Washington Nationals vs Miami Marlins Pick – 9/8/2025
The Washington Nationals will head to Miami on Monday night to face the Miami Marlins at loanDepot park. Both of these teams are basically out of postseason contention heading into this series opener but will look for a win over one another nonetheless. Before first pitch from South Florida, continue reading to get my Nationals vs Marlins prediction for tonight.
Our Nationals vs Marlins Pick
- Pick: Nationals moneyline
- Confidence: 3/5
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Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Washington Nationals vs Miami Marlins
- Date & Time: Monday, September 8, 2025, 6:40 PM ET
- Starting Pitchers: Cade Cavalli vs Janson Junk
- Stadium: loanDepot park, Miami, FL
- Broadcast: FanDuel Sports Florida, MASN
Key Storylines
- Both of these teams are at least 10 games back of the final Wild Card spot in the National League. They are playing for pride at this late stage of the regular season.
- Both teams have earned a sweep against the other so far this season. Winning this game and setting the tone will be very important with that in mind.
Pitching matchup
Cade Cavalli has shown signs of growth for the Nationals. He enters this game at 2-1 with a 4.85 ERA and 1.48 WHIP across 29.2 innings. He averages roughly 8.5 K/9 and 2.4 BB/9, a hint that his stuff plays even if contact quality has bitten him at times. The key for Cavalli is keeping the ball in the yard after allowing six homers in a small sample of innings.
Janson Junk is set to take the mound for the Marlins in this game. Junk has missed some time on the IL recently and has not pitched since August 23. He will look to perform well in his first game back from the IL against an opponent whose offense is prone to struggle at times.
Key Players
The key to this game will be the bullpen of the Marlins. We aren’t sure how deep into this game Junk is going to go for the Marlins. If he is on a short leash in his return to action, we could see the Marlins call more relievers into action than usual and that could make it harder for them to keep runs off the board.
Recent team streaks
- The Nationals have won two straight games and four of their last five.
- Miami has lost four of their last five games but their win in that stretch came in their last game on Sunday against the Phillies.
Best Player Props
| Prop | Player | Pick |
|---|---|---|
| Home Run | James Wood | Yes |
| Total Bases | CJ Abrams | Over 1.5 |
| Total Bases | Xavier Edwards | Over 1.5 |
| Pitcher Strikeouts | Cade Cavalli | Under 4.5 |
| Pitcher Strikeouts | Janson Junk | Over 4.5 |
Betting Trends & H2H
- The Marlins hold a 5-4 lead over the Nationals in their season series this year.
- Washington has won three straight games against the Marlins, sweeping their last series.
- Four of the last five games between these teams have stayed under their totals.
Nationals vs Marlins Model Projection
Score Projection: Marlins 5 – Nationals 4
Win Probability: Marlins 54%, Nationals 46%
Final Thoughts
Washington has been playing better baseball than Miami of late. But I’ll back the Marlins at home in this contest. Junk should help the Marlins now that he is back from the IL and I expect him to impress and to cool off the bats of the Nats tonight.
