Washington Nationals vs New York Yankees Prediction – 8/26/2025
The New York Yankees got a much-needed win at home over the Washington Nationals on Monday night. They will look for a repeat performance when the two teams meet again on Tuesday in the Bronx. New York is in third place in the AL East but is comfortably in a Wild Card position in the American League. Washington’s playoff hopes have evaporated but they will continue playing for pride in the second half of the season. Before the first pitch from New York, continue reading to get my Nationals vs Yankees prediction.
Our Nationals vs Yankees Pick
- Pick: Over 8.5
- Confidence: ★★★★☆
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Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Washington Nationals vs New York Yankees
- Date & Time: Tuesday, August 26, 2025, 7:05 p.m. ET
- Starting Pitchers:
- Nationals – MacKenzie Gore (5-12, 4.11 ERA)
- Yankees – Luis Gil (1-1, 4.26 ERA)
- Stadium: Yankee Stadium, Bronx, NY
- Broadcast: YES and MASN2
Key Storylines
Pitching Matchup
MacKenzie Gore has been up and down since the All-Star break. His last start saw him exit after 4.1 innings after surrendering 3 runs and issuing 4 walks. His ability to control the strike zone remains a concern but he also has starts where he is electric and will try to have one tonight. Luis Gil is settling back into form. His overall stats (1-1, 4.26 ERA, 1.68 WHIP) aren’t immaculate. But he has a 2.61 ERA in home starts and has shown promise in his limited outings since his return from the injured list.
Key Players
The Yankees’ lineup is looking dangerous again after scoring 17 runs over their last two games. Jazz Chisholm Jr. is among the bats that have helped during their offensive explosion. He has three home runs over his last two games for New York.
Recent Team Streaks
The Nationals have lost three games in a row against a tough portion of their schedule that has included the Philadelphia Phillies and the Yankees. New York has won two straight games and has found some offense that they will try to sustain tonight and moving forward.
Best Player Props
| Player | Prop |
|---|---|
| Aaron Judge | Over 0.5 Home Runs |
| MacKenzie Gore | Under 5.5 Strikeouts |
| Jazz Chisholm Jr. | Over 1.5 Total Bases |
Betting Trends & H2H
- The Yankees took a 1-0 lead in their season series against the Nationals with their win on Monday.
- The first game of this series went well over the total with 15 total runs scored.
Nationals vs Yankees Model Projection
Score Projection: Yankees 6 – Nationals 3
Win Probability: Yankees 75%, Nationals 25%
Final Thoughts
The Yankees have looked better at the plate over the last couple of games and are expected to win tonight. But I’m not 100% sold on Luis Gil just yet, even if he has shown some flashes since coming back from the IL. Instead of taking the Yankees to win this game, I think the over is a better wager at 8.5 runs, as both offenses should contribute to getting the game to the total.
