
5.3
BLK
6.2
13.1
TOV
14.0
18.9
PF
16.4
116.5
PTS
113.4

Offense/Defense

DEN
Four Factors
SA
.574
eFG%
.543
12.4
TOV%
11.7
26.8
RB%
72.7
.194
FT/FGA
.155

Defense/Offense

DEN
Four Factors
SA
.539
eFG%
.540
11.4
TOV%
12.3
74.9
RB%
24.2
.175
FT/FGA
.182

Offense/Defense

DEN
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
SA
64
Games
62
45.3
FG
43.9
89.5
FGA
93.6
.507
FG%
.469
12.0
3Pt-FG
13.9
31.6
3Pt-FGA
38.7
.381
3Pt%
.359
33.3
2Pt-FG
30.0
57.9
2Pt-FGA
54.9
.575
2Pt%
.547
17.4
FT
14.5
22.5
FTA
18.4
.773
FT%
.789
11.2
ORB
12.5
34.3
DRB
34.3
45.5
TRB
46.8
30.9
AST
27.2
8.0
STL
8.2
4.7
BLK
4.5
14.1
TOV
13.5
17.5
PF
17.9
120.1
PTS
116.2

Defense/Offense

DEN
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
SA
64
Games
62
42.8
FG
41.8
92.1
FGA
90.1
.465
FG%
.464
13.8
3Pt-FG
13.8
38.0
3Pt-FGA
39.6
.362
3Pt%
.349
29.0
2Pt-FG
27.9
54.1
2Pt-FGA
50.5
.536
2Pt%
.553
16.1
FT
16.4
20.6
FTA
21.2
.783
FT%
.775
11.5
ORB
11.0
30.6
DRB
33.4
42.0
TRB
44.4
28.8
AST
29.2
8.7
STL
8.2
5.2
BLK
6.2
13.0
TOV
14.0
18.7
PF
16.5
115.4
PTS
113.8

DEN
Analytics
SA
41
Pythag Wins
26
23
Pythag Losses
36
4.70
Margin Of Victory
-2.42
120.1
O Rtg
113.8
115.4
D Rtg
116.2
100.1
Pace
99.3
.251
FTr
.235
.353
3PAr
.440
.604
TS%
.572

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
DEN SA
DEN SA
Consensus
-1.5 (-108)
+1.5 (-105)
-3.0 (-108)
+3.0 (-111)
DraftKings
DraftKings $150 Bonus
-2.5 (-108)
+2.5 (-110)
-3.0 (-108)
+3.0 (-112)
FanDuel
FanDuel $200 Bonus
-1.5 (-110)
+1.5 (-112)
-2.5 (-110)
+2.5 (-110)
BetRivers
BetRivers Up To $500 Bonus
-1.5 (-107)
+1.5 (-108)
-3.0 (-107)
+3.0 (-114)
Caesars
Caesars
Double Your Winnings
-2.0 (-105)
+2.0 (-115)
-2.5 (-105)
+2.5 (-115)
BetMGM
BetMGM Up To $1500 Bonus
-2.5 (-105)
+2.5 (-115)
-3.5 (-105)
+3.5 (-115)
Open
Current
Book
DEN SA
DEN SA
Consensus
-140
+115
-145
+123
DraftKings
DraftKings $150 Bonus
-142
+120
-142
+120
FanDuel
FanDuel $200 Bonus
-124
+106
-144
+122
BetRivers
BetRivers Up To $500 Bonus
-125
+106
-139
+117
Caesars
Caesars
Double Your Winnings
-140
+118
-145
+122
BetMGM
BetMGM Up To $1500 Bonus
-140
+115
-150
+125
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
239.0 (-110)
239.0 (-110)
236.0 (-110)
236.0 (-111)
DraftKings
DraftKings $150 Bonus
239.5 (-110)
239.5 (-110)
236.0 (-112)
236.0 (-108)
FanDuel
FanDuel $200 Bonus
237.5 (-110)
237.5 (-110)
236.5 (-108)
236.5 (-112)
BetRivers
BetRivers Up To $500 Bonus
237.5 (-112)
237.5 (-109)
236.0 (-110)
236.0 (-110)
Caesars
Caesars
Double Your Winnings
239.0 (-110)
239.0 (-110)
236.5 (-110)
236.5 (-110)
BetMGM
BetMGM Up To $1500 Bonus
239.5 (-110)
239.5 (-110)
236.5 (-105)
236.5 (-115)

Betting trends

  • Betting Trends
  • Head to Head
  • Teams Last 10
DEN
Betting Trends
  • Last 3
  • Last 5
  • Last 10
SA
2-1-0
Win/Loss/Tie
2-1-0
2-1-0
ATS W/L/P
3-0-0
127
Avg Score
115
118
Avg Opp Score
102.67
3-2-0
Win/Loss/Tie
3-2-0
3-2-0
ATS W/L/P
5-0-0
130
Avg Score
111
124.8
Avg Opp Score
102.4
6-4-0
Win/Loss/Tie
6-4-0
5-5-0
ATS W/L/P
8-2-0
125.3
Avg Score
111.8
120.8
Avg Opp Score
106.5
DATE
TM
LN
ML
1st
01/03/25
SA
238.5
+188
32
DEN
-6.0
-225
30
04/12/24
DEN
223.5
-645
31
SA
11.5
+467
32
04/02/24
SA
223.0
+815
23
DEN
-15.5
-1439
30
03/15/24
DEN
224.5
-532
37
SA
10.5
+396
18
11/26/23
SA
229.0
+410
35
DEN
-10.5
-551
39
03/10/23
DEN
236.5
-851
38
SA
12.5
+574
26
11/07/22
DEN
234.0
-320
28
SA
8.0
+255
28
11/05/22
SA
235.5
+440
27
DEN
-11.5
-595
40
04/05/22
SA
235.0
+313
32
DEN
-9.0
-401
30
12/11/21
DEN
219.0
-109
28
SA
-0.5
-111
29

Denver Nuggets

03/09/25
DEN
398.7
+399
48
OKC
-12.3
-483
46
03/05/25
SAC
128.8
+148
23
DEN
-4.7
-184
16
03/02/25
DEN
267.2
+208
23
BOS
-6.2
-247
36
02/28/25
DEN
315.7
+144
51
DET
-2.6
-170
41
02/27/25
DEN
64.2
-41
2
MIL
0.2
+35
2
02/24/25
DEN
225.5
-142
33
IND
2.9
+121
26
02/22/25
LAL
272.9
+227
42
DEN
-7.3
-272
35
02/20/25
CHA
238.6
+1112
31
DEN
-18.9
-2188
40
02/12/25
POR
353.7
+484
41
DEN
-13.8
-608
61
02/10/25
POR
335.3
+469
39
DEN
-13.1
-602
56

San Antonio Spurs

03/09/25
SA
382.2
+664
48
MIN
-18.1
-873
61
03/07/25
SA
112.3
+99
13
SAC
-3.1
-119
5
03/04/25
BKN
305.7
+178
33
SA
-4.7
-208
41
03/02/25
OKC
269.5
-901
46
SA
14.7
+624
43
03/01/25
SA
100.4
+73
13
MEM
-2.3
-87
12
02/26/25
SA
223.4
+235
20
HOU
-6.9
-290
33
02/25/25
SA
406.7
+195
51
NO
-4.2
-233
27
02/23/25
SA
97.0
+44
12
NO
-0.8
-52
10
02/21/25
DET
78.3
-59
12
SA
0.5
+50
3
02/20/25
PHO
250.2
-146
22
SA
2.8
+124
33

Related Articles