Maheshate and Gauge Young will do battle in the UFC’s lightweight division on Saturday in Shanghai. Maheshate is fighting on home soil in this fight and is desperate to end a rough run in his recent fights. He faces a fighter in Young who is searching for his first UFC victory. Before this fight begins, you can continue reading to get my Maheshate vs Gauge Young prediction.
Our Maheshate vs Gauge Young Pick
- Pick: Over 2.5 Rounds
- Confidence: 4/5
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Tale of the Tape
| Maheshate | Gauge Young | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 25 | 25 |
| Reach | 71.5″ | 70″ |
| Stance | Orthodox | Orthodox |
| Record | 10-4-0 | 9-3-0 |
Maheshate vs Gauge Young Preview
Maheshate is one of seven fighters representing China on home soil during this UFC Fight Night card from Shanghai. He enters this matchup with a 10-4 professional record. Three of those four losses have come within his last four fights. Maheshate has struggled with a 1-3 record since December of 2022. He will look to bounce back in this fight but will need to overcome a deficit in terms of significant strikes landed per minute compared to Young.
Gauge Young is 9-3 in his professional MMA career. He has lost two of his last three fights. He lost his Dana White’s Contender Series fight in September of 2024 as well as his UFC debut in April. Young is expected to be the busier fighter from a striking volume standpoint in this matchup. But he will need to keep the pressure on Maheshate to prevent him from getting into a rhythm and taking control of this matchup.
Betting Insights
- Gauge Young is a slight favorite in this fight at -130. Maheshate is the underdog at +110.
- The total for this fight is set at 2.5 rounds. The over is listed at -166 and the under is +130.
- Three of Maheshate’s last four fights have gone the distance.
- Gauge Young’s UFC debut and his DWCS loss both went to the judges.
Maheshate vs Gauge Young Prediction
Someone is going to get a much-needed win to help their UFC career. The question is who that is going to be. We are not going to have to worry about much grappling in this matchup and the winner will be the fighter who does the best job of striking effectively. I think that is going to be Young, but I’d rather focus on the total than betting on either fighter to win this matchup.
My best bet for this fight is for us to see over 2.5 rounds. Neither of these fighters have showcased knockout power on a regular basis in their UFC careers. Both men are also tough enough to avoid getting knocked out in the majority of cases. I’ll take the over here as I expect this fight to go to the scorecards regardless of who ends up getting their hand raised when all is said and done.
