Charlotte Hornets

Charlotte Hornets

Mar 10, 2025

Miami Heat

Miami Heat
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Charlotte Hornets vs Miami Heat Prediction – 3/10/2025


The Charlotte Hornets (15-48) face off against the Miami Heat (29-34) on March 10, 2025, at 7:30 PM ET at Kaseya Center. This divisional matchup brings an added layer of significance, as both teams will be highly motivated to secure a victory.

The Miami Heat come into this contest as heavy favorites, with a spread currently set at Heat -9.5 and a moneyline of -410. This implies an 78% chance of victory for the Heat, who are looking to break out of a rut after losing three consecutive games, including a narrow defeat to the Chicago Bulls (114-109).

On the other hand, the Charlotte Hornets have struggled mightily this season, losing 40 of their last 50 games. However, they pulled off an upset in their last outing, defeating the Brooklyn Nets 105-102 as 5.5-point underdogs. The victory marked a rare highlight for the Hornets, who have an implied win probability of only 22% for this matchup, indicated by their moneyline of +335.

Despite the Hornets' recent win, their overall performance this season has been subpar. With Miami's playoff aspirations on the line, the Heat will look to capitalize on their home court advantage. The intensity of this rivalry makes every game significant, and while Miami may enter as favorites, the unpredictable nature of basketball could lead to surprises.


Charlotte Hornets vs Miami Heat Prediction

Predicted Final Score: Charlotte Hornets 103.88 vs Miami Heat 113.69


Charlotte Hornets vs Miami Heat Win Probabilities

TeamImplied Win %:Projected Win %:
Hornets22%22%
Heat78%78%

Get daily NBA picks here.

Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

+9.0/-108
60% CHA
-9.0/-112
40% MIA

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+317
8% CHA
-405
92% MIA

Total Pick Consensus

217.0/-108
18% UN
217.0/-112
82% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

CHA
Team Stats Per Game
MIA
82
Games
82
38.3
FG
41.3
89.1
FGA
88.6
.430
FG%
.466
13.0
3Pt-FG
13.6
38.3
3Pt-FGA
37.9
.339
3Pt%
.360
25.3
2Pt-FG
27.6
50.8
2Pt-FGA
50.6
.499
2Pt%
.545
15.5
FT
13.9
19.8
FTA
17.9
.783
FT%
.776
12.2
ORB
10.7
33.0
DRB
33.9
45.2
TRB
44.7
24.3
AST
26.5
7.4
STL
7.5
4.5
BLK
4.7
15.5
TOV
13.8
18.7
PF
17.0
105.1
PTS
110.0

Defense/Offense

CHA
Team Stats Per Game
MIA
82
Games
82
41.6
FG
40.5
88.9
FGA
87.0
.467
FG%
.465
14.2
3Pt-FG
13.7
40.0
3Pt-FGA
37.3
.355
3Pt%
.367
27.4
2Pt-FG
26.8
49.0
2Pt-FGA
49.7
.559
2Pt%
.538
16.9
FT
16.0
21.4
FTA
20.2
.790
FT%
.791
11.3
ORB
9.7
33.9
DRB
33.7
45.2
TRB
43.4
26.8
AST
26.4
8.8
STL
8.1
5.3
BLK
3.8
13.3
TOV
13.6
18.1
PF
15.5
114.2
PTS
110.6

Offense/Defense

CHA
Four Factors
MIA
.503
eFG%
.543
13.7
TOV%
12.5
26.5
RB%
75.8
.174
FT/FGA
.157

Defense/Offense

CHA
Four Factors
MIA
.547
eFG%
.544
11.9
TOV%
12.4
74.5
RB%
22.3
.190
FT/FGA
.183

Offense/Defense

CHA
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
MIA
82
Games
82
39.1
FG
42.3
91.0
FGA
90.9
.430
FG%
.466
13.3
3Pt-FG
14.0
39.1
3Pt-FGA
38.9
.339
3Pt%
.360
25.9
2Pt-FG
28.3
51.8
2Pt-FGA
52.0
.499
2Pt%
.545
15.8
FT
14.3
20.2
FTA
18.4
.783
FT%
.776
12.5
ORB
11.0
33.6
DRB
34.8
46.1
TRB
45.8
24.8
AST
27.2
7.6
STL
7.7
4.6
BLK
4.8
15.8
TOV
14.2
19.1
PF
17.4
107.3
PTS
112.9

Defense/Offense

CHA
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
MIA
82
Games
82
42.4
FG
41.5
90.8
FGA
89.3
.467
FG%
.465
14.5
3Pt-FG
14.1
40.8
3Pt-FGA
38.3
.355
3Pt%
.367
28.0
2Pt-FG
27.5
50.0
2Pt-FGA
51.0
.559
2Pt%
.538
17.2
FT
16.4
21.8
FTA
20.7
.790
FT%
.791
11.5
ORB
10.0
34.6
DRB
34.5
46.2
TRB
44.5
27.3
AST
27.1
8.9
STL
8.4
5.4
BLK
3.9
13.6
TOV
13.9
18.5
PF
16.0
116.6
PTS
113.5

CHA
Analytics
MIA
20
Pythag Wins
42
62
Pythag Losses
40
-9.11
Margin Of Victory
0.56
107.3
O Rtg
113.5
116.6
D Rtg
112.9
97.6
Pace
96.2
.222
FTr
.232
.430
3PAr
.429
.537
TS%
.576

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
CHA MIA
CHA MIA
Consensus
+10.0 (-108)
-10.0 (-108)
+9.0 (-108)
-9.0 (-111)
+9.5 (-108)
-9.5 (-110)
+9.0 (-108)
-9.0 (-112)
+10.0 (-112)
-10.0 (-110)
+9.5 (-112)
-9.5 (-108)
+10.0 (-107)
-10.0 (-108)
+9.0 (-107)
-9.0 (-114)
+9.5 (-110)
-9.5 (-110)
+9.0 (-110)
-9.0 (-110)
+9.5 (-115)
-9.5 (-110)
+9.5 (-115)
-9.5 (-105)
Open
Current
Book
CHA MIA
CHA MIA
Consensus
+315
-400
+317
-405
+320
-410
+330
-425
+315
-400
+315
-400
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
215.5 (-110)
215.5 (-110)
217.0 (-111)
217.0 (-110)
216.5 (-110)
216.5 (-110)
216.0 (-112)
216.0 (-108)
215.5 (-110)
215.5 (-110)
217.0 (-110)
217.0 (-110)
216.5 (-112)
216.5 (-109)
217.0 (-112)
217.0 (-109)
216.0 (-105)
216.0 (-115)
216.5 (-110)
216.5 (-110)
215.5 (-115)
215.5 (-105)
216.5 (-110)
216.5 (-110)

Related Articles