Dallas Mavericks at Boston Celtics Game 5 Pick & Prediction – 6/17/2024

Dallas Mavericks

Dallas Mavericks

Jun 17, 2024

Boston Celtics

Boston Celtics
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends

Dallas Mavericks vs Boston Celtics Game 5 Details

  • Date: June 17, 2024
  • Venue: TD Garden

Mavericks vs Celtics Game 5 Betting Odds

Spread: Dallas Mavericks 6.5 (-110), Boston Celtics -6.5 (-110)
Over/Under Total: 209.5
Moneyline: Dallas Mavericks 215, Boston Celtics -255

Dallas Mavericks vs Boston Celtics Game 5 Win Probabilities

Implied Win %: Projected Win %:
Dallas Mavericks - 31% Dallas Mavericks - 58%
Boston Celtics - 69% Boston Celtics - 42%

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Dallas Mavericks vs Boston Celtics Game 5 Betting Preview

The Boston Celtics (79-21) are set to face off against the Dallas Mavericks (63-40) in Game 5 of the NBA Finals at TD Garden. The game is scheduled to tip-off at 8:30 PM ET, with the Celtics holding a 3-1 series lead and looking to close out the series and the NBA season as a whole.

Both teams enter this matchup well-rested, with their last games taking place three days ago. This extra time off could benefit both teams, allowing their players to recover and perform at their best.

The Mavericks, who have been performing well recently, have won 33 of their last 50 games. However, they face a disadvantage in this game as they are far from home and have traveled cross-country for this road game. The longer road trip might impact their performance and could potentially hinder their chances of securing a victory.

On the other hand, the Celtics have been dominant at home, winning 44 of their last 50 games at TD Garden. As the home team, they enjoy the advantage of playing in familiar surroundings, which boosts their confidence and increases their chances of success.

The Celtics are considered heavy favorites in this matchup, reflected by the spread currently being Celtics -7.0. The Moneyline odds for the Celtics stand at -285, while the Mavericks' Moneyline odds are at +240. Based on these odds, the Mavericks have an implied win probability of 28%, while the Celtics have an implied win probability of 72%.

It's worth noting that the Mavericks had a convincing victory over the Celtics in their last meeting, winning by a staggering 38-point margin (122-84). This result could add an extra layer of motivation for the Celtics to seek redemption and prove themselves on their home court.

Dallas Mavericks vs Boston Celtics Game 5 Prediction

Final Score: Dallas Mavericks 106 vs Boston Celtics 103.04

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Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

+6.5/-105
57% DAL
-6.5/-115
43% BOS

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+220
15% DAL
-274
85% BOS

Total Pick Consensus

211.0/-108
23% UN
211.0/-112
77% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

DAL
Team Stats Per Game
BOS
79
Games
79
43.3
FG
41.4
89.7
FGA
91.6
.483
FG%
.452
14.8
3Pt-FG
12.9
39.6
3Pt-FGA
36.7
.373
3Pt%
.350
28.6
2Pt-FG
28.6
50.1
2Pt-FGA
54.9
.571
2Pt%
.520
17.3
FT
13.4
22.8
FTA
17.5
.758
FT%
.766
9.7
ORB
11.1
30.2
DRB
29.9
39.9
TRB
41.1
25.8
AST
24.9
6.9
STL
6.2
4.9
BLK
3.7
11.5
TOV
11.3
18.5
PF
17.4
118.7
PTS
109.1

Defense/Offense

DAL
Team Stats Per Game
BOS
79
Games
79
42.9
FG
43.7
90.4
FGA
90.1
.475
FG%
.486
13.2
3Pt-FG
16.5
35.8
3Pt-FGA
42.6
.368
3Pt%
.388
29.7
2Pt-FG
27.2
54.6
2Pt-FGA
47.5
.545
2Pt%
.574
16.8
FT
16.4
21.9
FTA
20.3
.768
FT%
.809
11.0
ORB
10.6
31.2
DRB
33.5
42.1
TRB
44.1
27.5
AST
26.8
7.4
STL
6.7
4.0
BLK
6.5
12.8
TOV
11.4
20.6
PF
16.2
115.8
PTS
120.4

Offense/Defense

DAL
Four Factors
BOS
.566
eFG%
.522
10.3
TOV%
10.2
23.8
RB%
75.1
.193
FT/FGA
.146

Defense/Offense

DAL
Four Factors
BOS
.547
eFG%
.577
11.4
TOV%
10.3
73.3
RB%
26.2
.186
FT/FGA
.182

Offense/Defense

DAL
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
BOS
79
Games
79
44.0
FG
42.9
91.1
FGA
94.9
.483
FG%
.452
15.0
3Pt-FG
13.3
40.2
3Pt-FGA
38.0
.373
3Pt%
.350
29.0
2Pt-FG
29.6
50.8
2Pt-FGA
56.9
.571
2Pt%
.520
17.5
FT
13.9
23.1
FTA
18.1
.758
FT%
.766
9.9
ORB
11.5
30.7
DRB
31.0
40.5
TRB
42.5
26.2
AST
25.8
7.0
STL
6.4
5.0
BLK
3.8
11.7
TOV
11.7
18.8
PF
18.0
120.6
PTS
113.0

Defense/Offense

DAL
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
BOS
79
Games
79
43.6
FG
45.3
91.8
FGA
93.3
.475
FG%
.486
13.4
3Pt-FG
17.1
36.3
3Pt-FGA
44.1
.368
3Pt%
.388
30.2
2Pt-FG
28.2
55.5
2Pt-FGA
49.2
.545
2Pt%
.574
17.1
FT
17.0
22.3
FTA
21.0
.768
FT%
.809
11.1
ORB
11.0
31.6
DRB
34.7
42.8
TRB
45.7
28.0
AST
27.8
7.5
STL
6.9
4.1
BLK
6.7
13.0
TOV
11.8
20.9
PF
16.7
117.6
PTS
124.7

DAL
Analytics
BOS
46
Pythag Wins
63
33
Pythag Losses
16
2.90
Margin Of Victory
11.34
120.6
O Rtg
124.7
117.6
D Rtg
113.0
98.3
Pace
95.8
.254
FTr
.225
.442
3PAr
.473
.595
TS%
.608

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
DAL BOS
DAL BOS
Consensus
+7.5 (-108)
-7.5 (-105)
+6.5 (-108)
-6.5 (-113)
+7.0 (-105)
-7.0 (-110)
+6.5 (-105)
-6.5 (-115)
+6.5 (-108)
-6.5 (-108)
+6.5 (-108)
-6.5 (-112)
+7.0 (-109)
-7.0 (-109)
+6.5 (-109)
-6.5 (-112)
+7.5 (-115)
-7.5 (-110)
+7.0 (-115)
-7.0 (-105)
+7.5 (-105)
-7.5 (-105)
+6.5 (-105)
-6.5 (-115)
Open
Current
Book
DAL BOS
DAL BOS
Consensus
+230
-285
+220
-274
+230
-285
+225
-278
+215
-260
+215
-260
+230
-286
+215
-265
+250
-320
+235
-292
+240
-300
+230
-300
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
209.5 (-110)
209.5 (-110)
211.0 (-113)
211.0 (-109)
209.5 (-110)
209.5 (-110)
211.0 (-112)
211.0 (-108)
209.0 (-110)
209.0 (-110)
210.5 (-112)
210.5 (-108)
209.5 (-108)
209.5 (-113)
211.0 (-113)
211.0 (-108)
209.0 (-110)
209.0 (-110)
211.0 (-110)
211.0 (-110)
209.5 (-110)
209.5 (-110)
211.5 (-105)
211.5 (-115)