The featherweight clash between Nate Landwehr and Morgan Charriere on Saturday, July 12, 2025, at UFC Fight Night in Nashville is shaping up to be a striking showcase. With Charriere opening as a heavy favorite and both fighters having knockout power, this fight should be a fun one on the main card. Continue reading to get my Nate Landwehr vs Morgan Charriere prediction for this matchup.
Our Nate Landwehr vs Morgan Charriere Pick
- Pick: Morgan Charriere by KO/TKO
- Confidence: ★★★★☆
- Bonus Bets: With BetMGM promo code ATSBONUS, you can get up to $1,500 in bonus bets if your first bet doesn’t win!
Tale of the Tape
| Nate Landwehr | Morgan Charriere | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 37 | 29 |
| Reach | 72″ | 69″ |
| Stance | Orthodox | Orthodox |
| Record | 18‑6‑0 | 20‑11‑1 |
Landwehr vs Charriere Preview
Nate Landwehr is a battle-tested veteran who has earned knockouts in half of his career wins. He has nine knockouts, two submissions, and a reputation for walking opponents down with relentless pressure. In his UFC tenure, he is 5‑4, and he most recently lost via a third-round TKO to Doo Ho Choi in December 2024. Landwehr’s toughness makes him dangerous, but his chin has been cracked time and time again and that will be a concern here as well.
Morgan Charriere holds a 20‑11‑1 career record, with 12 of his wins coming via knockout and another three via submission. In his last fight, he lost via decision to Nathaniel Wood in March and he has dropped two of his last three fights overall. But Charriere has knockout power that Landwehr will have to account for throughout this fight.
Betting Insights
- Moneyline: Charriere is a –250 favorite, with Landwehr at +200 on the other side.
- Knockout Power: Each of Charriere’s last four wins have come via knockout dating back to 2023.
- Inside the Distance: Three of Landwehr’s last four fights have ended inside the distance.
Landwehr vs Charriere Prediction
If Charriere controls distance and lands early with his crisp combinations, he can build confidence and target Landwehr’s head. Despite a three‑inch reach deficit, he possesses faster hands and superior timing. Landwehr’s toughness is well-documented, but he is trending in the wrong direction and that worries me going into this fight. Landwehr’s best path is to survive early chaos, drag the fight into deep waters, and grind out a decision. That said, Charriere’s power makes that unlikely.
My lean is for Charriere to take this fight by knockout in Round 2 or 3. His sharp movement, finishing ability, and superior athleticism give him the edge.
