Denver Nuggets

Denver Nuggets

Dec 22, 2024

New Orleans Pelicans

New Orleans Pelicans
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Denver Nuggets at New Orleans Pelicans Pick For 12/22/2024

  • Date: December 22, 2024
  • Venue: Smoothie King Center


Betting Odds

Spread:Denver Nuggets -9 (-110), New Orleans Pelicans 9 (-110)
Over/Under:232
Moneyline:Denver Nuggets -400, New Orleans Pelicans 325


Denver Nuggets vs New Orleans Pelicans Win Probabilities

Implied Win %:Projected Win %:
Denver Nuggets - 77%Denver Nuggets - 79%
New Orleans Pelicans - 23%New Orleans Pelicans - 21%

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Denver Nuggets vs New Orleans Pelicans Betting Preview

The Denver Nuggets, currently holding a 14-11 record, are set to face the struggling New Orleans Pelicans, who are 5-24, in a Sunday night showdown at the Smoothie King Center. Tip-off is scheduled for 7:00 PM ET. The Nuggets come into this matchup as heavy favorites, with a spread of -9.0 and a moneyline of -390, reflecting an implied win probability of 77%. In contrast, the Pelicans' moneyline is +320, suggesting a 23% chance of pulling off an upset.

Denver is fresh off a narrow 126-124 loss to the Portland Trail Blazers but has been playing solid basketball, winning 12 of their last 20 games. They benefit from three days of rest, which could give them an edge, especially considering the Pelicans are on the second night of a back-to-back after losing to the New York Knicks 104-93. The quick turnaround for New Orleans could be a factor as they attempt to snap a six-game losing streak.

For bettors looking at player props, Nikola Jokic's Points and Assists market is drawing significant attention. The line is set at over 38.5 Points and Assists with odds of -110, and sharp bettors are favoring the Over, believing it to be mispriced and offering value.

Given the circumstances, the Nuggets appear poised to take advantage of the Pelicans' fatigue and recent struggles. With Jokic leading the charge and Denver's recent form, they have a strong opportunity to capitalize on their favorable odds and return to the win column. Meanwhile, the Pelicans will need a spirited effort to defy expectations and halt their losing skid.


Denver Nuggets vs New Orleans Pelicans Prediction

Final Score: Denver Nuggets 123.78 vs New Orleans Pelicans 113.59

For more on today's game check out the comprehensive statistics, betting odds, and trends below. Be sure to check out all our free NBA picks here.

Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

-8.5/-115
71% DEN
+8.5/-105
29% NO

Moneyline Pick Consensus

-343
91% DEN
+279
9% NO

Total Pick Consensus

231.5/-112
48% UN
231.5/-108
52% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

DEN
Team Stats Per Game
NO
67
Games
67
45.7
FG
44.1
90.1
FGA
91.1
.507
FG%
.484
12.2
3Pt-FG
14.7
31.8
3Pt-FGA
40.2
.382
3Pt%
.365
33.5
2Pt-FG
29.4
58.3
2Pt-FGA
51.0
.574
2Pt%
.577
17.7
FT
16.2
22.9
FTA
20.7
.774
FT%
.783
11.2
ORB
12.1
34.5
DRB
34.2
45.7
TRB
46.3
31.0
AST
29.0
8.0
STL
8.7
4.7
BLK
5.5
14.1
TOV
14.5
17.6
PF
18.0
121.2
PTS
119.0

Defense/Offense

DEN
Team Stats Per Game
NO
67
Games
67
43.3
FG
40.8
93.2
FGA
90.5
.465
FG%
.451
14.0
3Pt-FG
12.2
38.5
3Pt-FGA
34.9
.364
3Pt%
.349
29.3
2Pt-FG
28.6
54.7
2Pt-FGA
55.6
.536
2Pt%
.515
16.1
FT
16.9
20.5
FTA
22.3
.784
FT%
.760
11.7
ORB
12.3
30.8
DRB
31.1
42.5
TRB
43.4
29.2
AST
25.5
8.8
STL
8.9
5.2
BLK
5.4
13.0
TOV
14.2
18.9
PF
17.9
116.7
PTS
110.8

Offense/Defense

DEN
Four Factors
NO
.574
eFG%
.564
12.3
TOV%
12.6
26.7
RB%
71.9
.196
FT/FGA
.177

Defense/Offense

DEN
Four Factors
NO
.540
eFG%
.518
11.3
TOV%
12.4
74.6
RB%
26.4
.173
FT/FGA
.187

Offense/Defense

DEN
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
NO
67
Games
67
45.3
FG
44.2
89.4
FGA
91.5
.507
FG%
.484
12.1
3Pt-FG
14.7
31.6
3Pt-FGA
40.3
.382
3Pt%
.365
33.2
2Pt-FG
29.5
57.9
2Pt-FGA
51.1
.574
2Pt%
.577
17.6
FT
16.2
22.7
FTA
20.7
.774
FT%
.783
11.1
ORB
12.2
34.2
DRB
34.3
45.4
TRB
46.5
30.8
AST
29.1
8.0
STL
8.8
4.7
BLK
5.5
14.0
TOV
14.5
17.4
PF
18.1
120.3
PTS
119.4

Defense/Offense

DEN
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
NO
67
Games
67
43.0
FG
41.0
92.5
FGA
90.8
.465
FG%
.451
13.9
3Pt-FG
12.2
38.2
3Pt-FGA
35.0
.364
3Pt%
.349
29.1
2Pt-FG
28.7
54.3
2Pt-FGA
55.8
.536
2Pt%
.515
16.0
FT
17.0
20.4
FTA
22.4
.784
FT%
.760
11.6
ORB
12.3
30.5
DRB
31.2
42.2
TRB
43.5
29.0
AST
25.6
8.7
STL
8.9
5.2
BLK
5.4
12.9
TOV
14.2
18.8
PF
18.0
115.8
PTS
111.2

DEN
Analytics
NO
42
Pythag Wins
18
25
Pythag Losses
49
4.46
Margin Of Victory
-8.22
120.3
O Rtg
111.2
115.8
D Rtg
119.4
100.0
Pace
99.2
.254
FTr
.246
.353
3PAr
.386
.605
TS%
.552

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
DEN NO
DEN NO
Consensus
-7.5 (-110)
+7.5 (+100)
-8.5 (-110)
+8.5 (-108)
-7.5 (-115)
+7.5 (-110)
-8.5 (-115)
+8.5 (-105)
-8.0 (-110)
+8.0 (-110)
-9.0 (-110)
+9.0 (-110)
-7.5 (-109)
+7.5 (-110)
-8.0 (-109)
+8.0 (-112)
-8.0 (-110)
+8.0 (-110)
-8.5 (-110)
+8.5 (-110)
-8.5 (-110)
+8.5 (-115)
-8.5 (-110)
+8.5 (-110)
Open
Current
Book
DEN NO
DEN NO
Consensus
-360
+280
-343
+279
-325
+260
-380
+300
-335
+270
-400
+315
-295
+235
-315
+255
-350
+275
-400
+310
-350
+275
-350
+280
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
233.5 (-110)
233.5 (-110)
231.5 (-109)
231.5 (-109)
230.5 (-110)
230.5 (-110)
231.0 (-108)
231.0 (-112)
231.0 (-110)
231.0 (-110)
231.0 (-110)
231.0 (-110)
233.5 (-112)
233.5 (-109)
232.5 (-110)
232.5 (-110)
231.5 (-110)
231.5 (-110)
230.5 (-105)
230.5 (-115)
232.5 (-110)
232.5 (-110)
231.5 (-110)
231.5 (-110)

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