Cleveland Cavaliers

Cleveland Cavaliers

Dec 8, 2024

Miami Heat

Miami Heat
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Cleveland Cavaliers at Miami Heat Pick & Prediction – 12/8/2024

  • Date: December 8, 2024
  • Venue: Kaseya Center


Betting Odds

Spread:Cleveland Cavaliers -3 (-110), Miami Heat 3 (-110)
Over/Under:224
Moneyline:Cleveland Cavaliers -150, Miami Heat 130


Cleveland Cavaliers vs Miami Heat Win Probabilities

Implied Win %:Projected Win %:
Cleveland Cavaliers - 58%Cleveland Cavaliers - 71%
Miami Heat - 42%Miami Heat - 29%

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Miami Heat Betting Preview

The Cleveland Cavaliers (21-3) square off against the Miami Heat (11-10) in a Sunday night showdown at the Kaseya Center, slated to tip off at 6:00 PM ET. The Cavaliers come into this matchup as slight favorites, despite hitting the road and having just wrapped up a back-to-back stretch. The spread favors Cleveland at -3.0, with a moneyline of -150, translating to an implied win probability of 58%. Meanwhile, the Heat, who also face the challenge of a back-to-back, hold a moneyline of +130, suggesting a 42% chance to come out on top.

The Cavaliers are riding a wave of momentum with a four-game winning streak, including a recent 116-102 victory over the Charlotte Hornets. Despite the fatigue factor, Cleveland's recent form should inspire confidence among bettors. Conversely, the Heat have found their groove at home, boasting a three-game winning streak on their turf. They recently bested the Phoenix Suns 121-111, adding to their home-court confidence.

For those interested in player prop markets, Tyler Herro's performance has garnered significant attention. The betting line for Herro's points has experienced movement, starting at Over 21.5 Points (-125) and shifting to 22.5 (-110), indicating sharp action on the Over.

Both teams face the challenge of maintaining energy levels on the second night of a back-to-back, but the Cavaliers' recent streak and their status as slight favorites suggest they hold a marginal edge. Meanwhile, the Heat's recent home success could play a pivotal role in countering Cleveland's momentum. Bettors will want to weigh these dynamics as they consider their wagers for this intriguing matchup.


Cleveland Cavaliers vs Miami Heat Prediction

Final Score: Cleveland Cavaliers 109.49 vs Miami Heat 101.97

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Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

-2.5/-105
72% CLE
+2.5/-115
28% MIA

Moneyline Pick Consensus

-141
73% CLE
+120
27% MIA

Total Pick Consensus

222.5/-110
9% UN
222.5/-110
91% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

CLE
Team Stats Per Game
MIA
65
Games
65
44.6
FG
41.3
90.4
FGA
88.9
.494
FG%
.464
16.1
3Pt-FG
13.7
41.2
3Pt-FGA
38.5
.390
3Pt%
.357
28.5
2Pt-FG
27.6
49.2
2Pt-FGA
50.4
.580
2Pt%
.546
17.4
FT
14.3
22.0
FTA
18.3
.791
FT%
.782
10.9
ORB
10.8
34.5
DRB
34.3
45.4
TRB
45.1
28.4
AST
26.9
8.2
STL
7.4
4.4
BLK
4.7
13.1
TOV
13.5
18.3
PF
17.3
122.7
PTS
110.6

Defense/Offense

CLE
Team Stats Per Game
MIA
65
Games
65
41.0
FG
39.7
90.4
FGA
86.8
.453
FG%
.458
13.2
3Pt-FG
13.8
36.8
3Pt-FGA
38.4
.357
3Pt%
.361
27.8
2Pt-FG
25.9
53.6
2Pt-FGA
48.4
.519
2Pt%
.535
16.3
FT
16.6
21.0
FTA
20.9
.775
FT%
.792
11.2
ORB
9.5
31.9
DRB
34.0
43.1
TRB
43.5
25.5
AST
26.4
7.6
STL
7.9
4.5
BLK
3.7
14.6
TOV
13.6
18.8
PF
15.9
111.4
PTS
109.9

Offense/Defense

CLE
Four Factors
MIA
.583
eFG%
.541
11.6
TOV%
12.2
25.5
RB%
75.9
.193
FT/FGA
.161

Defense/Offense

CLE
Four Factors
MIA
.526
eFG%
.538
12.8
TOV%
12.4
75.5
RB%
21.7
.180
FT/FGA
.191

Offense/Defense

CLE
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
MIA
65
Games
65
44.5
FG
42.3
90.2
FGA
91.1
.494
FG%
.464
16.1
3Pt-FG
14.1
41.1
3Pt-FGA
39.4
.390
3Pt%
.357
28.5
2Pt-FG
28.2
49.1
2Pt-FGA
51.7
.580
2Pt%
.546
17.4
FT
14.6
22.0
FTA
18.7
.791
FT%
.782
10.9
ORB
11.0
34.5
DRB
35.2
45.4
TRB
46.2
28.4
AST
27.5
8.2
STL
7.6
4.4
BLK
4.8
13.1
TOV
13.9
18.3
PF
17.7
122.5
PTS
113.2

Defense/Offense

CLE
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
MIA
65
Games
65
40.9
FG
40.7
90.3
FGA
88.8
.453
FG%
.458
13.1
3Pt-FG
14.2
36.8
3Pt-FGA
39.3
.357
3Pt%
.361
27.8
2Pt-FG
26.5
53.5
2Pt-FGA
49.6
.519
2Pt%
.535
16.3
FT
17.0
21.0
FTA
21.4
.775
FT%
.792
11.2
ORB
9.8
31.8
DRB
34.8
43.0
TRB
44.5
25.5
AST
27.0
7.6
STL
8.1
4.5
BLK
3.8
14.6
TOV
13.9
18.8
PF
16.2
111.3
PTS
112.5

CLE
Analytics
MIA
52
Pythag Wins
31
13
Pythag Losses
34
11.28
Margin Of Victory
-0.72
122.5
O Rtg
112.5
111.3
D Rtg
113.2
100.0
Pace
96.3
.243
FTr
.241
.456
3PAr
.442
.613
TS%
.572

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
CLE MIA
CLE MIA
Consensus
-3.0 (-108)
+3.0 (-110)
-2.5 (-108)
+2.5 (-111)
-3.5 (-105)
+3.5 (-110)
-2.5 (-105)
+2.5 (-115)
-3.5 (-110)
+3.5 (-110)
-2.5 (-110)
+2.5 (-110)
-3.5 (-109)
+3.5 (-115)
-3.0 (-109)
+3.0 (-112)
-3.0 (-110)
+3.0 (-110)
-3.0 (-110)
+3.0 (-110)
-3.5 (-110)
+3.5 (-110)
-2.5 (-110)
+2.5 (-110)
Open
Current
Book
CLE MIA
CLE MIA
Consensus
-159
+134
-141
+120
-162
+136
-135
+114
-172
+144
-142
+120
-155
+130
-143
+123
-165
+140
-155
+130
-160
+135
-140
+115
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
225.5 (-110)
225.5 (-110)
222.5 (-113)
222.5 (-108)
225.0 (-110)
225.0 (-110)
223.5 (-110)
223.5 (-110)
224.5 (-110)
224.5 (-110)
223.0 (-110)
223.0 (-110)
224.5 (-112)
224.5 (-109)
222.5 (-113)
222.5 (-108)
225.5 (-110)
225.5 (-110)
224.5 (-110)
224.5 (-110)
225.5 (-105)
225.5 (-115)
222.5 (-115)
222.5 (-105)

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