Cleveland Cavaliers

Cleveland Cavaliers

Dec 8, 2024

Miami Heat

Miami Heat
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Cleveland Cavaliers at Miami Heat Pick & Prediction – 12/8/2024

  • Date: December 8, 2024
  • Venue: Kaseya Center


Betting Odds

Spread:Cleveland Cavaliers -3 (-110), Miami Heat 3 (-110)
Over/Under:224
Moneyline:Cleveland Cavaliers -150, Miami Heat 130


Cleveland Cavaliers vs Miami Heat Win Probabilities

Implied Win %:Projected Win %:
Cleveland Cavaliers - 58%Cleveland Cavaliers - 71%
Miami Heat - 42%Miami Heat - 29%

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Miami Heat Betting Preview

The Cleveland Cavaliers (21-3) square off against the Miami Heat (11-10) in a Sunday night showdown at the Kaseya Center, slated to tip off at 6:00 PM ET. The Cavaliers come into this matchup as slight favorites, despite hitting the road and having just wrapped up a back-to-back stretch. The spread favors Cleveland at -3.0, with a moneyline of -150, translating to an implied win probability of 58%. Meanwhile, the Heat, who also face the challenge of a back-to-back, hold a moneyline of +130, suggesting a 42% chance to come out on top.

The Cavaliers are riding a wave of momentum with a four-game winning streak, including a recent 116-102 victory over the Charlotte Hornets. Despite the fatigue factor, Cleveland's recent form should inspire confidence among bettors. Conversely, the Heat have found their groove at home, boasting a three-game winning streak on their turf. They recently bested the Phoenix Suns 121-111, adding to their home-court confidence.

For those interested in player prop markets, Tyler Herro's performance has garnered significant attention. The betting line for Herro's points has experienced movement, starting at Over 21.5 Points (-125) and shifting to 22.5 (-110), indicating sharp action on the Over.

Both teams face the challenge of maintaining energy levels on the second night of a back-to-back, but the Cavaliers' recent streak and their status as slight favorites suggest they hold a marginal edge. Meanwhile, the Heat's recent home success could play a pivotal role in countering Cleveland's momentum. Bettors will want to weigh these dynamics as they consider their wagers for this intriguing matchup.


Cleveland Cavaliers vs Miami Heat Prediction

Final Score: Cleveland Cavaliers 109.49 vs Miami Heat 101.97

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Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

-2.5/-105
72% CLE
+2.5/-115
28% MIA

Moneyline Pick Consensus

-141
73% CLE
+120
27% MIA

Total Pick Consensus

222.5/-110
9% UN
222.5/-110
91% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

CLE
Team Stats Per Game
MIA
30
Games
27
44.7
FG
40.4
88.7
FGA
87.7
.504
FG%
.460
16.1
3Pt-FG
13.7
39.6
3Pt-FGA
37.5
.406
3Pt%
.365
28.6
2Pt-FG
26.7
49.1
2Pt-FGA
50.1
.583
2Pt%
.532
16.4
FT
14.9
21.2
FTA
18.6
.775
FT%
.804
9.5
ORB
11.0
34.0
DRB
34.3
43.5
TRB
45.3
28.5
AST
26.6
9.1
STL
7.0
4.4
BLK
5.2
13.2
TOV
15.2
18.3
PF
19.2
121.8
PTS
109.4

Defense/Offense

CLE
Team Stats Per Game
MIA
30
Games
27
40.0
FG
39.6
88.5
FGA
87.1
.452
FG%
.454
13.6
3Pt-FG
14.6
36.6
3Pt-FGA
38.9
.372
3Pt%
.374
26.4
2Pt-FG
25.0
51.9
2Pt-FGA
48.3
.509
2Pt%
.519
16.6
FT
18.4
21.1
FTA
23.6
.788
FT%
.781
10.8
ORB
9.9
32.8
DRB
33.7
43.6
TRB
43.6
24.9
AST
25.8
7.6
STL
8.9
4.6
BLK
3.4
16.0
TOV
13.3
19.1
PF
16.6
110.2
PTS
112.1

Offense/Defense

CLE
Four Factors
MIA
.594
eFG%
.539
11.9
TOV%
13.7
22.5
RB%
75.4
.185
FT/FGA
.170

Defense/Offense

CLE
Four Factors
MIA
.529
eFG%
.538
14.0
TOV%
12.0
75.8
RB%
22.3
.188
FT/FGA
.211

Offense/Defense

CLE
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
MIA
30
Games
27
44.6
FG
41.1
88.6
FGA
89.3
.504
FG%
.460
16.1
3Pt-FG
14.0
39.6
3Pt-FGA
38.2
.406
3Pt%
.365
28.6
2Pt-FG
27.2
49.0
2Pt-FGA
51.1
.583
2Pt%
.532
16.4
FT
15.2
21.2
FTA
18.9
.775
FT%
.804
9.5
ORB
11.2
34.0
DRB
34.9
43.5
TRB
46.2
28.5
AST
27.1
9.1
STL
7.2
4.4
BLK
5.3
13.2
TOV
15.5
18.3
PF
19.5
121.7
PTS
111.4

Defense/Offense

CLE
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
MIA
30
Games
27
40.0
FG
40.3
88.4
FGA
88.8
.452
FG%
.454
13.6
3Pt-FG
14.8
36.6
3Pt-FGA
39.6
.372
3Pt%
.374
26.4
2Pt-FG
25.5
51.9
2Pt-FGA
49.1
.509
2Pt%
.519
16.6
FT
18.7
21.1
FTA
24.0
.788
FT%
.781
10.8
ORB
10.0
32.8
DRB
34.4
43.6
TRB
44.4
24.9
AST
26.3
7.6
STL
9.1
4.6
BLK
3.5
16.0
TOV
13.6
19.1
PF
16.9
110.2
PTS
114.2

CLE
Analytics
MIA
24
Pythag Wins
16
6
Pythag Losses
11
11.60
Margin Of Victory
2.78
121.7
O Rtg
114.2
110.2
D Rtg
111.4
100.0
Pace
97.1
.239
FTr
.270
.447
3PAr
.446
.622
TS%
.575

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
CLE MIA
CLE MIA
Consensus
-3.0 (-108)
+3.0 (-110)
-2.5 (-108)
+2.5 (-111)
-3.5 (-105)
+3.5 (-110)
-2.5 (-105)
+2.5 (-115)
-3.5 (-110)
+3.5 (-110)
-2.5 (-110)
+2.5 (-110)
-3.5 (-109)
+3.5 (-115)
-3.0 (-109)
+3.0 (-112)
-3.0 (-110)
+3.0 (-110)
-3.0 (-110)
+3.0 (-110)
-3.5 (-110)
+3.5 (-110)
-2.5 (-110)
+2.5 (-110)
Open
Current
Book
CLE MIA
CLE MIA
Consensus
-159
+134
-141
+120
-162
+136
-135
+114
-172
+144
-142
+120
-155
+130
-143
+123
-165
+140
-155
+130
-160
+135
-140
+115
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
225.5 (-110)
225.5 (-110)
222.5 (-113)
222.5 (-108)
225.0 (-110)
225.0 (-110)
223.5 (-110)
223.5 (-110)
224.5 (-110)
224.5 (-110)
223.0 (-110)
223.0 (-110)
224.5 (-112)
224.5 (-109)
222.5 (-113)
222.5 (-108)
225.5 (-110)
225.5 (-110)
224.5 (-110)
224.5 (-110)
225.5 (-105)
225.5 (-115)
222.5 (-115)
222.5 (-105)