Nikita Krylov and Bogdan Guskov will face off in the light heavyweight division at UFC Fight Night in Abu Dhabi on Saturday. Guskov has won three fights in a row going into this matchup. But he is an underdog against an experienced fighter in Krylov here. Before these light heavyweights do battle in the United Arab Emirates, continue reading to get my Nikita Krylov vs Bogdan Guskov prediction.
Our Nikita Krylov vs Bogdan Guskov Pick
- Pick: Nikita Krylov via decision
- Confidence: ★★★☆☆
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Tale of the Tape
| Nikita Krylov | Bogdan Guskov | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 33 | 32 |
| Reach | 78” | 76” |
| Stance | Orthodox | Orthodox |
| Record | 30‑10‑0 | 17‑3‑0 |
Nikita Krylov vs Bogdan Guskov Preview
Krylov is taking part in his 41st professional MMA fight this weekend. His recent loss to Dominick Reyes via knockout was his first loss since 2022. That loss snapped a three-fight losing streak and the UFC veteran will look to get back on track in this fight. To do that Krylov will need to defend the dangerous striking of Guskov.
Guskov is 3-1 since joining UFC. His UFC résumé includes three straight finishes. He got a guillotine choke on Billy Elekana, ground-and-pound TKO of Ryan Spann, and a first-round KO of Zac Pauga. His upward trajectory is clear and he is looking to move up the light heavyweight rankings with a win over the 10th ranked fighter in the division in Krylov.
The stylistic clash is stark in this fight. Krylov’s mix of distance management and takedown savvy will clash with Guskov’s aggressive pressure and striking. Krylov will want to fight at range and use movement to avoid the Uzbek’s power to drag the fight past the early stages.
Betting Insights
- Moneyline: Krylov is favored at -198. Guskov is +164 to keep his winning streak going.
- Total Rounds: We could see this fight end before the final bell in the third round. The total rounds for this fight is set at 1.5. The over is +110 in that market and the under is -140. That implies we could see an early finish.
Nikita Krylov vs Bogdan Guskov Prediction
A Guskov knockout is possible in this fight and would pay nicely. But Guskov has never lasted into Round 3 in his UFC bouts. Krylov boasts several UFC fights that have gone the distance. Betting the veteran to outpoint the young bruiser offers value given the gap in experience between these two fighters.
While Guskov is fighting at a high level going into this fight, I expect him to suffer a loss to Krylov here. Expect the Russian to do a good enough job of avoiding Guskov’s power shots and to get Guskov to the mat enough to avoid taking heavy damage. Krylov should win this one by decision and you can back a Guskov knockout as a hedge at a plus price.
