The clash on Saturday, June 14, 2025, between Cody Durden and Jose Ochoa promises fireworks in the Octagon. My Cody Durden vs Jose Ochoa prediction takes into account recent form, betting lines, and gives you a statistical breakdown to help you make an informed decision when wagering on this preliminary bout.
Our Cody Durden vs Jose Ochoa Pick
- Pick: Jose Ochoa via KO/TKO in Round 2
- Confidence: ★★★★☆
- Sportsbook Bonus: bet $5 and get $150 in bonus bets with bet365 promo code ATSBONUS
Tale of the Tape
| Cody Durden | Jose Ochoa | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 34 | 24 |
| Height | 5’7″ | 5’7″ |
| Reach | 67″ | 67″ |
| Stance | Southpaw | Southpaw |
| Record | 17‑7‑1 | 7‑1‑0 |
Cody Durden vs Jose Ochoa Preview
Cody Durden brings a mix of wrestling and submission experience, with six submission victories and six knockouts in his 17 wins. However, Durden’s recent form shows inconsistency. After a submission win over Matt Schnell in September, he lost a decision to Joshua Van in December and was knocked out by Bruno Silva in July 2024.
Opposite him, 24‑year‑old Jose Ochoa is looking to bounce back in his sophomore UFC bout. With six knockouts and one submission under his belt, Ochoa has shown finishing power. His only UFC outing ended in a unanimous decision loss to Lone’er Kavanagh last November in Macau, but he is favored to get back into the win column in this fight.
Durden’s strength lies in grappling and his versatility, with a high takedown accuracy and as many submission wins as knockouts. Ochoa, in contrast, is a gifted striker whose wins have come mostly on his feet.
Betting Insights
- Moneyline: Ochoa is the favorite at around –175, Durden is the underdog at +150 at bet365.
- Implied probabilities: Ochoa comes in near 65%, Durden around 35%.
- Props: We could see this fight go the distance. Over 2.5 rounds is slightly favored as the outcome at -130, while the under is at -110 at bet365.
Ochoa’s power on the feet makes him a strong choice for an early stoppage. Durden’s grinding style may struggle if he is unable to close the distance. Betting value may lie in the KO/TKO line or Ochoa in Round 2.
Cody Durden vs Jose Ochoa Prediction
Both fighters are similar in size, but Ochoa’s knockout ratio at Flyweight is scary, with six of his seven career wins via KO. Durden’s multi‑faceted approach relies on changing levels and closing quarters. But without consistent success in wrestling or clinching to neutralize heavy strikers, he may fall short.
Expect Ochoa to control the range early, land clean head strikes, and capitalize on openings. If Durden manages takedowns, Ochoa has grappling defense, but his pace could bleed early. My prediction is that Ochoa lands a big punch or hard combination to finish this fight in Round 2, likely in the latter half.
Final Thoughts
This bout pits veteran grappler‑mechanic Cody Durden’s all‑around skill set against young power striker Jose Ochoa. While Durden brings experience and pace, Ochoa’s looming power and precision make him stand out. Betting on Ochoa to win by KO/TKO offers solid value given the –175 moneyline and his reputation as a fight finisher.
