On Saturday, May 17, 2025, at UFC Fight Night 256, seasoned welterweight Gabe Green returns to the Octagon to face Brazilian newcomer Matheus Camilo. This matchup offers a test of experience versus momentum, as Green looks to reestablish himself after recent setbacks, while Camilo aims to make a strong impression in his UFC debut. Continue reading to get our Gabe Green vs Matheus Camilo prediction ahead of Saturday’s fights.
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Gabe Green vs Matheus Camilo Preview
Gabe Green (11-5) has experienced a mixed run in the UFC, with a record of 2-3 in the promotion. His most recent outing ended in a swift 14-second knockout loss to Bryan Battle in May 2023. Despite this, Green has demonstrated resilience and versatility in the past, notably securing a TKO victory over Yohan Lainesse in April 2022.
Known for his aggressive striking, Green averages 6.20 significant strikes per minute, though he absorbs 6.92, indicating a high-risk, high-reward style. His grappling is competent, with an average of 0.83 takedowns per bout at a 50% success rate. But there will be questions about Green’s ability to compete after a long layoff.
Matheus Camilo (9-2) steps into the UFC with a six-fight winning streak, showcasing his readiness for the big stage. Six of his nine career victories have come via either knockout or submission, making him a fighter with clear finishing capabilities and a well-rounded skill set. Making his debut against an experienced opponent like Green will be a significant step up, testing his adaptability and composure under pressure.
Betting Insights
As of now, Camilo is the favorite to win this fight. According to Sportzino, Camilo is set at -234 to win this fight, while Green is the underdog at +185. Bettors should monitor official sportsbooks for updated odds as the fight approaches.
Key considerations for bettors include:
- Green’s Experience: With five UFC fights under his belt, Green has faced a higher level of competition, which could give him an edge in terms of Octagon awareness and strategy.
- Camilo’s Momentum: Entering the UFC on a six-fight win streak, Camilo brings confidence and possibly an element of unpredictability that could challenge Green.
- Fight Dynamics: Green’s aggressive striking could either overwhelm the debutant or leave openings for Camilo to capitalize on, depending on how each fighter manages the pace and exchanges.
Bettors should be sure to take advantage of the no deposit bonus at Sportzino before betting on this fight. There are plenty of bonus sweepstakes coins up for grabs that can be used to wager on this fight and the rest of the fights set for Saturday night.
Gabe Green vs Matheus Camilo Prediction
This bout presents an intriguing clash between Green’s experience and Camilo’s fresh momentum. Green’s high-volume striking and experience suggest he can dictate the pace and control the fight, especially if he utilizes his grappling to disrupt Camilo’s rhythm. However, Camilo’s recent success indicates he’s a dangerous opponent who could exploit any lapses in Green’s defense.
Considering Green’s track record and the typical challenges faced by UFC newcomers, my prediction leans towards Green securing a victory, potentially by decision if he manages to control the fight’s tempo and avoid significant damage.
Prediction: Gabe Green to win by decision.
