Dallas Mavericks

Dallas Mavericks

Mar 14, 2025

Houston Rockets

Houston Rockets
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Dallas Mavericks vs Houston Rockets Prediction – 3/14/2025


The Dallas Mavericks will face off against the Houston Rockets in a highly anticipated matchup on March 14, 2025, at 8:00 PM ET at Toyota Center in Houston. This game is significant not only due to the in-state rivalry but also because of the contrasting fortunes of both teams heading into the contest.

The Mavericks, sitting at 33-34, are struggling, having lost 24 of their last 40 games. Their most recent outing ended in a disappointing 126-116 loss to the San Antonio Spurs, highlighting their current woes. In stark contrast, the Rockets boast a strong 41-25 record and enter the game riding high on a four-game winning streak, having recently defeated the Phoenix Suns 111-104.

Betting markets reflect the Rockets' dominance, with a spread currently set at Rockets -11.5. The moneyline shows the Rockets as heavy favorites at -600, while the Mavericks trail significantly at +460. These odds suggest an implied win probability of 83% for the Rockets compared to just 17% for the Mavericks.

For those interested in player prop markets, Klay Thompson's Points, Rebounds, and Assists have emerged as a popular betting target. Additionally, sharp bettors appear to be leaning towards the Under, which is currently priced at Under 24.5 Points, Rebounds, and Assists at -130, indicating a belief that this line may be mispriced.

As the Mavericks look to turn their season around, they will need a monumental effort to upend the Rockets, who are clearly in better form as they continue their push for playoff positioning.


Dallas Mavericks vs Houston Rockets Prediction

Predicted Final Score: Dallas Mavericks 105.28 vs Houston Rockets 114.84


Dallas Mavericks vs Houston Rockets Win Probabilities

TeamImplied Win %:Projected Win %:
Mavericks17%23%
Rockets83%77%

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Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

+11.5/-105
58% DAL
-11.5/-115
42% HOU

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+460
11% DAL
-626
89% HOU

Total Pick Consensus

220.0/-112
10% UN
220.0/-108
90% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

DAL
Team Stats Per Game
HOU
82
Games
82
42.0
FG
40.5
87.7
FGA
88.3
.479
FG%
.459
12.4
3Pt-FG
12.3
34.2
3Pt-FGA
34.5
.364
3Pt%
.357
29.5
2Pt-FG
28.2
53.6
2Pt-FGA
53.8
.552
2Pt%
.524
17.8
FT
16.4
23.1
FTA
21.7
.770
FT%
.759
10.1
ORB
10.6
33.0
DRB
31.6
43.0
TRB
42.1
25.2
AST
23.5
7.8
STL
7.9
5.4
BLK
5.7
14.0
TOV
14.3
17.8
PF
19.2
114.2
PTS
109.8

Defense/Offense

DAL
Team Stats Per Game
HOU
82
Games
82
43.1
FG
42.5
91.7
FGA
93.4
.469
FG%
.455
12.9
3Pt-FG
12.7
35.4
3Pt-FGA
35.8
.363
3Pt%
.353
30.2
2Pt-FG
29.8
56.3
2Pt-FGA
57.6
.537
2Pt%
.518
16.4
FT
16.7
21.1
FTA
22.6
.779
FT%
.738
12.1
ORB
14.6
33.2
DRB
33.8
45.3
TRB
48.5
27.1
AST
23.3
8.1
STL
8.4
4.6
BLK
5.0
13.2
TOV
13.9
18.7
PF
19.0
115.4
PTS
114.3

Offense/Defense

DAL
Four Factors
HOU
.549
eFG%
.528
12.5
TOV%
12.8
23.3
RB%
76.2
.203
FT/FGA
.186

Defense/Offense

DAL
Four Factors
HOU
.540
eFG%
.523
11.6
TOV%
11.8
73.1
RB%
31.7
.179
FT/FGA
.178

Offense/Defense

DAL
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
HOU
82
Games
82
42.2
FG
40.9
88.2
FGA
89.1
.479
FG%
.459
12.5
3Pt-FG
12.4
34.3
3Pt-FGA
34.9
.364
3Pt%
.357
29.7
2Pt-FG
28.4
53.9
2Pt-FGA
54.3
.552
2Pt%
.524
17.9
FT
16.6
23.2
FTA
21.9
.770
FT%
.759
10.2
ORB
10.7
33.1
DRB
31.9
43.3
TRB
42.5
25.4
AST
23.7
7.8
STL
8.0
5.5
BLK
5.7
14.1
TOV
14.5
17.9
PF
19.4
114.8
PTS
110.8

Defense/Offense

DAL
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
HOU
82
Games
82
43.3
FG
42.9
92.2
FGA
94.2
.469
FG%
.455
12.9
3Pt-FG
12.8
35.6
3Pt-FGA
36.2
.363
3Pt%
.353
30.4
2Pt-FG
30.1
56.6
2Pt-FGA
58.1
.537
2Pt%
.518
16.5
FT
16.8
21.2
FTA
22.8
.779
FT%
.738
12.2
ORB
14.8
33.3
DRB
34.1
45.5
TRB
48.9
27.2
AST
23.6
8.1
STL
8.5
4.6
BLK
5.1
13.3
TOV
14.0
18.8
PF
19.2
116.0
PTS
115.3

DAL
Analytics
HOU
38
Pythag Wins
52
44
Pythag Losses
30
-1.20
Margin Of Victory
4.51
114.8
O Rtg
115.3
116.0
D Rtg
110.8
99.2
Pace
98.6
.263
FTr
.242
.389
3PAr
.384
.583
TS%
.553

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
DAL HOU
DAL HOU
Consensus
+13.0 (-110)
-13.0 (-110)
+11.5 (-110)
-11.5 (-112)
+11.5 (-105)
-11.5 (-110)
+11.5 (-105)
-11.5 (-115)
+12.0 (-112)
-12.0 (-108)
+12.0 (-112)
-12.0 (-108)
+11.5 (-114)
-11.5 (-112)
+11.5 (-114)
-11.5 (-107)
+13.0 (100)
-13.0 (-110)
+11.5 (+100)
-11.5 (-120)
+12.5 (-105)
-12.5 (-102)
+11.5 (-105)
-11.5 (-115)
Open
Current
Book
DAL HOU
DAL HOU
Consensus
+440
-600
+460
-626
+440
-600
+490
-675
+440
-590
+460
-620
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
224.0 (-110)
224.0 (-110)
220.0 (-112)
220.0 (-109)
223.5 (-110)
223.5 (-110)
219.0 (-108)
219.0 (-112)
224.0 (-110)
224.0 (-110)
220.0 (-110)
220.0 (-110)
224.0 (-112)
224.0 (-109)
220.0 (-112)
220.0 (-109)
224.0 (-110)
224.0 (-110)
220.0 (-115)
220.0 (-105)
223.5 (-115)
223.5 (-105)
220.5 (-105)
220.5 (-115)

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