UFC 316 on Saturday, June 7, 2025, at the Prudential Center in Newark, New Jersey, features an interesting bantamweight clash between Mario Bautista and Patchy Mix. This bout carries significant implications for the 135-pound division, as Bautista looks to remain in the top 10, while Mix aims to impress in his UFC debut. Here, we make our Mario Bautista vs Patchy Mix prediction.
Mario Bautista vs Patchy Mix Preview
Mario Bautista enters the octagon with a professional record of 15-2, including 3 knockouts, 6 submissions, and 6 decision victories. Currently ranked No. 12 in the UFC bantamweight division, Bautista is riding a seven-fight winning streak. His recent victories include a unanimous decision over Ricky Simón and a split decision against former featherweight champion José Aldo. Bautista’s fighting style is characterized by high-volume striking, averaging 5.33 significant strikes per minute, and a solid grappling game, with an average of 1.92 takedowns per 15 minutes.
Patchy Mix, making his UFC debut, boasts an impressive 20-1 record, with 2 knockouts, 13 submissions, and 5 decision wins. The former Bellator bantamweight champion is on a seven-fight winning streak, including notable victories over Raufeon Stots, Sergio Pettis, and Magomed Magomedov. Mix is known for his exceptional grappling skills, holding a black belt in Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu and training out of Xtreme Couture. Standing at 5’11” with a 71.5-inch reach, Mix utilizes his length effectively to control opponents on the ground.
Betting Insights
- Mario Bautista: +150 (Underdog)
- Patchy Mix: -185 (Favorite)
The betting odds reflect Mix’s status as the favorite, given his dominant performances in Bellator and his submission prowess. Bettors favoring Bautista may see value in his underdog status, considering his UFC experience and recent winning streak.
New users at BetMGM can utilize our BetMGM bonus code to bet on this fight using their first bet offer. That offer is good for up to $1,500 in bonus bets if your first bet doesn’t win. To get that bonus for yourself, just click the Claim Bonus button and sign up using the code ATSBONUS.
Mario Bautista vs Patchy Mix Prediction
Bautista’s fast-paced striking and improved wrestling defense will be tested against Mix’s elite grappling and submission skills. Bautista’s ability to maintain distance and avoid takedowns will be crucial. However, Mix’s track record of controlling opponents on the ground and securing submissions cannot be overlooked.
Given Mix’s grappling advantage and his success against high-level competition, my prediction leans towards Patchy Mix securing a victory. If Mix can implement his ground game early and neutralize Bautista’s striking, a submission finish is a strong possibility.
Prediction: Patchy Mix to win via submission in Round 2
