Boston Celtics

Boston Celtics

May 12, 2025

New York Knicks

New York Knicks
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Boston Celtics vs New York Knicks Game 4 Pick – 5/12/2025

The Boston Celtics and New York Knicks are set to clash in Game 4 of their Eastern Conference Semifinals series tonight at Madison Square Garden. The Knicks currently lead the series 2-1, but the Celtics are coming off a dominant Game 3 victory and look to even the series before returning to Boston for Game 5.

Boston Celtics vs New York Knicks Game 4 Preview

After dropping the first two games at home, the Celtics responded with a commanding 115-93 win in Game 3. Boston's offense came alive, shooting 48% from the field and hitting 20 of 40 three-point attempts. Payton Pritchard led the team with 23 points off the bench, while Jayson Tatum added 22 points, nine rebounds, and seven assists. Jaylen Brown and Derrick White contributed 19 and 17 points, respectively.

Boston's defense also stepped up, holding the Knicks to 40% shooting from the field and 20% from beyond the arc. The Celtics' improved perimeter defense and rebounding were key factors in their Game 3 success.

The Knicks, meanwhile, struggled offensively in Game 3. Jalen Brunson scored 27 points, and Karl-Anthony Towns added 21 points and 15 rebounds, but the rest of the team failed to make significant contributions. New York's starting lineup has been outscored by 29 points in the series, and their shooting woes continued in Game 3.

Despite the loss, the Knicks remain confident. Head coach Tom Thibodeau emphasized the need for urgency and intensity, particularly at the start of games. The Knicks will look to bounce back in front of their home crowd and regain control of the series.

Betting Insights

  • Spread: Celtics -6.5
  • Moneyline: Celtics -250, Knicks +200
  • Total Points: Over/Under 208.5

The Celtics are favored by 6.5 points, reflecting their dominant performance in Game 3. The total points line is set at 208.5, suggesting expectations of a moderately high-scoring game.

Boston's offense ranks eighth in the NBA, averaging 116.3 points per game, while their defense allows just 107.2 points per game, second-best in the league. The Celtics also lead the league in three-pointers made per game (17.8) at a 36.8% clip.

The Knicks average 115.8 points per game and allow 111.7 points per game. However, their three-point shooting has been inconsistent, and their starting lineup has struggled in this series.

Boston Celtics vs New York Knicks Game 4 Prediction

Game 4 is pivotal for both teams. The Celtics aim to tie the series and regain home-court advantage, while the Knicks look to take a commanding 3-1 lead. Boston's resurgence in Game 3, particularly their improved shooting and defense, suggests they have found their rhythm.

New York must address their slow starts and shooting struggles to compete effectively. If the Knicks can improve their offensive efficiency and limit Boston's perimeter shooting, they have a chance to reclaim momentum.

Given the Celtics' adjustments and momentum from Game 3, they are likely to carry that performance into Game 4. Expect Boston to continue their strong play and even the series at 2-2.

Predicted Final Score: Boston Celtics 111.68, New York Knicks 104.12

Boston Celtics vs New York Knicks Game 4 Win Probabilities

TeamImplied Win %:Projected Win %:
Celtics69%71%
Knicks31%29%

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Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

-6.5/-110
59% BOS
+6.5/-110
41% NY

Moneyline Pick Consensus

-265
56% BOS
+215
44% NY

Total Pick Consensus

208.0/-110
18% UN
208.0/-110
82% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

BOS
Team Stats Per Game
NY
82
Games
82
41.6
FG
41.6
90.0
FGA
87.7
.462
FG%
.474
17.8
3Pt-FG
13.1
48.2
3Pt-FGA
35.7
.368
3Pt%
.367
23.9
2Pt-FG
28.5
41.8
2Pt-FGA
52.0
.571
2Pt%
.548
15.3
FT
15.4
19.1
FTA
19.5
.799
FT%
.789
11.4
ORB
10.9
33.9
DRB
31.0
45.3
TRB
41.8
26.1
AST
25.2
7.2
STL
7.0
5.5
BLK
5.0
11.9
TOV
14.5
15.9
PF
19.0
116.3
PTS
111.7

Defense/Offense

BOS
Team Stats Per Game
NY
82
Games
82
40.3
FG
43.3
89.4
FGA
89.2
.450
FG%
.486
12.9
3Pt-FG
12.6
37.1
3Pt-FGA
34.1
.347
3Pt%
.369
27.4
2Pt-FG
30.8
52.3
2Pt-FGA
55.1
.524
2Pt%
.558
13.8
FT
16.5
17.7
FTA
20.7
.777
FT%
.800
10.7
ORB
10.9
33.0
DRB
31.8
43.7
TRB
42.6
24.0
AST
27.5
6.9
STL
8.2
3.6
BLK
4.0
12.8
TOV
13.3
17.5
PF
17.2
107.2
PTS
115.8

Offense/Defense

BOS
Four Factors
NY
.561
eFG%
.549
10.8
TOV%
13.1
25.7
RB%
74.5
.169
FT/FGA
.176

Defense/Offense

BOS
Four Factors
NY
.522
eFG%
.556
11.6
TOV%
11.9
76.0
RB%
26.0
.154
FT/FGA
.186

Offense/Defense

BOS
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
NY
82
Games
82
43.2
FG
42.6
93.3
FGA
89.8
.462
FG%
.474
18.4
3Pt-FG
13.4
50.0
3Pt-FGA
36.5
.368
3Pt%
.367
24.7
2Pt-FG
29.2
43.3
2Pt-FGA
53.3
.571
2Pt%
.548
15.8
FT
15.8
19.8
FTA
20.0
.799
FT%
.789
11.8
ORB
11.1
35.2
DRB
31.7
47.0
TRB
42.8
27.1
AST
25.8
7.4
STL
7.2
5.7
BLK
5.1
12.3
TOV
14.8
16.5
PF
19.4
120.6
PTS
114.3

Defense/Offense

BOS
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
NY
82
Games
82
41.8
FG
44.3
92.7
FGA
91.3
.450
FG%
.486
13.3
3Pt-FG
12.9
38.5
3Pt-FGA
34.9
.347
3Pt%
.369
28.4
2Pt-FG
31.5
54.2
2Pt-FGA
56.4
.524
2Pt%
.558
14.3
FT
16.9
18.3
FTA
21.2
.777
FT%
.800
11.1
ORB
11.1
34.2
DRB
32.5
45.3
TRB
43.6
24.9
AST
28.1
7.2
STL
8.4
3.7
BLK
4.0
13.3
TOV
13.6
18.2
PF
17.6
111.1
PTS
118.5

BOS
Analytics
NY
62
Pythag Wins
51
20
Pythag Losses
31
9.11
Margin Of Victory
4.10
120.6
O Rtg
118.5
111.1
D Rtg
114.3
95.7
Pace
96.7
.212
FTr
.232
.536
3PAr
.382
.591
TS%
.589

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
BOS NY
BOS NY
Consensus
-5.5 (-113)
+5.5 (-110)
-6.0 (-113)
+6.0 (-106)
-5.5 (-110)
+5.5 (-110)
-6.5 (-110)
+6.5 (-110)
-6.0 (-110)
+6.0 (-108)
-6.5 (-110)
+6.5 (-110)
-6.5 (-113)
+6.5 (-112)
-6.0 (-113)
+6.0 (-108)
-6.0 (-110)
+6.0 (-110)
-6.5 (-110)
+6.5 (-110)
-6.5 (-110)
+6.5 (-115)
-6.5 (-110)
+6.5 (-110)
Open
Current
Book
BOS NY
BOS NY
Consensus
-231
+188
-251
+209
-225
+185
-265
+215
-245
+200
-270
+220
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
208.5 (-110)
208.5 (-110)
208.5 (-110)
208.5 (-110)
208.5 (-110)
208.5 (-110)
208.0 (-110)
208.0 (-110)
210.0 (-110)
210.0 (-110)
208.5 (-112)
208.5 (-108)
209.0 (-110)
209.0 (-110)
208.5 (-109)
208.5 (-112)
208.5 (-110)
208.5 (-110)
208.5 (-110)
208.5 (-110)
208.5 (-110)
208.5 (-110)
208.5 (-115)
208.5 (-105)

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Home NBA Picks Boston Celtics vs New York Knicks Game 4 Pick – 5/12/2025