Karine Silva and Dione Barbosa will fight in the early prelims at UFC 319 on Saturday night. Silva steps into the octagon as the favorite as she looks to avoid her second straight loss. Here, I take a deep dive into this matchup and give you my Karine Silva vs Dione Barbosa prediction in one of the first fights of the night from Chicago.
Our Karine Silva vs Dione Barbosa Pick
- Pick: Karine Silva to win by decision
- Confidence: ★★★★☆
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Tale of the Tape
| Karine Silva | Dione Barbosa | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 31 | 33 |
| Reach | 67″ | 66″ |
| Stance | Orthodox | Orthodox |
| Record | 18–5–0 | 8–3–0 |
Karine Silva vs Dione Barbosa Preview
Karine Silva took his first loss in UFC in her last fight. That loss came by unanimous decision against Viviane Araujo in November. Silva hadn’t lost since 2019 prior to that fight and she will look to get back into the win column with a victory here. The Brazilian has won several fights by submission since joining UFC. She enters this fight with 50% takedown accuracy in her career and that will likely be her best path to victory on Saturday.
Dione Barbosa is 2-1 since joining UFC in 2024. Her last fight was a submission win over Diana Belbita. Barbosa has taken care of business against lower quality competition and lost her biggest test so far against Miranda Maverick. This would be the best win of Barbosa’s UFC career if she finds a way to get the win against her fellow Brazilian competitor.
Betting Insights
- Silva is a -218 favorite to get back into the win column in this fight. Barbosa is the underdog at +180.
- Oddsmakers are expecting this fight to go the distance. Bettors will have to lay -270 juice to bet on the over 2.5 rounds in this fight. The under is +200 at DraftKings Sportsbook.
- Silva has had two straight fights go to the judges. She had won eight straight fights inside the distance before those last two bouts.
- Five of Barbosa’s last seven fights have gone to the scorecards.
Karine Silva vs Dione Barbosa Prediction
Both of these fighters will likely try to win this matchup in the same way. We should see both fighters try and secure takedowns and control the fight from top positions. The over/under implies that we aren’t likely to see a submission from those grappling exchanges. But both fighters have proven themselves capable of getting stoppage wins in their careers.
As for the outcome of this fight, I think Karine Silva has the best chance to get the win. She has lost just once since 2019 and she tends to be more clinical when it comes to getting opponents to the mat. I’ll back Silva to get the win via decision at a better price than Silva to win on the moneyline.
