Washington Nationals vs New York Yankees Pick – 8/25/2025
The New York Yankees will host the Washington Nationals at Yankees Stadium on Monday night. The Yankees are heavy favorites as they look to rebound from a disappointing series against the Boston Red Sox over the weekend. But Washington could surprise with a solid starting pitcher on the mound. Continue reading to get my breakdown of this interleague matchup, including my Nationals vs Yankees prediction.
Our Nationals vs Yankees Pick
- Pick: Nationals +1.5
- Confidence: 3/5
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Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Washington Nationals vs New York Yankees
- Date & Time: Monday, August 25, 2025, 7:05 p.m. ET
- Starting Pitchers: Brad Lord (Nationals) vs Cam Schlittler (Yankees)
- Stadium: Yankee Stadium, Bronx, NY
- Broadcast: YES and MASN2
Key Storylines
Pitching matchup
Brad Lord of the Nationals has a respectable 3.46 ERA and has been solid enough on the road. He is not a big name but Lord could lead the Nats to a surprising upset of the Yankees if he is at or near his best in this game. Cam Schlittler of the Yankees has a 3.22 ERA and will make his first career start against Washington. Schlittler has allowed under a hit per inning so far this season but he has given up an alarming 16 walks in 36.1 innings of work.
Recent team streaks
- The Yankees dropped three out of their four games against the Boston Red Sox over the weekend and are looking to rebound from that disappointment tonight.
- Washington has lost two games in a row coming into this contest. They lost two out of their three games to the Philadelphia Phillies in their last series.
Best Player Props
| Player | Prop |
|---|---|
| Aaron Judge | Under 1.5 Total Bases |
| Cam Schlittler | Under 4.5 Strikeouts |
| Brad Lord | Over 4.5 Strikeouts |
Betting Trends & H2H
- This is the first game the Yankees and Nationals will play against each other this season.
- Washington is 27-38 on the road so far this season.
- The Yankees enter this game with a 38-28 record on their home field for the 2025 campaign.
Nationals vs Yankees Model Projection
Score Projection: Yankees 5 – Nationals 4
Win Probability: Yankees 65%, Nationals 35%
Final Thoughts
The Yankees should be able to win at home against the Nationals on Monday night. New York’s offense is superior to that of Washington and the Yankees have proven that they can deliver at home throughout the year. But I’m not convinced that this is going to be some blowout win for the Yankees either. Brad Lord is a very capable starting pitcher and I think he helps the Nats cover the runline in this series opener.
