Washington Nationals vs St. Louis Cardinals Pick – 7/9/2025

On Tuesday, the St. Louis Cardinals won their series opener against the Washington Nationals. The two National League teams will square off at Busch Stadium again on Wednesday. Washington sends its best pitcher to the mound in that game as they look to get even with the Cardinals in this three-game set. Continue reading to get my Nationals vs Cardinals prediction to see if I think things will go differently today.

Our Nationals vs Cardinals Pick

  • Pick: St. Louis Cardinals moneyline
  • Confidence: ★★★☆☆
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Game Snapshot

  • Matchup: Washington Nationals at St. Louis Cardinals
  • Date & Time: Wednesday, July 9, 2025, 7:45 p.m. ET
  • Starting Pitchers: MacKenzie Gore (3–8, 3.11 ERA) vs Andre Pallante (5–4, 4.10 ERA)
  • Stadium: Busch Stadium
  • Broadcast: FDSMW and MASN

Key Storylines

  • Pitching form: MacKenzie Gore has posted a 3.11 ERA this season. But he has struggled to get wins thanks to a lack of run support for him in 2025. Andre Pallante has a 5-4 record and a 4.10 ERA. Gore has been the better pitcher this season but Pallante’s team is better.
  • Bullpen usage: Washington has the worst bullpen in the league in terms of bullpen ERA. But both bullpens held up well for the most part on Tuesday. After a game that saw just six total runs, the bullpens will look for a repeat performance on Wednesday.
  • Recent team streaks: The Nationals have lost four games in a row coming into this contest. The Cardinals have won two of their last three games entering tonight’s play.

Best Player Props

PlayerPropOdds
James WoodOver 0.5 HR+160
Nolan ArenadoOver 0.5 HR+150
MacKenzie GoreOver 5.5 strikeouts–110
NationalsCardinals
Last 5 games1–42-3
Home/Road Splits19-26 Away27-17 Home
Runline Record45-4651-41

Nationals vs Cardinals Model Projection

Score Projection: Nationals 3 – Cardinals 4

Win Probability: Nationals 45% , Cardinals 55%

Final Thoughts

If the Nationals are going to win this game, Gore is their best chance to help them get there. He is going to have to go deep into this game to take the pressure off the Washington bullpen. But I think the Cardinals are going to do just enough offensively to put runs on the board against Gore. St. Louis will then take advantage of the weak Washington bullpen to claim a second straight win over the Nats.


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Home MLB Picks Washington Nationals vs St. Louis Cardinals Pick – 7/9/2025