Brazil and Argentina are well-known rivals on the soccer field. But those two countries will face off in the UFC octagon when Brazil’s Elves Brener and Argentina’s Esteban Ribovics face off in the lightweight division on Saturday. Both fighters are coming off losses in their last fights and will look to get back into the win column here. Before fight night, continue reading to get my Elves Brener vs Esteban Ribovics prediction.
Our Elves Brener vs Esteban Ribovics Pick
- Pick: Esteban Ribovics By Decision
- Confidence: ★★★★☆
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Tale of the Tape
| Fighter | Age | Reach | Stance | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elves Brener | 27 | 72.5″ | Orthodox | 16‑5‑0 |
| Esteban Ribovics | 29 | 69″ | Orthodox | 14‑2‑0 |
Elves Brener vs Esteban Ribovics Preview
Elves Brener is 27 and brings a well‑rounded approach to this fight. His record stands at 16‑5‑0 in his pro career and 3-2 in UFC. He won his first three fights in the promotion but has lost his last two fights to Myktybek Orolbai and Joel Alvarez. A third straight loss would be devastating to the career of Brener in a division with as much talent as the UFC lightweight division. We should see a desperate fighter in Brener during this bout.
Esteban Ribovics is 28 and has a 14‑2‑0 career record. He is also 3-2 in UFC and had a three-fight win streak snapped in his last outing against Nasrat Haqparast. That fight was the second straight split decision for Ribovics. The Argentinean will look to leave no doubt in this fight by not leaving things up to the judges.
Betting Insights
- Ribovics is the favorite going into this fight at -230. Brener is the underdog at +190
- The over/under for this fight has been set at 1.5 rounds. The over is a massive favorite to hit at -270. Those who see an early finish coming can get the under at +200.
- Four of Ribovics’ first five UFC fights have gone to decision.
- Two of Brener’s three UFC wins came via knockout.
Elves Brener vs Esteban Ribovics Prediction
Ribovics is a very good volume striker and has above average stamina. His pressure should neutralize Brener’s takedown attempts and keep the fight upright for extended periods. That kind of fight would give Ribovics the advantage. Brener does possess the ability to win in a number of ways and he has toughness in bunches. But Ribovics’ volume should wear his opponent down in this matchup.
I am going to take Ribovics to win this fight by decision. He has seen nearly all of his UFC fights go to the scorecards. I think this will be a unanimous decision instead of a split decision. But Ribovics is my pick nonetheless.
