On Saturday, May 17, 2025, at UFC Fight Night in Las Vegas, strawweights Elise Reed and Denise Gomes will clash. Both fighters aim to solidify their positions in the division, with Reed seeking to rebound from recent setbacks and Gomes looking to extend her winning streak. Here, we analyze Elise Reed vs Denise Gomes and give you our prediction for this matchup.
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Elise Reed vs Denise Gomes Preview
Elise Reed (8–4) enters this matchup with a background in Taekwondo and a professional record that includes two knockouts and six decision victories. Despite her striking prowess, Reed has faced challenges against grappling specialists, suffering submission losses to Loma Lookboonmee and Loopy Godinez. Her most recent victory came via unanimous decision over Jessica Penne in October 2024, showcasing her ability to control the pace and distance of a fight.
Denise Gomes (10–3), representing Paraná Vale Tudo, has demonstrated significant power in the strawweight division, recording six knockouts. Notably, she achieved a 20-second TKO over Yazmin Jauregui at UFC 290, marking the fastest finish in UFC strawweight history. Gomes has also secured decision victories over Eduarda Moura and former title challenger Karolina Kowalkiewicz, indicating her capacity to compete effectively over three rounds.
Betting Insights
Betting odds for this fight have Gomes as a heavy favorite over Reed. Gomes is listed at -600 at Sportzino to win this fight. Her recent performances, including a record-setting knockout and victories over seasoned opponents, have elevated her profile. Conversely, Reed’s susceptibility to submissions and challenges against high-pressure fighters could make her an intriguing underdog at +433.
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Elise Reed vs Denise Gomes Prediction
Analyzing the fighters’ recent performances and styles, Gomes appears to have the advantage. Reed’s striking could pose challenges if she manages to keep the fight standing and at range. However, Gomes’ aggressive style and proven power make her a formidable opponent. If Gomes can close the distance and apply pressure early, she may secure a stoppage or dominate the fight en route to a decision.
- First Round: Gomes likely initiates with aggressive striking, aiming to disrupt Reed’s rhythm.
- Second Round: If Reed withstands the initial onslaught, she may find opportunities to counter, but Gomes’ pressure could continue to dictate the pace.
- Third Round: Should the fight reach this stage, Gomes’ conditioning and momentum may carry her to a unanimous decision victory.
Prediction: Denise Gomes to win via unanimous decision or late-round TKO.
