Cleveland Cavaliers

Cleveland Cavaliers

May 11, 2025

Indiana Pacers

Indiana Pacers
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Indiana Pacers Game 4 Pick – 5/11/2025

The Cleveland Cavaliers and Indiana Pacers are set to face off in Game 4 of the Eastern Conference Semifinals tonight at 8:00 PM at Gainbridge Fieldhouse. The Pacers currently lead the series 2-1, but the Cavaliers are coming off a dominant 126-104 victory in Game 3. With key players returning from injury and both teams adjusting their strategies, this game promises to be a pivotal moment in the series.

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Indiana Pacers Game 4 Preview

After dropping the first two games of the series, the Cavaliers bounced back in Game 3 with a commanding performance. The return of Darius Garland, Evan Mobley, and De'Andre Hunter provided a significant boost. Garland contributed by easing the scoring pressure on Donovan Mitchell, while Mobley impressed with 18 points and 13 rebounds, showcasing his athleticism and defensive prowess.

Donovan Mitchell continues to be a key offensive force for Cleveland, averaging 41.3 points per game during this series. His ability to drive the offense and create opportunities will be crucial as the Cavaliers look to even the series.

On the other side, the Pacers have demonstrated depth and resilience throughout the playoffs. Tyrese Haliburton has been instrumental, averaging 16.6 points and 10.0 assists per game during the postseason. However, he scored just four points in 30 minutes in Game 3 and he will need to be better for his team to have a chance to take a 3-1 lead in this best-of-seven series.

Betting Insights

  • Spread: Cavaliers -5.5
  • Over/Under: 230.5
  • Moneyline: Cavaliers -210, Pacers +175

With the Cavaliers favored by 5.5 points, bettors are considering whether or not they can win on the road for the second game in a row. The over/under is set at 230.5, reflecting both teams' capabilities to score but also acknowledging Cleveland's strong defensive presence, especially with Mobley back in the lineup.

Key player prop bets to consider:

  1. Donovan Mitchell Over 31.5 Points: Mitchell's scoring ability makes this a compelling option, especially given his performance in Game 3.
  2. Jarrett Allen Over 10.5 Rebounds: Allen's presence in the paint could lead to a strong rebounding performance.
  3. Pascal Siakam Over 17.5 Points: Siakam's contributions will be key in this game, especially if Haliburton struggles again for Indiana.

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Indiana Pacers Game 4 Prediction

The Cavaliers' resurgence in Game 3, bolstered by the return of key players, suggests they have regained momentum. Considering the Cavaliers' depth, defensive capabilities, and the dominance of Donovan Mitchell of late, Cleveland is positioned to capitalize and even the series. The combination of Cleveland's renewed energy and strategic adjustments gives them the edge in Game 4.

Prediction: Cavaliers 115, Pacers 108

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Indiana Pacers Win Probabilities

TeamImplied Win %:Projected Win %:
Cavaliers65%59%
Pacers35%41%

Visit the NBA picks and predictions section for the rest of today's games.

Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

-5.0/-110
74% CLE
+5.0/-110
26% IND

Moneyline Pick Consensus

-205
53% CLE
+170
47% IND

Total Pick Consensus

230.5/-110
18% UN
230.5/-110
82% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

CLE
Team Stats Per Game
IND
82
Games
82
44.5
FG
42.6
90.8
FGA
89.9
.491
FG%
.474
15.9
3Pt-FG
12.9
41.5
3Pt-FGA
36.3
.383
3Pt%
.355
28.6
2Pt-FG
29.7
49.3
2Pt-FGA
53.6
.581
2Pt%
.554
17.0
FT
17.0
21.9
FTA
22.0
.776
FT%
.773
11.2
ORB
11.2
34.2
DRB
33.8
45.4
TRB
45.0
28.1
AST
26.0
8.2
STL
7.2
4.3
BLK
4.5
13.2
TOV
15.0
18.1
PF
18.8
121.9
PTS
115.1

Defense/Offense

CLE
Team Stats Per Game
IND
82
Games
82
41.2
FG
43.6
90.9
FGA
89.3
.454
FG%
.488
13.5
3Pt-FG
13.2
37.5
3Pt-FGA
35.8
.359
3Pt%
.368
27.8
2Pt-FG
30.4
53.4
2Pt-FGA
53.6
.520
2Pt%
.568
16.5
FT
17.0
21.1
FTA
21.6
.779
FT%
.789
11.5
ORB
9.2
32.0
DRB
32.7
43.5
TRB
41.8
25.6
AST
29.2
7.8
STL
8.5
4.4
BLK
5.5
14.5
TOV
13.2
18.9
PF
18.7
112.4
PTS
117.4

Offense/Defense

CLE
Four Factors
IND
.578
eFG%
.546
11.6
TOV%
13.1
25.9
RB%
74.5
.187
FT/FGA
.190

Defense/Offense

CLE
Four Factors
IND
.528
eFG%
.562
12.6
TOV%
11.8
74.8
RB%
21.3
.181
FT/FGA
.190

Offense/Defense

CLE
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
IND
82
Games
82
44.5
FG
42.3
90.6
FGA
89.2
.491
FG%
.474
15.9
3Pt-FG
12.8
41.4
3Pt-FGA
36.0
.383
3Pt%
.355
28.6
2Pt-FG
29.5
49.2
2Pt-FGA
53.2
.581
2Pt%
.554
16.9
FT
16.9
21.8
FTA
21.9
.776
FT%
.773
11.2
ORB
11.1
34.2
DRB
33.6
45.3
TRB
44.7
28.0
AST
25.8
8.2
STL
7.1
4.3
BLK
4.4
13.2
TOV
14.9
18.1
PF
18.7
121.7
PTS
114.3

Defense/Offense

CLE
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
IND
82
Games
82
41.2
FG
43.3
90.7
FGA
88.7
.454
FG%
.488
13.4
3Pt-FG
13.1
37.4
3Pt-FGA
35.5
.359
3Pt%
.368
27.7
2Pt-FG
30.2
53.3
2Pt-FGA
53.2
.520
2Pt%
.568
16.4
FT
16.9
21.1
FTA
21.4
.779
FT%
.789
11.5
ORB
9.1
31.9
DRB
32.4
43.5
TRB
41.5
25.6
AST
29.0
7.8
STL
8.4
4.4
BLK
5.4
14.5
TOV
13.1
18.9
PF
18.6
112.2
PTS
116.5

CLE
Analytics
IND
62
Pythag Wins
46
20
Pythag Losses
36
9.54
Margin Of Victory
2.23
121.7
O Rtg
116.5
112.2
D Rtg
114.3
99.8
Pace
99.9
.241
FTr
.241
.457
3PAr
.400
.607
TS%
.594

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
CLE IND
CLE IND
Consensus
-4.0 (-109)
+4.0 (-110)
-5.5 (-109)
+5.5 (-109)
-4.0 (-110)
+4.0 (-110)
-5.0 (-110)
+5.0 (-110)
-4.5 (-114)
+4.5 (-110)
-5.0 (-114)
+5.0 (-106)
-4.5 (-110)
+4.5 (-109)
-5.5 (-110)
+5.5 (-110)
-4.0 (-115)
+4.0 (-110)
-5.0 (-115)
+5.0 (-105)
-4.5 (-110)
+4.5 (-110)
-5.5 (-110)
+5.5 (-110)
Open
Current
Book
CLE IND
CLE IND
Consensus
-179
+147
-215
+180
-175
+145
-205
+170
-184
+154
-215
+180
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
231.5 (-110)
231.5 (-110)
230.5 (-111)
230.5 (-110)
231.5 (-110)
231.5 (-110)
230.5 (-110)
230.5 (-110)
230.5 (-110)
230.5 (-110)
230.5 (-110)
230.5 (-110)
231.0 (-109)
231.0 (-112)
230.5 (-110)
230.5 (-110)
231.5 (-110)
231.5 (-110)
230.5 (-115)
230.5 (-105)
231.5 (-110)
231.5 (-110)
230.5 (-115)
230.5 (-105)

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Home NBA Picks Cleveland Cavaliers vs Indiana Pacers Game 4 Pick – 5/11/2025