Denver Nuggets

Denver Nuggets

Dec 22, 2024

New Orleans Pelicans

New Orleans Pelicans
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Denver Nuggets at New Orleans Pelicans Pick For 12/22/2024

  • Date: December 22, 2024
  • Venue: Smoothie King Center


Betting Odds

Spread:Denver Nuggets -9 (-110), New Orleans Pelicans 9 (-110)
Over/Under:232
Moneyline:Denver Nuggets -400, New Orleans Pelicans 325


Denver Nuggets vs New Orleans Pelicans Win Probabilities

Implied Win %:Projected Win %:
Denver Nuggets - 77%Denver Nuggets - 79%
New Orleans Pelicans - 23%New Orleans Pelicans - 21%

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Denver Nuggets vs New Orleans Pelicans Betting Preview

The Denver Nuggets, currently holding a 14-11 record, are set to face the struggling New Orleans Pelicans, who are 5-24, in a Sunday night showdown at the Smoothie King Center. Tip-off is scheduled for 7:00 PM ET. The Nuggets come into this matchup as heavy favorites, with a spread of -9.0 and a moneyline of -390, reflecting an implied win probability of 77%. In contrast, the Pelicans' moneyline is +320, suggesting a 23% chance of pulling off an upset.

Denver is fresh off a narrow 126-124 loss to the Portland Trail Blazers but has been playing solid basketball, winning 12 of their last 20 games. They benefit from three days of rest, which could give them an edge, especially considering the Pelicans are on the second night of a back-to-back after losing to the New York Knicks 104-93. The quick turnaround for New Orleans could be a factor as they attempt to snap a six-game losing streak.

For bettors looking at player props, Nikola Jokic's Points and Assists market is drawing significant attention. The line is set at over 38.5 Points and Assists with odds of -110, and sharp bettors are favoring the Over, believing it to be mispriced and offering value.

Given the circumstances, the Nuggets appear poised to take advantage of the Pelicans' fatigue and recent struggles. With Jokic leading the charge and Denver's recent form, they have a strong opportunity to capitalize on their favorable odds and return to the win column. Meanwhile, the Pelicans will need a spirited effort to defy expectations and halt their losing skid.


Denver Nuggets vs New Orleans Pelicans Prediction

Final Score: Denver Nuggets 123.78 vs New Orleans Pelicans 113.59

For more on today's game check out the comprehensive statistics, betting odds, and trends below. Be sure to check out all our free NBA picks here.

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Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

-9.5/-110
78% DEN
+9.5/-110
22% NO

Moneyline Pick Consensus

-440
95% DEN
+340
5% NO

Total Pick Consensus

232.5/-108
45% UN
232.5/-112
55% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

DEN
Team Stats Per Game
NO
25
Games
29
44.4
FG
43.4
89.4
FGA
89.6
.496
FG%
.485
11.7
3Pt-FG
14.3
30.5
3Pt-FGA
38.4
.383
3Pt%
.373
32.7
2Pt-FG
29.1
58.9
2Pt-FGA
51.2
.555
2Pt%
.569
19.0
FT
15.4
25.3
FTA
19.4
.752
FT%
.794
10.9
ORB
11.7
33.9
DRB
33.7
44.8
TRB
45.4
31.0
AST
28.6
9.0
STL
9.2
4.6
BLK
5.7
14.7
TOV
14.6
18.4
PF
17.9
119.4
PTS
116.7

Defense/Offense

DEN
Team Stats Per Game
NO
25
Games
29
43.6
FG
38.9
93.3
FGA
89.2
.467
FG%
.436
14.0
3Pt-FG
11.0
39.1
3Pt-FGA
33.1
.358
3Pt%
.333
29.6
2Pt-FG
27.9
54.2
2Pt-FGA
56.1
.546
2Pt%
.497
15.7
FT
16.0
20.6
FTA
21.2
.763
FT%
.757
12.1
ORB
12.8
31.8
DRB
30.3
43.8
TRB
43.1
29.5
AST
23.6
9.0
STL
9.2
5.9
BLK
5.2
14.8
TOV
15.2
21.1
PF
18.2
116.9
PTS
104.9

Offense/Defense

DEN
Four Factors
NO
.562
eFG%
.565
12.8
TOV%
13.0
25.5
RB%
72.1
.213
FT/FGA
.172

Defense/Offense

DEN
Four Factors
NO
.542
eFG%
.498
12.6
TOV%
13.4
73.7
RB%
27.6
.168
FT/FGA
.180

Offense/Defense

DEN
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
NO
25
Games
29
43.4
FG
44.3
87.5
FGA
91.3
.496
FG%
.485
11.4
3Pt-FG
14.6
29.9
3Pt-FGA
39.1
.383
3Pt%
.373
32.0
2Pt-FG
29.7
57.7
2Pt-FGA
52.1
.555
2Pt%
.569
18.6
FT
15.7
24.8
FTA
19.8
.752
FT%
.794
10.7
ORB
11.9
33.2
DRB
34.4
43.9
TRB
46.3
30.4
AST
29.2
8.8
STL
9.4
4.5
BLK
5.8
14.4
TOV
14.9
18.1
PF
18.2
116.9
PTS
118.9

Defense/Offense

DEN
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
NO
25
Games
29
42.7
FG
39.7
91.3
FGA
90.9
.467
FG%
.436
13.7
3Pt-FG
11.2
38.3
3Pt-FGA
33.7
.358
3Pt%
.333
29.0
2Pt-FG
28.4
53.1
2Pt-FGA
57.2
.546
2Pt%
.497
15.4
FT
16.3
20.1
FTA
21.6
.763
FT%
.757
11.8
ORB
13.1
31.1
DRB
30.8
42.9
TRB
43.9
28.9
AST
24.0
8.9
STL
9.3
5.8
BLK
5.3
14.5
TOV
15.5
20.6
PF
18.6
114.5
PTS
106.9

DEN
Analytics
NO
14
Pythag Wins
5
11
Pythag Losses
24
2.52
Margin Of Victory
-11.76
116.9
O Rtg
106.9
114.5
D Rtg
118.9
101.3
Pace
98.1
.283
FTr
.237
.341
3PAr
.371
.594
TS%
.533

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
DEN NO
DEN NO
Consensus
-7.5 (-109)
+7.5 (+100)
-9.5 (-109)
+9.5 (-112)
-7.5 (-110)
+7.5 (-110)
-9.5 (-110)
+9.5 (-110)
-8.0 (-106)
+8.0 (-110)
-9.5 (-106)
+9.5 (-114)
-7.5 (-108)
+7.5 (-110)
-9.5 (-108)
+9.5 (-113)
-8.0 (-110)
+8.0 (-110)
-9.5 (-110)
+9.5 (-110)
-8.5 (-110)
+8.5 (-115)
-9.5 (-110)
+9.5 (-110)
Open
Current
Book
DEN NO
DEN NO
Consensus
-360
+280
-420
+329
-325
+260
-440
+340
-335
+270
-400
+315
-295
+235
-420
+325
-350
+275
-430
+328
-350
+275
-450
+333
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
233.5 (-110)
233.5 (-110)
233.0 (-108)
233.0 (-113)
230.5 (-110)
230.5 (-110)
232.5 (-112)
232.5 (-108)
231.0 (-110)
231.0 (-110)
232.0 (-108)
232.0 (-112)
233.5 (-112)
233.5 (-109)
233.0 (-108)
233.0 (-113)
231.5 (-110)
231.5 (-110)
232.0 (-110)
232.0 (-110)
232.5 (-110)
232.5 (-110)
231.5 (-115)
231.5 (-105)