Cleveland Cavaliers

Cleveland Cavaliers

May 9, 2025

Indiana Pacers

Indiana Pacers
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Indiana Pacers Game 3 Prediction – 5/9/2025

On May 9, 2025, the Cleveland Cavaliers (68-20) will face off against the Indiana Pacers (56-33) in Game 3 of their second-round playoff series in the Eastern Conference at Gainbridge Fieldhouse. This Friday night clash not only features two divisional rivals but also carries significant implications for both teams, as the Cavs look to rebound from an 0-2 start in this best-of-seven series.

Cleveland enters this game as a slight favorite, with a spread of Cavaliers -3.0 and a moneyline of -160, implying a 59% chance of victory. The Cavaliers have been playing well lately, winning 35 of their last 50 games. However, they are coming off a narrow loss to the Pacers, who edged them out 120-119 in their previous encounter. This defeat was particularly surprising, as Indiana was a 5.5-point underdog, with only a 33% implied probability of winning that game.

Both teams have had three days off since their last games, which could benefit them in terms of rest and preparation. The Pacers, having recently defeated the Cavaliers, will look to build on that momentum. Indiana's current moneyline sits at +135, giving them a 41% implied win probability.

A player to watch in this matchup is Tyrese Haliburton, as his points and assists prop market has gained significant attention. The total opened at Over 28.5 Points and Assists (-110) and has since moved to 29.5 (-115), indicating that sharp bettors are leaning towards the over.

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Indiana Pacers Game 3 Prediction

Predicted Final Score: Cleveland Cavaliers 117.12, Indiana Pacers 114.5

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Indiana Pacers Game 3 Win Probabilities

TeamImplied Win %:Projected Win %:
Cavaliers59%57%
Pacers41%43%

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Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

-2.5/-112
62% CLE
+2.5/-108
38% IND

Moneyline Pick Consensus

-148
41% CLE
+124
59% IND

Total Pick Consensus

227.0/-110
30% UN
227.0/-110
70% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

CLE
Team Stats Per Game
IND
82
Games
82
44.5
FG
42.6
90.8
FGA
89.9
.491
FG%
.474
15.9
3Pt-FG
12.9
41.5
3Pt-FGA
36.3
.383
3Pt%
.355
28.6
2Pt-FG
29.7
49.3
2Pt-FGA
53.6
.581
2Pt%
.554
17.0
FT
17.0
21.9
FTA
22.0
.776
FT%
.773
11.2
ORB
11.2
34.2
DRB
33.8
45.4
TRB
45.0
28.1
AST
26.0
8.2
STL
7.2
4.3
BLK
4.5
13.2
TOV
15.0
18.1
PF
18.8
121.9
PTS
115.1

Defense/Offense

CLE
Team Stats Per Game
IND
82
Games
82
41.2
FG
43.6
90.9
FGA
89.3
.454
FG%
.488
13.5
3Pt-FG
13.2
37.5
3Pt-FGA
35.8
.359
3Pt%
.368
27.8
2Pt-FG
30.4
53.4
2Pt-FGA
53.6
.520
2Pt%
.568
16.5
FT
17.0
21.1
FTA
21.6
.779
FT%
.789
11.5
ORB
9.2
32.0
DRB
32.7
43.5
TRB
41.8
25.6
AST
29.2
7.8
STL
8.5
4.4
BLK
5.5
14.5
TOV
13.2
18.9
PF
18.7
112.4
PTS
117.4

Offense/Defense

CLE
Four Factors
IND
.578
eFG%
.546
11.6
TOV%
13.1
25.9
RB%
74.5
.187
FT/FGA
.190

Defense/Offense

CLE
Four Factors
IND
.528
eFG%
.562
12.6
TOV%
11.8
74.8
RB%
21.3
.181
FT/FGA
.190

Offense/Defense

CLE
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
IND
82
Games
82
44.5
FG
42.3
90.6
FGA
89.2
.491
FG%
.474
15.9
3Pt-FG
12.8
41.4
3Pt-FGA
36.0
.383
3Pt%
.355
28.6
2Pt-FG
29.5
49.2
2Pt-FGA
53.2
.581
2Pt%
.554
16.9
FT
16.9
21.8
FTA
21.9
.776
FT%
.773
11.2
ORB
11.1
34.2
DRB
33.6
45.3
TRB
44.7
28.0
AST
25.8
8.2
STL
7.1
4.3
BLK
4.4
13.2
TOV
14.9
18.1
PF
18.7
121.7
PTS
114.3

Defense/Offense

CLE
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
IND
82
Games
82
41.2
FG
43.3
90.7
FGA
88.7
.454
FG%
.488
13.4
3Pt-FG
13.1
37.4
3Pt-FGA
35.5
.359
3Pt%
.368
27.7
2Pt-FG
30.2
53.3
2Pt-FGA
53.2
.520
2Pt%
.568
16.4
FT
16.9
21.1
FTA
21.4
.779
FT%
.789
11.5
ORB
9.1
31.9
DRB
32.4
43.5
TRB
41.5
25.6
AST
29.0
7.8
STL
8.4
4.4
BLK
5.4
14.5
TOV
13.1
18.9
PF
18.6
112.2
PTS
116.5

CLE
Analytics
IND
62
Pythag Wins
46
20
Pythag Losses
36
9.54
Margin Of Victory
2.23
121.7
O Rtg
116.5
112.2
D Rtg
114.3
99.8
Pace
99.9
.241
FTr
.241
.457
3PAr
.400
.607
TS%
.594

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
CLE IND
CLE IND
Consensus
-1.0 (-109)
+1.0 (-113)
-3.5 (-109)
+3.5 (-110)
+1.0 (-112)
-1.0 (-110)
-2.5 (-112)
+2.5 (-108)
-1.0 (-110)
+1.0 (-110)
-3.0 (-110)
+3.0 (-110)
-1.5 (-108)
+1.5 (-109)
-3.5 (-108)
+3.5 (-113)
-1.5 (-110)
+1.5 (-115)
-3.5 (-110)
+3.5 (-110)
-1.5 (-105)
+1.5 (-110)
-3.5 (-105)
+3.5 (-115)
Open
Current
Book
CLE IND
CLE IND
Consensus
-116
-105
-158
+135
-105
-115
-148
+124
-116
-102
-156
+132
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
228.5 (-110)
228.5 (-110)
227.0 (-109)
227.0 (-110)
227.5 (-110)
227.5 (-110)
227.0 (-110)
227.0 (-110)
228.5 (-112)
228.5 (-108)
226.5 (-108)
226.5 (-112)
228.5 (-108)
228.5 (-113)
227.0 (-110)
227.0 (-110)
228.5 (-110)
228.5 (-110)
226.5 (-110)
226.5 (-110)
228.5 (-110)
228.5 (-110)
226.5 (-115)
226.5 (-105)

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Home NBA Picks Cleveland Cavaliers vs Indiana Pacers Game 3 Prediction – 5/9/2025