Dallas Mavericks

Dallas Mavericks

Jun 17, 2024

Boston Celtics

Boston Celtics
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Dallas Mavericks at Boston Celtics Game 5 Pick & Prediction – 6/17/2024

Dallas Mavericks vs Boston Celtics Game 5 Details

  • Date: June 17, 2024
  • Venue: TD Garden

Mavericks vs Celtics Game 5 Betting Odds

Spread:Dallas Mavericks 6.5 (-110), Boston Celtics -6.5 (-110)
Over/Under Total:209.5
Moneyline:Dallas Mavericks 215, Boston Celtics -255

Dallas Mavericks vs Boston Celtics Game 5 Win Probabilities

Implied Win %:Projected Win %:
Dallas Mavericks - 31%Dallas Mavericks - 58%
Boston Celtics - 69%Boston Celtics - 42%

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Dallas Mavericks vs Boston Celtics Game 5 Betting Preview

The Boston Celtics (79-21) are set to face off against the Dallas Mavericks (63-40) in Game 5 of the NBA Finals at TD Garden. The game is scheduled to tip-off at 8:30 PM ET, with the Celtics holding a 3-1 series lead and looking to close out the series and the NBA season as a whole.

Both teams enter this matchup well-rested, with their last games taking place three days ago. This extra time off could benefit both teams, allowing their players to recover and perform at their best.

The Mavericks, who have been performing well recently, have won 33 of their last 50 games. However, they face a disadvantage in this game as they are far from home and have traveled cross-country for this road game. The longer road trip might impact their performance and could potentially hinder their chances of securing a victory.

On the other hand, the Celtics have been dominant at home, winning 44 of their last 50 games at TD Garden. As the home team, they enjoy the advantage of playing in familiar surroundings, which boosts their confidence and increases their chances of success.

The Celtics are considered heavy favorites in this matchup, reflected by the spread currently being Celtics -7.0. The Moneyline odds for the Celtics stand at -285, while the Mavericks' Moneyline odds are at +240. Based on these odds, the Mavericks have an implied win probability of 28%, while the Celtics have an implied win probability of 72%.

It's worth noting that the Mavericks had a convincing victory over the Celtics in their last meeting, winning by a staggering 38-point margin (122-84). This result could add an extra layer of motivation for the Celtics to seek redemption and prove themselves on their home court.

Dallas Mavericks vs Boston Celtics Game 5 Prediction

Final Score: Dallas Mavericks 106 vs Boston Celtics 103.04

Visit the NBA picks and predictions section for the rest of today's games.

Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

+6.5/-105
57% DAL
-6.5/-115
43% BOS

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+220
15% DAL
-274
85% BOS

Total Pick Consensus

211.0/-108
23% UN
211.0/-112
77% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

DAL
Team Stats Per Game
BOS
82
Games
82
42.0
FG
40.3
87.7
FGA
89.4
.479
FG%
.450
12.4
3Pt-FG
12.9
34.2
3Pt-FGA
37.1
.364
3Pt%
.347
29.5
2Pt-FG
27.4
53.6
2Pt-FGA
52.3
.552
2Pt%
.524
17.8
FT
13.8
23.1
FTA
17.7
.770
FT%
.777
10.1
ORB
10.7
33.0
DRB
33.0
43.0
TRB
43.7
25.2
AST
24.0
7.8
STL
6.9
5.4
BLK
3.6
14.0
TOV
12.8
17.8
PF
17.5
114.2
PTS
107.2

Defense/Offense

DAL
Team Stats Per Game
BOS
82
Games
82
43.1
FG
41.6
91.7
FGA
90.0
.469
FG%
.462
12.9
3Pt-FG
17.8
35.4
3Pt-FGA
48.2
.363
3Pt%
.368
30.2
2Pt-FG
23.9
56.3
2Pt-FGA
41.8
.537
2Pt%
.571
16.4
FT
15.3
21.1
FTA
19.1
.779
FT%
.799
12.1
ORB
11.4
33.2
DRB
33.9
45.3
TRB
45.3
27.1
AST
26.1
8.1
STL
7.2
4.6
BLK
5.5
13.2
TOV
11.9
18.7
PF
15.9
115.4
PTS
116.3

Offense/Defense

DAL
Four Factors
BOS
.549
eFG%
.522
12.5
TOV%
11.6
23.3
RB%
76.0
.203
FT/FGA
.154

Defense/Offense

DAL
Four Factors
BOS
.540
eFG%
.561
11.6
TOV%
10.8
73.1
RB%
25.7
.179
FT/FGA
.169

Offense/Defense

DAL
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
BOS
82
Games
82
42.2
FG
41.8
88.2
FGA
92.7
.479
FG%
.450
12.5
3Pt-FG
13.3
34.3
3Pt-FGA
38.5
.364
3Pt%
.347
29.7
2Pt-FG
28.4
53.9
2Pt-FGA
54.2
.552
2Pt%
.524
17.9
FT
14.3
23.2
FTA
18.3
.770
FT%
.777
10.2
ORB
11.1
33.1
DRB
34.2
43.3
TRB
45.3
25.4
AST
24.9
7.8
STL
7.2
5.5
BLK
3.7
14.1
TOV
13.3
17.9
PF
18.2
114.8
PTS
111.1

Defense/Offense

DAL
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
BOS
82
Games
82
43.3
FG
43.2
92.2
FGA
93.3
.469
FG%
.462
12.9
3Pt-FG
18.4
35.6
3Pt-FGA
50.0
.363
3Pt%
.368
30.4
2Pt-FG
24.7
56.6
2Pt-FGA
43.3
.537
2Pt%
.571
16.5
FT
15.8
21.2
FTA
19.8
.779
FT%
.799
12.2
ORB
11.8
33.3
DRB
35.2
45.5
TRB
47.0
27.2
AST
27.1
8.1
STL
7.4
4.6
BLK
5.7
13.3
TOV
12.3
18.8
PF
16.5
116.0
PTS
120.6

DAL
Analytics
BOS
38
Pythag Wins
62
44
Pythag Losses
20
-1.20
Margin Of Victory
9.11
114.8
O Rtg
120.6
116.0
D Rtg
111.1
99.2
Pace
95.7
.263
FTr
.212
.389
3PAr
.536
.583
TS%
.591

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
DAL BOS
DAL BOS
Consensus
+7.5 (-108)
-7.5 (-105)
+6.5 (-108)
-6.5 (-113)
+7.0 (-105)
-7.0 (-110)
+6.5 (-105)
-6.5 (-115)
+6.5 (-108)
-6.5 (-108)
+6.5 (-108)
-6.5 (-112)
+7.0 (-109)
-7.0 (-109)
+6.5 (-109)
-6.5 (-112)
+7.5 (-115)
-7.5 (-110)
+7.0 (-115)
-7.0 (-105)
+7.5 (-105)
-7.5 (-105)
+6.5 (-105)
-6.5 (-115)
Open
Current
Book
DAL BOS
DAL BOS
Consensus
+230
-285
+220
-274
+230
-285
+225
-278
+215
-260
+215
-260
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
209.5 (-110)
209.5 (-110)
211.0 (-113)
211.0 (-109)
209.5 (-110)
209.5 (-110)
211.0 (-112)
211.0 (-108)
209.0 (-110)
209.0 (-110)
210.5 (-112)
210.5 (-108)
209.5 (-108)
209.5 (-113)
211.0 (-113)
211.0 (-108)
209.0 (-110)
209.0 (-110)
211.0 (-110)
211.0 (-110)
209.5 (-110)
209.5 (-110)
211.5 (-105)
211.5 (-115)

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